Red Sox vs Marlins Betting Prediction: Can Boston Continue Its Strong Run Against Miami?

Red Sox vs Marlins Betting Prediction for Aug. 24: Compare Boston’s form, Ranger Suarez, Miami’s trends and key MLB betting factors.

The Red Sox vs Marlins Betting Prediction leans toward Boston in the series opener on Monday, August 24, 2026. The Red Sox enter the matchup having won five of their last seven games and are averaging seven runs over their last five contests, a major increase from their season scoring rate. Boston also has a strong recent history against Miami, winning five of the last nine listed meetings between the teams and taking three of the four games played in their most recent series in August 2025.

Ranger Suarez is scheduled to start for Boston. He has posted a 3.41 ERA across 113.1 innings, with 101 hits allowed, 46 earned runs, 113 strikeouts and 33 walks. Miami has not yet announced its starting pitcher for Monday.

Based on the supplied matchup information, recent form and starting-pitching edge, Boston is the preferred side in this Red Sox vs Marlins Betting Prediction.

Game Information

Matchup: Boston Red Sox vs. Miami Marlins

Date: Monday, August 24, 2026

Time: 6:40 p.m. ET

Location: Miami, Florida

Series: Opening game of a three-game series

Boston Starting Pitcher: Ranger Suarez

Miami Starting Pitcher: TBD

Boston Record: Recent form includes five wins in its last seven games

Miami Recent Form: Two consecutive wins entering the series

TV: Marlins.TV and NESN

Livestream: Fubo

Recommended Side: Boston Red Sox

Table of Contents

Red Sox vs Marlins Betting Prediction

Why Boston Is the Preferred Side

Ranger Suarez Gives Boston a Starting-Pitching Edge

Boston’s Recent Form

Miami’s Recent Form

Red Sox vs Marlins Head-to-Head Results

Offensive Comparison

Pitching Comparison

Bullpen and Late-Game Factors

Best Betting Factors

Series Schedule

Final Pick

FAQ

Red Sox vs Marlins Betting Prediction

The biggest factor in this Red Sox vs Marlins Betting Prediction is the combination of Boston’s current offensive momentum and its established starting-pitching option. The Red Sox are coming off a 3-2 victory over San Francisco on Saturday after defeating the Giants 6-4 on Friday. Those results followed a mixed stretch against Arizona and Pittsburgh, but Boston has still won five of its last seven games.

That recent form is especially noteworthy because the Red Sox have been producing considerably more offense than their normal season average. Boston is averaging seven runs over its last five games, which is 54.6% above its season average according to the supplied matchup information.

Miami also enters the series with momentum. The Marlins have won their last two games against Washington, taking a 3-2 decision Friday before winning 4-2 Saturday. However, Miami went through a difficult stretch immediately before those victories, losing three straight games to Philadelphia.

For this Red Sox vs Marlins Betting Prediction, Boston’s more convincing overall offensive surge and the presence of Suarez give the visitors an attractive profile.

Why Boston Is the Preferred Side

There are several reasons the Red Sox vs Marlins Betting Prediction favors Boston.

First, Boston has been one of the better offensive teams during its recent stretch. The Red Sox scored 11 runs against Arizona on August 17, followed that with nine runs against the Diamondbacks on August 18, and then produced seven runs against Toronto on August 13. Although the club has also experienced some lower-scoring games, the ceiling of this offense is significant.

Second, Boston has multiple hitters producing strong individual numbers. Willson Contreras owns a .285 batting average, .395 on-base percentage and .538 slugging percentage. Wilyer Abreu has a .469 slugging percentage, while Ceddanne Rafaela is batting .286.

Third, Suarez provides a reliable starting option. His 3.41 ERA ranks among Boston’s better marks among the listed starting pitchers. He has also struck out 113 hitters in 113.1 innings while walking only 33.

Finally, Boston has historically performed well against Miami in the supplied head-to-head results. The Red Sox won three consecutive games against the Marlins in August 2025, scoring 14 runs across those victories.

The Red Sox vs Marlins Betting Prediction therefore has Boston as the side to watch, particularly if the eventual moneyline does not require an excessive price.

Ranger Suarez Gives Boston a Starting-Pitching Edge

One of the strongest arguments in this Red Sox vs Marlins Betting Prediction is Ranger Suarez.

