Falcons vs Vikings Betting Trends, Odds, Prediction, NFL Week 14
Falcons vs Vikings Betting Trends, Odds, Prediction, NFL Week 14. The game is set for Sunday, December 8th, 2024. Place a bet on this NFL football game now.
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Falcons vs Vikings Betting Odds
Here are the Falcons vs Vikings Betting Odds:
TEAM | SPREAD | MONEYLINE | TOTAL |
---|---|---|---|
FALCONS | +5.5 | +215 | 46 O |
VIKINGS | -5.5 | -255 | 46 U |
Falcons vs Vikings Betting Trends: Head-to-Head
Date | Team | Opp | Close | Result | ATS/OU |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Nov 5, 2023 | Falcons | Vikings | -3.5 / 38.5 | Lost 28-31 | Lost / Over |
Oct 18, 2020 | Falcons | @Vikings | +3.5 / 53.5 | Won 40-23 | Won / Over |
Sep 8, 2019 | Falcons | @Vikings | +3.5 / 47 | Lost 12-28 | Lost / Under |
Dec 3, 2017 | Falcons | Vikings | -2 / 48.5 | Lost 9-14 | Lost / Under |
Nov 29, 2015 | Falcons | Vikings | -2 / 45 | Lost 10-20 | Lost / Under |
Sep 28, 2014 | Falcons | @Vikings | -5 / 47.5 | Lost 28-41 | Lost / Over |
Nov 27, 2011 | Falcons | Vikings | -10 / 44 | Won 24-14 | Push / Under |
Dec 21, 2008 | Falcons | @Vikings | +3.5 / 43.5 | Won 24-17 | Won / Under |
Sep 9, 2007 | Falcons | @Vikings | +3 / 35 | Lost 3-24 | Lost / Under |
Oct 2, 2005 | Falcons | Vikings | -6 / 44.5 | Won 30-10 | Won / Under |
Falcons vs Vikings Betting Trends: Atlanta
These are the Falcons vs Vikings Betting trends for Atlanta:
- In their last six games, Atlanta has a 2-4 ATS record.
- Five of Atlanta’s last six games have seen the total fall UNDER.
- In their previous six games, Atlanta has a 2-4 SU record.
- In their last six meetings with Minnesota, Atlanta has a 1-5 ATS record.
- In their last six meetings with Minnesota, Atlanta has a 1-5 SU record.
- In their previous 20 away games, Atlanta is 5-15 SU.
- In their last 16 away games against Minnesota, Atlanta has a 4-12 SU record.
- In their last six games against a National Football Conference opponent, Atlanta has a 4-2 ATS record.
- In their last seven games against a team in the National Football Conference North division, Atlanta has a 1-6 ATS record.
- Nine of Atlanta’s last eleven December games have seen the total fall UNDER.
Falcons vs Vikings Betting Trends: Atlanta Best Bets
Now on these Falcons vs Vikings Betting trends, we have the best bets for Atlanta:
- In 11 of their last 17 games, the Atlanta Falcons have hit the 2Q Game Total Over (+5.90 Units / 31% ROI).
- In 11 of their last 17 games, the Atlanta Falcons have hit the 4Q Game Total Under (+4.20 Units / 22% ROI).
- In seven of their previous ten away games, the Atlanta Falcons have hit the 1H Game Total Over (+3.65 Units / 32% ROI).
- In 10 of their previous 17 games, the Atlanta Falcons have hit the 3Q Game Total Under (+1.80 Units / 9% ROI).
- In four of their previous eight away games, the Atlanta Falcons have hit the 3Q Moneyline (+1.30 Units / 13% ROI).
Falcons vs Vikings Betting Trends: Best Atlanta Player Prop Bets
Next on these Falcons vs Vikings Betting trends, we have the best player prop bets for Atlanta:
- In 12 of his previous 17 games, Kyle Pitts has hit the Receptions Under (+7.35 Units / 34% ROI).
- In eight of his last nine games, Kirk Cousins has hit the Rushing Yards Under (+6.25 Units / 51% ROI).
- In seven of his last ten games, Kirk Cousins has hit the TD Passes Under (+4.05 Units / 34% ROI).
- In five of his last six away games, Darnell Mooney has hit the Receptions Under (+3.95 Units / 46% ROI).
- In six of his last eight away games, Bijan Robinson has hit the Carries Under (+3.75 Units / 38% ROI).
