Thunder vs Mavericks Betting Odds, Prediction, Pick, 5/18/24

Thunder vs Mavericks Betting Odds, Prediction, Pick, 5/18/24

Thunder vs Mavericks Betting odds and wagering prediction for this game set for May 18, 2024. Place a bet on this NBA basketball game now.

The Mavericks have a chance to win the first-round series on Saturday night. They presently have a 3-2 series advantage and are 3.5 point favorites in game six. The over/under is 208.5 points, with the Mavericks at -170 on the money line. The Thunder are currently at +141. Tip-off is at 8:00 p.m. ET at the American Airlines Center in Dallas, with ABC broadcasting.

The Mavericks won the most recent game of the series by 12 points, defeating the Thunder 104-92. Dallas was the underdog entering the game, with 4.5 points, and they easily covered the spread. The game’s over/under was 213 points, and the teams fell 17 points shy of that total.

Luka Doncic recorded a triple-double in the game, scoring 31 points, 11 assists, and 10 rebounds. His 31 points topped all scorers. Shai Gilgeous-Alexander had a good game for the Thunder, scoring 30 points. The Mavericks limited the Thunder to 42.5% shooting from the floor and 25% from three-point range.

Thunder vs Mavericks Betting Odds

Here are the Thunder vs Mavericks Betting odds:

OKLAHOMA CITY THUNDER +3.5 +155 Over 208.5
DALLAS MAVERICKS -3.5 -175 Under 208.5

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Thunder vs Mavericks Betting Prediction

Check out our free Thunder vs Mavericks Betting prediction for this NBA matchup in Dallas. See who we believe will win and cover the spread in this regular-season NBA showdown.

  • The Thunder go to Dallas to face the Mavericks.
  • Oklahoma City’s effective field goal percentage is 57%, ranking third.
  • The Thunder are aiming to rebound from their loss to the Mavericks.
  • The Mavericks are now 50-32.
  • So far, the Mavericks have scored an average of 117.9 points per game.
  • The Mavericks recently defeated the Thunder, 104-92.

Oklahoma City Thunder Betting Prediction

First, we have the Thunder vs Mavericks Betting prediction for OKC.

Today, the Thunder will seek to avenge their most recent 104-92 loss to the Mavericks. The over/under for that game was 213 points, with Oklahoma City favored by 4.5.

Oklahoma City’s over/under record this season is 46-44-1, with a cumulative average of 229.7 points. This year, 90 of their games had higher over/under totals than today’s (208.5).

The Thunder are 52-39 against the spread and 23-22 on the road. They have failed to cover the spread in their last two away games, and their ATS record as underdogs is 13-10.

The Thunder are presently in first place in the Western Conference, with a 57-25 record. In non-conference games, they were 21-9 and 36-16 versus Western Conference opponents.

The Thunder have outscored their opponents by an average of 2.4 points per game on the road. This season, they’re 27-18 away from home.

Oklahoma City enters the contest with the NBA’s third greatest scoring offense, with 120.1 points per game. However, they have performed below average in each of their last seven games. They have the sixth greatest road scoring offense this season, averaging 115.6 points per game. The Thunder’s field goal percentage of 49% is the league’s third best.

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander has been the Thunder’s offensive leader of late, scoring 31.4 points per game in his last five games. Jalen Williams has also been performing well, averaging 16 points, 5.2 assists, and 6 rebounds over the last five games. Luguentz Dort is averaging 10.9 points per game this season and making 39.4% of his three-pointers.

The Thunder have been one of the league’s finest defensive teams this season, ranking ninth with 111.2 points allowed per game. They are ranked second in the NBA for field goal percentage allowed, at 45.3%. They’ve been especially tough on the inside, ranking second in two-point shooting %.

Oklahoma City’s opponents have had some success shooting beyond the arc. On the season, they rank 21st in three-point shooting percentage allowed, at 36.1%. Over the last five games, they have been even worse in this regard, ranking 23rd in three-point shooting percentage allowed.

Overall, opponents have scored fewer than their season average in 67.1% of games against the Thunder. In terms of rebounds per game, they rank 26th in the NBA with 42. However, they rank eleventh in defensive rebounds per game.

Thunder Key Players to Watch

  • Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, the Thunder’s go-to player, leads all active Thunder players in scoring (30.1 points per game) and assists (6.2 per game).
  • This season, Chet Holmgren averages 16.5 points, 2.4 assists, and 7.9 rebounds per game.
  • Luguentz Dort averages 2.0 made three-pointers per game.
  • Gilgeous-Alexander’s 2.0 thefts and Holmgren’s 2.3 blocked shots per game help the Thunder’s defense.

Dallas Mavericks Betting Prediction

Now, we have the Thunder vs Mavericks Betting prediction for Dallas.

Dallas is 3.5 point favorites against the Thunder today. This season, the Mavericks have been favorites in 58 of their 82 games, going 42-16. As the favorite, they have a +6.8 point differential per game.

The Mavericks are 37-21 as favorites versus the spread, including 24-22 at home. Their average home scoring margin is +3.7 points per game.

In their most recent game, the Mavericks defeated the Thunder 104-92. They were 4.5-point underdogs into the contest. The over/under for the game was 213 points.

Dallas’ over/under record this season is 41-52, and the under has hit in their last three games. On average, their games have ended with 230.4 points.

The Mavericks are presently 5th in the Western Conference, with a 50-32 record. They are 31-21 against Western Conference teams and 19-11 against non-conference opponents.

