Bills at Dolphins Betting Odds, Trends, Prediction, NFL Week 2
Bills at Dolphins Betting Odds, Trends, Prediction, NFL Week 2. Game set for Thursday, September 12th, 2024. Place a bet on this NFL football game now.
Bills at Dolphins Betting Odds
Here are the Bills at Dolphins Betting Odds:
| TEAM | SPREAD | MONEYLINE | TOTAL |
|---|---|---|---|
| BUFFALO BILLS | +1.5 | +105 | 50 O |
| MIAMI DOLPHINS | -1.5 | -125 | 50 U |
Bills at Dolphins Betting Prediction
Here is the Bills at Dolphins Betting prediction.
This Thursday night in primetime, the Dolphins will host a familiar adversary, the Buffalo Bills, in an early-season AFC North duel. Both teams had to overcome double-digit deficits to win, and each game came down to the wire. Miami led for barely one second in that game, and they needed a walk-off field goal to beat the Jaguars. The Bills held off a possible game-winning drive by Kyler Murray and the Arizona Cardinals to secure a victory in their home opener.
The weather forecast for Thursday night’s game favors the home team, with the heat index expected to reach triple digits in the evening. If you have ever lived in Florida, you know that it rains virtually every evening. Given how hot and humid it is, I would expect rain to fall before kickoff and should not be an issue. It is 20% at 8 p.m., and the likelihood drops later.
Bills at Dolphins Betting Analysis
The Buffalo Bills were 2-0 against the Dolphins in 2023, but they are a completely different squad on both sides of the field this year. Last year, they were known as a pass-first club that earned money by throwing deep balls. With the departure of Stefon Diggs, the Bills needed to return to smashmouth football.
I like it. It fits the quarterback’s demeanor. Allen “can” let it out all day long. The arm is there, and he is not afraid. Herein is the difficulty. Do not get me wrong. His precision is excellent. When you add his cajones and cannon arm to the mix, you get a fairly effective gunslinger. However, efficiency falls by the wayside. Next thing you know, he leads the league in interceptions.
Buffalo debuted a new look in Week 1. The offense needed a few quarters to get rolling, and Miami was no exception. I don’t expect either squad to have the same stuttering start on Thursday.
The Dolphins struggled to create a running game against the Jaguars throughout the game. They didn’t have to, though, as Je’von Achane, Tyreek Hill, and Jaylen Waddle combined for more than 300 receiving yards. Miami also had some breaks on Sunday, while the Bills saw the ball bounce the opposite way in their game against the Cardinals.
Miami’s ability to stop the run on defense and efficiently pound the ball on offensively will be critical to win.
Bills at Dolphins Betting Trends
Here are the Bills at Dolphins Betting trends for both teams.
Bills at Dolphins Betting Trends: Buffalo
Here are the Bills at Dolphins Betting trends for Buffalo:
- Buffalo is 5-11 ATS in its last 16 games.
- The total has been OVER in five of Buffalo’s previous six games.
- Buffalo is 7-1 SU in its previous eight games.
- Buffalo is 11-1 SU in its last 12 games versus Miami.
- The total has gone UNDER in 12 of Buffalo’s previous 16 road games.
- Buffalo is 4-1 SU in its last five away games against Miami.
- Buffalo has a 6-1 SU record in its previous 7 games versus American Football Conference opponents.
- The total has gone OVER in six of Buffalo’s last nine games against teams from the American Football Conference East division.
- Buffalo is 6-3 ATS in their last nine games in September.
