Find out who we think will win and cover the spread in this week one NCAAF prediction for SMU vs Boston College.
- SMU ranks 68th with a passing completion rate of 60.1%.
- Every game, the Boston College defense allows 29.5 points to be scored.
SMU VS BOSTON COLLEGE PREDICTION
This week’s first CFB matchup between the Mustangs and Eagles will kick off at 11:00 on ESPN (12/28/23). The competition is scheduled to take place at Boston’s Fenway Park (MA).In this non-conference game, SMU is expected to face the Eagles, and they are the away favorite by 10.5 points. For my opinions and suggested bets, continue reading.
SMU VS. BOSTON COLLEGE MATCHUP AT A GLANCE
- Sport: College Football
- Teams: Boston College Eagles vs. SMU Mustangs
- Where: Fenway Park in Boston
- Date: December 28, Thursday
SMU PREVIEW: HOW WILL SMU RESPOND FROM A LOSS?
SMU improved to 11-2 with their victory over Tulane, 26–14, as they got ready for this week’s matchup with Boston College. SMU has started as the underdog in three games and as the favorite in ten so far. An average scoring differential of +23.2 and an ATS record of 8-5 have resulted from this. Through 13 games this season, SMU has a 6-7 over/under record. Their combined games have yielded 58 points on average.
The Mustangs’ offensive output versus Tulane included 184 rushing yards and one touchdown on the ground. SMU scored once and threw the ball 33 times for 203 yards in the passing offense. In SMU’s victory over Tulane, quarterback Kevin Jennings passed for one touchdown. With 203 yards and 57.6% of his throws completed, he finished with a passer rating of 60.54 overall.
Tulane was able to gain 269 yards against SMU on defense. This includes surrendering 238 passing yards and 31 permitted ground yards. The Mustangs’ defense ranks 189th in the league this season with 111.6 running yards allowed per game. Against SMU, opponents average 188.4 passing yards, and its quarterbacks have a 74.4 passer rating. They are ranked 91st in terms of NCAA points permitted.
BOSTON COLLEGE PREVIEW: WILL BOSTON COLLEGE ADD ANOTHER WIN?
The Eagles suffered a setback recently against Miami, which sent them back to a.500 record. With a 6-6 record, they are now preparing for this week’s match. This season, Boston College has started three games as the favorite and seven as the underdog. As of right now, their ATS record is 4-6. The over/under record for Boston College is 6-4 going into this week’s match. With an average of 54.5 points per game, their margin against their over/under lines is at +4.4.
With 25 pass attempts in the game against Miami, the Eagles finished with 151 yards and one touchdown. They produced two rushing scores with an average of 5.5 yards per carry in the running game. Quarterback Thomas Castellanos attempted 25 passes against Miami in their most recent game. He finished with 151 throwing yards and a 60.0% completion percentage for the game. In addition, he had two interceptions during the defeat.
Boston College’s defense gave up 533 yards in total versus Miami by the end of the game. Against Boston College, Miami passed the ball 36 times for 290 yards. During the play, the Eagles allowed 243 yards of rushes. Boston College surrenders 29.5 points per game, which places them 124th going into the contest. On average, teams have been accumulating 197.4 passing yards against them, ranking 47th. Their 194 yard average against the run ranks them 154th in college football.
SMU VS BOSTON COLLEGE BETTING ODDS, TRENDS & ANALYSIS
SMU has a winning record of 3-2 while playing Boston College away from home over the last five meetings.
SMU has lost all three of their games as the favored versus Boston College.
SMU has moved from being -9.5 point favorites when the lines were first released to their current line of -10.5 (-109). On the other hand, Boston College is currently a +10.5 (-112) point home underdog. With an ML payout of -458, SMU is assigned an 82% chance of winning at the current moneyline odds. Conversely, with a moneyline of +334, the Eagles’ projected win percentage is 23%.
KEY BETTING TRENDS
- SMU’s past away games have seen them go 1-2 ATS.
- Boston College has a 3-2 record against the spread in their last five home games.
- In their past three games as underdogs, the Eagles are 0-3 overall.
- SMU has a 3-2 ATS record in their previous five games as the favorite.
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