Find out who we think will win and cover the spread in this week one NCAAF prediction for Wisconsin vs LSU.
- 18.9 points are surrendered by the Wisconsin defense each contest.
- In passing yards, the LSU Tigers rank fourth.
WISCONSIN VS LSU PREDICTION
The Tigers and Badgers kick off their college football season this Monday, January 1st at 12:00 ET. At Raymond James Stadium, the Tigers will meet the Badgers. ESPN2 will televise the game.The LSU Tigers are 10 point road favorites against the Wisconsin Badgers in this non-conference matchup. Continue reading to see my suggestions and betting analysis.
WISCONSIN VS. LSU MATCHUP AT A GLANCE
- Sport: College Football
- Teams: LSU Tigers vs. Wisconsin Badgers
- Where: Raymond James Stadium in Tampa
- Date: January 1st, Monday
WISCONSIN PREVIEW: CAN WISCONSIN RECOVER AFTER A LOSS?
Wisconsin’s record is now 7-5 going into this week’s game against LSU after their 28-14 victory over Minnesota. Wisconsin has started as the underdog in one game and as the favorite in nine others so far. As a result, there is an average score difference of +3.9 and an ATS record of 4-5-1. This season, Wisconsin’s over/under record is 3–7. Their games have yielded an average total score of 41.8 points, with an average over/under line of 47.3 points.
With 22 pass attempts in the game against Minnesota, the Badgers finished with 145 yards and two touchdowns. They produced two rushing scores with an average of 6.1 yards per carry in the running game. Tanner Mordecai, the quarterback, completed 14 of 22 passes for 145 yards and had a quarterback rating of 93.94 in the victory over Minnesota. He also had two touchdowns at the end of the game.
Ultimately, the Badgers’ defense allowed Minnesota 286 yards in total during the game. Compared to 167 yards during the passing game, the team’s run defense gave up 119 yards on the ground. Wisconsin’s defense is rated 165th in terms of passing yards allowed per game. When facing the Badgers, opponents attempt 31 passes on average. They rank 64th in college football due to their 18.9 PPG defense. In the NCAA, their run defense is ranked 63rd.
LSU PREVIEW: WILL LSU BOUNCE BACK FROM A LOSS?
LSU improved to 9-3 with their victory over Texas A&M, 42-30, as they got ready for this week’s matchup with Wisconsin. This season, LSU has started ten games as the favorite and one as the underdog. As of right now, their ATS record is 7-4. Throughout the season, LSU has amassed an over/under record of 10-1. Their games have yielded an average aggregate score of 74.2 points, with a usual over/under line of 62.5 points.
In their final 24 pass attempts against Texas A&M, the Tigers gained 235 yards and four touchdowns. They scored two rushing touchdowns and averaged 6.0 yards per carry in the rushing game. LSU defeated Texas A&M thanks to four touchdown passes from quarterback Jayden Daniels. In all, he completed 66.7% of his passes for 235 yards and had a passer rating of 138.02.
Ultimately, the Tigers’ defense allowed Texas A&M 390 total yards. In contrast to 294 yards in the passing game, the team’s run defense gave up 96 yards of rush yardage. The Tigers defense leads the NFL in quarterback hurries and has produced 26 sacks so far this season. They are giving up 27.8 points per game on average (112th). They rank 136th in the NCAA against the pass with 245.8 passing yards allowed per contest. Every game, LSU allows 165 rushing yards.
WISCONSIN VS LSU BETTING ODDS, TRENDS & ANALYSIS
To turn around their current troubles against Wisconsin, LSU will need to win. Wisconsin has won three of their past four games.
Wisconsin has gone 3-0 against the spread with an average score differential of 24 points per game in their last three meetings against LSU.
LSU was initially favored by 10.5 points at home; however, their spread lines have since adjusted to -10. LSU’s moneyline opening position of -400 has moved to -429, yielding an estimated win percentage of 81%. Conversely, Wisconsin presently has a moneyline of +310 and indicated odds of 24%. At +310, the Badgers moneyline was operational.
KEY BETTING TRENDS
- Wisconsin is 3-2 against the spread in their last five games played against the spread.
- LSU’s home record against the spread in the last three games is 1-2.
- In their past three games as underdogs, the Tigers are 1-2.
- In their last three games as the underdog, Wisconsin has a 2-1 record against the spread.
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