Broncos vs Bills Betting Trends, Prediction, Wild-Card Playoff
Broncos vs Bills Betting Trends, Prediction, Wild-Card Playoff. The game is set for Sunday, January 12th, 2025. Place a bet on this NFL football game now.
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Broncos vs Bills Betting Odds
Here are the Broncos vs Bills Betting Odds:
TEAM | SPREAD | MONEYLINE | TOTAL |
---|---|---|---|
BRONCOS | +9 | +380 | 47 O |
BILLS | -9 | -480 | 47 U |
Broncos vs Bills Betting Trends
Here are the Broncos vs Bills Betting trends for both teams, but first, we have the head-to-head for both teams:
Broncos vs Bills Betting Trends: Head-to-Head
Now in these Broncos vs Bills Betting trends, we have the head-to-head stats:
Date | Team | Opp | Close | Result | ATS/OU |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Nov 13, 2023 | Bills | Broncos | -7.5 / 47.5 | Lost 22-24 | Lost / Under |
Aug 20, 2022 | Bills | Broncos | -7 / 42 | Won 42-15 | Won / Over |
Dec 19, 2020 | Bills | @Broncos | -6 / 48 | Won 48-19 | Won / Over |
Nov 24, 2019 | Bills | Broncos | -3.5 / 37 | Won 20-3 | Won / Under |
Sep 24, 2017 | Bills | Broncos | +3.5 / 40 | Won 26-16 | Won / Over |
Dec 7, 2014 | Bills | Broncos | -9 / 47 | Lost 0-0 | Lost / Under |
Dec 24, 2011 | Bills | @Broncos | -3 / 43.5 | Lost 0-0 | Lost / Under |
Aug 20, 2011 | Bills | Broncos | -6 / 37 | Lost 0-0 | Lost / Under |
Dec 21, 2008 | Bills | Broncos | -6.5 / 46 | Lost 0-0 | Lost / Under |
Sep 9, 2007 | Bills | @Broncos | -3 / 38 | Lost 0-0 | Lost / Under |
Broncos vs Bills Betting Trends: Denver
These are the Broncos vs Bills Betting trends for Denver:
- The over/under record for Denver’s previous eight games is 6-2.
- Nine out of Denver’s last thirteen games have resulted in the total going over.
- In their last seven games, Denver has a winning percentage of 5-2.
- After eight games versus Buffalo, Denver has a record of 1-7 against the spread.
- With Buffalo, Denver has a record of 2-5 on the road in their last seven games.
- Five of Denver’s previous six games played away from home have resulted in the total going over.
- Denver has a record of 1-4 against the spread in their previous five games when they have played Buffalo away from home.
- When playing against teams from the American Football Conference, Denver has a record of 5-2 against the spread in their last seven games combined.
- In their last six games against teams from the American Football Conference East division, Denver has a record of 2-4 in terms of their overall performance.
- Six out of Denver’s seven most recent games played in January have resulted in the total going over.
Broncos vs Bills Betting Trends: Denver Best Bets
Now on these Broncos vs Bills Betting Trends, we have the best bets for Denver:
- In 15 of their previous 21 games, the Denver Broncos have covered the spread, which has resulted in a return on investment of 37% and a total of 8.55 units.
- Over the course of their most recent 21 games, the Denver Broncos have hit the Moneyline (+8.40 Units / 21% ROI) in 13 of those games.
- With a return on investment of 33%, the Denver Broncos have hit the 1H Game Total Over in 15 of their last 21 games, which is a plus 8.05 units.
- In 15 of their last 21 games, the Denver Broncos have hit the Team Total Over, which has resulted in a return of 27% as well as 7.50 units.
- In 13 of their last 21 games, the Denver Broncos have hit the 1H Moneyline, which has resulted in a return of over 6.15 units and 18%.
Broncos vs Bills Betting Trends: Denver Player Prop Bets
Next on these Broncos vs Bills Betting Trends, we have the best player prop bets for Denver:
- Bo Nix has not missed a touchdown pass in 11 of his last 14 games, which is a return on investment of 7.60 units and 38%.=
- In twelve of his last sixteen games, Bo Nix has surpassed the passing yardage mark, which has resulted in 7.25 units and a return on investment of 39%.
