Check out our preview and prediction for the Alabama vs. Michigan college football game in Pasadena for week one. Check out our picks for this NCAA showdown to win and cover the spread.
The defense of Alabama is giving up 11 yards for each completion.
Its passing attempts rank 84th for Michigan’s offense.
ALABAMA VS MICHIGAN PREDICTION
The Crimson Tide and Wolverines square off in their first NCAAF game of the season at Rose Bowl at 5:00 ET. Watch the game, which is scheduled for Monday, January 1st, on ESPN.The Wolverines are favored by 1.5 points to win this non-conference match. Do they provide the best value at the spread, or are the Crimson Tide a better option? To find out, keep reading.
ALABAMA VS. MICHIGAN MATCHUP AT A GLANCE
- Sport: College Football
- Teams: Michigan Wolverines versus Alabama Crimson Tide
- Where: Rose Bowl in Pasadena
- Date: January 1st, Monday
ALABAMA PREVIEW: WHAT’S NEXT FOR ALABAMA AFTER A LOSS?
With their 27-24 victory over Georgia, Alabama’s record has increased to 12-1 as they get ready for this week’s matchup with Michigan. The Crimson Tide were the underdog in one game going into this week’s game against Michigan, and they were the favorites in eleven other games. They had an 8-4 ATS record going into the match. The average over/under line in Alabama’s confrontations over the last 13 games has been 51.3 points. With an average total score of 53.5 points from these games, OU has an 8-4 record.
The Crimson Tide’s offensive output versus Georgia included 116 rushing yards and one touchdown on the ground. Alabama scored twice and passed the ball 23 times for 192 yards in the passing attack. Quarterback Jalen Milroe finished the game with a quarterback rating of 112.95 in the victory over Georgia, having completed 13 of 23 passes for 192 yards. To his performance, he scored two touchdowns as well.
Ultimately, the Crimson Tide defense allowed Georgia 321 total yards. Compared to 243 yards in the passing game, the team’s run defense gave up 78 yards of rush yardage. The Crimson Tide defense leads the nation in quarterback rushes and has 39 sacks going into the game. They are conceding 18.4 points per game (67th) in terms of points permitted. They are 39th in the NCAA in terms of pass defense, giving up an average of 188.8 passing yards per game. Furthermore, Alabama’s run defense surrenders 124.5 rushing yards per game.
MICHIGAN PREVIEW: HOW WILL MICHIGAN BOUNCE BACK AFTER A LOSS?
Prior to their next matchup with Alabama, the Michigan Wolverines are undefeated at 13-0. In the last game they played, they defeated Iowa 26-0. Michigan has an ATS record of 7-5-1 going into this week’s game. They have an average scoring margin of +27.2 points per game and have been favored in all of their games thus far. Michigan has a 7-6 over/under record thus far this season. Their meetings have produced a total score of 46.2 points on average, with 47.5 points as the usual over/under.
Michigan’s offense ran for two scores against Iowa but failed to throw for a touchdown. They averaged 2.2 yards per rush attempt and 147 total passing yards, finishing with 216 total yards. J.J. McCarthy went 22 for 30 for a completion percentage of 73.3% versus Iowa, finishing with 147 yards. There was not a single passing or rushing score by the end of the game.
The defense of the Wolverines just finished a game in which they shut out the Hawkeyes while surrendering 155 yards in total. Against Michigan, Iowa ran the ball 24 times for 35 yards. In all, the Wolverines’ secondary surrendered 120 passing yards. The Wolverines’ defense leads the nation in quarterback hurries and has produced 32 sacks so far this season. They are conceding 9.5 points per game overall, which is 47th. They rank 13th in the NCAA against the pass with 152.6 passing yards allowed per contest. Every game, Michigan allows 87.1 running yards.
ALABAMA VS MICHIGAN BETTING ODDS, TRENDS & ANALYSIS
Michigan has performed admirably, going 5-0 in the last five meetings between these two teams.
Michigan has a 2-1 record against the spread in its last three games as the favorite versus Alabama.
Based on the point-spread, Michigan is presently favored to win by 1.5 by the bookmakers. It opened exactly where this figure is. Alabama presently has a 50% implied victory probability and a moneyline payout of +100 in the context of the moneyline odds. Conversely, the Wolverines have a moneyline of -121 and an implied win probability of 55%.
KEY BETTING TRENDS
- Alabama has a 5-5 overall record against the spread while playing on the road.
- Michigan has won four of the last five home games against the spread.
- In their last three games as an underdog, Michigan’s overall record against the spread is 2-1.
- Alabama has been favored seven out of the last 10 times, and they are 7-3 against the spread.
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