Saints vs Packers Betting Trends, Prediction, NFL Week 16. The game is set for Monday, December 23rd, 2024. Place a bet on this NFL football game now.

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Saints vs Packers Betting Odds

Here are the Saints vs Packers Betting Odds:

TEAM	SPREAD	MONEYLINE	TOTAL
SAINTS	+14	+600	42.5 O
PACKERS	-14	-900	42.5 U

Saints vs Packers Betting Trends

Here are the Saints vs Packers Betting trends for both teams, but first, we have the head-to-head for both teams:

Saints vs Packers Betting Trends: Head-to-Head

Now in these Saints vs Packers Betting trends, we have the head-to-head stats:

Saints vs Packers Betting Trends: New Orleans

These are the Saints vs Packers Betting trends for New Orleans.

• In their last ten games, New Orleans has a 3-7 ATS record.
• Four of New Orleans’ last five games have seen the total fall UNDER.
• In their last 12 games, New Orleans has a 3-9 SU record.
• In their last nine meetings with Green Bay, New Orleans has a 6-3 ATS record.
• In their previous five away games, New Orleans is 1-4 ATS.
• When playing Green Bay on the road, New Orleans has a 2-10 SU record in their previous 12 games.
• In their previous eight games against a National Football Conference opponent, New Orleans is 2-6 SU.
• In their last five games against a team in the National Football Conference North division, New Orleans has a 1-4 ATS record.
• Thirteen of the last fifteen games that New Orleans has played in December have seen the total fall UNDER.

Saints vs Packers Betting Trends: New Orleans Best Bets

Now in these Saints vs Packers Betting trends, we have the best bets for New Orleans:

• In 11 of their previous 20 games, the New Orleans Saints have hit the 1H Moneyline (+4.75 Units / 19% ROI).
• In 10 of their previous 15 games, the New Orleans Saints have hit the 2H Game Total Over (+4.61 Units / 28% ROI).
• In five of their previous ten away games, the New Orleans Saints have hit the 1Q Moneyline (+4.45 Units / 37% ROI).
• In 11 of their last 17 games, the New Orleans Saints have hit the 4Q Game Total Over (+4.30 Units / 22% ROI).
• In seven of their previous ten away games, the New Orleans Saints have covered the 1Q Spread (+3.30 Units / 26% ROI).

Saints vs Packers Betting Trends: Best New Orleans Player Prop Bets

Next in these Saints vs Packers Betting trends, we have the player prop bets for New Orleans:

• In eight of his previous thirteen games, Derek Carr has hit the TD passes over (+6.25 units / 47% ROI).
• In 10 of his last 14 games, Foster Moreau has hit the Receiving Yards Over (+5.30 Units / 32% ROI).
• In 11 of his last 16 games, Juwan Johnson has hit the Receiving Yards Over (+5.30 Units / 29% ROI).
• In five of his last seven away games, Juwan Johnson has hit the Receptions Over (+3.95 Units / 45% ROI).
• In eight of his previous twelve games, Derek Carr has hit the Rushing Yards Over (+3.40 Units / 24% ROI).

Saints vs Packers Betting Trends: New Orleans Against the Spread (ATS) Record

• The Saints are 6-8 against the spread this NFL season (-2.8 units / -18.3% ROI).
• When betting on the Moneyline, Saints are 5-9 for -4.75 Units / -24.87% ROI.
• When betting the Over for -0.7 Units / -4.55% ROI, Saints are 7-7.
• When betting the Under for -0.7 Units / ROI, Saints are 7-7.

Saints vs Packers Betting Trends: New Orleans Keys to the Game

• Since the 2023 season, the Saints are 2-11 (.154) when the other team converts at least 55% of its red zone opportunities into touchdowns; this is the second-worst record in the NFL; the league average is.421.
• This season, the Saints are 0–6 when giving up 22 points or more, which is the T-worst in the NFL; their league average is.251.
• The Saints have a 0–4 record against the top 10 run defenses this season, which is T-worst in the NFL; their league average is.279.
• Last season, when behind at the end of the third quarter, the Saints were winless (0-7) – the NFL’s T-worst; League Average:.148.