- Over the course of his previous six games, Marvin Mims Jr. has racked up 6.65 units. His return on investment (ROI) is 93%.
- In 12 of his last 17 games, Javonte Williams has posted a Rushing Yards Under, which is a plus 6.30 units and a 32% return on investment.
- In twelve of his most recent seventeen games, Bo Nix has hit the Completions Over +6.25 Units / 31% Return on Investment.
Broncos vs Bills Betting Trends: Denver Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Now on these Broncos vs Bills Betting Trends, we have the ATS record for Denver:
- Over the course of this NFL season, the Broncos had a record of 12-5 (+6.55 Units) and a return on investment of 35.03%.
- When wagering on the Moneyline, the Broncos have a record of 10-7, plus 6.35 units, and a return of 19.21%.
- When betting on the Over, the Broncos have a record of 10-6, which results in a return of 18.18% and +3.4 units.
- The Broncos have a 6-10 record when betting on the Under for a return of -5 units.
Broncos vs Bills Betting Trends: Denver Keys to the Game
Next on these Broncos vs Bills Betting Trends, we continue with the keys to the game for Denver:
- During this season, the Broncos have a record of 4-1 (.800) when passing for more than 250 yards, which is tied for seventh place in the National Football League (NFL); the average for the league is.579.
- The Broncos finished the previous season with a record of 3-5 (.375) when they had a turnover margin within one of their opponents, which was the eighth worst in the NFL and the league average of.500.
- Last season, the Broncos had a winless record (0-6) when they committed two or more turnovers, which was the worst in the NFL and the league average was.293.
- This season, the Broncos have a record of 6-2 (.750) when making seven or more explosive plays, which is seventh-best in the NFL and an average of.596 in the league.
Broncos vs Bills Betting Trends: Denver Offense Important Stats
- During the previous season, the Broncos targeted running backs 29% of the time (150 pass attempts/513 plays), which was the highest percentage in the NFL. The average for the league was 17%.
- Since the 2023 season, the Broncos have targeted running backs 24% of the time (251 pass attempts/1,054 plays), which is the highest percentage in the NFL (the average for the league is 17%).
- This season, the Broncos have only averaged 5.5 yards per play when facing a light front, which is the fourth-worst figure in the NFL; the average for the league is 6.4 yards per play.
- The Broncos have run successful plays on 41% of pass attempts in the first quarter of this season, which is the T-worst percentage in the NFL and the average for the league is 48%.
Broncos vs Bills Betting Trends: Denver Defense Important Stats
- Over the course of the previous season, the Broncos defense allowed a passer rating of 135.6 against play action passes (123 pass attempts), which was the lowest in the NFL and the average for the league was 101.1.
- As of this season, the Broncos defense has allowed a light front to allow -0.21 epa per play, which is the best in the NFL; the average for the league is -0.00.
- This season, the Broncos defense has allowed the lowest average epa per play against play action passes in the NFL, which is -0.11; the average for the league is 0.08.
- On motion plays, the Broncos defense has allowed successful plays on 38% of plays this season, which is the best percentage in the NFL; the average for the league is 44%.
Broncos vs Bills Betting Trends: Buffalo
These are the Broncos vs Bills Betting trends for Buffalo:
- All-time, Buffalo has a record of 8-4 in their past 12 games.
- Out of Buffalo’s last five games, the total has been over in four of them.
- Buffalo has a winning record of 10-2 in their previous 12 games.
- At home, Buffalo has a perfect record of 8-0 in their last 8 games.
- When playing at home versus Denver, Buffalo has a record of 4-1 against the spread in their last five games.
- Out of Buffalo’s last eight games against teams from the American Football Conference, seven of those games have ended with the total exceeding the point spread.
- In eight of Buffalo’s last eleven games against opponents from the American Football Conference West division, the total has turned out to be higher than the point spread.
- After six games played in January, Buffalo has a record of 2-4 against the spread.
- In the last 11 games that Buffalo has played on a Sunday, they have a winning record of 9-2.