Bills Last 10 Games
| Date | Opp | Score | SU | Line/Total | ATS | OFF. RUSH | OFF. PASS | OFF. TOTAL | DEF. RUSH | DEF. PASS | DEF. TOTAL | TO |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 8, 2024 | ARI | 34-28 | W | -6.5/45.5 | L/O | 130 | 222 | 352 | 124 | 146 | 270 | 0 |
| Jan 21, 2024 | KC | 24-27 | L | -2.5/46 | L/O | 182 | 186 | 368 | 146 | 215 | 361 | -1 |
| Jan 15, 2024 | PIT | 31-17 | W | -10/39.5 | W/O | 179 | 189 | 368 | 106 | 218 | 324 | -2 |
| Jan 7, 2024 | MIA | 21-14 | W | -2.5/48 | W/U | 128 | 345 | 473 | 108 | 167 | 275 | 1 |
| Dec 31, 2023 | NE | 27-21 | W | -15/40 | L/O | 127 | 154 | 281 | 103 | 191 | 294 | -3 |
| Dec 23, 2023 | LAC | 24-22 | W | -12.5/44.5 | L/O | 105 | 230 | 335 | 98 | 175 | 273 | 3 |
| Dec 17, 2023 | DAL | 31-10 | W | -2.5/49 | W/U | 266 | 85 | 351 | 89 | 106 | 195 | -1 |
| Dec 10, 2023 | KC | 20-17 | W | +2/49 | W/U | 118 | 209 | 327 | 82 | 264 | 346 | -1 |
| Nov 26, 2023 | PHI | 34-37 | L | +2.5/48.5 | L/O | 173 | 332 | 505 | 185 | 193 | 378 | -1 |
| Nov 19, 2023 | NYJ | 32-6 | W | -8.5/39.5 | W/U | 130 | 263 | 393 | 63 | 92 | 155 | -3 |
Buffalo Bills Injuries
| Pos | Player | Status |
|---|---|---|
| DE | Dawuane Smoot (Toe) | Out |
| LB | Matt Milano (Bicep) | Out |
| CB | Taron Johnson (Forearm) | Questionable |
| RB | Ty Johnson (Knee) | Questionable |
| QB | Shane Buechele (Neck) | Out |
| RB | Darrynton Evans (Hamstring) | Out |
| OT | Tommy Doyle (Undisclosed) | Out |
| OT | Ryan Van Demark (Gameday Inactive) | Out |
| C | Sedrick Van Pran-Granger (Gameday Inactive) | Out |
| S | Cole Bishop (Gameday Inactive) | Out |
| LB | Edefuan Ulofoshio (Gameday Inactive) | Out |
| DE | Javon Solomon (Oblique) | Out |
| OT | Travis Clayton (Undisclosed) | Out |
| LB | Joe Andreessen (Gameday Inactive) | Out |
Bills at Dolphins Betting Trends: Miami
Here are the Bills at Dolphins Betting trends for Miami:
- Miami is 1-4 ATS in its previous five games.
- The total has gone UNDER in five of Miami’s last six games.
- The total has gone OVER in 13 of Miami’s last 19 meetings with Buffalo.
- Miami is 9-2 SU in its previous 11 home games.
- Miami is 1-4 SU in its previous five home games against Buffalo.
- Miami is 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games against opponents from the American Football Conference.
- Miami is 8-2 ATS in its last ten games against opponents from the American Football Conference East division.
- The total has gone UNDER in 12 of Miami’s last 17 September games.
- The total has gone UNDER in five of Miami’s last seven games in week two.
