Uconn vs San Diego State Betting Sweet 16 Odds, Trends, Pick

Uconn vs San Diego State Betting Sweet 16 Odds, Trends, Pick

Uconn vs San Diego State Betting odds, trends, and picks for this Sweet 16, March Madness 2024 game. Place a bet on this college basketball game now at YouWager.lv.

The No. 1 seed UConn Huskies (33-3) will face the No. 5 seed San Diego State Aztecs (26-10) in a Sweet 16 contest on Thursday at TD Garden. Watch this NCAA Tournament battle at 7:39 p.m. ET on TBS/truTV, with the winner advancing to the East Region bracket final.

When the Huskies face the Aztecs, they are 9.5-point favorites. The game’s over/under is 135.5.

UConn has a 24-12-0 ATS record this season, while San Diego State is 14-20-0. This season, the Huskies have had 17 games go over, while the Aztecs have had 17. The clubs average 156.3 points per game, which is 20.8 more than this matchup’s total. Over the last ten games, UConn is 8-2 against the spread and 9-1 overall, while San Diego State is 3-7 against the spread and 6-4 overall.

Before you watch this game, here’s everything you should know about Thursday’s college basketball action.

Uconn vs San Diego State Betting Odds

Here are the Uconn vs San Diego State Betting odds:

TEAM SPREAD MONEYLINE TOTAL
SAN DIEGO STATE
+9.5 +395 Over 135.5
CONNECTICUT
-9.5 -520 Under 135.5

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Uconn vs San Diego State Betting Trends

Here are the Uconn vs San Diego State Betting trends for moneyline, ATS and total:

Moneyline

  • UConn has won 93.3% of its games this season as a moneyline favorite (28-2).
  • The Huskies have won all 15 games as a moneyline favorite at odds of -524 or less.
  • The implied moneyline win probability for UConn in this game is 84.0%.
  • This season, San Diego State has been the underdog seven times, winning two of them.
  • The Aztecs have rarely been a larger underdog on the moneyline than they are in this game, with +388 odds on them winning.
  • The bookmakers’ moneyline gives San Diego State a 20.5% chance of victory.

Against the Spread

  • UConn is 24-12-0 ATS this season.
  • San Diego State has won 14 games against the spread this season while failing to cover 20.
  • The Huskies average 81.6 points per game, while the Aztecs allow 66.3.
  • When UConn scores more than 66.3 points, it goes 19-7 against the spread and 26-0 overall.
  • When San Diego State allows fewer than 81.6 points, they are 12-15 against the spread and 21-8 overall.
  • The Aztecs score 10.8 points more per game (74.7) than the Huskies allow (63.9).
  • San Diego State is 12-13 ATS and 20-7 overall when scoring more than 63.9 points.
  • UConn is 17-9 against the spread and 25-1 overall when allowing fewer than 74.7 points.

Over/Under

  • This season, the Huskies’ average implied point total is 79.8, which is 6.8 points more than the implied total from Thursday’s game (73).
  • This season, UConn has scored more than 73 points in 29 games.
  • The Aztecs’ season average implied total is 74.2 points, which is 11.2 points more than the team’s implied total of 63 points in this game.
  • This season, San Diego State has outscored its implied point total for this game (63) 32 times.

UConn Huskies Insights

First, we have the Uconn vs San Diego State Betting insights for the Huskies.

UConn has a +636 scoring difference and outscored opponents by 17.7 points per game. It averages 81.6 points per game, ranking 21st in NCAA basketball, and allows 63.9 points per game, ranking 12th.

UConn wins the rebound battle with an average of 8.4 boards. Its opponents average 30.1 rebounds per game, while it averages 38.5 (44th in NCAA basketball).

The Huskies average 8.6 three-pointers per game (61st in college basketball), 2.7 higher than their opponents (5.9). They shoot 36.1% from outside the arc (59th in college basketball) and allow their opponents to shoot 31.3%.

UConn is leading in college basketball with 109 points per 100 possessions and 14th defensively with 85.4 points conceded per 100 possessions.

This year, the Huskies are averaging 84.6 points per game at home, which is 8.2 points more than their average on the road (76.4).

San Diego State Aztecs Insights

Now, we have the Uconn vs San Diego State Betting prediction for the Aztecs.

San Diego State outscores opponents by 8.4 points per game (74.7 points per game, 144th in college basketball; allowing 66.3 per game, 28th in college basketball) and has a +305 scoring differential.

San Diego State leads the rebounding battle by an average of 4.8 boards. It averages 38 rebounds per game (57th in college basketball), compared to its opponents’ 33.2.

San Diego State makes 7.1 three-pointers per game (219th in college basketball) at a 31.8% rate (293rd in college basketball), while their opponents make 7.2 and shoot 30.8% from beyond the arc.

San Diego State scores 97.2 points per 100 possessions (134th in college basketball) and allows 86.2 points per 100 possessions (20th).

At home, the Aztecs average 76.7 points per game, which is 6.7 greater than their away average of 70.

UConn Key Players to Watch

Tristen Newton leads the Huskies in points and assists, averaging 15.3 and 6.2 per game, respectively.

Donovan Clingan is UConn’s best rebounder, averaging 7.4 boards per game in addition to his 12.8 PPG average.

Cam Spencer, the Huskies’ leading three-point shooter, averages 2.6 threes a game.

Spencer leads UConn in steals with an average of 1.4 per game, while Clingan leads the team in blocks with 2.4.

San Diego State Key Players to Watch

Jaedon LeDee leads the Aztecs in scoring and rebounding, with 21.5 points and 8.4 rebounds per game.

Darrion Trammell leads San Diego State in assists, averaging 3.3 per game.

Micah Parrish is the Aztecs’ leading three-point shooter, averaging 1.3 per game.

Lamont Butler leads San Diego State in thefts with 1.5 per game, while Jay Pal leads the team in blocks with one per game.

Uconn vs San Diego State Betting Picks

Here are the Uconn vs San Diego State Betting picks:

  • Pick ATS: San Diego State
  • Pick OU: Over

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