Texans vs Jets Betting Trends, Odds, Prediction, NFL Week 9
Texans vs Jets Betting Trends, Odds, Prediction, NFL Week 9. The game is set for Thursday, October 31st, 2024. Place a bet on this NFL football game now.
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Texans vs Jets Betting Odds
Here are the Texans vs Jets Betting Odds:
TEAM | SPREAD | MONEYLINE | TOTAL |
---|---|---|---|
TEXANS | +2 | +110 | 42 O |
JETS | -2 | -130 | 42 U |
Texans vs Jets Betting Trends
Here are the Texans vs Jets Betting trends for both teams.
Texans vs Jets Betting Trends: Houston
These are the Texans vs Jets Betting trends for Houston:
- Six of Houston’s last seven games have seen the total go UNDER.
- Houston is 4-1 SU in its past 5 games.
- Houston is 2-7-1 ATS in its last ten games against the New York Jets.
- Houston is 3-7 SU in their last ten games against the NY Jets.
- Houston is 1-4-1 ATS in its last six away games versus the New York Jets.
- Houston is 5-0 SU in their previous five games against opponents from the American Football Conference.
- Houston is 2-6 SU in their previous eight games versus opponents from the American Football Conference East division.
- The total has gone UNDER in eight of Houston’s last nine October games.
- Houston is 3-6 ATS in their past nine games played in Week 9.
Texans vs Jets Betting Trends: New York
These are the Texans vs Jets Betting trends for New York:
- The New York Jets are 0-5 ATS in their last five games.
- The NY Jets are 0-5 SU in their previous five games.
- The total has gone over in four of the New York Jets’ last six games against Houston.
- The NY Jets are 2-6 ATS in their last eight home games.
- The NY Jets are 4-1-1 ATS in their last 6 home games vs Houston.
- The New York Jets are 1-4 SU in their last five games against opponents from the American Football Conference.
- The New York Jets are 4-1 SU in their last five games against opponents from the American Football Conference South division.
- The total has gone OVER in 13 of the NY Jets’ last 19 games in Week 9.
- The total has gone over in six of the New York Jets’ last nine Thursday games.
Texans vs Jets Betting Prediction
Now, we have the Texans vs Jets Betting prediction for both teams.
In Week 9, the Houston Texans (6-2) will face the New York Jets (2-6) on Thursday Night Football. The game will begin at 8:15 p.m. ET on Prime Video. We analyze the Texans vs. Jets NFL odds from BetMGM Sportsbook before making our expert choices and predictions later this week.
The Texans weren’t pretty, but they won 23-20 at home against the Indianapolis Colts in Week 8, despite failing to cover as 4.5-point favorites. That ended a 3-0 against the spread (ATS) streak. The Under (45) won, and it is currently 6-1 in the last seven games.
The Jets suffered a crushing defeat at the hands of the New England Patriots, 25-22, and have now lost five straight games. New York has also failed to cover the last five games, while the Over has a 3-0 record.
Texans vs Jets Betting: Head-to-Head
Now in this Texans vs Jets Betting prediction, we have the head-to-head stats:
Date | Team | Opp | Close | Result | ATS/OU |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Dec 10, 2023 | Jets | Texans | +3 / 33.5 | Won 30-6 | Won / Over |
Nov 28, 2021 | Jets | @Texans | +2.5 / 44.5 | Won 21-14 | Won / Under |
Dec 15, 2018 | Jets | Texans | +7 / 44.5 | Lost 22-29 | Push / Over |
Nov 22, 2015 | Jets | @Texans | -4 / 40 | Lost 17-24 | Lost / Over |
Oct 8, 2012 | Jets | Texans | +9.5 / 40.5 | Lost 17-23 | Won / Under |
Nov 21, 2010 | Jets | Texans | -6.5 / 46 | Won 30-27 | Lost / Over |
Sep 13, 2009 | Jets | @Texans | +4 / 43.5 | Won 24-7 | Won / Under |
Nov 26, 2006 | Jets | Texans | -5 / 40 | Won 26-11 | Won / Under |
Dec 5, 2004 | Jets | Texans | -7 / 40 | Won 29-7 | Won / Under |
Oct 19, 2003 | Jets | @Texans | -3 / 37.5 | Won 19-14 | Won / Under |
Texans vs Jets Betting Prediction: Houston
This is the Texans vs Jets Betting prediction for Houston.
