Eagles vs Patriots Preseason NFL Prediction: Who Will Win Philadelphia vs New England on August 22, 2026?

Eagles vs Patriots Preseason NFL Prediction: The Philadelphia Eagles travel to Gillette Stadium to face the New England Patriots in NFL Preseason Week 2 on Saturday, August 22, 2026. Philadelphia enters at 0-1 after a 24-7 loss to Baltimore, while New England is 0-0-1 following a 13-13 tie against Indianapolis. The Eagles are approximately 1.5-point road favorites, with the total set at 36.5 points. Philadelphia struggled badly on offense in its opener, while New England’s defense forced four turnovers. The Eagles vs Patriots Preseason NFL Prediction is New England +1.5, with a projected final score of Patriots 17, Eagles 13.

Eagles vs Patriots Preseason NFL Prediction and Pick

The best Eagles vs Patriots Preseason NFL Prediction is to take New England +1.5.

Philadelphia’s first preseason performance created serious questions about its offensive execution. The Eagles produced only 159 total yards against Baltimore, failed to convert any of their nine third-down opportunities and scored just seven points.

New England wasn’t particularly explosive offensively either, but the Patriots showed a significant defensive strength by forcing four turnovers against Indianapolis.

That combination makes the home underdog particularly appealing.

New England is also playing its second consecutive preseason game at Gillette Stadium, while Philadelphia is traveling for its second exhibition game. With both teams likely to rely heavily on backup personnel, the 1.5-point cushion could prove valuable in what projects as a low-scoring contest.

Prediction: New England Patriots 17, Philadelphia Eagles 13

Best Bet: Patriots +1.5

Total Pick: Under 36.5

What Are the Eagles vs Patriots Preseason Odds?

The current Eagles vs Patriots Preseason NFL Prediction market has Philadelphia listed as a slight road favorite.

Betting Market | Eagles | Patriots
Moneyline | -135 | +114
Spread | -1.5 | +1.5
Total | 36.5 | 36.5
Record | 0-1 | 0-0-1
Location | Away | Home

Philadelphia’s moneyline price indicates that the Eagles are expected to have a modest advantage, but the spread is only 1.5 points.

That is an important distinction.

The market isn’t expecting Philadelphia to dominate. Instead, the Eagles are being priced as a narrow favorite despite their poor Week 1 offensive performance.

That creates an opportunity to take the home team with points.

New England only needs to lose by one point or win outright for the +1.5 spread to cash.

Why Are the Patriots the Preferred Side?

The biggest reason behind this Eagles vs Patriots Preseason NFL Prediction is the matchup between Philadelphia’s struggling offense and a New England defense that generated four turnovers in Week 1.

Philadelphia couldn’t sustain drives against Baltimore.

The Eagles had:

159 total yards

76 rushing yards

83 net passing yards

Six first downs

0-for-9 on third down

10 penalties

96 penalty yards

18:43 time of possession

Those numbers are difficult to ignore.

The Eagles were held scoreless through three quarters and didn’t reach the end zone until the fourth quarter.

New England’s offense wasn’t much better, but the Patriots gave themselves additional opportunities by repeatedly taking the ball away.

Four takeaways can dramatically alter a preseason game.

If New England’s defense creates even a couple of turnovers against Philadelphia, the Patriots could have enough short-field opportunities to win outright.

Eagles Offensive Preview

Philadelphia’s offense is the biggest concern entering Week 2.

The Eagles scored only seven points in their preseason opener and generated 159 total yards.

The passing game was especially ineffective.

Andy Dalton completed 3-of-6 passes for 20 yards.

Tanner McKee completed 6-of-10 for 35 yards.

Cole Payton completed 4-of-9 for 37 yards and a touchdown.

Combined, the quarterbacks struggled to consistently move the football.

Payton did provide some production with his legs, rushing three times for 45 yards, but Philadelphia couldn’t turn that into sustained offensive success.

The Eagles also went 0-for-9 on third down.

That is arguably the most concerning statistic in the entire Eagles vs Patriots Preseason NFL Prediction.

Third-down conversions keep drives alive.

Philadelphia simply wasn’t doing that against Baltimore.