Falcons vs Vikings Betting Trends: Atlanta Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Now on these Falcons vs Vikings Betting trends, we have the ATS record for Atlanta:
- The Falcons are 5-7 against the spread this NFL season (-2.8 units / -20.9% ROI).
- When wagering on the Moneyline, Falcons are 6-6 for -1.6 Units / -8.79% ROI.
- When betting the Over for -4.8 Units / -36.36% ROI, the Falcons are 4-8.
- When wagering on the Under for +3.6 Units / ROI, the Falcons are 8-4.
Falcons vs Vikings Betting Trends: Atlanta Keys to the Game
Next on these Falcons vs Vikings Betting trends, we have the keys to the game for Atlanta:
- The Falcons are 3-0 against the top 10 offenses this season, which is T-best in the NFL; their league average is.369.
- When forcing one or more turnovers this season, the Falcons are 5-2 (.714), which is ninth-best in the NFL. This season, the Vikings have turned the ball over 19 times, which ranks T-4th in the NFL.
- Since the 2023 season, the Falcons have a 10-5 (.667) record when forcing one or more turnovers, which is the 10th-best record in the NFL. Since the 2023 season, the Vikings have committed 53 turnovers, which is the second-highest number in the NFL.
- Last season, when the other team converts at least 55% of their red zone opportunities into touchdowns, the Falcons were 1-5 (.167) – T-2nd-worst in the NFL; League Average:.440.
Falcons vs Vikings Betting Trends: Atlanta Offense Stats
Now on these Falcons vs Vikings Betting trends, we have the offense stats for Atlanta:
- Last season, the Falcons targeted wide receivers 39% of the time (209 pass attempts/530 plays), which is the lowest percentage in the NFL; the league average is 57%.
- Against a strong rush this season, the Falcons have averaged 0.83 epa per play, which is the best in the NFL; the league average is -0.01.
- Since the 2023 season, the Falcons have had the greatest NFL average of 0.55 epa per play against a strong rush; league average: -0.05.
- When the Falcons’ quarterback scrambles this season, they average -1.18 epa per play, which is the lowest in the NFL; the league average is -0.30.
Falcons vs Vikings Betting Trends: Atlanta Defense Stats
Next on these Falcons vs Vikings Betting trends, we have the defense stats for Atlanta:
- The Falcons defense has the lowest attempts per sack rate in the NFL, averaging a sack every 27.7 pass attempts (416 pass attempts/15 sacks) this season; the league average is 14.0.
- This season, the Falcons defense has sacked opposing quarterbacks on just 4% of pass attempts (15/416), which is the lowest in the NFL; the league average is 7%.
- Since Week 10, the Falcons defense has let up successful plays on 8% of fourth-quarter pass attempts, which is the best in the NFL; the league average is 45%.
- In the fourth quarter this season, the Falcons defense has forced three-and-outs on 31% of opponent possessions, which is the best in the NFL; the league average is 15%.
Falcons vs Vikings Betting Trends: Minnesota
These are the Falcons vs Vikings Betting trends for Minnesota:
- Four of Minnesota’s last five games have seen the total fall UNDER.
- In their previous five games, Minnesota has a 5-0 SU record.
- In seven of Minnesota’s previous ten games versus Atlanta, the total has gone UNDER.
- Five of Minnesota’s last six home games have seen the total fall UNDER.
- In their last 16 home games versus Atlanta, Minnesota has a 12-4 SU record.
- In four of Minnesota’s previous five games against a National Football Conference opponent, the total has gone over.
- In their previous six games against a team in the National Football Conference South division, Minnesota is 5-1 SU.
- In their last eight December games, Minnesota has an 0-6-2 ATS record.
- In their last six home games on Sundays, Minnesota has a 4-2 ATS record.
Falcons vs Vikings Betting Trends: Minnesota Best Bets
Now on these Falcons vs Vikings Betting trends, we have the best bets for Minnesota:
- In 14 of their previous 20 games, the Minnesota Vikings have hit the moneyline (+9.20 units / 32% ROI).
- In 14 of their last 20 games, the Minnesota Vikings have hit the 1Q Game Total Over (+8.45 Units / 36% ROI).
- In 11 of their previous 20 games, the Minnesota Vikings have hit the 1Q Moneyline (+4.84 Units / 19% ROI).
- In 11 of their last 17 games, the Minnesota Vikings have hit the 3Q Game Total Over (+4.70 Units / 24% ROI).
- In 12 of their previous 20 games, the Minnesota Vikings have covered the 1Q Spread (+3.85 Units / 15% ROI).
