Red Sox vs Mets MLB Prediction and Pick, Today’s MLB Betting Picks, 7-12-2026

Red Sox vs Mets MLB Prediction and Pick, 7-12-2026. Today’s MLB Betting Picks – Best available odds at YouWager.lv. Claim your signup bonus.

Our Red Sox vs Mets Pick: RED SOX

The Boston Red Sox are the recommended pick over the New York Mets thanks to a clear advantage in both pitching and overall team performance. Boston owns a 3.65 team ERA compared to New York’s 4.32 and has allowed 100 fewer runs this season. Rookie starter Tolle has impressed with a 3.65 ERA, 99 strikeouts in 96 innings, and a strong 1.164 WHIP, while the Mets counter with the inexperienced Thornton, who has logged just 10 major league innings. Combined with a stronger bullpen, better defense, and more consistent run prevention, Boston is in a favorable position to secure the victory.

MATCHUP | Red Sox | Mets
Red Sox vs Mets Moneyline | -128 | +106
Where | Citi Field in Queens, NY
When | Sunday, July 12, 2026

Red Sox vs Mets MLB Prediction – 7-12-2026 – MLB Betting Picks

Here is our Red Sox vs Mets MLB Prediction for both teams:

Red Sox Preview

The Boston Red Sox have a slugging percentage of.389, and they have struck out 760 times overall, while they have been walked 277 times. During the course of the season, they have amassed 361 runs batted in as well as 754 hits, and their team batting average is currently at.245. The Red Sox have collectively knocked 83 balls out of the park and have amassed 163 two-baggers during the course of their history. With an on-base percentage of.315 as a club, they have accumulated a total of 378 runs scored since the beginning of the season. The Boston Red Sox are now having a team average of 4.1 runs scored per game, which places them in the 26th position in the league.

Throughout the course of the season, the Red Sox have managed to rack up 780 batters, which has resulted in a team earned run average of 3.65, which places them seventh in the league. The pitchers for the Red Sox have allowed a total of 356 runs and 95 home runs, which places them third in the league. To this point in the season, they have walked 265 players from the opposing team, and their earned run average (FIP) is 3.81. The Boston Red Sox have given up 736 hits on average (8.1 per nine innings) and 330 earned runs. The team’s pitching staff has a combined WHIP of 1.23, and their strikeout to walk ratio is currently at 2.94.

Since the beginning of the season, the Red Sox have sent out a total of 282 relief pitchers to begin the season. There have been 108 base runners that have been inherited by the relievers throughout the year, and 33.3% of those players have ended up crossing the plate. This season, bullpen pitchers have a total of 54 holds, which places them eleventh in the Major League Baseball. There have been 73 instances in which Red Sox pitchers have entered the game with runners on base, and they have also made 76 outings in high leverage situations before. Over the course of the year, they have made 21 saves, while they have failed to make nine of their thirty opportunities to save. Relief pitchers for the Red Sox have a save percentage of 70.0% and have entered the game in 85 different save situations due to their performance.

In the current season, the Boston Red Sox have a total of 2,440 putouts, 780 assists, and 41 errors. Additionally, they have made 41 errors. They have recorded sixty double plays and their fielding percentage is currently at.987, which places them ninth in the baseball league. In the 7,320 innings that they have played, the Red Sox have been able to convert 70.1% of the balls that have been hit into play into outs. This has earned them the 15th spot in the professional baseball rankings.

Since the beginning of his career, Tolle has thrown 96 innings and has a total of 99 strikeouts to his credit. Over the course of his career, Tolle has a record of 5-7 wins and losses, and he has a fielding percentage of 3.59. Additionally, he has faced 400 batters from opposing teams while playing in the major leagues. A lifetime earned run average of 3.65 and a WHIP of 1.164 are both attributed to him. He has allowed 39 earned runs. With 32 free passes, he has allowed 80 base knocks, which is equivalent to 7.5 hits per nine innings pitched.

Mets Preview

The Mets have a slugging percentage of.384, and they are scoring 4.17 runs per game, which places them in the 23rd spot in the baseball league. In addition to scoring 396 runs and gaining a free base 291 times, they have recorded 117 doubles against the opposition. In addition to having 377 runs batted in, New York has a total of 111 home runs for the season. The total number of base hits that they have recorded is 752, and they have been rung up on 775 occasions, which places them 19th in the league. To this point in the season, the New York Mets have a batting average of.235 and an on-base percentage of.304 that they have accumulated.

Throughout the course of the season, the Mets have a team WHIP of 1.319 and a FIP of 4.04 for their pitching staff. They have a strikeout to walk ratio of 9.20, which is represented by 870 strikeouts and 342 free passes. As a pitching staff, they have a total of 774 hits allowed, which places them in the 18th spot in the Major League Baseball. They have allowed 105 home runs, and their run average per nine innings is 4.85, which places them twenty-first in the league. Over the course of the season, the New York pitching staff has allowed 456 runs to be scored against them, resulting in a team earned run average of 4.32 (406 earned runs surrendered).

Over the course of 62 save opportunities, the Mets have accumulated 34 holds in addition to 12 saves that were not successful. The bullpen relievers for New York have been called upon to make saves in a total of 28 different situations, and they have managed to pull off 16 of those saves. A total of 126 inherited base runners have been used to calculate the inherited scoring percentage for New York relievers, which is 30.2%. On 103 instances, their relief pitchers have entered the game in high leverage circumstances, and on 93 occasions, they have also entered the game with base runners. They now hold the 22nd spot in the league with a save percentage of 57.1%, and they have sent 294 relievers out onto the field through the course of this season.

The New York Mets have a fielding percentage of.981, which places them in 28th place among professional baseball teams. They have earned 52 double plays. At this point in the season, the Mets have a total of 2,540 putouts, 772 assists, and 63 errors to reflect their performance. A defensive effectiveness of 69.1%, which places them 24th in baseball, has been achieved by the Mets during the course of 7,620 innings played on the field.

In the first ten innings of his career, Thornton has allowed nine hits while garnering ten strikeouts. He has pitched a total of ten innings. With a record of 0-1 in his career, Thornton has a 4.46 earned run average and has allowed 8.0 hits per nine innings pitched. In addition to having a WHIP of 1.188 and a FIP of 4.4, he has allowed five earned runs while earning a 5.4 earned run average. A total of 42 batters have been faced by him during his career in Major League Baseball, and his strikeout to walk ratio is 3.33.

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Red Sox vs Mets MLB Prediction and Pick, 7-12-2026. MLB Betting Picks, by YouWagert.lv