I cited the Texans’ receiver injuries and New York’s strong secondary. Given this, we could see Houston rely heavily on its rushing assault.
The Texans have struggled to run the ball this season, ranking 30th in EPA per handoff, but the Jets are also not terrific at defending the run. New York has allowed more than 100 yards on the ground in three consecutive games and ranks in the bottom ten in terms of EPA allowed per carry and opponent success rate per handoff during that time.
New York’s offense is a work in progress. Despite the presence of Davante Adams, Rodgers’ passing game remains uninspiring. On Sunday, the Jets’ veteran gunslinger finished with 233 yards and less than 61% completion rate, but he did connect for two passing touchdowns.
Houston’s defense keeps the club competitive most weeks, as it has limited four of its previous four opponents to 21 points or less. The Texans are among the elite in terms of advanced defensive measures, including first in opponent success rate per play.
They’ve held opponents to the third-fewest first downs and a 25% conversion rate on third downs over the last three games, but they appear to falter inside the red zone. Houston has also been softer against the run, so New York may opt on the ground game as well.
Short gains with the time ticking are how you get Unders. The Texans are 2-6 Over/Under entering Week 9, while the Jets have kept below the total in two of their three home games, with that lone Over a 43-point finish vs a 42-point final score.
Texans vs Jets Betting: Why Houston Could Win or Cover
Next in this Texans vs Jets Betting prediction, let’s see why Houston could win or cover the spread.
Which defense will win this game? The Texans are second in the league with 280.2 yards allowed per game and third with 164.2 passing yards allowed. The Jets have lost five straight games, while Aaron Rodgers has an average passing yardage of 254.4 and a touchdown-to-interception ratio of nearly 1:1. Rodgers hasn’t faced very strong opponents in those games, but he has faced a top-ten defense twice. The Jets scored nine and fifteen points in those games.
Texans vs Jets Betting: Houston Injury List
Pos | Player | Status |
---|---|---|
DE | Jerry Hughes (Hip) | Out |
QB | Case Keenum (Foot) | Out |
S | Jimmie Ward (Groin) | Questionable |
DT | Mario Edwards Jr. (Suspension) | Out |
WR | Stefon Diggs (Knee) | Questionable |
LB | Azeez Al-Shaair (Knee) | Questionable |
WR | Nico Collins (Hamstring) | Out |
TE | Dalton Keene (Knee) | Out |
CB | Jeff Okudah (Hip) | Out |
TE | Brevin Jordan (Knee) | Out |
RB | Dameon Pierce (Groin) | Questionable |
LB | Christian Harris (Calf) | Out |
LB | Henry To’oto’o (Concussion) | Probable |
OL | Jarrett Patterson (Concussion) | Questionable |
S | Brandon Hill (Knee) | Out |
OT | Jaylon Thomas (Undisclosed) | Out |
S | Calen Bullock (Shoulder) | Questionable |
CB | Kamari Lassiter (Shoulder) | Probable |
G | LaDarius Henderson (Foot) | Out |
RB | British Brooks (Knee) | Out |
Texans vs Jets Betting Prediction: New York
This is the Texans vs Jets Betting prediction for New York.
Despite a disappointing loss in New England on Sunday, the New York Jets remain a slight home favorite against the Houston Texans on Thursday Night Football.
However, after starting as 1-point favorites, the Jets’ line has shifted to Houston -1 on Monday morning.
The Texans are clearly playing better football, coming off a close victory against Indianapolis, giving them four wins in their last five games.
The media’s focus on Aaron Rodgers and his team has led to a shift in public sentiment against Houston, resulting in a spike in the spread.
However, the scheduling works against Houston on Thursday, as this is the team’s third travel game in a four-game, 18-day span. MetLife Stadium is also not fondly remembered by the Texans. In a soggy Week 14 last December, they faced the Jets in East Rutherford and lost 30-6. Additionally, star quarterback C.J. Stroud suffered a concussion.