Dallas is averaging 117.9 points per game this season, which ranks eighth in the league. Their home scoring average is 117.2 points per game, placing them tenth among home scoring teams. The Mavericks are 14th in the NBA in terms of pace, with an average of 99.6 possessions per game.

Luka Doncic, who is averaging 33.9 points per game this season, is likely to play for the Mavericks. In the last five games, he has averaging 23.8 points, 8.4 assists, and 10.6 rebounds. During this run, he made 35% of his threes. P.J. Washington is averaging 12.9 points and 5.6 rebounds this season, but he has averaged 19.4 points and 9 rebounds in his previous five games, making 47.7% of his threes.

The Mavericks are allowing 114.0 points per game entering tonight’s game against the Thunder, ranking 17th in the NBA. Dallas has performed even better in their last five games, allowing only 104 points per game, ranking seventh in that stretch.

Opponents have made 47.1% of their shots against Dallas this season, ranking 15th in the NBA. Over the last five games, the Mavericks have been even more stingy, limiting opponents to 43.9% shooting from the field.

When it comes to defending the three-point line, opponents make 36.5% of their shots against Dallas. Opposing teams have made 12.9 three-pointers per game against the Mavericks this season, ranking 16th in the NBA.

Mavericks Key Players to Watch

  • Luka Doncic averages 33.9 points and 9.2 rebounds per game, along with 9.8 assists.
  • Doncic leads the active Mavericks in three-point shooting, with 4.1 attempts per game from outside the arc.
  • Doncic picks pockets 1.4 times per game, whereas Daniel Gafford records 2.1 rejections.

Thunder vs Mavericks Betting Trends

These are the Thunder vs Mavericks Betting trends:

  • This season, the Mavericks are 25-15 against the spread in games where they were at least 3.5-point favorites.
  • This season, the Thunder are 4-4 against the spread when they are an underdog by 3.5 points or more.
  • These two clubs average 28.5 more points per game (238) than the current total (209.5).
  • These clubs’ opponents have combined for an average of 228.3 points per game, which is 18.8 more than the over/under in this matchup.
  • The average point total for Mavericks games this season is 24.0 more than the 209.5 in this clash.
  • Oklahoma City’s average point total this season is 23.3 points greater than the game’s over/under.
  • Dallas is 48-34-0 ATS this season.
  • So far this season, the Thunder have gone 46-35-1 against the spread.

Mavericks Stats & Insights

  • The Mavericks are outscoring opponents by 2.3 points per game and have a +181 scoring difference overall. They score 117.9 points per game (sixth in the NBA) and allow 115.6 per game (20th in the league).
  • The Mavericks fell behind in the rebound battle by an average of 2.2 boards. They average 42.9 rebounds per game (21st in the league), compared to their opponents’ 45.1 per outing.
  • Dallas averages 14.6 three-pointers per game (third in the league), 1.5 more than its opponents (13.1).
  • The Mavericks score 118.4 points per 100 possessions on offensive (10th in the league), while allowing 116.2 points per 100 possessions (17th in the NBA).
  • The Mavericks have performed better offensively at home, averaging 118.7 points per game, than on the road, when they score 117.0. Defensively, they are marginally better at home, allowing 115.0 points per game, than on the road, where opponents average 116.2 points.

Thunder Stats & Insights

  • The Thunder are outscoring opponents by 7.4 points per game and have a +608 scoring differential overall. They score 120.1 points per game (third in the NBA) and allow 112.7 per game (11th in the league).
  • Oklahoma City loses the rebounding battle by 2.7 boards on average. It ranks 27th in the league with 42.0 rebounds per game, while opponents average 44.7.
  • The Thunder make 13.3 three-pointers per game (the sixth highest in the league), while their opponents make 13.4. They shot 38.9% from deep while their opponents shoot 36.1%.
  • The Thunder are third in the league in terms of offensive efficiency, averaging 120.4 points per 100 possessions, and fourth on defense, allowing 113.0 points per 100 possessions.
  • Oklahoma City averages 123.1 points per game at home, which is 6.1 more than it does away.


The Mavericks should win the series and finish 3-2 at home in the playoffs. At -168, there’s little point in betting on them to win outright. The Thunder is the sole value on the moneyline, with +142.

The home team’s spread is the better bet here.

Against the Spread

The Mavericks have been great against Western Conference clubs, having a 39-24 ATS record regular season (including the playoffs), and they have continued to perform well for bettors in the postseason. Dallas has won five of its past seven games and is 4-2 ATS in its last six as a favorite.

The Thunder, a young club, struggled at home in Game 5, going 10-for-40 from deep. They may suffer on the road in a boisterous Dallas setting. Oklahoma City has a 1-3 ATS record in their last four games and relies heavily on forward Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, who has scored 64 points in the past two games.

Take MAVERICKS -3.5 to profit on Dallas’ continued success.


NBA Playoffs provide high-level defense as games become more important, and both teams have experienced the challenges that come with increased defensive intensity.

The Thunder went 46-35-1 O/U during the regular season and are 2-7 O/U in the playoffs. They’ve scored less than 100 points in three games and less than 102 points in five of nine. Dallas is 1-4 over/under in its last five games and 36-46 overall this season. In the playoffs, the over/under is 4-7.

Take the under at 208.5, based on recent postseason statistics for both clubs.

Thunder vs Mavericks Betting Pick

Free Thunder vs Mavericks Betting Pick: Under and the Mavs

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