Memphis vs Iowa State Liberty Bowl Preview
See our prediction for Memphis vs. Iowa State in NCAA Week 1 by continuing to read. We will predict the winner and cover the spread in this post.
- Every game, the Memphis defense allows 29 points to be scored.
- The passing yard average for Iowa State is 228.2 yards per game.
MEMPHIS VS IOWA STATE PREDICTION
At 3:30 on Friday, December 29th, the Iowa State Cyclones and Memphis Tigers will square off. Memphis, Tennessee’s Simmons Bank Liberty Stadium will host this game. ESPN is airing the game.In this non-conference game, the Cyclones are the 8.5 favorites to win. Do they represent the best spread play? See how I see this one playing out in Memphis by reading on.
MEMPHIS VS. IOWA STATE MATCHUP AT A GLANCE
- Sport: College Football
- Teams: Iowa State Cyclones vs. Memphis Tigers
- Where: Simmons Bank Liberty Stadium in Memphis
- Date: December 29, Friday
MEMPHIS PREVIEW: CAN MEMPHIS RECOVER AFTER A LOSS?
Memphis improved to 9-3 with their 45-21 victory over Temple, setting them up for this week’s matchup with Iowa State. Memphis has a 4-5-1 record this season against the spread. In contrast to three games where they were the underdog, the Tigers have been favored seven times. Memphis’ games have an average over/under line of 59 points over the past 12 games. These games have had an average total score of 68.7 points, giving OU an 8-2 record.
The Tigers passed the ball 28 times for 250 yards and four touchdowns against Temple in the passing game. They had two running scores in the end, averaging 6.1 yards per carry on the ground. Memphis defeated Temple thanks to four touchdown passes from quarterback Seth Henigan. In all, he completed 64.3% of his passes for 250 yards and had a passer rating of 117.56.
Against Temple, Memphis’ defense gave up 465 yards in total by the end of the game. Against Memphis, Temple passed the ball 48 times for 330 yards. The Tigers allowed 135 running yards while they were on the ground. The Tigers’ defense ranks 91st this season after giving up an average of 172.3 running yards. When playing Memphis, opponents average 253.2 passing yards, and their quarterbacks have a passer rating of 92.7. As of right now, they are 33rd in the NCAA in terms of points allowed.
IOWA STATE PREVIEW: WHAT’S THE PLAN FOR IOWA STATE FOLLOWING A LOSS?
With a 7-5 record going into this week’s game against Memphis, the Iowa State Cyclones are above.500. This follows their 42-35 victory over Kansas State in their most recent game. The Cyclones have been the underdog in six games and the favorite in five coming into this week’s game against Memphis. They have a 6-5 ATS record going into the match. Iowa State has a 5-6 over/under record thus far this season. Their meetings have had a cumulative average score of 47.9 points, with an average over/under line of 44.5 points.
Against Kansas State, the Cyclones’ passing offense included 12 pass attempts for 230 yards and three touchdowns. They scored three rushing touchdowns and averaged 15.1 yards per carry in the running game. Quarterback Rocco Becht completed 8 of 12 passes for 230 yards and a QB rating of 149.31 in the victory over Kansas State. He also brought three touchdowns into the contest.
Ultimately, the Cyclones defense allowed 497 yards in total to Kansas State throughout the game. In the running game, the team’s run defense gave up 288 yards of rushing, while only 209 were permitted. The Cyclones’ defense has given up 132.9 rushing yards per game this season, which is 164th in the nation. Against Iowa State, opponents average 217.7 passing yards, and their quarterbacks have a combined passer rating of 72.2. They are ranked 78th in terms of NCAA points permitted.
MEMPHIS VS IOWA STATE BETTING ODDS, TRENDS & ANALYSIS
Iowa State has a record against Memphis that is above.500 at home, having won five of their last six meetings.
Memphis is not only 3-0 ATS in their last three road encounters with Iowa State, but they are also 2-1 against the spread in their previous three games versus the Hawkeyes.
Iowa State has moved from being -6.5 point favorites to their current line of -8.5 (-112) since the odds were first released. Conversely, Memphis is currently a +8.5 (-110) point underdog traveling. Memphis is now assigned a 28% chance of winning and a moneyline payout of +251 based on the moneyline odds. Conversely, the Cyclones have a moneyline of -323 and an implied win probability of 76%.
KEY BETTING TRENDS
- In their previous road games, Memphis is 1-2 ATS.
- Iowa State’s home record against the spread in the last ten games is 5-5.
- When considering just the last ten games in which Iowa State started as the underdog, their overall record was 5-5.
- Memphis has a 1-2 record when playing as the favorite against the spread in their last three games.
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