Sabres vs Canadiens Prediction & Picks – NHL Playoffs Game 6

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Sabres vs Canadiens Prediction – 5-16-2026 – NHL Betting Picks

On the evening of Saturday, May 16, at eight o’clock Eastern Time (ET), the Montreal Canadiens will play host to the Buffalo Sabres for Game 6 of the Second Round of the National Hockey League Playoffs. In the series, the Canadiens now have a 3-2 advantage. When compared to the Sabres (+134), the Canadiens are favored by a score of 159.

In preparation for watching this battle, here is a look at which team we believe will emerge victorious in the NHL Playoffs Second Round action that will take place on Saturday of this week.

Before the fourth game of the series, Lindy Ruff made a number of adjustments, which ultimately led to the Buffalo Sabres achieving victory over the Montreal Canadiens. Following their defeat in Game 5, the Sabres are playing with their backs against the wall. As a result, the head coach of the Sabres may be forced to make the most difficult lineup decision he has ever made in the whole playoffs, which would involve splitting up the top line.

Ever since the break for the Olympic Games, the Sabres have almost entirely utilized Tage Thompson, Peyton Krebs, and Alex Tuch as their top line. In the 27 games that they played throughout the regular season, they were able to outscore their opponents by a score of 17 to 8. This was a productive bunch.

It has been a completely different tale for this line throughout this series, as they have been outscored by a score of 5 to 0, and the chances of scoring have been massively favored by the opponent by a score of 31 to 15. Due to the fact that this is the stat line for the players that should be considered your best players, teams are not likely to win consistently.

In the fifth game of the series, when the Sabres were already trailing by three goals, they began to switch up their lineups and shifted Konsta Helenius to the top line, where he would play alongside Thompson and Tuch. Despite the fact that it did not result in any goals, it brings to light the fact that Ruff is considering making changes to the top line.

As a result of the Sabres having a day off tomorrow, they now have the opportunity to thoroughly assess the lines and determine which combination of players would be most effective for their top line. The simple solution would be to reposition a center so that they may play alongside Thompson and Tuch, but this might not be sufficient.

In particular, Tuch has had a terrible series versus the Canadiens, as he has not scored any points and has a plus/minus of -8 ratings. Following the conclusion of the game, Ruff expressed his belief that Tuch may have lost some of the confidence that he had previously possessed.

It is perhaps for this reason that it is the best course of action to move Tuch off of the top line and relieve him of some of the burden. It is possible that he will be able to rediscover some of the form that he had during the series against the Boston Bruins if he is given the opportunity to play against superior opponents.

If the Sabres want to have the best players on their top line, the coaching staff has no alternative but to move Zach Benson and Josh Doan to the top line with Tage Thompson at center. This is a risk, but it is the only option they have. There is no doubt that Benson and Doan have been the two greatest players for the Sabres throughout this series. If Thompson were to have that production with him, it might help him dig himself out of his slump.

Taking things one game at a time, the Sabres need to win their next two games in order to keep their season alive. However, they must proceed with caution. It is imperative that they do not leave anything on the table, and for the Sabres, this means that they must break up their top line in order to revive their attack.

Our Sabres vs Canadiens Pick: CANADIENS

Sabres vs Canadiens Prediction – 5-16-2026 – NHL Betting Trends

Canadiens had a record of 48-24-10 overall and 16-12-28 in games that went into overtime.

In the 38 games that Montreal has played, all of which were decided by a single goal, the team has accumulated 53 points (23-8-7).

Only one goal has been scored by the Canadiens in their five games played so far this season, and they have a record of 1-4-0, yielding two points.

This season, Montreal has played 18 games and has a record of 5-11-2 with 12 points. They have scored two goals.

In 66 games, the Canadiens have scored at least three goals, accumulating 107 points with a record of 49-8-9.

When Montreal has scored a single power-play goal in each of the 31 games that it has played, the team has a record of 20-9-2 and 42 points.

Montreal has a record of 19-17-2 (40 points) in the 38 games this season in which it has recorded a better shot percentage than its opponent.

In 52 games, the Canadiens’ opponents have had a greater number of shots on goal. The Canadiens finished with 76 points after a record of 33-9-10 in those contests.

All things considered, the Sabres have a record of 8-10-18 in games that have gone into overtime this season. Their overall record is 50-23-9.

In the 24 games that Buffalo has played and won by a margin of one goal, the team has accumulated 33 points (12-3-9) in total.

Only one goal has been scored by the Sabres in their ten games played so far this season, and they have gained a total of two points (0-8-2) from those games.

In the current season, Buffalo has gained a total of 12 points, with a record of 6-11-0, when they have scored two goals.

Over the course of their 50-5-8 record, the Sabres have scored more than two goals 63 times, accumulating 108 points from those contests.

During the current season, Buffalo has played 29 games and has only scored one goal on the power play. However, they have accumulated 41 points from those games.

The Buffalo Bills have a record of 24-14-2 (50 points) when they have outshot their opponent this season.

During the 52 games, the Sabres’ opponents have had a greater number of shots. The Sabres finished with a record of 31-13-8 (70 points) in those contests.

