See our analysis and prediction for Ole Miss vs. Mississippi State in week 13 to learn who we think will win and cover in Starkville.
- In throwing yards, the Ole Miss Rebels are ranked 17th.
- The defense of Mississippi State allows 112th few points per game.
OLE MISS VS MISSISSIPPI STATE PREVIEW
The Rebels and Bulldogs square off in an NCAAF week 13 game at Davis Wade Stadium at 7:30 ET. Thursday, November 23rd is the day that everything will happen. ESPN will broadcast the action.The Rebels are 11.5 point road favorites against these SEC conference foes. Can they cover the spread and win on the road?
OLE MISS VS. MISSISSIPPI STATE MATCHUP AT A GLANCE
- Sport: College Football
- Teams: Mississippi State Bulldogs vs. Ole Miss Rebels
- Where: Davis Wade Stadium in Starkville
- Date: November 23, Thursday
OLE MISS PREVIEW: WILL OLE MISS REBOUND AFTER A LOSS?
With their 35-3 victory over UL Monroe, Ole Miss’ record has improved to 9-2 as they get ready for this week’s matchup with Mississippi State. The Rebels are playing at Mississippi State this week. Going into the game, they had been the underdog in three and the favorite in seven. They have a 5-4-1 ATS record going into the match. Ole Miss has a 4-6 over/under record thus far this season. Their matches have produced a total score of 60.2 points on average, with 60 points being the usual over/under line.
In the Rebels’ game against UL Monroe, they completed 36 passes for 371 yards and four touchdowns. They scored one rushing touchdown and averaged 3.4 yards per carry in the running game. Jaxson Dart threw for 310 yards against UL Monroe, good for a passer rating of 140.52. With 31 attempts at passing, he had a 77.4% completion rate.
The Rebels’ defense played a great game against UL Monroe, allowing just 3 points on 258 yards allowed. The passing game for UL Monroe totaled 66 yards. Ole Miss surrendered 4.2 yards per attempt up front. The Rebels’ defense ranks 117th in the league this season with 157 running yards allowed per game. When playing Ole Miss, opponents are averaging 221.2 passing yards, and their quarterbacks have a passer rating of 78.5. Right now, they are ranked 68th in terms of NCAA points permitted.
MISSISSIPPI STATE PREVIEW: WILL MISSISSIPPI STATE REBOUND AFTER A LOSS?
Mississippi State has a 5-6 overall record going into this match. They defeated Southern Miss 41–20 in their most recent game. This season, Mississippi State had a 2-7 record against the spread. In comparison, the Bulldogs have been the underdog in seven games and have been favored twice. Mississippi State’s contests have an average over/under line of 48 points spread over 11 games. With an average total score of 50.6 points over these games, OU has a 6-3 record.
Against Southern Miss, the Bulldogs completed 27 pass attempts, gaining 144 yards and two touchdowns. They gained one rushing touchdown and averaged 5.6 yards per carry in the rushing game. Quarterback Will Rogers finished with an 86.03 quarterback rating in the victory over Southern Miss, completing 12 of 27 passes for 144 yards. In addition, he scored two touchdowns during the contest.
Mississippi State gave up 246 yards versus Southern Miss on defense. This entails surrendering 141 passing yards and 105 yards permitted on the ground. As they get ready for this game, Mississippi State’s defense is ranked 134th in terms of passing yards allowed per game. The Bulldogs have allowed opponents to attempt 28.5 passes on average. They are currently ranked 112th in college football after giving up 27.5 points per game thus far. They rank 63rd in the NCAA’s rush defense category.
OLE MISS VS MISSISSIPPI STATE BETTING ODDS, TRENDS & ANALYSIS
Ole Miss will be seeking retribution in this week’s game as Mississippi State prevailed 24-22 in their most previous meeting. With an average of 2.6 yards per attempt, Mississippi State’s rushing attack finished with 97 rushing yards. They allowed Ole Miss to score 335 yards of offense on defense.
Ole Miss is now a -11.5 (-110) point favorite, down from their opening line of -13.5 points. At the moment, Mississippi State is a +11.5 (-110) point home underdog. The Rebels’ initial odds were -590, but as of right now, their moneyline payout is -451. As of right now, Ole Miss has 82% of the implied victory probabilities, while Mississippi State has 23%.
KEY BETTING TRENDS
- Ole Miss has a 2-3 record away from home against the spread.
The previous 10 home games for Mississippi State’s ATS record is 4-6.
In their last five games as an underdog, Mississippi State has a 1-4 ATS record.
Looking back, Ole Miss’s ATS record was 1-1-1 during the last three times they were favored.
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