Dolphins Last 10 Games
| Date | Opp | Score | SU | Line/Total | ATS | OFF. RUSH | OFF. PASS | OFF. TOTAL | DEF. RUSH | DEF. PASS | DEF. TOTAL | TO |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 8, 2024 | JAC | 20-17 | W | -3.5/49.5 | L/U | 81 | 319 | 400 | 128 | 139 | 267 | -1 |
| Jan 13, 2024 | KC | 7-26 | L | +4.5/43.5 | L/U | 76 | 188 | 264 | 147 | 262 | 409 | 0 |
| Jan 7, 2024 | BUF | 14-21 | L | +2.5/48 | L/U | 108 | 167 | 275 | 128 | 345 | 473 | -1 |
| Dec 31, 2023 | BAL | 19-56 | L | +3/47 | L/O | 154 | 221 | 375 | 160 | 331 | 491 | 2 |
| Dec 24, 2023 | DAL | 22-20 | W | -1.5/48.5 | W/U | 91 | 284 | 375 | 97 | 242 | 339 | -1 |
| Dec 17, 2023 | NYJ | 30-0 | W | -7/36 | W/U | 77 | 213 | 290 | 23 | 80 | 103 | -4 |
| Dec 11, 2023 | TEN | 27-28 | L | -13.5/44.5 | L/O | 158 | 208 | 366 | 83 | 320 | 403 | -2 |
| Dec 3, 2023 | WAS | 45-15 | W | -8.5/49.5 | W/O | 123 | 283 | 406 | 138 | 107 | 245 | -1 |
| Nov 24, 2023 | NYJ | 34-13 | W | -9.5/40 | W/O | 167 | 228 | 395 | 29 | 130 | 159 | 1 |
| Nov 19, 2023 | LV | 20-13 | W | -14/44.5 | L/U | 99 | 323 | 422 | 36 | 260 | 296 | 0 |
Miami Dolphins Injuries
| Pos | Player | Status |
|---|---|---|
| WR | Odell Beckham Jr. (Undisclosed) | Out |
| CB | Jalen Ramsey (Hamstring) | Probable |
| WR | River Cracraft (Undisclosed) | Out |
| LB | Bradley Chubb (Knee) | Out |
| OL | Isaiah Wynn (Undisclosed) | Out |
| LB | David Long Jr. (Hand) | Questionable |
| ILB | Cam Brown (Knee) | Out |
| WR | Anthony Schwartz (Undisclosed) | Out |
| OT | Kion Smith (Knee) | Out |
| LB | Channing Tindall (Gameday Inactive) | Out |
| LB | Cameron Goode (Undisclosed) | Out |
| CB | Cam Smith (Undisclosed) | Out |
| CB | Ethan Bonner (Gameday Inactive) | Out |
| RB | Jaylen Wright (Gaemday Inactive) | Out |
| WR | Malik Washington (Quad) | Out |
| S | Patrick McMorris (Foot) | Out |
| LB | Mohamed Kamara (Gameday Inactive) | Out |
| WR | Tahj Washington (Undisclosed) | Out |
| LB | Grayson Murphy (Knee) | Out |
| OL | Andrew Meyer (Gameday Inactive) | Out |
Bills at Dolphins Betting: Head-to-Head
| Date | Team | Opp | Close | Result | ATS/OU |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 7, 2024 | Bills | @Dolphins | -2.5 / 48 | Won 21-14 | Won / Under |
| Oct 1, 2023 | Bills | Dolphins | -3 / 52.5 | Won 48-20 | Won / Over |
| Jan 15, 2023 | Bills | Dolphins | -14 / 44 | Won 34-31 | Lost / Over |
| Dec 17, 2022 | Bills | Dolphins | -7 / 44 | Won 32-29 | Lost / Over |
| Sep 25, 2022 | Bills | @Dolphins | -4.5 / 54 | Lost 19-21 | Lost / Under |
| Oct 31, 2021 | Bills | Dolphins | -14.5 / 48.5 | Won 26-11 | Won / Under |
| Sep 19, 2021 | Bills | @Dolphins | -3.5 / 48 | Won 35-0 | Won / Under |
| Jan 3, 2021 | Bills | Dolphins | +3.5 / 43 | Won 56-26 | Won / Over |
| Sep 20, 2020 | Bills | @Dolphins | -5.5 / 42 | Won 31-28 | Lost / Over |
| Nov 17, 2019 | Bills | @Dolphins | -7 / 41.5 | Won 37-20 | Won / Over |
Bills at Dolphins Betting Pick
If the Dolphins take the lead in the second half, they will most certainly struggle to maintain it given their pass-first approach. Whether they hold the lead late or not, I enjoy betting on the Bills’ point total. I think Buffalo will win, but the powerful Dolphin offense has me betting on the Bills going over their point total. Miami was 9-2 ATS as home favorites of 1.5 points or more in 2023, which is a fantastic trend. However, the Bills dominated Miami, scoring 69 points in two games.
YouWager Pick: Bills OVER Team Total 23.5
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