See who we believe will win and cover in Lynchburg in our week 14 college football prediction for New Mexico State vs Liberty by reading on for betting odds and analysis.

• The defense of New Mexico State is giving up 12.7 yards per completion.
• In passing yards, the Liberty Flames are ranked 92nd.

NEW MEXICO STATE VS LIBERTY PREDICTION

The New Mexico State Aggies and Liberty Flames will play at Williams Stadium (VA) in Lynchburg, Virginia on Friday, December 1st at 7:00 PM ET. There will be televised coverage of the game on CBSS.When two Conference USA clubs play each other at home, the Flames are 10.5 point favorites. Which wager on the spread is the best? See my analysis and breakdown of this clash below.

NEW MEXICO STATE VS. LIBERTY MATCHUP AT A GLANCE

• Sport: College Football
• Teams: Liberty Flames vs. New Mexico State Aggies
• Where: Williams Stadium in Lynchburg, Virginia
• Date: December 1st, Friday

NEW MEXICO STATE PREVIEW: WILL NEW MEXICO STATE REBOUND AFTER A LOSS?

New Mexico State defeated Jacksonville State 20–17, improving their record to 10–3 before of their game against Liberty this week. This season, New Mexico State has started four games as the favorite and six as the underdog. As of right now, their ATS record is 8-2. This season, New Mexico State has amassed an over/under record of 3–7. Their games have had an average combined score of 47.9 points, with a typical over/under line of 51.5 points.

The Aggies tried 34 passes through the air against Jacksonville State, gaining 269 yards and scoring one touchdown. They managed to average 3.9 yards per carry on the ground, good for one rushing touchdown. Diego Pavia, the quarterback, completed with 269 passing yards and a completion rate of 67.6% after throwing the ball 34 times against Jacksonville State. In the end, he did manage to throw two interceptions in the victory.

333 yards of offense were allowed by New Mexico State’s defense against Jacksonville State. They gave up 85 yards on the ground and 248 yards in the passing game. In terms of passing yards allowed per game, New Mexico State’s defense is rated 96th going into this contest. When facing the Aggies, opponents toss the ball 31.7 times on average. In terms of points allowed per game, they are 76th in NCAA football at 19.7. They rank 45th in the NCAA in terms of rushing yards allowed.

LIBERTY PREVIEW: WILL LIBERTY BOUNCE BACK FROM A LOSS?

The Liberty Flames are 12-0 as of this week’s game against New Mexico State, where they remain unbeaten. They defeated UTEP 42-28 in their most recent matchup. With respect to the spread, Liberty has a 7-3 record. Being the favorite in every game has helped this mark to emerge. The average over/under line in Liberty’s clashes over the course of 12 games is 57 points. With a cumulative average score of 61.8 points in these games, OU has a 7-3 record.

With 13 throw attempts in the end, the Flames gained 28 yards and one touchdown against UTEP. They scored five touchdowns on the ground while averaging 7.2 yards per carry in the running game. Kaidon Salter, the quarterback, completed 4 of 11 passes for 22 yards and had a quarterback rating of 75.19 in the victory over UTEP. He also scored one touchdown to close off the game.

Liberty’s defense allowed UTEP to score 271 yards of offense. They gave up 50 yards on the ground and 221 yards in the passing game. Entering this matchup, Liberty’s defense ranks 94th in terms of passing yards allowed per game. Against the Flames, opponents have attempted 35.8 passes on average. They are 78th in college football due to their 21.7 points per game against the opposition. They are ranked 26th in the NCAA for rush defense.

NEW MEXICO STATE VS LIBERTY BETTING ODDS, TRENDS & ANALYSIS

In the most recent match between the two teams, New Mexico State defeated Liberty 49–14. In the victory, the Aggies ran the ball effectively, amassing 214 yards on 43 attempts. Conversely, the Flames gained 207 yards by passing and rushed 108 yards.

Liberty began as home favorites by ten points, but the lines have since moved in their favor; they are currently at -10.5. Liberty has moved to -424 from its opening moneyline of -375, yielding an estimated win percentage of 81%. With a moneyline of +316, New Mexico State currently has implied odds of 24%. The opening line for the Aggies moneyline was +290.

KEY BETTING TRENDS

• When playing on the road, New Mexico State has an ATS mark of 5-0 vs. the spread.
• Liberty is 7-3 in their last ten home games.
• Looking back at the last five times Liberty went into a game as the underdog, their ATS mark was 5-0.
• The previous ten time that New Mexico State was favored, they are 8-2 against the spread.

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