Chiefs vs Bills Betting Trends, Odds, Prediction, NFL Week 11
Chiefs vs Bills Betting Trends, Odds, Prediction, NFL Week 11. The game is set for Sunday, November 17th, 2024. Place a bet on this NFL football game now.
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Chiefs vs Bills Betting Odds
Here are the Chiefs vs Bills Betting Odds:
| TEAM | SPREAD | MONEYLINE | TOTAL |
|---|---|---|---|
| CHIEFS | +2.5 | +115 | 46.5 O |
| BILLS | -2.5 | -135 | 46.5 U |
Chiefs vs Bills Betting Trends
Here are the Chiefs vs Bills Betting trends for both teams, but first, we have the head-to-head for both teams:
Chiefs vs Bills Betting: Head-to-Head
| Date | Team | Opp | Close | Result | ATS/OU |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 21, 2024 | Bills | Chiefs | -2.5 / 46 | Lost 24-27 | Lost / Over |
| Dec 10, 2023 | Bills | @Chiefs | +1.5 / 49.5 | Won 20-17 | Won / Under |
| Oct 16, 2022 | Bills | @Chiefs | -2.5 / 54.5 | Won 24-20 | Won / Under |
| Jan 23, 2022 | Bills | @Chiefs | +2 / 54 | Lost 36-42 | Lost / Over |
| Oct 10, 2021 | Bills | @Chiefs | +2.5 / 56.5 | Won 38-20 | Won / Over |
| Jan 24, 2021 | Bills | @Chiefs | +3 / 55 | Lost 24-38 | Lost / Over |
| Oct 19, 2020 | Bills | Chiefs | +5.5 / 54.5 | Lost 17-26 | Lost / Under |
| Nov 26, 2017 | Bills | @Chiefs | +8 / 47 | Won 16-10 | Won / Under |
| Nov 29, 2015 | Bills | @Chiefs | +4 / 41 | Lost 22-30 | Lost / Over |
| Nov 9, 2014 | Bills | Chiefs | -2 / 42 | Lost 13-17 | Lost / Under |
Chiefs vs Bills Betting Trends: Kansas City
These are the Chiefs vs Bills Betting trends for Kansas City:
- In their last 15 games, Kansas City is 10-4-1 ATS.
- Five of Kansas City’s previous seven games have been under.
- Last 10 games, Kansas City is 10-0 SU.
- Kansas City is 8-0 SU in their last 8 road games.
- Kansas City is 4-1 SU in their last 5 away games vs Buffalo.
- Twelve of Kansas City’s previous 18 games versus AFC opponents have been under.
- Kansas City has hit the under in 10 of its previous 14 November games.
- Kansas City is 5-1-1 ATS in their last 7 road Sunday games.
Chiefs vs Bills Betting Trends: Buffalo
These are the Chiefs vs Bills Betting trends for Buffalo:
- In their previous five games, Buffalo is 4-1 ATS.
- OVER in 4 of Buffalo’s previous 5 games.
- Buffalo has gone 5-0 SU in 5 games.
- Four of Buffalo’s last six Kansas City games have gone over.
- Seven of Buffalo’s previous seven home games have gone OVER.
- Buffalo is 1-4 ATS in their last 5 home games versus Kansas City.
- Buffalo is 12-3 SU in 15 games against AFC opponents.
- Seven of Buffalo’s last 10 games against AFC West opponents have gone over.
- Buffalo is 2-5 ATS in their last 7 November games.
- Buffalo is 4-2 SU in their previous 6 week 11 games.
Chiefs vs Bills Betting Prediction
Now, we have the Chiefs vs Bills Betting prediction for both teams.
Chiefs vs Bills Betting Prediction: Kansas City
This is the Chiefs vs Bills Betting prediction for Kansas City.
The Kansas City Chiefs lead the AFC West with a 9-0 record, and according to our estimates, they have a 97.1% chance of winning the division and a 100% chance of qualifying for the playoffs. Currently ranked fourth in our NFL power rankings, Kansas City will play the Bills on the road in week 11. This season, the Chiefs are 4-0 away from home, including a 10-point victory over the 49ers in week seven. They defeated the Raiders, Bucs, and Broncos at home after that, but they were unable to cover the spread in any of those three games.
KC is 4-4-1 against the spread and has an average scoring margin of +6.4 points per game. With an average of 42.2 points per game compared to an average line of 44.8, they have an O/U record of 4-5. Together, the Chiefs and Broncos scored 30 points in week 10, which was less than the 42.5-point threshold.
In week 10, Patrick Mahomes had a passer rating of 91 after throwing for 266 yards on 28 of 42 passes, one touchdown, and no interceptions. He received four sacks against the Broncos, which is the same number as he received in week nine. Kareem Hunt rushed for 35 yards on 14 carries and led the team in receiving with 65 yards on 7 catches. With 90 yards in week eight and 100 yards in week nine, Travis Kelce had topped the receiving statistics in both weeks.