Can Philadelphia Bounce Back?

Absolutely.

Preseason games are extremely volatile, and one poor performance doesn’t necessarily mean an offense will struggle throughout August.

The Eagles also have a coaching staff capable of making adjustments.

However, bettors aren’t being asked to predict whether Philadelphia will eventually improve.

The question is whether the Eagles deserve to lay 1.5 points on the road after producing only 159 yards in their opener.

That’s a much harder proposition.

Philadelphia needs to demonstrate better quarterback play, more efficient third-down execution and fewer penalties before it becomes attractive as a road favorite.

Until that happens, taking the points with New England makes more sense.

Patriots Offensive Preview

New England scored 13 points against Indianapolis.

The Patriots entered halftime with a 10-7 lead and led 13-7 after three quarters before Indianapolis scored the game’s final six points.

Tommy DeVito completed 13-of-22 passes for 138 yards and one touchdown.

Behren Morton also received playing time.

On the ground, Jam Miller led the Patriots with 14 carries for 55 yards.

The Patriots weren’t particularly explosive, but they were able to produce enough offense to stay competitive.

The bigger issue was their failure to capitalize fully on turnovers.

New England’s defense generated four takeaways, but the offense turned those extra possessions into only 13 total points.

That is something the Patriots need to improve.

Against an Eagles defense that allowed 440 yards to Baltimore, there should be opportunities to generate more production.

Drake Maye’s Absence Matters

Drake Maye did not play in New England’s preseason opener, and the Patriots are expected to continue managing their starting quarterback’s workload during August.

That means the quarterback rotation remains central to the Eagles vs Patriots Preseason NFL Prediction.

Backup quarterbacks will likely account for significant portions of the game.

That generally increases variance.

A backup quarterback can suddenly generate explosive plays, but he can also make mistakes that result in turnovers or stalled drives.

New England’s ability to create turnovers makes this particularly interesting.

If the Patriots defense can consistently give its quarterbacks short fields, New England won’t need a high-volume passing attack to score enough points.

Patriots Defense Is the Key

New England’s defense was the most impressive part of its preseason opener.

The Patriots forced four turnovers against Indianapolis.

Two were interceptions and two were fumble recoveries.

That is exactly the kind of defensive performance that can win preseason games.

The Patriots also held Indianapolis to 13 points.

Philadelphia’s offense scored only seven points against Baltimore.

Those two trends point toward a relatively low-scoring matchup.

New England doesn’t need to completely shut down the Eagles.

If the Patriots hold Philadelphia around 13-17 points and generate one or two turnovers, the home team should have an excellent chance to cover +1.5.

Philadelphia Defense Wasn’t Completely Bad

Although the Eagles lost 24-7, their defense did make several important plays.

Philadelphia forced two Baltimore turnovers, including an interception and a fumble recovery.

The problem was consistency.

Baltimore still generated 440 total yards and 31 first downs.

The Ravens threw for 298 net yards and rushed for 142.

Philadelphia’s defense therefore produced some splash plays without consistently stopping Baltimore’s offense.

Against New England’s backup-heavy offense, the Eagles could have a much easier matchup.

That is one reason the Patriots cannot be considered an overwhelming favorite despite the Eagles’ Week 1 struggles.

The Two Joint Practices Matter

The Eagles and Patriots have two joint practices scheduled before Saturday’s game.

That is an important piece of the Eagles vs Patriots Preseason NFL Prediction.

Joint practices often provide starters with more meaningful competitive work than preseason games.

When teams get extended live reps against another opponent during practice, coaches may have less reason to expose key players during the actual exhibition game.

That can lead to even more backup-heavy football.

For bettors, that increases the importance of quarterback depth, defensive depth and roster-bubble players.

It also makes a close, lower-scoring game more likely.

Instead of assuming Philadelphia will play its starters extensively because it lost its opener, the joint-practice schedule needs to be considered when evaluating expected playing time.

Why the Total Is 36.5

The total of 36.5 points reflects expectations for another low-scoring preseason game.

Philadelphia and Baltimore combined for only 31 points.

New England and Indianapolis combined for 26.

Those results provide a strong starting point for the Under.

The Eagles scored only seven points.