Broncos vs Bills Betting Trends: Buffalo Best Bets
Now on these Broncos vs Bills Betting Trends, we have the best bets for Buffalo:
- In 15 of their last 20 games, the Buffalo Bills have hit the 2Q Game Total Over, which is a positive 9.35 units and a 40% return on investment.
- In 11 of their last 16 games, the Buffalo Bills have hit the 2H Moneyline, which corresponds to a return of 7.90 units and a return of 27%.
- 13 out of the previous 18 games that the Buffalo Bills have played have resulted in their covering the two-hour spread (+7.64 units / 37% ROI).
- In 15 of their last 22 games, the Buffalo Bills have hit the Team Total Over, which is a positive 7.50 units and a 29% return on investment.
- The Buffalo Bills have won 14 of their last 20 games with the three-quarter game total over, which is a return of 29% and a total of seven units.
Broncos vs Bills Betting Trends: Buffalo Player Prop Best Bets
Next on these Broncos vs Bills Betting Trends, we have the player prop bets for Buffalo:
- In 13 of his last 19 games, Josh Allen has reached the Interceptions Under mark, which is a positive 6.20 units and a 28% return on investment.
- Over the course of his last 19 games, Josh Allen has completed touchdown passes in 12 of them, resulting in a return on investment of 5.05 units and 23%.
- Ray Davis has been successful in avoiding the Rushing Yards Under in six of his last seven games, resulting in a return on investment of 4.90 units and a 62% return.
- In six of his last seven games, Mack Hollins has reached the Receiving Yards Over, which is a return on investment of 6.1% and 4.85 units.
- Seven out of the last ten games that James Cook has played at home, he has reached the Receptions Over, which is a positive 4.05 units and a 35% return on investment.
Broncos vs Bills Betting Trends: Buffalo Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Now on these Broncos vs Bills Betting Trends, we continue with the ATS record for Buffalo:
- With a return on investment of 12.83%, the Bills have a record of 10-7 against the spread during this NFL season.
- When wagering on the Moneyline, the Bills have a record of 13-4, which results in a return of 17.43% and a total of 7.8 units.
- When betting on the Over, the Bills have a record of 11-6, which results in a return of 22.87% and +4.3 units.
- When betting on the Under for -6.1 units and a return of 32.8%, the Bills have a 6-11 record.
Broncos vs Bills Betting Trends: Buffalo Keys to the Game
Next on these Broncos vs Bills Betting Trends, we have the keyes to the game for Buffalo:
- With a record of 17-3 (.850) since the 2023 season, the Bills have the fourth-best record in the NFL when they have possession of the ball for longer than their opponent. Since the 2023 season, the Patriots have allowed an average time of possession of 31 minutes and 16 seconds, which is the fourth-highest in the National Football League.
- This season, the Bills have a record of 13-2 (.867) when they have allowed fewer than three sacks: seventh best in the NFL. Over that amount of time, the Patriots have only taken 1.8 sacks per game on average, which is the lowest average in the NFL.
- T-best in the NFL, the Bills finished the previous season with a record of 3-1 (.750) when they did not force a turnover; the league average was.265.
Since the 2023 season, the Bills have a perfect record of 6-0 when they have allowed less than thirty percent of third down conversion opportunities. This is the third-best record in the NFL, and the league average is.679.
Broncos vs Bills Betting Trends: Buffalo Offense Important Stats
- Last year, the Bills had the greatest fourth-quarter performance in the NFL, with successful plays on 51% of plays, compared to the league average of 40%.
- The Buffalo Bills had the best percentage of drives in the NFL, going three and out on 12% of them; the average for the league was 22%.
- This season, the Bills have averaged 7.2 yards per play on motion plays, which is the second-best rate in the NFL. The average for the league is 5.8 yards per play.
- A total of 10% of the Bills’ drives in the second half of the previous season resulted in a three-and-out, which was the highest percentage in the NFL (the average for the league was 20%).
Broncos vs Bills Betting Trends: Buffalo Defense Important Stats
- This past season, the Buffalo Bills defense allowed successful plays on 11% of plays with a light rush, which was the second-best in the NFL. The average for the league was 39%.