Stroud is healthy going into this Week 9 rematch, but his receiving corps is not. Houston was already missing top wide receiver Nico Collins and could now be without veteran Stefon Diggs, who departed the game over Indianapolis with a knee injury.
The Texans’ passing offense has become extremely limited in recent weeks, with average yards per completion plummeting from 7.5 to 6.3 over the last three games. Houston ranks 22nd in EPA per dropback during that time period, and despite the Jets’ poor stop unit, it is among the strongest pass defenses, ranking second in success rate allowed per dropback.
Personally, I’m not eager to give Gang Green my money. But the situation favors New York, so I’ll back them as a moneyline underdog at -105 on the outright odds.
Texans vs Jets Betting: Why New York Could Win or Cover
Now in our Texans vs Jets Betting prediction, let’s see why New York could win or cover the point spread.
If the Jets win this game, it will be because of their defense. It’s hard to believe New York has only two wins this season while having a top-five defense. The Jets are fourth in the league in yards allowed per game, at 286.8. The Texans’ offense is also strong, as they rank second in the league with 161.1 passing yards allowed per game. It will be a defensive struggle, with the Jets’ fourth-ranked defense facing the Texans’ second-ranked defense.
Texans vs Jets Betting: New York Injury List
Pos | Player | Status |
---|---|---|
QB | Aaron Rodgers (Knee) | Questionable |
LB | C.J. Mosley (Neck) | Questionable |
OL | Morgan Moses (Knee) | Questionable |
OL | Wes Schweitzer (Hand) | Out |
LB | Haason Reddick (Neck) | Questionable |
S | Chuck Clark (Ankle) | Out |
WR | Allen Lazard (Chest) | Questionable |
DL | Quinnen Williams (Ankle) | Questionable |
WR | Malik Taylor (Undisclosed) | Out |
S | Ashtyn Davis (Head) | Questionable |
OL | Jake Hanson (Thumb) | Questionable |
DT | Leki Fotu (Knee) | Questionable |
TE | Kenny Yeboah (Groin) | Questionable |
CB | Michael Carter II (Back) | Questionable |
G | Alijah Vera-Tucker (Ankle) | Questionable |
LB | Chazz Surratt (Heel) | Questionable |
LB | Jamien Sherwood (Shoulder) | Probable |
LB | Jermaine Johnson (Achilles) | Out |
S | Tony Adams (Hamstring) | Questionable |
OL | Xavier Newman-Johnson (Neck) | Out |
DE | Will McDonald IV (Shoulder) | Questionable |
LB | Zaire Barnes (Ankle) | Out |
QB | Jordan Travis (Undisclosed) | Out |
LB | Jimmy Ciarlo (Knee) | Out |
WR | Marcus Riley (Undisclosed) | Out |
Texans vs Jets Betting Picks
Next, we have the Texans vs Jets Betting picks for this game.
Texans vs Jets Betting Pick: MoneyLine
First, we have the Texans vs Jets Betting pick on the moneyline.
The Texans are ranked 17th in our offensive power rankings as we enter week 9. They are currently averaging 23.5 points per game, which is the 14th highest in the NFL. Additionally, they are 9th in the NFL in terms of passing yards per game, with 232.5 on 35 attempts per game. The first quarter has been a dominant one for Houston, with an average of 6.2 points, which is the third highest in the league. Nevertheless, they have encountered difficulty on third down, converting only 38.9% of their attempts, and they currently are ranked 21st in red zone conversion percentage.
In the Texans’ victory over the Colts in week 8, C.J. Stroud completed 25 of 37 passes, resulting in 285 yards and a touchdown. Joe Mixon ran for 102 yards on 25 carries, while Stefon Diggs had 5 receptions for 81 yards. In the second quarter, Houston tallied 14 points; however, they were only able to score 3 points in the fourth quarter.
The Jets are ranked 20th in our offensive power rankings as we enter week 9. They rank 25th in the NFL in terms of scoring, averaging 18.8 points per game, and 23rd in terms of total yards, averaging 310.6 per game. New York has placed a significant emphasis on the passing game, ranking fourth in passing attempts and 12th in passing yards. They are ranked 30th in rushing yards per game, with 86.1, on 22.1 attempts per contest, on the ground.