The Patriots scored 13.

Neither offense has demonstrated enough consistency to justify assuming a major scoring explosion.

The joint practices could further reduce the amount of time key offensive players spend on the field.

That makes Under 36.5 the preferred total.

Eagles vs Patriots Over/Under Analysis

There is still a reasonable argument for the Over.

Philadelphia’s defense allowed 440 yards in Week 1, while New England’s defense gave up opportunities despite forcing turnovers.

If the Patriots fail to repeat their takeaway performance, the Eagles could sustain more drives.

Philadelphia’s offense is also unlikely to remain as inefficient as it was against Baltimore forever.

Even a modest improvement could push the Eagles into the high teens.

But the Over needs both offenses to contribute.

A 20-17 final would produce 37 points and barely clear the total.

The projected score of 17-13 produces only 30 points.

Given the available evidence, expecting a shootout requires too much improvement from both offenses simultaneously.

The Under therefore offers the cleaner total position.

Eagles vs Patriots Betting Trends

The most important betting information here is less about long-term trends and more about the immediate preseason form of both teams.

Philadelphia scored only seven points in Week 1.

New England scored 13.

The Eagles failed all nine third-down attempts.

The Patriots forced four turnovers.

Those statistics directly support New England +1.5 and Under 36.5.

The market is already accounting for some of Philadelphia’s offensive concerns by making the Eagles only a small favorite.

However, the price still gives the Patriots home-field advantage plus 1.5 points.

That is enough to make New England the preferred side.

What Is the Best Eagles vs Patriots Preseason Bet?

The best Eagles vs Patriots Preseason NFL Prediction bet is New England Patriots +1.5.

The Patriots have the more encouraging defensive profile.

They forced four turnovers in Week 1.

They also held Indianapolis to 13 points and are playing at home for the second consecutive preseason game.

Philadelphia, meanwhile, scored seven points and failed to convert a single third down against Baltimore.

Those factors make it difficult to justify laying points with the Eagles.

The Patriots don’t need to be dramatically better.

They simply need to keep the game close.

Given the 1.5-point spread, that is a reasonable expectation.

Should You Bet the Patriots Moneyline?

The Patriots moneyline is around +114.

That offers additional value compared with simply taking +1.5 points, but it also introduces more risk.

A 16-14 Eagles victory would cover the Patriots spread but lose the moneyline.

For that reason, New England +1.5 is the preferred wager.

However, bettors looking for plus-money exposure can consider the Patriots moneyline because the game projects to be extremely close.

A one-score game is the most likely scenario.

The difference between +1.5 and +114 ultimately comes down to risk tolerance, but the spread provides more protection.

Why the Under Is Attractive

The Eagles vs Patriots Preseason NFL Prediction also favors the Under 36.5.

The strongest argument is the lack of offensive production from both teams in Week 1.

Philadelphia produced only 159 yards.

New England scored just 13 points despite four takeaways.

The Eagles were unable to convert a single third down.

New England’s offense failed to capitalize consistently on favorable field position.

Those are not the ingredients of a high-scoring game.

The joint practices could also mean limited playing time for key offensive players.

That increases the likelihood that the game becomes a battle between backup quarterbacks and depth players.

Turnovers Could Decide the Game

Turnovers are often one of the biggest variables in preseason football.

The Patriots forced four in their opener.

The Eagles forced two.

Both defenses have already demonstrated the ability to generate extra possessions.

However, New England’s four-turnover performance is particularly relevant because Philadelphia’s offense looked vulnerable to disruption.

Backup quarterbacks generally make more mistakes than established starters.

If New England can pressure Philadelphia’s quarterbacks into hurried decisions, another multi-turnover performance is possible.

That could produce enough short fields for the Patriots to win without needing a prolific offense.

Time of Possession Could Be Important

Philadelphia held the ball for only 18:43 against Baltimore.

Baltimore controlled possession for 41:17.

That extreme disparity prevented Philadelphia from establishing offensive rhythm.

The Eagles need to improve their ability to sustain drives.

New England should be capable of controlling the tempo if its defense continues generating stops and turnovers.

A slower game favors the Patriots plus the points because every possession becomes more valuable.