Suarez has worked 113.1 innings this season and owns a 5-3 record with a 3.41 ERA. He has surrendered 101 hits and 46 earned runs while recording 113 strikeouts and 33 walks.

His 3.41 ERA is particularly useful in a matchup where Miami’s starting pitcher remains unknown. Until the Marlins announce their starter, Boston possesses the more clearly defined pitching profile.

Suarez’s strikeout total also matters. He has averaged almost one strikeout per inning based on the supplied statistics, while his 33 walks across 113.1 innings indicate reasonable control. Limiting free passes can be particularly important on the road because unnecessary baserunners can quickly create pressure.

The Red Sox vs Marlins Betting Prediction is therefore supported by a measurable pitching advantage at the top of the game.

Boston’s listed starting pitchers have also performed well overall. Sonny Gray has a 2.79 ERA and a 16-3 record across 138.2 innings, while Payton Tolle owns a 3.08 ERA across 120 innings. Suarez’s 3.41 ERA places him behind those two in the supplied rotation statistics but still gives Boston a strong starter for the series opener.

Boston’s Recent Form

Recent form is a central component of the Red Sox vs Marlins Betting Prediction.

Boston has gone 5-2 over its last seven games. The Red Sox opened that stretch with a 7-0 victory over Toronto on August 13, then lost 8-4 to Pittsburgh on August 14. They bounced back with a 4-0 win against the Pirates on August 15 before losing 8-3 on August 16.

Boston then exploded offensively against Arizona.

The Red Sox won 11-1 on August 17 and 9-4 on August 18. They lost a 7-6 game to the Diamondbacks on August 19 before taking two straight games from San Francisco. Boston won 6-4 on August 21 and followed it with a 3-2 victory on August 22.

That sequence demonstrates both the ceiling and volatility of the Red Sox offense.

Boston has scored at least six runs in several of its recent victories, while its pitching staff has also produced some strong performances. The 3-2 victory over San Francisco is particularly relevant because it shows Boston can win games without needing an offensive explosion.

For the Red Sox vs Marlins Betting Prediction, that versatility is valuable.

Miami’s Recent Form

Miami enters the matchup at a different point in its recent schedule.

The Marlins have won consecutive games against Washington, beating the Nationals 3-2 on August 21 and 4-2 on August 22. Before that, however, Miami lost three consecutive games to Philadelphia.

The Marlins dropped a 6-5 decision to the Phillies on August 17, lost 6-4 on August 18 and then fell 4-1 on August 19.

Miami had previously shown stronger offensive production against Cincinnati, beating the Reds 8-4 and 7-1 on August 15 and August 16. The Marlins also defeated Pittsburgh 8-2 on August 12.

This creates an interesting contrast.

The Marlins have demonstrated that they can generate runs, but their offense has been less consistent than Boston’s recent production. Miami’s two latest victories were both relatively low-scoring, with the club scoring four runs in each.

The Red Sox vs Marlins Betting Prediction therefore gives Boston the advantage in offensive upside while recognizing that Miami has enough recent momentum to make the matchup competitive.

Red Sox vs Marlins Head-to-Head Results

Historical meetings provide another important element of the Red Sox vs Marlins Betting Prediction.

The most recent listed series took place in August 2025. Boston won the second and third games of that series, while Miami won the opener.

On August 15, 2025, Boston defeated Miami 2-1. The following day, Boston won 7-5. Miami responded with a 5-3 victory on August 17.

The teams also met four times in July 2024. Boston won all three games from July 2 through July 4, including an 8-3 victory, a 7-2 victory and a 6-5 victory.

The 2023 meetings were much more balanced, with Miami winning three of four listed games.

Overall, the historical record shows that Boston has had considerable success in recent listed meetings, particularly in the 2024 and 2025 matchups.

That does not guarantee a result in 2026, but it adds context to the Red Sox vs Marlins Betting Prediction.

Offensive Comparison

The offensive matchup is another reason to examine the Red Sox vs Marlins Betting Prediction closely.

Boston’s strongest listed hitters include Wilyer Abreu, Willson Contreras, Ceddanne Rafaela, Caleb Durbin and Jarren Duran.

Contreras stands out with a .285 average, .395 OBP and .538 slugging percentage. Abreu owns a .258 average, .338 OBP and .469 slugging percentage. Rafaela has a .286 average and .461 slugging percentage.

Those numbers give Boston several avenues to create offense.