Aaron Rodgers is coming off a strong performance in week 8, in which he threw for 233 yards and two touchdowns, earning a passer rating of 111. Garrett Wilson recorded the most receiving yards on the team, with 113 yards on 5 receptions, while Breece Hall amassed 80 rushing yards on 16 carries. In the eighth week of the season, the Jets scored six points against the Patriots in the fourth quarter.
- Free MoneyLine Texans vs Jets Betting Pick: HOUSTON.
Texans vs Jets Betting Pick: Total
Next, we have the Texans vs Jets Betting pick on the total.
The Texans’ defense was exceptional on third downs in their 23-20 victory over the Colts, restricting the Colts to a mere 15.4% conversion rate. They restricted the Colts to 303 total yards, despite allowing 163 rushing yards on just 26 attempts. Houston’s defense was formidable against the pass, allowing only 10 completions for 140 yards (4.4 yards per attempt) and forcing one interception. Five sacks were also recorded by the Texans’ defense during the contest.
The Jets’ defense conceded only 136 passing yards in their 25-22 loss to the Patriots, and New England was able to complete only 18 passes. Nevertheless, they conceded 247 yards in total. New York effectively defended the run, allowing only 3.6 yards per attempt and 111 yards on 31 attempts. The Patriots successfully converted 46.7% of their third-down attempts.
The Patriots were limited to only four huge plays (plays of 20+ yards), and New York’s defense also secured two sacks. Nevertheless, the Jets’ offense committed six turnovers, which resulted in the defense being in difficult situations for the duration of the contest.
- Free Total: Texans vs Jets Betting Pick: UNDER.
Texans vs Jets Betting Pick: Spread
And now, we have the Texans vs Jets Betting pick on the spread.
The Texans have a 94.9% chance of reaching the playoffs and an 83.2% chance of winning the AFC South as they enter week 9. They are currently 6-2. Houston is currently in first place in the division and second in the conference, having gone 3-0 in division play and 5-0 against AFC opponents. Nevertheless, they are ranked 13th in our NFL power rankings. However, the Texans have a 2-2 record on the road, despite their 4-0 record at home.
Houston has an average scoring margin of +1.1 points per game and is 3-5 against the spread. They have a 2-5 ATS record as favorites and a 1-0 record as underdogs. Their over/under record is 2-6, with two consecutive games of under-hitting. This season, their contests have averaged 45.9 points, which is lower than the average line of 45.6.
Houston has achieved a 2-1 record in their most recent three contests. The team has also performed exceptionally well against the spread, with a 2-1 record. Their over-under record in these contests was 1-2.
Houston has an ATS record of 2-3 and an average of 21 points per game in their last five road matchups. In these contests, the team achieved an overall record of 2-3.
In week 8, the Jets suffered a 25-22 defeat to the Patriots, marking their fifth consecutive loss. In this matchup, New York was a 7-point favorite; however, they were unable to secure the victory on the road. As a result, their record is 2-6, which places them in fourth place in the AFC East. The Jets have a 9.7% likelihood of qualifying for the playoffs and a 1.0% likelihood of winning the division, as per our projections.
The Jets are ranked 16th in our power rankings as we approach week 9. Their record against the spread is 2-6, and they have an average scoring margin of -2.5 points per game this season. Their over/under record is 4-3-1, with three consecutive games of overhitting.
New York has a 1-2 record in its last three regular season contests. Their over/under record was 1-2 in these contests, while their ATS record was 1-2.
The Jets have a 1-4 record in their last five home games, and they have also gone 1-4 against the spread. During this period, the team averaged 19 points per game.
- Free Spread Texans vs Jets Betting Pick: HOUSTON
Texans vs Jets Betting Picks:
- Free MoneyLine Texans vs Jets Betting Pick: HOUSTON.
- Free Total: Texans vs Jets Betting Pick: UNDER.
- Free Spread Texans vs Jets Betting Pick: HOUSTON
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