It also supports the Under.

If the teams trade punts and field goals rather than touchdowns, 36.5 becomes a difficult number to reach.

Penalties Hurt Philadelphia

Philadelphia committed 10 penalties for 96 yards in its preseason opener.

That is another factor supporting the Patriots.

Penalties kill drives.

They also create favorable field position for the opponent.

A team struggling on third down cannot afford repeated negative plays.

Philadelphia went 0-for-9 on third down while simultaneously committing 10 penalties.

That combination made offensive consistency nearly impossible.

If the Eagles clean up those mistakes, their performance should improve.

But until they prove they can eliminate the self-inflicted damage, backing them as road favorites carries risk.

Eagles vs Patriots Prediction: Key Matchup

The key matchup is Philadelphia’s quarterback rotation against New England’s turnover-generating defense.

The Eagles need their quarterbacks to make quicker decisions and sustain drives.

The Patriots need to create pressure and force mistakes.

If New England wins that matchup, the Patriots should cover.

If Philadelphia suddenly fixes its third-down problems and generates consistent passing production, the Eagles could easily win by multiple points.

Based on the Week 1 evidence, the first scenario appears more likely.

Eagles vs Patriots Preseason Prediction: Final Score

The projected final score is:

New England Patriots 17, Philadelphia Eagles 13

That score reflects the most important characteristics of the matchup.

New England should benefit from playing at Gillette Stadium and from its defense’s ability to generate turnovers.

Philadelphia should improve somewhat offensively, but there is not enough evidence to expect a dramatic jump from seven points to a high-scoring performance.

A 17-13 Patriots victory produces 30 total points.

That would comfortably stay below the 36.5-point total.

It would also give New England a four-point victory, allowing the Patriots to cover +1.5.

Eagles vs Patriots Preseason NFL Prediction: Final Pick

The Eagles vs Patriots Preseason NFL Prediction favors the Patriots.

Philadelphia has more work to do offensively after a disastrous Week 1 performance. The Eagles managed only 159 yards, six first downs and zero third-down conversions against Baltimore.

New England wasn’t explosive, but the Patriots forced four turnovers and held Indianapolis to 13 points.

The combination of home-field advantage, defensive playmaking and Philadelphia’s offensive uncertainty makes Patriots +1.5 the preferred side.

The total also points toward a defensive battle.

Both teams scored fewer than 15 points in their preseason openers, and neither offense showed enough consistency to make an Over 36.5 wager attractive.

Eagles vs Patriots Preseason NFL Prediction: New England Patriots +1.5

Projected Score: New England Patriots 17, Philadelphia Eagles 13

Best Bet: Patriots +1.5

Total Pick: Under 36.5

Eagles vs Patriots Preseason NFL Prediction FAQ

Who is favored in Eagles vs Patriots preseason?

The Philadelphia Eagles are approximately 1.5-point road favorites over the New England Patriots.

What is the Eagles vs Patriots preseason prediction?

The prediction is for the New England Patriots to defeat the Philadelphia Eagles 17-13. The preferred spread pick is New England +1.5.

What is the Eagles vs Patriots over/under?

The total is approximately 36.5 points. The preferred total pick is Under 36.5.

Why are the Patriots the pick against the Eagles?

Philadelphia struggled significantly in its preseason opener, producing only 159 yards and failing to convert any of nine third-down attempts. New England forced four turnovers against Indianapolis and is playing at home.

What happened in the Eagles’ preseason opener?

Philadelphia lost 24-7 to Baltimore. The Eagles had only 159 total yards, six first downs and 0-for-9 third-down conversion rate.

How did the Patriots perform in Week 1?

New England tied Indianapolis 13-13. The Patriots led for most of the game and forced four turnovers but struggled to convert those extra possessions into touchdowns.

What is the best Eagles vs Patriots preseason bet?

The best Eagles vs Patriots Preseason NFL Prediction bet is New England +1.5.

Should you bet the Over or Under?

The preferred total is Under 36.5. The two teams combined for only 57 points in their Week 1 games, and both offenses showed significant inconsistencies.

What is the projected score?

The projected final score is Patriots 17, Eagles 13, for 30 total points.