California vs Texas Tech Independence Bowl Preview

California vs Texas Tech Independence Bowl Preview

View our prediction for the first week for California vs Texas Tech to learn our thoughts on the winner and the spread in Shreveport.

  • 32.7 points are surrendered by the California defense each game.
  • Texas Tech ranks 67th with a passing completion rate of 60.2%.


The Texas Tech Red Raiders and California Golden Bears will kick off their game at 9:15 p.m. ET. ESPN will provide televised coverage of the event, which will take place at Independence Stadium in Shreveport, Louisiana.In this non-conference game, Texas Tech is the home team’s 3 point favorite over the Golden Bears. Continue reading for my analysis and suggested bets.


  • Sport:¬†College Football
  • Teams: Texas Tech Red Raiders vs. California Golden Bears
  • Where: Independence Stadium in Shreveport
  • Date: December 16, Saturday


In their most recent game, California defeated UCLA to move their record to.500. With a 6-6 record heading into this week’s game, the Golden Bears are now concentrated on it. The Golden Bears have been the underdog in seven games and the favorite in four coming into this week’s game against Texas Tech. They have a 6-5 ATS record going into the match. This season, California’s over/under record is 7-4. Their games have yielded a total of 64.2 points on average, with an average over/under line of 54.2 points.

Against UCLA, the Golden Bears’ offense finished with 302 total yards of offense. Of these yards, 124 were gained on the ground and 178 were gained in the air. They completed 6/15 on third down and passed for two touchdowns. Against UCLA, Fernando Mendoza completed his passing attempts with thirty. As a result, there were 178 passing yards and a 63.3% completion percentage. Notably, he also threw two interceptions throughout the victory.

The Golden Bears defense played a great game against UCLA, allowing just 7 points on 381 total yards allowed. UCLA completed the passing game with 309 yards. California conceded 2.1 yards per attempt right away. California’s defense surrenders 32.7 points per game, which puts them 138th in terms of points allowed. Teams are averaging 283.3 passing yards per game against them, which ranks 173rd in the country. They rank 54th in college football due to their 133.8 running yards allowed on the ground.


After their most recent loss against Texas, the Red Raiders fell back to.500. With a 6-6 record, they are now getting ready for this week’s match. Texas Tech has favored seven games thus far and been the underdog in three others. As a result, there has been an average scoring difference of -0.2 and an ATS record of 4-6. Texas Tech has a 4-6 over/under record thus far this season. Their matches have yielded a cumulative average score of 53.8 points, with an average over/under line of 56.8 points.

Texas Tech’s offense ran for one score against Texas but failed to throw for a touchdown. They ended up with 198 total yards, averaging 3.9 yards per rush attempt and 88 yards through throwing. QB Behren Morton attempted 36 passes against Texas in their most recent game. With 88 passing yards and a 52.8% completion percentage, he concluded the game. He also threw three interceptions throughout the defeat.

By the end of the game, Texas had gained a total of 663 yards against the Red Raiders defense. 199 yards were gained through the run defense, compared to 464 in the passing game. Texas Tech is ranked 115th in the nation in passing yards per game going into the contest on defense. When playing the Red Raiders, opponents pass the ball an average of 34.2 times per game. They are conceding 27 points per game on average, which ranks 105th in college football. They yield 118th-most running yards in the NCAA when it comes to stopping the run.


For Texas Tech, hosting California has proven to be a winning formula as they have gone 3-0.

In the past few meetings between California and Texas Tech, the team to bet on has been California, as they have gone a perfect 1-2 against the spread.

Texas Tech presently has a 3-point advantage and is the favorite away from home. The point spread has barely changed, remaining quite near to its starting values. California is assigned a 44% chance of winning with an ML payoff of +125 as of the moneyline odds. Conversely, with a moneyline of -155, the Red Raiders’ projected win percentage is 61%.


  • When examining California’s last five away games, they have a 2-3 record against the spread.
  • Texas Tech’s home record against the spread in the last three games is 1-2.
  • When Texas Tech entered a game as the underdog the previous five times, their overall record was 3-2.
  • In their previous ten games as the favorite, California is 6-4.

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