Saints vs Packers Betting Trends: New Orleans Offense Important Stats

• Last season, the Saints had the greatest contested throw average in the NFL at 0.26 epa per play; the league average was -0.12.
• This season, the Saints have scored five touchdowns from their own territory, which is second in the NFL.
• In Week 15’s first half, the Saints ran 5% of their plays in their opponent’s territory, which is the lowest percentage in the NFL (the league average is 45%).
• In close and late situations, the Saints have thrown the ball 75% of the time (12 pass attempts/16 plays) since the 2023 season, which is the greatest percentage in the NFL; the league average is 55%.

Saints vs Packers Betting Trends: New Orleans Defense Important Stats

• Since the 2023 season, the Saints defense has given up first downs on 35% of third-and-short pass attempts, which is the best in the NFL; the league average is 56%.
• Last season, the Saints defense gave up the highest third down conversion rate in the NFL (41%) on third and shorts; the league average was 59%.
• Since 2023, the Saints defense has given up the lowest completion percentage in the NFL (18 completions/46 attempts) on third and short, which is 39%; the league average is 61%.
• Targeted at a depth of 1 to 5 yards last season, the Saints defense gave up 6.8 yards per dropback (1,136 yards/166 attempts)—T-worst in the NFL; League Average: 5.5.

Saints vs Packers Betting Trends: Green Bay

These are the Saints vs Packers Betting trends for

• In their last five games, Green Bay has a 4-1 ATS record.
• Four of Green Bay’s last six games have seen the total fall UNDER.
• In their previous ten games, Green Bay has an 8-2 SU record.
• Nine of Green Bay’s previous twelve games against New Orleans have seen the total go OVER.
• In their previous five home games, Green Bay has a 4-1 SU record.
• In their last 12 home games versus New Orleans, Green Bay has a 10-2 SU record.
• In their last seven games versus a National Football Conference opponent, Green Bay had a 5-2 overall record (ATS).
• In their last nine games against a team in the National Football Conference South division, Green Bay is 3-6 ATS.
• Six of Green Bay’s last seven December games have seen the total go OVER.
• Five of Green Bay’s last seven Monday games have seen the total fall UNDER.

Saints vs Packers Betting Trends: Green Bay Best Bets

Now in these Saints vs Packers Betting trends, we have the best bets for Green Bay:

• In 15 of their last 21 games, the Green Bay Packers have hit the moneyline (+9.95 units / 31% ROI).
• In 15 of their last 21 games, the Green Bay Packers have hit the 1Q Moneyline (+9.15 Units / 32% ROI).
• In 15 of their last 21 games, the Green Bay Packers have covered the 1Q Spread (+8.90 Units / 34% ROI).
• In 11 of their previous 15 games, the Green Bay Packers have covered the 2H Spread (+7.13 Units / 43% ROI).
• In 10 of their previous 15 games, the Green Bay Packers have hit the 2H Moneyline (+5.59 Units / 29% ROI).

Saints vs Packers Betting Trends: Best Green Bay Player Prop Bets

Next in these Saints vs Packers Betting trends, we have the player prop bets for Green Bay:

• In 14 of his last 16 games, Jordan Love has hit the Pass Attempts Under (+11.75 Units / 61% ROI).
• In 12 of his last 16 games, Jordan Love has hit the TD Passes Over (+7.30 Units / 33% ROI).
• In eight of his previous ten games, Josh Jacobs has hit the Carriers Over (+5.60 Units / 50% ROI).
• In his last five games, Luke Musgrave has nailed the Receiving Yards Under (+5.00 Units / 86% ROI).
• In six of his last seven games, Jayden Reed has hit the Rushing Yards Under (+4.63 Units / 55% ROI).

Saints vs Packers Betting Trends: Green Bay Against the Spread (ATS) Record

• This NFL season, the Packers are 7-6 ATS (+0.35 Units / 2.3% ROI).
• Packers are 10-4 when betting on the Moneyline for +6.1 units / 26.93% ROI.
• Packers are 6-7 when betting the Over for -1.7 units/-11.04% ROI.
• Packers are 7-6 when betting on the Under for +0.4 units / 2.6% ROI.