Falcons vs Vikings Betting Trends: Best Minnesota Player Prop Bets
Next on these Falcons vs Vikings Betting trends, we have the best player prop bets for Minnesota:
- In nine of his previous twelve games, Sam Darnold has hit the TD passes over (+6.45 units / 46% ROI).
- In 12 of his previous 17 games, Aaron Jones has hit the Carriers Over (+6.35 Units / 32% ROI).
- In six of his last seven games, Josh Oliver has hit the receptions over (+5.70 units / 61% ROI).
- In nine of his previous twelve games, Sam Darnold has hit the Completions Under (+5.60 Units / 39% ROI).
- In his last five games, Jalen Nailor has hit the Receptions Under (+5.20 Units / 68% ROI).
Falcons vs Vikings Betting Trends: Minnesota Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Now on these Falcons vs Vikings Betting trends, we have the ATS record for Minnesota:
- This NFL season, the Vikings are 7-4 (+2.6 Units / 19.7% ROI) against the spread.
- When wagering on the Moneyline, Vikings are 10-2 for +8.35 Units / 41.75% ROI.
- When betting the Over for -4.8 Units / -36.36% ROI, the Vikings are 4-8.
- When betting the Under for +3.6 Units, the Vikings are 8-4 with a 27.27% return on investment.
Falcons vs Vikings Betting Trends: Minnesota Keys to the Game
Next on these Falcons vs Vikings Betting trends, we have the keys to the game for Minnesota:
- Since the 2023 season, the Vikings have an 8-4 (.667) record when they give up fewer than three sacks, which is T-10th best in the NFL. During that period, the Falcons have only averaged 2.0 sacks per game, which is the second-worst in the NFL.
- Last season, the Vikings went 1-8 (.111) when they failed to intercept any passes, which is third-worst in the NFL; the league average is.348.
- As far as sacking the quarterback fewer than three times this season, the Vikings are 2-1 (.667), which is T-4th-best in the NFL; the league average is.366.
- This season, the Vikings are 5-0 when they give up fewer than five explosive passes, which is T-best in the NFL; their league average is.584.
Falcons vs Vikings Betting Trends: Minnesota Offense Stats
Now on these Falcons vs Vikings Betting trends, we have the offense stats for Minnesota:
- Since the 2023 season, the Vikings have executed successful plays on 30% of rush attempts in the red zone, which is the lowest in the NFL; the league average is 45%.
- In the first quarter of current season, the Vikings have gone three and out on 7% of their drives, which is the best in the NFL; the league average is 24%.
- In Week 13, the Vikings’ third-down conversion rate of 12% was the lowest in the NFL; the league average was 38%.
- Since the 2023 season, the Vikings have run successful plays on 34% of rush attempts on motion plays, which is the T-worst in the NFL; the league average is 42%.
Falcons vs Vikings Betting Trends: Minnesota Defense Stats
Next on these Falcons vs Vikings Betting trends, we have the defense stats for Minnesota:
- With a league average of 43%, the Vikings defense has given up successful plays on 33% of rush attempts this season, which is the best in the NFL.
- Last season, the Vikings’ defense gave up successful plays on 29% of base rush attempts, which is the highest in the NFL; the league average is 57%.
- Since the 2023 season, the Vikings defense has given up successful plays on 37% of rush attempts using a base rush, which is the highest percentage in the NFL; the league average is 54%.
- This season, the Vikings defense has dominated in the red zone on 30% of plays, which is the highest in the NFL; the league average is 12%.
Falcons vs Vikings Betting Prediction
Now, we have the Falcons vs Vikings Betting prediction for both teams.
Falcons vs Vikings Betting Prediction: Atlanta
This is the Falcons vs Vikings Betting prediction for Atlanta.
Bijan Robinson has a team-high 885 rushing yards and 7 touchdowns, while Kirk Cousins has thrown for 3,052 yards, 17 touchdowns, and 13 interceptions on 67.4% passing for the Atlanta Falcons. Tyler Allgeier has accumulated 445 rushing yards, Drake London has a team-high 70 receptions for 796 yards and 6 touchdowns, and Darnell Mooney has 51 captures for 731 yards and 5 scores. Kyle Pitts has 494 receiving yards and three touchdowns on the year, while Ray-Ray McCloud III has 476 receiving yards and Bijan Robinson has 392 receiving yards. The Falcons’ defense has combined for 15 sacks and 7 interceptions on the year, with Kaden Elliss leading the team with 103 total tackles, including 60 solo tackles.
