Blue Jays vs Padres MLB Prediction and Pick, Today’s MLB Betting Picks, 7-12-2026

Blue Jays vs Padres MLB Prediction and Pick, 7-12-2026. Today’s MLB Betting Picks – Best available odds at YouWager.lv. Claim your signup bonus.

Our Blue Jays vs Padres Pick: BLUE JAYS

The Toronto Blue Jays are the recommended pick thanks to their clear edge on the mound and a more reliable overall roster. Kevin Gausman brings elite experience with more than 2,000 career innings, a 3.84 ERA, and over 2,000 strikeouts, giving Toronto a significant advantage over Germán Márquez, who owns a 4.69 career ERA. While neither offense has been particularly productive, the Blue Jays hold the better team ERA (4.07 vs. 4.21) and have generated more consistent offense than the Padres, who rank last in MLB in scoring. Toronto’s stronger starting pitching and balanced roster make the Blue Jays the better value in this matchup.

MATCHUP | Blue Jays | Padres
Blue Jays vs Padres Moneyline | -152 | +126
Where | Petco Park in San Diego, CA
When | Sunday, July 12, 2026

Blue Jays vs Padres MLB Prediction – 7-12-2026 – MLB Betting Picks

Here is our Blue Jays vs Padres MLB Prediction for both teams:

Blue Jays Preview

The Toronto Blue Jays have a slugging percentage of.383, and they have struck out 687 times while walks have been taken on 256 instances. Throughout the course of the season, they have contributed 365 runs batted in as well as 770 base knocks, and their team’s batting average is.244. There have been 146 two-baggers hit by the Blue Jays as a team, and they have also blasted 94 balls directly out of the park. They have a team on-base percentage of.305 and have scored a total of 381 runs since the beginning of the season. The Toronto Blue Jays are now ranked 27th in the league due to their average run production of 4.1 per game. This places them in the number 27 spot.

A total of 833 batters have been struck out by the Blue Jays’ pitching staff, and the team’s earned run average for the season is 4.07, which places them 12th in the league. The Blue Jays’ pitchers have allowed 105 home runs in addition to 414 total runs, which places them thirteenth in the Major League Baseball. Over the course of the season, their pitching staff has walked 330 batters, and their batting average per game (FIP) has been 4.02 by the end of the season. Toronto has allowed 377 earned runs and 751 hits, with an average of 8.1 hits per nine innings. Their WHIP is 1.30, and their K/BB ratio is 2.52. Additionally, the pitching staff has a WHIP of 1.03.

There have been 103 instances in which Blue Jays bullpen relievers have taken the mound with runners on base, and they have also made 109 appearances in high leverage situations. So far this season, the relief pitchers have accumulated 62 holds, which places them in fifth place in the league. There have been 106 save situations in which the Blue Jays relief pitchers have entered the game, and they have accumulated a save percentage of 70.7%. During the course of this season, they have made a total of 29 saves, while they have failed to make 12 of their 41 save opportunities. During the course of the season, the bullpen pitchers have been responsible for inheriting 150 base runners, and 26.7% of those players have ultimately reached the plate. Since the beginning of the season, the Blue Jays have utilized 348 bullpen pitchers in their lineup.

The Toronto Blue Jays have accumulated a total of 2,501 putouts so far this season, in addition to 782 assists and 60 errors committed by their pitchers. A total of 67 double plays have been turned by them, and their fielding percentage is.982, which places them 27th among all major league teams. As a result of their 7,503 innings played on the diamond, the Blue Jays have reached the 18th spot in the major leagues in terms of the percentage of baseballs that have been turned into outs.

The total number of strikeouts that Gausman has recorded throughout his career is 2,062 and he has pitched for a total of 2,017 innings. Gausman has a career record of 116-121 with a 3.78 earned run average (FIP). During his time in the major leagues, he has faced 8,431 batters and has a career record of pitching against them. With 861 earned runs allowed, his earned run average is 3.84, and his WHIP is 1.239. With 564 walks, he has allowed 1,936 hits to be hit against him, which is 8.6 hits per nine innings.

Padres Preview

The San Diego Padres have a slugging percentage of.372 and score 3.89 runs per game, which places them in the 30th spot in MLB. In addition to walking 308 times and scoring 366 runs, they have 138 hitters who have hit two-baggers. To this point in the season, San Diego has hit 98 home runs and has driven in 358 runs. A total of 694 base knocks have been recorded by them, and they have struck out 790 times, which ranks fourteenth in baseball. Over the course of the season, the San Diego Padres have a team batting average of.225 and an on-base percentage of.300. Additionally, the Padres have a hitting average of.300.

With a team earned run average of 4.21 and a total of 388 earned runs surrendered, the San Diego pitching staff has allowed 411 runs to be scored against them so far this season. They have allowed 102 home runs, and their run average per nine innings is 4.46, which places them in the 12th spot in the league. Over the course of the season, the Padres have a team WHIP of 1.335 and a FIP of 4.21. This indicates that the Padres have been doing well as a team. At this point, their strikeout-to-base ratio is 8.30, with 764 strikeouts and 334 free passes. As a pitching staff, they have a total of 774 hits that they have allowed, which places them in the nineteenth spot in the league.

Among the 162 inherited base runners, San Diego relievers had a scoring rate of 32.1% from their inherited base runners. In high leverage situations, their bullpen pitchers have entered the game 103 times, and on 95 occasions, they have done so with runners on base. In their current scenario, the Padres have 96 save opportunities, 57 of which have been held, and 10 of which have been blown. As of right now, they are ranked seventh in the league with a save percentage of 73%, and they have utilized 316 bullpen pitchers throughout the course of the season.

After 83 double plays, the San Diego Padres have a fielding percentage of.990, which places them in second place among all professional baseball teams. During the course of the season, the Padres have played a total of 2,492 putouts, recorded 822 assists, and committed 34 errors. With 7,476 innings played, the Padres have a defensive efficiency of 69.9%, which places them sixteenth in Major League Baseball.

Marquez has pitched 1,183 innings in the Major League Baseball (MLB) and has allowed 1,211 base knocks while striking out 1,093 batters. While he has achieved a WHIP of 1.338 and a FIP of 4.6, he has allowed a total of 616 earned runs to be scored against him. He has faced 5,068 batters from opposing teams throughout his career, and his strikeout to walk ratio is 2.94. He has also faced 5,068 batters. In his career, Marquez has a record of 72-74 wins and losses, has a 4.69 earned run average, and has allowed 9.2 hits per nine innings pitched into his innings pitched.

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Blue Jays vs Padres MLB Prediction and Pick, 7-12-2026. MLB Betting Picks, by YouWagert.lv