- With a minimal rush, the Bills defense allowed successful plays on 11% of pass attempts during the previous season, which was the best in the NFL; the average for the league was 40%.
- Only 25% of rush attempts with a light front have resulted in successful plays for the Bills defense this season, which is the best percentage in the NFL; the average for the league is 44%.
- The Buffalo Bills defense has allowed a light front to allow -0.18 epa per play since the 2023 season, which is the greatest in the NFL; the average for the league is -0.03.
Broncos vs Bills Betting Prediction
Now, we have the Broncos vs Bills Betting prediction for both teams.
Broncos vs Bills Betting Prediction: Denver
This is the Broncos vs Bills Betting prediction for Denver.
At the end of the regular season, the Denver Broncos ended with a record of 10-7, which placed them in third place in the AFC West and seventh place in the conference. Following the beginning of the season with a position of 17th in our power rankings, the Broncos finished the season with a record of 4-5 on the road and 6-2 at home. They had a record of 12-5 against the spread, including an 8-0 record when they were the favorites. A total of 11-6 was their over/under record, and their games averaged 43.3 points (the over/under line was 41.3).
By defeating the Chiefs by a score of 38-0 in week 18, the Broncos were able to recover from a string of two consecutive defeats. The 38 points were not enough to cover the over/under line of 40.5 points, despite the fact that they were 11-point favorites and covered the spread. A loss to the Bengals by a score of 30-24 occurred in week 17, while a loss to the Chargers by a score of 34-27 occurred in week 16.
Our offensive power rankings place the Broncos in sixteenth place as we move into the Wild Card round. They average 25 points per game, which places them tenth in the National Football League, and they have 324.6 yards per game, which places them nineteenth. Denver has a ranking of 20th in passing yards per game (212.4) and 16th in rushing yards per game (112.2), while it has a ranking of 13th in third-down conversion percentage and 22nd in red zone conversion percentage.
After throwing for 246 yards in week 2 and 138 yards in week 1, Bo Nix threw for 216 yards on 25/36 passes in week 3. This comes after he threw for 138 yards in week 1. During the third week of the season, Courtland Sutton led the team with seven receptions for 68 yards, and Tyler Badie had nine carries for seventy yards. Although Denver was able to score 14 points in the first quarter of their game against the Buccaneers, they were only able to score 6 points throughout the rest of the game.
When Denver defeated the Chiefs by a score of 38-0, their defense was so dominant that they only allowed 98 yards of passing. It was a remarkable performance by the Broncos’ secondary, which prevented the Chiefs from scoring a single point and limited them to 71 yards passing. In addition to this, they prevented Kansas City from achieving a completion rate of 58.8 percent and only allowed 4.2 yards per attempt.
When it came to the run, the Broncos only allowed 27 yards on 11 tries against the opponent. The Chiefs were only able to convert 11.1% of third-down opportunities, although they registered five sacks. In addition, Denver recorded nine more quarterback hits than the Chiefs had during the game on offense.
Broncos vs Bills Betting: Denver Injury Report
Pos | Player | Status |
---|---|---|
T | Frank Crum (Illness) | Out |
RB | Tyler Badie (Back) | Questionable |
RB | Jaleel McLaughlin (Quad) | Out |
Broncos vs Bills Betting Prediction: Buffalo
This is the Broncos vs Bills Betting prediction for Buffalo.
The Buffalo Bills concluded the season with a record of 13-4, which placed them in second place in the American Football Conference and first place in the AFC East. After suffering consecutive defeats in weeks 4 and 5, Buffalo was able to recover with three consecutive victories, including a triumph over the Jaguars by a score of 37 points recorded in week 3. In week 2, they defeated the Dolphins, and in week 1, they defeated the Cardinals. However, they were unable to cover the 6.5-point spread against Arizona, and they ended up winning by a score of 6.
Over the course of this season, Buffalo has a record of 10-7 against the spread, with an average scoring margin of +9.2 points. Their over/under record is 11-6, and they have over the total in both of their most recent games. In games involving the Bills, the average line has been 46.3 points, while the total number of points scored by both teams has averaged 52.5 points per game.