Sabres vs Canadiens Prediction – 5-16-2026 – Head to Head

Date | Team | Opp | Close | Result | PL/OU
May 14, 2026 | Canadiens | @Sabres | -107 / 6 | Won 6-3 | Won / Over
May 12, 2026 | Canadiens | Sabres | -151 / 6.5 | Lost 2-3 | Lost / Under
May 10, 2026 | Canadiens | Sabres | -134 / 5.5 | Won 6-2 | Won / Over
May 8, 2026 | Canadiens | @Sabres | +110 / 5.5 | Won 5-1 | Won / Over
May 6, 2026 | Canadiens | @Sabres | +120 / 5.5 | Lost 2-4 | Lost / Over
Jan 31, 2026 | Canadiens | @Sabres | +105 / 6.5 | Won 4-2 | Won / Under
Jan 22, 2026 | Canadiens | Sabres | -120 / 6.5 | Lost 2-4 | Lost / Under
Jan 15, 2026 | Canadiens | @Sabres | -125 / 6.5 | Lost 3-5 | Lost / Over
Oct 20, 2025 | Canadiens | Sabres | -150 / 6.5 | Won 4-2 | Won / Under
Mar 3, 2025 | Canadiens | Sabres | -126 / 6.5 | Won 4-3 | Lost / Over

Sabres vs Canadiens Prediction – 5-16-2026 – Buffalo Last 10 Games

Date | Opponent | Score | Spread | Total | Moneyline

5/14/26

MTL

L 6-3

L-1.5

O5.5

L-118

5/12/26

@MTL

W 3-2

W+1.5

U6.5

W+112

5/10/26

@MTL

L 6-2

L+1.5

O5.5

L+110

5/08/26

MTL

L 5-1

L-1.5

O5.5

L-130

5/06/26

MTL

W 4-2

W-1.5

O5.5

W-133

5/01/26

@BOS

W 4-1

W-1.5

U5.5

W-118

4/28/26

BOS

L 2-1

L-1.5

U5.5

L-150

4/26/26

@BOS

W 6-1

W+1.5

O5.5

W-178

4/23/26

@BOS

W 3-1

W+1.5

U5.5

W-117

4/21/26

BOS

L 4-2

L-1.5

U6.5

L-122

Sabres vs Canadiens Prediction – 5-16-2026 – Montreal Last 10 Games

Date | Opponent | Score | Spread | Total | Moneyline

5/14/26

@BUF

W 6-3

W+1.5

O5.5

W-102

5/12/26

BUF

L 3-2

L-1.5

U6.5

L-134

5/10/26

BUF

W 6-2

W-1.5

O5.5

W-132

5/08/26

@BUF

W 5-1

W+1.5

O5.5

W+108

5/06/26

@BUF

L 4-2

L+1.5

O5.5

L+105

5/03/26

@TB

W 2-1

W+1.5

U5.5

W+135

5/01/26

TB

L 1-0

W+1.5

U5.5

L-186

4/29/26

@TB

W 3-2

W+1.5

U5.5

W+146

4/26/26

TB

L 3-2

W+1.5

U6.5

L-117

4/24/26

TB

W 3-2

W+1.5

U6

W-117

Sabres vs Canadiens Prediction – 5-16-2026 – Buffalo Offense

Overall

BUF Offense | Off. Rank | Stat | Def. Rank | MON Defense
3.42 | 7 | Goals Scored | 24 | 3.28
27.56 | 19 | Shots | 13 | 27.35
20.12 | 16 | PP/PK Percentage | 25 | 23.12

Goals

BUF Offense | Off. Rank | Stat | Def. Rank | MON Defense
3.42 | 7 | Goals Scored | 24 | 3.28
1.02 | 8 | 1st Period | 13 | 0.82
1.21 | 4 | 2nd Period | 29 | 1.25
1.09 | 18 | 3rd Period | 12 | 1.07

Shots

BUF Offense | Off. Rank | Stat | Def. Rank | MON Defense
27.56 | 19 | Shots | 13 | 27.35
8.67 | 20 | 1st Period | 6 | 8.26
10.30 | 6 | 2nd Period | 9 | 9.30
8.30 | 24 | 3rd Period | 21 | 9.19

Sabres vs Canadiens Prediction – 5-16-2026 – Montreal Offense

Overall

BUF Defense | Def. Rank | Stat | Off. Rank | MON Offense
3.09 | 15 | Goals Scored | 3 | 3.49
29.98 | 28 | Shots | 24 | 26.23
17.53 | 7 | PP/PK Percentage | 7 | 23.93

Goals

BUF Defense | Def. Rank | Stat | Off. Rank | MON Offense
3.09 | 15 | Goals Scored | 3 | 3.49
1.04 | 29 | 1st Period | 10 | 1.00
0.84 | 2 | 2nd Period | 11 | 1.11
1.11 | 18 | 3rd Period | 8 | 1.19

Shots

BUF Defense | Def. Rank | Stat | Off. Rank | MON Offense
29.98 | 28 | Shots | 24 | 26.23
9.39 | 25 | 1st Period | 25 | 8.39
10.25 | 23 | 2nd Period | 24 | 9.11
9.98 | 29 | 3rd Period | 29 | 7.95

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Sabres vs Canadiens Prediction and Pick, 5-16-2026, by YouWager.lv.