See who we believe will win and cover in Las Vegas in our week 14 college football prediction for Boise State vs UNLV by reading on for betting odds and analysis.
- The passing yard average for Boise State is 229.6 yards per game.
- Against UNLV, opposing quarterbacks have an 86.2 passing rating.
BOISE STATE VS UNLV PREDICTION
Make plans to see the Broncos vs. Rebels 14 CFB game this week, which airs on FOX at 3:00 (12/2/23). Allegiant Stadium in Las Vegas (NV) will host the game.The Broncos are the 3 point road favorites in this Mountain West game. Will they be able to cover and win on the road?
BOISE STATE VS. UNLV MATCHUP AT A GLANCE
- Sport: College Football
- Teams: UNLV Rebels vs. Boise State Broncos
- Where: Allegiant Stadium in Las Vegas
- Date: December 2, Saturday
BOISE STATE PREVIEW: HOW WILL BOISE STATE RESPOND FROM A LOSS?
Boise State’s record is now 7-5 going into this week’s battle with UNLV after their 27-19 victory over Air Force. Boise State has a 5-5-1 record this season against the spread. In comparison, the Broncos have been the favorite in seven games and the underdog in four. Boise State has played 12 games this season and has a 7-4 over/under record. Their combined total points from games has been 57.2 on average.
Against Air Force, the Broncos completed 17 pass attempts, gaining 228 yards and one touchdown. They scored two touchdowns on the ground while averaging 5.0 yards per carry in the running game. Quarterback Taylen Green attempted 17 passes against Air Force in their previous game. At the end, he had 228 passing yards and a 76.5% completion percentage. He also threw two interceptions in the victory.
Against the Air Force, Boise State’s defense allowed 337 yards of offense. They gave up 206 yards on the ground and allowed 131 yards in the passing game. The Broncos’ defense ranks 170th in the league this season with 127.2 running yards allowed per game. When playing Boise State, opponents are averaging 254.8 passing yards, and their quarterbacks have an 87.2 passer rating. Right now, they are ranked 59th in terms of NCAA points permitted.
UNLV PREVIEW: WILL UNLV BULD OFF THEIR WIN?
UNLV’s record suffered, going to 9-3 after their most recent match versus San Jose State. The Rebels ultimately suffered a 37-31 defeat in the game. UNLV is 9-2 this season against the spread. Six times the Rebels have been favored against five times they have been the underdog. UNLV has a 7-4 over/under record this season. Their games have yielded a total of 61.1 points on average, with an over/under line of 54.8 points often set.
In terms of offense, the Rebels amassed 182 rushing yards and scored three touchdowns on the ground versus San Jose State. UNLV scored one goal and threw the ball 29 times for 229 yards in their passing attack. Quarterback Jayden Maiava finished with a QB rating of 101.08 in the defeat against San Jose State, completing 19 of 29 throws for 229 yards. In addition, he scored one touchdown during the contest.
484 yards of offense were allowed by UNLV’s defense against San Jose State. They gave up 235 yards on the ground and 249 yards in the passing game. With an average of 25.6 points per game, the UNLV defense is ranked 100th in terms of points allowed heading into this week’s matchup. They rank 119th nationally in passing yards allowed per game, with teams gaining 239.8 against them. With 152.6 running yards allowed against the run, they rank 89th in college football.
BOISE STATE VS UNLV BETTING ODDS, TRENDS & ANALYSIS
Boise State has won the last five meetings between these two teams in their head-to-head matchup, going 3-2 in that time.
Boise State has a 19 average scoring differential and a 2-1 record against the spread in the three most recent occasions they were favored versus UNLV.
Boise State was -2 point favorites when the lines began, but they are currently -3 (-114). UNLV is now the home underdog by +3 (-108) points. With respect to the moneyline odds, UNLV is presently favored to win with a 45% chance and a moneyline payout of +123. Conversely, the Broncos have a moneyline of -152 and an implied win probability of 60%.
KEY BETTING TRENDS
- Boise State has an ATS record of 1-3-1 against the spread while playing on the road.
- UNLV has won five of its previous six games at home against the spread.
- Rebels has a perfect record of 5-0 when playing as the underdog.
- Boise State has an ATS record of 4-1 when considering the past five times they were favored.
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