The quarterback Josh Allen is coming off of a successful performance in week 3, in which he threw for 263 yards, four touchdowns, and a passer rating of 142 against the Jaguars. In the first three games of the season, he has not thrown an interception by any stretch of the imagination. During the third week of the season, Khalil Shakir led the club with six receptions, 72 yards, and a score.
On average, Buffalo scores 30.9 points per game, which places them in second place in the National Football League. Additionally, they have 359.1 yards per game, which places them in tenth place. They have struggled in the red zone, ranking 30th in conversion percentage, but they rank seventh in third-down conversions.
The Buffalo Bills’ defense allowed the Patriots to throw for 232 yards and 22 completions during their loss to the Patriots by a score of 23-16. Despite this, they were successful in forcing New England to convert 33.3% of their third-down opportunities. Buffalo was able to keep the Patriots to 77 running yards on 30 attempts, which resulted in the Patriots finishing with a total of 309 yards.
In comparison to the Patriots, the Buffalo defense finished with one sack, more quarterback hits, and more tackles for loss than the Patriots defense. During the game against the Bills, New England did manage to score a touchdown through the air once, and opponent quarterbacks were successful in completing 73.3% of their passes.
Broncos vs Bills Betting: Buffalo Injury Report
Pos | Player | Status |
---|---|---|
LB | Terrel Bernard (Quad) | Out |
WR | Amari Cooper (Personal) | Out |
WR | Curtis Samuel (Ribs) | Questionable |
WR | Curtis Samuel (Ribs) | Out |
DB | Cam Lewis (Shoulder) | Questionable |
LB | Matt Milano (Biceps) | Questionable |
LB | Dorian Williams (Elbow) | Questionable |
WR | Curtis Samuel (Ribs) | Questionable |
CB | Rasul Douglas (Knee) | Questionable |
TE | Dalton Kincaid (Knee) | Questionable |
T | Tylan Grable (Groin) | Out |
DE | Dawuane Smoot (Wrist) | Questionable |
S | Taylor Rapp (Neck) | Questionable |
TE | Quintin Morris (Shoulder) | Questionable |
S | Damar Hamlin (Back) | Questionable |
DE | Casey Toohill (Ribs) | Questionable |
CB | Rasul Douglas (Knee) | Out |
TE | Dalton Kincaid (Knee) | Questionable |
TE | Dalton Kincaid (Knee) | Doubtful |
T | Tylan Grable (Groin) | Questionable |
DT | DeWayne Carter (Wrist) | Questionable |
Broncos vs Bills Betting Prediction: Our Picks
Next in this Broncos vs Bills Betting prediction, we have the picks for this game.
Broncos vs Bills Betting Prediction: MoneyLine
First, we have the Broncos vs Bills Betting prediction on the moneyline.
Our offensive power rankings place the Broncos in sixteenth place as we move into the Wild Card round. They average 25 points per game, which places them tenth in the National Football League, and they have 324.6 yards per game, which places them nineteenth. Denver has a passing yardage average of 212.4 per game on 33.5 attempts per game, which places them in the 20th position. On the other hand, they have a rushing yardage average of 112.2 per game on 27.1 attempts.
Bo Nix completed 25 of 36 passes for 216 yards and none of them resulted in a touchdown or an interception during the third week of the season. The team’s leading receiver was Courtland Sutton, who had seven receptions for 68 yards, and Tyler Badie had nine carries for seventy yards on the ground. Colorado was successful in converting 30.8% of their third-down attempts (4/13) and scored on two of their four trips into the red zone.
As the season has begun, Josh Allen has been on fire. He has posted a passer rating of 107 in week 2 and 137 in week 1 before his 142 rating in week 3 against the Jaguars. In that game, he passed for 263 yards and four touchdowns without throwing an interception. In addition, Allen has done a decent job of avoiding sacks, since he has been taken down twice in the first week but has not been sacked in the second or third week.
During the third week of the season, Khalil Shakir led the Bills in receiving with six receptions along with 72 yards and a score. Within the second week of the season, James Cook rushed for 78 yards and two touchdowns on 11 runs, and Allen led the club in rushing with 44 yards on six carries during the third week of the season.