Saints vs Packers Betting Trends: Green Bay Keys to the Game

• This season, the Packers are 2-1 (.667) when they do not force a turnover, tied for second best in the NFL; league average:.316.
• Last season, the Packers were undefeated (3-0) when allowing fewer than 30% of third-down conversion opportunities — the T-best in the NFL; league average:.654.
• Last season, the Packers went undefeated (4-0) while averaging more than 5 yards per rush — the T-best in the NFL; league average:.607.
• This season, the Packers are 10-4 (.714), tied for sixth best in the NFL; the league average is.500.

Saints vs Packers Betting Trends: Green Bay Offense Important Stats

• Last season, the Packers scored on 50% of their third-quarter possessions, the highest in the NFL; the league average was 29%.
• This season, the Packers have made successful plays on 14% of throw attempts against a light rush, the lowest in the NFL; the league average is 45%.
• Since the 2023 season, the Packers have run 21% of their red zone plays in the second half, the highest in the NFL; the league average is 15%.
• Last season, the Packers had the best third-down conversion rate in the NFL at 88% against a heavy rush; the league average was 33%.

Saints vs Packers Betting Trends: Green Bay Defense Important Stats

• This season, the Packers defense has allowed a passer rating of only 32.5 on third and long (58 pass attempts), the best in the NFL; the league average is 81.2.
• Since the 2023 season, the Packers defense has allowed throws of 40 yards or more on only 4 of 985 attempts (0%), ranking T-best in the NFL; the league average is 1%.
• This season, the Packers defense has allowed a quarterback rating of only 61.3 with a light front (91 Pass Attempts), which is the best in the NFL; the league average is 86.9.
• In the first half of the season, the Packers defense forced three and outs on 14% of opponent drives, the lowest in the NFL; the league average was 23%.

Saints vs Packers Betting Prediction

Now, we have the Saints vs Packers Betting prediction for both teams.

Saints vs Packers Betting Prediction: New Orleans

This is the Saints vs Packers Betting prediction for New Orleans.

After two consecutive victories, the New Orleans Saints couldn’t maintain their momentum in week 15, losing 20-19 to the Commanders. Despite the loss, New Orleans managed to cover the spread, finishing as 7.5-point underdogs. The over/under was 44.5 points, and the teams combined for 39, the Saints’ third straight under.

New Orleans is now 5-9, ranked third in the NFC South. They are 30th in our power rankings and have a 0.0% probability of making the playoffs. The Saints are 6-8 ATS, with an average scoring margin of -0.2. Their over/under record is 7-7, with an average of 44.4 points per game.

Going into week 16, the Saints are ranked 18th in our offensive power rankings. They rank 15th in the NFL in terms of points per game (22.1) and yards per game (334.6). New Orleans is 20th in passing yards per game, averaging 210.2 on 31.6 attempts. On the ground, they rank 10th in running yards per game (124.4) and eighth in rushing attempts. The Saints convert 37.4% of their third downs, ranking 18th in the league.

In week 15, New Orleans scored 12 points in the fourth quarter but fell short, losing 20-19 against the Commanders. Spencer Rattler passed for 135 yards (10/21) and a touchdown, while Kendre Miller led the team with 46 rushing yards (9 carries). Marquez Valdes-Scantling recorded two catches for 64 yards. The Saints converted 3 of 11 third-down attempts and finished 1 for 2 in the red zone.

In the Saints’ 20-19 loss to the Commanders, the defense allowed 189 passing yards on 25 completions. Despite this, they conceded two passing touchdowns and allowed the Commanders to complete 80.6% of their passes. The Saints defense managed to get to the quarterback, recording an incredible eight sacks.

The Saints allowed 137 rushing yards on 35 attempts. Even though they struggled to stop the run, they recorded eight tackles for loss throughout the game. On third down, the Commanders converted 52.9% of their attempts.