Miami’s top listed hitters include Otto Lopez, Xavier Edwards, Javier Sanoja, Jakob Marsee and Heriberto Hernandez.

Lopez leads the group with a .307 batting average and .446 slugging percentage. Edwards is hitting .285 and has a .365 OBP, while Sanoja is hitting .279.

Miami’s offense therefore has legitimate contact ability, particularly at the top of the lineup.

However, Boston has more impressive power indicators among its listed key hitters. Contreras’ .538 slugging percentage is the best figure among the two groups, while Abreu and Rafaela also provide substantial extra-base potential.

This is an important consideration in the Red Sox vs Marlins Betting Prediction because Boston’s ability to produce multiple-run innings could make the difference.

Boston Against Left-Handed Pitching

One potential concern in the Red Sox vs Marlins Betting Prediction is Boston’s performance against left-handed pitching.

The supplied information shows that Boston owns a .703 OPS against left-handed pitching, which is 33 points below its opposite-hand split.

That suggests the Red Sox are somewhat less effective against southpaws.

The significance of this trend depends on Miami’s eventual starting pitcher. Because the Marlins’ starter is currently listed as TBD, bettors should monitor the pitching announcement before committing to a position.

If Miami announces a right-handed starter, Boston’s left-handed pitching split becomes less concerning. If Miami uses a quality left-hander, the matchup becomes more complicated.

This is one reason the Red Sox vs Marlins Betting Prediction should not be based solely on Boston’s recent scoring average.

Bullpen and Late-Game Factors

Bullpen performance can significantly alter the Red Sox vs Marlins Betting Prediction, particularly if the starting pitchers work only five or six innings.

The supplied information does not provide a complete 2026 Boston bullpen statistical profile, but recent results show that the Red Sox have been able to win both high-scoring and low-scoring games.

Miami’s bullpen has also shown an ability to close out games. Calvin Faucher recorded his second save of the season on Saturday after working a perfect ninth inning against Washington.

That performance is relevant because Miami enters the series with consecutive wins and a bullpen that has recently protected leads.

However, the larger question is whether Miami can consistently reach the late innings with a lead.

If Boston’s offense forces Miami’s relievers into high-leverage situations early, the visitors could create a significant advantage.

For that reason, bullpen usage from the previous weekend should be monitored when finalizing the Red Sox vs Marlins Betting Prediction.

Best Betting Factors

The strongest factors behind the Red Sox vs Marlins Betting Prediction can be divided into five categories.

1. Boston’s Recent Record

The Red Sox have won five of their last seven games. That is the clearest immediate-form advantage.

2. Boston’s Offensive Surge

Boston is averaging seven runs across its last five games, dramatically above its season average.

3. Ranger Suarez

Suarez has a 3.41 ERA with 113 strikeouts and only 33 walks over 113.1 innings.

4. Head-to-Head History

Boston won five of the nine most recent listed meetings between the clubs, including three consecutive wins in July 2024 and two of three games in August 2025.

5. Miami’s Uncertain Starter

The Marlins’ starting pitcher for Monday remains TBD in the supplied information. That creates uncertainty that should be resolved before placing a wager.

These factors collectively make Boston the more appealing side in the Red Sox vs Marlins Betting Prediction.

What Could Go Wrong for Boston?

A strong Red Sox vs Marlins Betting Prediction still needs to account for the risks.

The biggest concern is Boston’s performance against left-handed pitching. Its .703 OPS against southpaws is 33 points lower than its performance against right-handed pitching.

Another concern is Miami’s recent momentum. The Marlins have won two consecutive games and just held Washington to four total runs across the two victories.

Miami also has several hitters capable of reaching base. Lopez has a .307 average, while Edwards owns a .365 OBP.

If Miami receives a strong performance from its eventual starting pitcher and gets early production from its top hitters, Boston’s recent advantage could disappear quickly.

The uncertainty surrounding Miami’s starter is therefore important.

The Red Sox vs Marlins Betting Prediction favors Boston, but bettors should confirm the pitching matchup and final lineups before wagering.

What Could Go Right for Boston?

There is substantial upside to the Red Sox vs Marlins Betting Prediction.

Boston’s offense has recently demonstrated the ability to score in bunches. The Red Sox scored 11 runs against Arizona and nine runs against the Diamondbacks during their recent seven-game stretch.