- Free MoneyLine Broncos vs Bills Betting Prediction: DENVER.
Broncos vs Bills Betting Prediction: Total
Next, we have the Broncos vs Bills Betting prediction on the total.
During Denver’s 38-0 victory over the Chiefs, the Chiefs’ defense was superb, allowing only 98 yards of offense and forcing Kansas City to convert only one of nine third-down opportunities. It was especially impressive how well the Broncos’ secondary played, as they were able to limit the Chiefs to only 71 yards passing and a completion percentage of 58.8 percent. In addition to this, they did not allow any points to be scored and restricted the Chiefs to only 27 yards of rushing on 11 tries.
The Broncos’ pass rush was also extremely effective, as seen by the fact that they finished with five sacks and generated a great deal of pressure. This was demonstrated by the fact that they had a nine-point advantage in the quarterback hit differential.
The defense of the Buffalo Bills allowed the Patriots to pass for 232 yards and 22 completions during their loss to the Patriots by a score of 23-16. However, they were successful in preventing New England from converting on third downs at a rate of 33.3%. The Buffalo defense allowed 77 rushing yards on 30 tries, and their secondary allowed a completion percentage of 73.3% throughout the course of the game.
In comparison to the Patriots, Buffalo’s defense was able to record one sack, as well as more quarterback hits and tackles for loss. The contest did, however, result in them allowing one score through the air and a total of 309 yards.
- Free Total Broncos vs Bills Betting Prediction: OVER.
Broncos vs Bills Betting Prediction: Spread
And now, we have the Broncos vs Bills Betting prediction on the spread.
Denver ended the regular season with a record of 10-7, which placed them seventh in the American Football Conference. Their record in the division was 3-3, and their record in the conference was 6-6. Once ranked 17th at the beginning of the season, the Broncos have moved up to the 14th spot in our power rankings. They have a record of 12-5 against the spread, including an 8-0 record when they are the favorites. Despite having a line of 41.3 points, their overall record is 11-6, and their games had an average of 43.3 points scored against them.
By defeating the Chiefs by a score of 38-0 in week 18, the Broncos were able to recover from a string of two consecutive defeats. They overcame the 11-point margin with relative ease. Losing to the Chargers and the Bengals in weeks 16 and 17, Denver was unable to cover the spread in both of those games.
Over the course of their most recent three games during the regular season, the Broncos have a perfect record of 1-2. Overall, they finished with a record of 1-2 against the spread and a mark of 2-1 against the over-under in these contests.
In their most recent five games played away from home, Denver has a terrible overall record of only 2-3. On the other hand, their overall record was 1-4, and they averaged 20 points per game against others.
The Buffalo Bills concluded the season with a record of 13-4, which allowed them to win the AFC East championship with a 5-1 division record. In week 3, they defeated the Jaguars by a score of 47-10, making their home record perfect at 8-0. After suffering two consecutive defeats in weeks 4 and 5, the Bills got back on track with three consecutive victories, including a victory over the Dolphins by a score of 31-10 in week 2 and a victory over the Cardinals by a score of 34-28 in week 1.
On average, Buffalo boasts a scoring margin of +9.2 points per game, which places them in fourth place in our power rankings as they prepare to enter the playoffs. As of right now, they have a record of 10-7 against the spread and 11-6 over/under, with the over having been successful in both of their most recent games.
Buffalo has a perfect record of 3-0 over the course of their most recent three matches. In terms of wagering, the squad had a record of 2-1 against the spread in these contests. The over/under record for these matches includes a record of 1-2.
Buffalo has scored an average of 33 points per game in their last five home games, while still allowing 27 points per game. Over the course of this stretch, the team’s record was 3-2, and they had a 3-2 record against the spread.
- Free Spread Broncos vs Bills Betting Prediction: LOS ANGELES.
FREE Broncos vs Bills Betting Prediction: Our Picks
- Free MoneyLine Broncos vs Bills Betting Prediction: DENVER.
- Free Total Broncos vs Bills Betting Prediction: OVER.
- Free Spread Broncos vs Bills Betting Prediction: DENVER.
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