Saints vs Packers Betting: New Orleans Injury Report

Pos	Player	Status
RB	Alvin Kamara (Groin)	Out
RB	Alvin Kamara (Groin)	Doubtful
DE	Tanoh Kpassagnon (Achilles)	Questionable
LB	D’Marco Jackson (Ankle)	Out
QB	Derek Carr (Hand)	Out
RB	Kendre Miller (Hamstring)	Questionable
OL	Nick Saldiveri (Knee)	Out
WR	Bub Means (Ankle)	Out
RB	Kendre Miller (Hamstring)	Questionable
WR	Bub Means (Ankle)	Questionable
TE	Taysom Hill (Knee)	Out
DE	Tanoh Kpassagnon (Achilles)	Out
DE	Tanoh Kpassagnon (Achilles)	Questionable
RB	Jamaal Williams (Groin)	Questionable

Saints vs Packers Betting Prediction: Green Bay

This is the Saints vs Packers Betting prediction for Green Bay.

Heading into week 16, the Green Bay Packers are third in our NFL power rankings and have a 99.9% chance of making the playoffs. They are 10-4 with a +6.6 point differential and a 7-6-1 record against the spread. Green Bay is 5-2 at home and on the road, but only 1-3 in division games, giving them a 0.6% chance of winning the NFC North.

After losing to the Lions in Week 14, the Packers rebounded with a 30-13 victory over the Seahawks in Week 15. They covered the three-point spread in that game, bringing their ATS record to 7-6-1. The over/under was 48 points, and the teams combined for 43, with under hitting.

The Packers are seventh in our offensive power rankings heading into week 16, averaging 27.1 points per game. They are fourth in the NFL in overall yards (375.4 per game) and 11th in passing yards, despite being 29th in pass attempts. Green Bay relies heavily on their rushing attack, ranking fifth in attempts and fourth in yards, with Josh Jacobs gaining 94 yards on 26 carries in Week 15. The Packers rank 15th in third-down conversions and 26th in red zone effectiveness, despite ranking third in red zone attempts.

Jordan Love has been exceptional, with a passer rating of 123 in Week 15, tossing 20/27 for 229 yards and two touchdowns with no interceptions. He received a 111 rating in week 14 and a 129 rating in week 13. Christian Watson led the Packers in receiving in Week 15, with three catches for 56 yards, following a 114-yard outburst in Week 14.

Green Bay’s defense was strong in their 30-13 victory over the Seahawks, allowing only 128 passing yards and registering 7 sacks. They guarded the run well despite Seattle’s limited attempts (16 rushes), surrendering 80 yards on the ground.

The Packers’ defense allowed no passing touchdowns and held Seattle to a 30.8% third-down conversion rate. Furthermore, they intercepted two passes and limited the Seahawks to 60.6% completions.

Saints vs Packers Betting: Seattle Injury Report

Pos	Player	Status
TE	Luke Musgrave (Ankle)	Out
S	Javon Bullard (Ankle)	Out
CB	Corey Ballentine (Knee)	Questionable
WR	Romeo Doubs (Concussion)	Questionable
CB	Corey Ballentine (Knee)	Out
WR	Romeo Doubs (Concussion)	Out
WR	Romeo Doubs (Concussion)	Doubtful
OL	Josh Myers (Pectoral)	Questionable
LB	Isaiah McDuffie (Ankle)	Questionable
TE	John FitzPatrick (Back)	Questionable
WR	Romeo Doubs (Concussion)	Out
WR	Romeo Doubs (Concussion)	Doubtful
CB	Jaire Alexander (Knee)	Out
DE	Colby Wooden (Shoulder)	Questionable
LB	Edgerrin Cooper (Hamstring)	Out

Saints vs Packers Betting Prediction: Our Picks

Next in this Saints vs Packers Betting prediction, we have the picks for this game.

Saints vs Packers Betting Prediction: MoneyLine

First, we have the Saints vs Packers Betting prediction on the moneyline.

Going into week 16, the Saints are ranked 18th in our offensive power rankings. They rank 15th in the NFL for both points per game (22.1) and yards per game (334.6). New Orleans ranks 20th in passing yards per game (210.2) and 18th in passing attempts, while ranking 10th in rushing yards per game (124.4) with 28 attempts per game. The Saints are 18th in the league for third-down conversion percentage, converting 37.4% of their tries.

Spencer Rattler takes over as quarterback in Week 15, throwing for 135 yards and a touchdown on 10/21 passes. Following a scoreless first half, New Orleans scored 12 points in the fourth quarter against Washington. Marquez Valdes-Scantling led the team with 64 receiving yards, while Kendre Miller gained 46 rushing yards on 9 carries.