The lineup also has several productive hitters.

Contreras’ .538 slugging percentage gives Boston middle-of-the-order power. Abreu’s .469 slugging percentage and Rafaela’s .461 mark add additional extra-base potential.

At the same time, Suarez provides a quality starting option.

If Suarez limits Miami’s offense through the first several innings, Boston’s lineup should have opportunities to build an early lead. A lead would then allow Boston to dictate the pace of the game rather than chase Miami.

That combination makes the Red Sox vs Marlins Betting Prediction particularly attractive if Boston is offered a reasonable moneyline price.

Series Schedule

The Red Sox vs Marlins Betting Prediction applies to the opening game of a three-game series.

Monday, August 24

Time: 6:40 p.m. ET

Boston Starter: Ranger Suarez

Miami Starter: TBD

TV: Marlins.TV and NESN

Tuesday, August 25

Time: 6:40 p.m. ET

Boston Starter: Payton Tolle

Miami Starter: Sandy Alcantara

TV: Marlins.TV and NESN

Wednesday, August 26

Time: 6:40 p.m. ET

Boston Starter: Sonny Gray

Miami Starter: Ryan Gusto

TV: Marlins.TV and NESN

The series schedule also makes the Red Sox vs Marlins Betting Prediction interesting beyond Monday. Boston’s listed rotation for the next two games includes Tolle and Gray, who have combined for a 5.87 ERA in the supplied statistics, with Gray particularly impressive at 2.79.

How the Moneyline Could Affect the Pick

Price is always important when evaluating the Red Sox vs Marlins Betting Prediction.

A team does not need to be certain to be a worthwhile moneyline selection. Instead, the implied probability of the price needs to be compared with the perceived probability of winning.

For example, a -150 favorite requires a higher expected win probability than a -110 favorite to justify the same wager. Conversely, an underdog can be attractive if the price sufficiently compensates for its lower probability of winning.

Because the supplied matchup information does not provide a current Monday moneyline for Boston and Miami, the safest approach is to evaluate the matchup first and then compare the available price.

Boston’s recent form, Suarez’s statistics and offensive upside establish a case for the Red Sox. But if the market moves dramatically toward Boston, the value calculation changes.

That is an important distinction in any Red Sox vs Marlins Betting Prediction.

Red Sox vs Marlins Betting Prediction: Key Player to Watch

Ranger Suarez is the most important player to watch in this Red Sox vs Marlins Betting Prediction.

His 3.41 ERA is supported by 113 strikeouts over 113.1 innings, and he has limited walks to 33.

If Suarez is able to command the strike zone and keep Miami’s runners off base, Boston’s offense should have an opportunity to make the difference.

On the offensive side, Willson Contreras is a key Boston bat. His .285 average, .395 OBP and .538 slugging percentage make him one of the strongest hitters listed for either team.

For Miami, Otto Lopez deserves attention. He is hitting .307 with a .342 OBP and .446 slugging percentage.

The contrast between these players illustrates the matchup well: Miami has strong contact hitters, while Boston brings a combination of contact and middle-order power.

Red Sox vs Marlins Betting Prediction: Recent Trends

The statistical trends make the Red Sox vs Marlins Betting Prediction more compelling for Boston.

The Red Sox have won five of seven entering the series. They have also produced 35 runs across their last five games based on the supplied results, including 11 runs against Arizona and nine against the Diamondbacks.

Miami has won two straight, but its three previous games were losses to Philadelphia.

The teams also have contrasting recent scoring patterns. Boston’s offense has produced several high-scoring games, while Miami’s latest wins have come by 3-2 and 4-2 margins.

This does not automatically make Boston a better team in every category, but it does provide a stronger recent offensive profile.

That is why the Red Sox vs Marlins Betting Prediction ultimately lands on Boston.

Red Sox vs Marlins Betting Prediction: Final Analysis

The Red Sox vs Marlins Betting Prediction favors the Boston Red Sox because the visitors enter the matchup with stronger recent offensive momentum and a clearly established starting pitcher in Ranger Suarez.

Boston has won five of its last seven games, while the Red Sox are averaging seven runs across their last five contests. Their offense has also produced multiple strong performances against Arizona, Pittsburgh, Toronto and San Francisco.

Suarez adds another layer of stability. His 3.41 ERA across 113.1 innings, combined with 113 strikeouts and only 33 walks, gives Boston a dependable option to start the series.

