Dodgers vs Cubs MLB Prediction: Why Are the Los Angeles Dodgers Favorites Against the Chicago Cubs? (Monday, August 3, 2026)

Why are the Los Angeles Dodgers favored over the Chicago Cubs on Monday, August 3, 2026?

The Los Angeles Dodgers are favored because they own the best overall record in the National League, boast one of baseball’s elite pitching staffs, and rank among the league leaders in both offense and defense. However, the Chicago Cubs have been one of the highest-scoring teams in MLB this season and return home to Wrigley Field as an intriguing underdog capable of pulling off the upset.

Monday’s matchup features two playoff contenders with nearly identical offensive production. Los Angeles enters at 69-41 behind one of the most complete rosters in baseball, while Chicago sits at 62-48 with a dangerous lineup and excellent defensive play. Although the Dodgers deserve favorite status, the Cubs offer attractive value as home underdogs.

Table of Contents

Why are the Dodgers favored?

Why could the Cubs pull off the upset?

Starting pitcher matchup

Offensive comparison

Bullpen and defensive analysis

Best betting value

Prediction

FAQ

Why are the Dodgers favored in this matchup?

Los Angeles continues to set the standard across nearly every aspect of the game.

The Dodgers enter Monday with several key advantages:

Best record in the National League (69-41).

Second-most runs scored in MLB.

Top-five team ERA.

Best defensive efficiency in baseball.

Second-best fielding percentage in the majors.

Their ability to combine elite pitching, consistent offense, and outstanding defense makes them one of baseball’s most complete teams.

Why could the Cubs be a valuable home underdog?

Chicago has quietly built one of the league’s best offenses.

The Cubs average over five runs per game, rank among MLB’s leaders in walks, and have consistently found ways to manufacture offense. Playing at Wrigley Field also provides an added boost against one of the league’s toughest opponents.

With plus-money odds and an offense capable of matching the Dodgers, Chicago presents appealing betting value.

How do Justin Wrobleski and Matthew Boyd compare?

Justin Wrobleski (Dodgers)

Wrobleski has developed into a reliable starter for Los Angeles.

Career Stats

Stat | Justin Wrobleski
Record | 17-9
ERA | 3.81
WHIP | 1.148
Strikeouts | 189

His ability to limit baserunners has helped strengthen one of baseball’s deepest rotations.

Matthew Boyd (Cubs)

Boyd brings veteran experience and plenty of strikeout ability.

Career Stats

Stat | Matthew Boyd
Record | 66-78
ERA | 4.51
WHIP | 1.272
Strikeouts | 1,105

Although Boyd’s overall numbers trail Wrobleski’s, his experience allows him to compete against elite lineups.

Which offense has the advantage?

This is one of the most evenly matched offensive games on the schedule.

Los Angeles Dodgers

5.2 runs per game (2nd in MLB)

.262 batting average

.341 on-base percentage

142 home runs

186 doubles

The Dodgers consistently produce runs through a balanced combination of power, patience, and contact hitting.

Chicago Cubs

5.13 runs per game (4th in MLB)

.248 batting average

.339 on-base percentage

134 home runs

473 walks

Chicago’s patience at the plate and ability to get runners on base make the Cubs a difficult lineup to navigate.

Who has the edge in the bullpen and defense?

Los Angeles has the stronger bullpen, while both teams excel defensively.

Dodgers

71.4% save percentage

Fourth-most bullpen holds in MLB

Best defensive efficiency

Second-best fielding percentage

Cubs

MLB-best fielding percentage

Third-best defensive efficiency

54.8% save percentage

Bullpen has struggled to close games consistently

If this game is decided late, the Dodgers’ bullpen provides a meaningful advantage despite Chicago’s outstanding defense.

What is the best betting value?

The Dodgers deserve to be road favorites based on their elite all-around roster.

However, the betting line reflects that strength.

Chicago has been nearly as productive offensively, plays at home, and owns the best fielding percentage in baseball. Receiving plus-money with a playoff-caliber team at Wrigley Field creates solid betting value.

Prediction

This should be one of the most competitive games on Monday’s schedule.

While Los Angeles has the more complete roster, Chicago’s offense and home-field advantage make the underdog difficult to ignore.

Best Bet: Chicago Cubs +106

FAQ

Who is favored in Dodgers vs Cubs on August 3, 2026?

The Los Angeles Dodgers are favored at -128, while the Chicago Cubs are +106 home underdogs.

Who are the projected starting pitchers?

Justin Wrobleski is expected to start for Los Angeles, while Matthew Boyd is scheduled to take the mound for Chicago.

Why are the Dodgers favorites?

The Dodgers own one of MLB’s best records, feature an elite pitching staff, rank second in runs scored, and lead baseball in defensive efficiency.

Why are the Cubs a good betting value?

Chicago averages more than five runs per game, owns the best fielding percentage in MLB, plays at home, and is available at plus-money odds.

What is the recommended pick?

The recommended wager is Chicago Cubs +106, as the Cubs’ balanced offense and home-field advantage provide excellent value against a heavily respected Dodgers team.

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Dodgers vs Cubs MLB Prediction and Pick, 8-3-2026. MLB Betting Picks, by YouWagert.lv