Falcons vs Vikings Betting: Atlanta Injury Report
Pos | Player | Status |
---|---|---|
S | Micah Abernathy (Knee) | Out |
DL | James Smith-Williams (Tibia) | Out |
WR | Darnell Mooney (Achilles) | Probable |
DB | Harrison Hand (Knee) | Out |
WR | Rondale Moore (Knee) | Out |
DL | Ta’Quon Graham (Pectoral) | Out |
RB | Jase McClellan (Knee) | Questionable |
DL | Zach Harrison (Achilles) | Questionable |
ILB | Troy Andersen (Knee) | Probable |
ILB | Nate Landman (Hamstring) | Questionable |
S | DeMarcco Hellams (Ankle) | Out |
OLB | Bralen Trice (Knee) | Out |
DT | Ruke Orhorhoro (Ankle) | Questionable |
Falcons vs Vikings Betting Prediction: Minnesota
This is the Falcons vs Vikings Betting prediction for Minnesota.
Aaron Jones has rushed for 820 yards and 3 touchdowns, while Sam Darnold has thrown for 2,952 yards, 23 touchdowns, and 10 interceptions on 67.6% passing for the Minnesota Vikings. Jordan Addison has 575 receiving yards with 4 touchdowns, while Justin Jefferson leads the Vikings’ receiving group with 68 receptions for 1,038 receiving yards and 5 touchdowns. Additionally, four other Vikings have 200+ receiving yards on the year. Harrison Smith and Josh Metellus each have a team-high 71 total tackles on defense, while Andrew Van Ginkel has 9 sacks. Jonathan Greenard has accumulated 10 sacks, Pat Jones II has 7 sacks, Byron Murphy Jr. has 5 interceptions, and Camryn Bynum has 3 interceptions. Minnesota’s defense has collectively recorded 39 pressures and 18 interceptions this year.
Falcons vs Vikings Betting: Minnesota Injury Report
Pos | Player | Status |
---|---|---|
CB | Stephon Gilmore (Hamstring) | Questionable |
LS | Andrew DePaola (Hand) | Questionable |
DL | Jonathan Bullard (Toe) | Probable |
G | Dalton Risner (Back) | Questionable |
OLB | Andrew Van Ginkel (Thigh) | Questionable |
LB | Blake Cashman (Knee) | Probable |
LB | Jordan Kunaszyk (Undisclosed) | Out |
OT | Christian Darrisaw (Knee) | Out |
OLB | Pat Jones II (Knee) | Questionable |
S | Jay Ward (Elbow) | Questionable |
LB | Ivan Pace Jr. (Hamstring) | Out |
CB | Mekhi Blackmon (Knee) | Out |
CB | NaJee Thompson (Knee) | Out |
QB | J.J. McCarthy (Knee) | Out |
K | Will Reichard (Thigh) | Questionable |
OL | Jeremy Flax (Undisclosed) | Out |
DL | Taki Taimani (Ankle) | Out |
Falcons vs Vikings Betting Picks
Next, we have the Falcons vs Vikings Betting picks for this game.
Falcons vs Vikings Betting Prediction: MoneyLine
Thirteenth in our offensive power rankings, the Falcons are entering week fourteen. They rank 18th in the NFL in terms of points per game (21.4) and 8th in terms of yards per game (360.6). With 33.8 attempts per game, Atlanta is 12th in the league, ranking 4th in passing yards per game (242.8). They rank 14th in both attempts and yards, averaging 117.8 rushing yards per game on the ground. The Falcons rank 23rd in 3rd down conversions, with a 35.9% success rate. However, they are 9th in red zone conversions, scoring on 38.9% of their visits.
Kirk Cousins threw for 245 yards in week 13, but he also had four interceptions in the Chargers’ loss. Bijan Robinson amassed 102 yards and a touchdown on 26 carries, while Ray-Ray McCloud III dominated the receiving corps with 4 receptions for 95 yards. Atlanta tallied seven points in the first quarter and six in the third, but they were unable to score in the second and fourth quarters. Despite converting only three of fourteen third-down attempts, the Falcons were unsuccessful in the red zone, going one for four.
Our offensive power rankings place the Vikings at 11th place as they enter week 14. They rank 8th in the NFL in terms of scoring, averaging 24.8 points per game, and 13th in terms of total offense, averaging 344.6 yards per game. In week 13, Sam Darnold threw for 235 yards and two touchdowns, following a 330-yard performance in week 12. Minnesota has heavily relied on their passing offense. The Vikings are 20th in pass attempts and 10th in passing yards per game, with an average of 231.6 yards.