Jordan Love has been on a run, with passer ratings of 123 in Week 15, 111 in Week 14, and 129 in Week 13, without throwing an interception. Against the Seahawks, he was 20/27 for 229 yards and two touchdowns. In week 14, he threw for 206 yards and one touchdown, whereas in week 13, he had 274 yards and two touchdowns. Christian Watson led the Packers in receiving in Week 15 with 56 yards on three catches, following a 114-yard performance in Week 14. Josh Jacobs ran for 94 yards and one touchdown on 26 runs in Week 15.

Green Bay is seventh in our offensive power rankings, scoring an average of 27.1 points per game. They are fourth in the NFL in total yards per game (375.4) and running yards per game (144.4), but 11th in passing yards per game (231.1). The Packers rank 15th in the league in 3rd-down conversion rate, at 37.9%.

• Free MoneyLine Saints vs Packers Betting Prediction: GREEN BAY.

Saints vs Packers Betting Prediction: Total

Next, we have the Saints vs Packers Betting prediction on the total.

In their 20-19 loss to the Commanders, the Saints’ defense yielded 8 sacks but fell short. They allowed 137 rushing yards on 35 attempts and 189 passing yards with an 80.6% completion rate. Washington completed 52.9% of its third-down tries and scored two passing touchdowns.

Despite the eight sacks, the Saints’ offense struggled and ultimately lost the game. The Saints defense also had 8 sacks and won the tackles for loss fight by a +4.

The Packers’ defense dominated in their 30-13 victory over the Seahawks, allowing only 128 passing yards and forcing two turnovers. Seattle gained only 80 yards on 16 rushing attempts. Green Bay’s defense also recorded seven sacks and limited the Seahawks to a third-down conversion rate of 30.8%.

The Packers’ pass rush was very successful, leading the QB hit differential by six and collecting numerous tackles for loss. This performance helped them hold Seattle to only 13 points and 208 total yards.

• Free Total Saints vs Packers Betting Prediction: UNDER.

Saints vs Packers Betting Prediction: Spread

Now, we have Saints vs Packers Betting prediction on the spread.

The Saints are ranked 30th in our power rankings entering week 16 and have a 5-9 record, including a 2-4 mark on the road and a 3-5 mark at home. New Orleans sits third in the NFC South with a 2-3 division record and 4-6 in conference play. Our estimates give them a zero percent probability of making the playoffs or winning the division.

The Saints are 6-8 ATS, with an average scoring margin of -0.2. They are 5–5 as underdogs and 1-3 as favorites. Their over/under record is 7-7, with the under hitting in their last three games. Their clashes have averaged 44.4 points per game, while the average line is 43.8.

New Orleans is 1-2 in its final three regular-season games. New Orleans was 1-2 against the spread in these games, finishing with a 0-3 over/under record. The Saints are 1-4 straight up and 1-4 against the spread in their last five games away from home. In these games, the team’s offense scored an average of 16 points.

According to our calculations, the Packers’ 10-4 record gives them a 99.9% probability of making the playoffs. However, their 1-3 division record puts them in third place in the NFC North, with a 0.6% chance of winning the division. Despite this, Green Bay is third in our NFL power rankings heading into Week 16.

Against the spread, the Packers are 7-6-1 this season, with a +6.6 scoring margin. In Week 15, they defeated the Seahawks 30-13, covering the 3-point spread. The aggregate score of 43 points fell shy of the 48-point mark.

The Packers have a 2-1 record over their past three games. Against the spread, the team is 2-1 in these games, while the over/under is 1-2. Green Bay has a 4-1 straight-up record in their last five home games, but they are 2-2-1 against the spread. The team averaged 27 points per game over these matchups.

• Free Spread Saints vs Packers Betting Prediction: NEW ORLEANS.

FREE Saints vs Packers Betting Prediction: Our Picks

• Free MoneyLine Saints vs Packers Betting Prediction: GREEN BAY.
• Free Total Saints vs Packers Betting Prediction: UNDER.
• Free Spread Saints vs Packers Betting Prediction: NEW ORLEANS.

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