Miami should not be dismissed.

The Marlins have won two consecutive games and have hitters such as Otto Lopez and Xavier Edwards producing strong batting averages. Miami’s bullpen also enters the series after successfully protecting a lead Saturday.

Still, Boston has the more convincing overall profile based on the information supplied.

The biggest variable remains Miami’s starting pitcher. Once that player is announced, bettors should reassess the matchup, particularly because Boston has a .703 OPS against left-handed pitching.

If the eventual market price remains reasonable, the Red Sox vs Marlins Betting Prediction supports backing Boston in the opener.

Final Pick

Red Sox vs Marlins Betting Prediction: Take Boston

Recommended side: Boston Red Sox

Boston’s recent 5-2 run, seven-runs-per-game scoring average over its last five contests and Ranger Suarez’s 3.41 ERA provide the foundation for the pick. Miami has momentum after consecutive wins, but Boston’s offensive ceiling and starting-pitching profile make the Red Sox the preferred side.

Best angle: Boston moneyline, assuming the available price provides sufficient value.

FAQ

What is the Red Sox vs Marlins Betting Prediction?

The Red Sox vs Marlins Betting Prediction favors the Boston Red Sox in Monday’s series opener. Boston has won five of its last seven games and is averaging seven runs over its last five contests.

Who is starting for Boston?

Ranger Suarez is scheduled to start for Boston. He has a 3.41 ERA across 113.1 innings with 113 strikeouts and 33 walks.

Who is starting for Miami?

The Marlins’ starting pitcher is currently listed as TBD in the supplied matchup information.

When is the game?

The game is scheduled for Monday, August 24, 2026, at 6:40 p.m. ET.

Where is the game?

The series opener will be played in Miami, with the Marlins serving as the home team.

What is Boston’s recent record?

The Red Sox have won five of their last seven games entering the series.

What is Miami’s recent record?

Miami has won its last two games, defeating Washington 3-2 and 4-2.

Which team has the better recent offense?

Boston has the stronger recent offensive trend. The Red Sox are averaging seven runs over their last five games, 54.6% above their season average.

Which hitter should bettors watch?

Willson Contreras is a major player to monitor for Boston. He is hitting .285 with a .395 OBP and .538 slugging percentage.

Is Boston good against left-handed pitching?

Boston has a .703 OPS against left-handed pitching, which is 33 points below its opposite-hand split. This makes Miami’s eventual pitching announcement important.

What is the best side?

The Red Sox vs Marlins Betting Prediction recommends Boston, provided the moneyline is available at a price that offers adequate value.

Does head-to-head history favor Boston?

The recent listed history provides a favorable case for Boston. The Red Sox won three straight games against Miami in July 2024 and two of three meetings in August 2025.

What is the biggest concern with betting Boston?

The biggest concern is Boston’s weaker performance against left-handed pitching combined with uncertainty surrounding Miami’s starter.

What is the biggest advantage for Boston?

The combination of recent offensive production and Ranger Suarez’s 3.41 ERA gives Boston the strongest overall matchup advantage.

Should bettors wait for Miami’s starting pitcher?

Yes. Because Miami’s starter is currently TBD, confirming the pitcher and handedness can materially affect the Red Sox vs Marlins Betting Prediction.

Is this a moneyline or run-line recommendation?

The primary recommendation is Boston on the moneyline. The exact value depends on the sportsbook’s final price.

What is the Red Sox vs Marlins Betting Prediction for August 24?

The Red Sox vs Marlins Betting Prediction for August 24 is Boston Red Sox moneyline. The Red Sox enter the series with stronger recent offensive form and Suarez on the mound.

Why back Boston instead of Miami?

The Red Sox vs Marlins Betting Prediction favors Boston because the Red Sox have won five of their last seven games, have been scoring at an elevated rate and have a strong starter lined up.

Final betting recommendation

The Red Sox vs Marlins Betting Prediction is Boston. Suarez’s 3.41 ERA and Boston’s recent offensive surge make the Red Sox the preferred side in the series opener.

Red Sox vs Marlins Betting Prediction: Boston Red Sox

For bettors looking for the strongest side based on the supplied statistics, the Red Sox vs Marlins Betting Prediction is to back Boston, while monitoring Miami’s eventual starting-pitcher announcement and the final moneyline before placing a wager.