With an average of 24.3 points per game, the Chiefs are ninth in the NFL and tenth in our offensive power rankings. With a 52% success rate in third-down conversions, they are the league leader, but they have had trouble in the red zone, finishing 25th with a 20% conversion percentage. In terms of first-quarter scoring, Kansas City ranks 24th in the NFL.
The Chiefs’ defense gave up 182 passing yards in their 16–14 victory over the Broncos, while Denver completed 73.3% of their throws. The Broncos converted 53.8% of their third down tries because the Chiefs struggled on third downs and gave up two throwing touchdowns. But on just 23 attempts, the Chiefs held the Broncos to 78 rushing yards.
The Kansas City defense restricted the Broncos to 260 total yards during the game and registered two sacks. The Chiefs finished with a +1 differential over Denver, and they also prevailed in the tackles for loss contest.
Chiefs vs Bills Betting: Kansas City Injury List
| Pos | Player | Status |
|---|---|---|
| WR | JuJu Smith-Schuster (Hamstring) | Questionable |
| DE | Charles Omenihu (Knee) | Out |
| WR | Marquise Brown (Shoulder) | Out |
| TE | Jody Fortson (Knee) | Out |
| WR | Skyy Moore (Core Muscle) | Out |
| RB | Isiah Pacheco (Ankle) | Questionable |
| CB | Jaylen Watson (Ankle) | Out |
| WR | Rashee Rice (Knee) | Out |
| OT | Wanya Morris (Knee) | Questionable |
| DE | BJ Thompson (Chest) | Out |
| TE | Jared Wiley (Knee) | Out |
| TE | Baylor Cupp (Undisclosed) | Out |
| G | McKade Mettauer (Knee) | Out |
Chiefs vs Bills Betting Prediction: Buffalo
This is the Chiefs vs Bills Betting prediction for Buffalo.
In week 10, the Buffalo Bills defeated the Colts 30–20, extending their winning streak to five games and improving their record to 8–2. Buffalo currently sits second in the conference and first in the AFC East. The Bills have a 99.9% probability of winning their division and qualifying for the playoffs, according to our calculations. They enter week 11 in third place in our NFL power rankings.
Buffalo is 6-4 against the spread this season and has an average scoring margin of +9.7 points per game. When they defeated the Dolphins 30-27 in week 9, they were unable to cover the 6-point line, but they did cover the 4.5-point spread against the Colts. The Bills’ O/U record this season is 6-4, and the over hit in both of those games.
In week 10, Josh Allen completed 22 of 37 passes for 280 yards, but he failed to find the end zone and had two interceptions. Mack Hollins had 86 receiving yards on 4 catches, while James Cook led the running game with 80 yards and a touchdown on 19 attempts. Against the Colts, the Bills scored 10 points in the first, second, and fourth quarters but were shut out in the third.
With an average of 29 points per game, Buffalo is third in the NFL and third in our offensive power rankings. They rank 15th in terms of running (120.7 yards per game) and 13th in terms of passing yards per game (222.5). With a 39.7% success percentage, the Bills rank 13th in the league in third-down conversions.
The Buffalo Bills’ defense gave up 121 rushing yards on just 22 attempts during their 30–20 victory over the Colts. They were successful against the pass, recording three interceptions and four sacks, although losing some ground. Buffalo’s defense held the Colts to 36.4% on third down and forced them into a 74.3% completion percentage.
Throughout the game, the Bills gave up two passing touchdowns and 240 passing yards. Even though the Colts had some success getting the ball through the air, their secondary was still able to make major plays. Buffalo won the quarterback hit fight by a margin of +1 and had four tackles for loss as well.
Chiefs vs Bills Betting: Buffalo Injury List
| Pos | Player | Status |
|---|---|---|
| WR | Amari Cooper (Wrist) | Questionable |
| DE | Dawuane Smoot (Wrist) | Out |
| LB | Matt Milano (Bicep) | Questionable |
| QB | Shane Buechele (Neck) | Out |
| FB | Reggie Gilliam (Hip) | Questionable |
| OT | Tommy Doyle (Undisclosed) | Out |
| LB | Baylon Spector (Calf) | Out |
| TE | Dalton Kincaid (Knee) | Questionable |
| WR | Keon Coleman (Wrist) | Out |
| DT | DeWayne Carter (Wrist) | Out |
| OT | Tylan Grable (Groin) | Out |
| OT | Travis Clayton (Shoulder) | Out |
Chiefs vs Bills Betting Picks
Next, we have the Chiefs vs Bills Betting picks for this game.
Chiefs vs Bills Betting Pick: MoneyLine
First, we have the Chiefs vs Bills Betting pick on the moneyline.
In week 10, Patrick Mahomes completed 28 of 42 passes for 266 yards, one touchdown, and no interceptions. Against the Broncos, he recorded a passer rating of 91 after his 3-touchdown, 291-yard effort in week 9. With seven catches for 65 yards and 14 carries for 35 yards, Kareem Hunt led the club in receiving in week 10. In week nine, Travis Kelce had 14 receptions for 100 yards.