Minnesota is 17th in the nation in terms of rushing, with an average of 113 yards per game. Aaron Jones gained 106 yards on the ground in week 12, but the Vikings were only able to accumulate 68 rushing yards on 15 attempts in week 13. Minnesota is 14th in the nation for 3rd down conversions, with a 38.7% success rate. However, in week 13, they encountered difficulties, converting only one of eighth attempts.
- Free MoneyLine Falcons vs Vikings Betting Pick: MINNESOTA.
Falcons vs Vikings Betting Prediction: Total
The Falcons’ most recent game resulted in a 17-13 loss to the Chargers, despite their stellar defensive performance. On 70.8% completions, Atlanta’s defense limited the Chargers to 187 total yards and only 131 passing yards. They effectively defended the run, allowing only 56 yards on 17 attempts.
Furthermore, Atlanta’s defense secured five tackles and limited the Chargers to a 27.3% conversion rate on third down. Nevertheless, the Falcons were unable to accumulate an adequate number of defensive stops in the final minutes of the game to secure a victory.
In their 23-22 victory over the Cardinals, the Vikings’ defense allowed 406 yards, including 154 rushing yards on 31 attempts. The Cardinals completed 68.9% of their passes for 252 yards, while Minnesota allowed a passing yards per attempt of 5.6. However, the Vikings’ defense was able to secure two interceptions and limit Arizona to a 38.5% conversion rate on third downs, despite this.
In the tackles for loss competition, Minnesota’s defense was unable to secure a single rush during the game and suffered a -1 loss. In their forthcoming match, the Vikings will strive to improve their overall yardage metrics and strengthen their defense against the run.
- Free Total Falcons vs Vikings Betting Pick: OVER.
Falcons vs Vikings Betting Prediction: Spread
Atlanta’s objective for week 14 is to conclude a three-game losing streak, which includes a 17-13 home loss to the Chargers in week 13. This led to the Falcons’ lowering to 6-6; however, their 4-1 division record has allowed them to preserve their status as the NFC South’s leaders. Right now, they are fourth in the NFC standings and have a 6-2 record in conference play. Our projections indicate that Atlanta has a 52.5% probability of qualifying for the postseason and a 49.2% probability of winning the division.
While the Falcons are currently 5-7 against the spread, they have suffered three consecutive losses against the spread this season. Despite being 0.5-point underdogs against the Chargers, they were unable to cover the spread. That game’s under was Atlanta’s fourth consecutive under. Their over/under record for this season is 4-8.
With a record of 0-3, the Falcons have been unable to secure victories in their most recent three regular season games. Their over-under record was also 0-3, and their ATS record was a mere 0-3. In their most recent five road games, Atlanta has maintained a 3-2 record. They scored an average of 22 points per game and conceded an average of 25 points during this period. Furthermore, the team secured a 3-2 record against the spread.
The Vikings have now won five consecutive games, increasing their record to 10-2, following a narrow 23-22 victory over the Cardinals in week 13. Minnesota was 3.5 points clear at home, but they were unable to cover the spread. The 45 combined points were just a few points short of the 45.5-point line. Before this, they achieved victories against the Jaguars, Titans, and Bears while traveling. They achieved a 21-13 victory over the Colts in week 9, following their losses to the Rams and Lions.
Our projections indicate that the Vikings have a 99.8% probability of qualifying for the playoffs and a 10% probability of winning the NFC North. These individuals currently hold the seventh position in our NFL power rankings and have a 7-4-1 record against the spread this Season. Their over/under record is 4-8, with an average of 43 points per game and an average line of 44.4.
Minnesota’s most recent three games have resulted in a 2-1 record. This includes an over-under of 1-2 and a 1-2 record against the spread. When considering their most recent five home matches, Minnesota has an ATS record of 2-2-1 and an average of 23 points per game. These contests yielded an aggregate record of 4-1 for the team.
- Free Spread Falcons vs Vikings Betting Pick: ATLANTA.
FREE Falcons vs Vikings Betting Picks
- Free MoneyLine Falcons vs Vikings Betting Pick: MINNESOTA.
- Free Total Falcons vs Vikings Betting Pick: OVER.
- Free Spread Falcons vs Vikings Betting Pick: ATLANTA.
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