In terms of offensive power, the Chiefs rank 10th in the NFL hierarchy. They are ninth in both passing yards per game (231.6) and points per game (24.3 on average). Although they rank 25th in the league in terms of red zone conversion rate, Kansas City leads the league in third down conversion percentage.
With an average of 29 points per game, the Bills are third in the NFL and in third place in our offensive power rankings going into week 11. Despite ranking 23rd in throw attempts, they rank 13th in passing yards per game (22.5) and 14th in yards per game (342.2). With 27.6 rushing attempts per game, Buffalo ranks 15th in terms of rushing yards per game (120.7). The Bills are 30th in the NFL in terms of red zone conversion percentage and 13th in terms of third-down conversion percentage (39.7%).
Josh Allen was 22/37 and threw for 280 yards in week 10, but he had two interceptions and failed to throw a score. Mack Hollins led the club with 86 receiving yards on 4 catches, while James Cook had 80 rushing yards and a touchdown on 19 carries. Prior to Hollins, Khalil Shakir had 107 receiving yards in week eight and Ray Davis had 70 in week nine. Due to a wrist injury, wide receiver Keon Coleman (417 yards, 3 TDs) will miss week 11 for the Bills.
- Free MoneyLine Chiefs vs Bills Betting Pick: KANSAS CITY.
Chiefs vs Bills Betting Pick: Total
Next, we have the Chiefs vs Bills Betting pick on the total.
The Chiefs defeated the Broncos 16–14, and their defense performed admirably despite giving up two passing touchdowns. Kansas City held Denver to 78 rushing yards on 23 tries, while Denver finished with 182 passing yards on 22 completions. The Chiefs defense only allowed two sacks during the game and restricted the Broncos to 260 total yards.
The Broncos converted on 53.8% of their third down tries, which is a drawback for the Chiefs. They did, however, win the tackles for loss contest and prevent the Broncos from entering the end zone for most of the game.
The Bills defeated the Colts 30–20 despite giving up 240 passing yards on 26 completions in the secondary and recording three interceptions. The Colts only managed a 36.4% conversion rate on third down thanks to Buffalo’s defense. The Bills defense forced four sacks and recorded 11 tackles for loss despite giving up 121 rushing yards on just 22 attempts.
In addition to forcing the Colts to a 74.3% completion rate, Buffalo’s defense allowed two throwing touchdowns. With a positive total for both quarterback hits and tackles for loss at the end of the game, the Bills defense was able to apply pressure all game long.
- Free Total Chiefs vs Bills Betting Pick: UNDER.
Chiefs vs Bills Betting Pick: Spread
And now, we have the Chiefs vs Bills Betting pick on the spread.
In week 10, the Chiefs barely defeated the Broncos 16–14, maintaining their flawless 9–0 record. Kansas City is at the top of the league rankings and the AFC West. They have a 97.1% chance of winning the division and a 100% chance of qualifying for the playoffs, according to our calculations. They are in fourth place in our NFL power rankings going into week eleven.
The Chiefs have an average scoring margin of +6.4 points per game this season, and they are 4-4-1 against the spread. In three consecutive games, including their victory over Denver in week 10 as 7-point favorites, they have failed to cover the spread. With games averaging 42.2 points versus an average line of 44.8, their O/U record is 4-5.
The Chiefs have a 3-0 record in their last three games. But over this time, they have only lost 0–3 against the spread. In these three games, their over-under record was 2-1. In their last five away games, Kansas City has performed admirably, winning all five. They averaged 22 points per game during this time, giving up only 15. At 3-1-1, the team did well against the spread as well.
In week 10, the Bills defeated the Colts 30–20, extending their winning streak to five games and improving their record to 8–2. Buffalo presently has the top spot in the AFC East and the second-place ranking in the conference. They have a 99.9% chance of winning the division and qualifying for the playoffs, according to our calculations. According to our NFL power rankings, the Bills are in third place going into week 11.
This season, Buffalo has a 6-2 record as the favorite and a 6-4 record against the spread. They score +9.7 points on average every game. In the Bills’ last two games, including week 10 when they and the Colts combined for 50 points, exceeding the 47-point threshold, the over has struck.
In their last three games, the Bills had a 3-0 record. They have a 3-0 over-under record and a 2-1 record against the spread in these games. The Bills have a 3-2 straight-up record and a 3-2 ATS record in their most recent home games.
- Free Spread Chiefs vs Bills Betting Pick: KANSAS CITY.
FREE Chiefs vs Bills Betting Picks
- Free MoneyLine Chiefs vs Bills Betting Pick: KANSAS CITY.
- Free Total Chiefs vs Bills Betting Pick: UNDER.
- Free Spread Chiefs vs Bills Betting Pick: KANSAS CITY.
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Chiefs vs Bills Betting Trends, Odds, Prediction, NFL Week 11.