Memphis vs UNLV Betting Prediction: Who Will Cover the Spread in the Tigers vs Rebels Game?

Memphis vs UNLV Betting Prediction: Who will cover the 5.5-point spread? Get the odds, matchup analysis, team stats, trends and best bet.

Memphis vs UNLV Betting Prediction: Memphis vs UNLV, Who Will Win Today?

The UNLV Rebels are favored by 5.5 points against the Memphis Tigers, and the recommended bet is UNLV -5.5. UNLV enters the matchup after a 10-4 season and ranked among the nation’s better offenses, averaging 34.1 points and 446.4 yards per game. Memphis was also highly productive offensively, averaging 32.5 points and 183.2 rushing yards per game, but UNLV’s overall offensive production and home-field advantage at Allegiant Stadium give the Rebels the edge.

Summary: This Memphis vs UNLV Betting Prediction features two teams coming off winning seasons. Memphis went 8-5 last year, while UNLV finished 10-4. The Rebels averaged 446.4 yards and 34.1 points per game, ranking 20th and 17th nationally, respectively. Memphis averaged 32.5 points and 183.2 rushing yards per contest. The biggest concern for UNLV is its defense, which allowed 28.0 points and 177.4 rushing yards per game. Memphis should have opportunities to move the football, but UNLV’s explosive offense gives it the better path to controlling the game. The recommended pick is UNLV -5.5.

Table of Contents

Memphis vs UNLV Odds

What Is the Point Spread in College Football Betting?

Memphis vs UNLV Same Game Parlay

Memphis vs UNLV Player Props

Memphis Offensive Analysis

UNLV Offensive Analysis

Memphis Defensive Analysis

UNLV Defensive Analysis

Memphis vs UNLV Key Matchups

Why UNLV Can Cover -5.5

Why Memphis Can Cover +5.5

Memphis vs UNLV Prediction

Follow-Up Questions

FAQ

Memphis vs UNLV Odds

The Memphis vs UNLV Betting Prediction opens with UNLV as a 5.5-point favorite and the total at 56.5 points.

Betting Market | Line
Memphis spread | +5.5
UNLV spread | -5.5
Total | 56.5
Game | Memphis vs UNLV
Date | Saturday, August 29, 2026
Location | Allegiant Stadium
TV | FOX

UNLV is being asked to win by at least six points for a spread bet on the Rebels to cover.

The Memphis vs UNLV Betting Prediction is particularly interesting because both offenses produced more than 30 points per game last season. That makes the 56.5-point total an important part of the matchup as well.

What Is the Point Spread in College Football Betting?

The point spread is the number of points the favored team must win by for a spread wager to cash; UNLV -5.5 requires the Rebels to win by at least six points.

Memphis vs UNLV Same Game Parlay

A Memphis vs UNLV Same Game Parlay could focus on UNLV winning while pairing the side with the 56.5-point total and available player props.

The offensive statistics suggest there is potential for both teams to produce points. Memphis averaged 32.5 points per game last season, while UNLV averaged 34.1.

UNLV also averaged 446.4 yards per game, with 195.5 yards coming on the ground. Memphis averaged 183.2 rushing yards per game.

That combination of productive rushing attacks could make the total an interesting component of a same-game parlay.

However, bettors should account for the possibility of early-season variance. This is the opening week, and offensive continuity, turnovers and execution can have a major impact.

For this Memphis vs UNLV Betting Prediction, the primary recommended wager remains UNLV -5.5.

Memphis vs UNLV Player Props

Player props could offer another way to approach the Memphis vs UNLV Betting Prediction.

The most relevant markets should include quarterback passing yards, rushing yards, receptions and anytime touchdowns.

Memphis’ offense was particularly effective on the ground last season, averaging 183.2 rushing yards per game and scoring 34 rushing touchdowns. UNLV averaged an even stronger 195.5 rushing yards per contest.

That suggests rushing props could be especially important in this matchup.

UNLV’s offense also averaged 250.9 passing yards per game, giving the Rebels a balanced offensive profile.

Because individual player lines were not supplied, specific player-prop recommendations should not be invented. The matchup data instead points toward evaluating rushing production and offensive touchdown markets once the official props are available.

Memphis Offensive Analysis

The Memphis offense enters the Memphis vs UNLV Betting Prediction with an impressive statistical profile.

The Tigers went 8-5 last season and averaged 32.5 points per game.

Their rushing attack was the centerpiece.

Memphis averaged 183.2 rushing yards per game, ranking 31st in college football. The Tigers produced 5,351 total yards, including 34 rushing touchdowns and 17 passing touchdowns.

That 34-to-17 split is important because Memphis demonstrated a strong ability to score on the ground.

The Tigers also generated 296 first downs while turning the ball over only 12 times.

That relatively low turnover total gives Memphis a path to competing against UNLV.

The biggest challenge will be maintaining offensive efficiency against an opponent playing at home.

In their final game last season, Memphis lost 31-7 to NC State, producing only 303 yards. The Tigers ran for 149 yards on 36 attempts but managed only 221 passing yards.

That final performance demonstrates the volatility Memphis can experience when its offense struggles to sustain drives.

UNLV Offensive Analysis

The strongest argument in the Memphis vs UNLV Betting Prediction is UNLV’s offense.

The Rebels averaged 34.1 points per game, ranking 17th nationally, while their 446.4 yards per game ranked 20th.

UNLV was productive in both phases.

The Rebels averaged:

195.5 rushing yards per game

250.9 passing yards per game

446.4 total yards per game

34.1 points per game

That balance makes it difficult for opponents to focus on a single area.

UNLV rushed for 2,737 yards last season and scored 24 rushing touchdowns. Through the air, the Rebels produced 3,513 yards.

The Rebels also limited turnovers better than Memphis, throwing only eight interceptions and losing eight fumbles.

That turnover profile could be important in a matchup between two high-scoring offenses.

UNLV’s offense should also benefit from playing at Allegiant Stadium.

If the Rebels can establish the rushing attack early, they could control possession while creating opportunities for explosive passes.

Memphis Defensive Analysis

Memphis’ defense was relatively solid last season.

The Tigers allowed 23.2 points per game, ranking 52nd in Division 1.

They surrendered:

131.0 rushing yards per game

227.2 passing yards per game

358.2 total yards per game

16 passing touchdowns

22 rushing touchdowns

Memphis allowed opponents to average only 3.7 yards per rushing attempt.

That could be significant against a UNLV team that averaged 195.5 rushing yards per game.

If Memphis can slow down the Rebels’ ground attack, UNLV could become more dependent on its passing game.

The Tigers’ defense also allowed 60.6% completions.

That creates some concern against a UNLV passing attack that averaged 250.9 yards per game.

The defensive matchup is therefore fairly balanced: Memphis has the stronger scoring-defense number, but UNLV has the more productive overall offense.

UNLV Defensive Analysis

UNLV’s biggest weakness in the Memphis vs UNLV Betting Prediction is its defense.

The Rebels allowed 28.0 points per game last season and ranked 89th nationally.

They also allowed 177.4 rushing yards per game, which ranked 110th in the country in the supplied statistics.

That is potentially problematic against Memphis.

The Tigers averaged 183.2 rushing yards per game and scored 34 touchdowns on the ground.

Memphis could therefore have success running the football.

UNLV also allowed 241.7 passing yards per game and 22 passing touchdowns.

Overall, the Rebels surrendered 392 points last season.

The positive side is that UNLV generated 14 interceptions and 10 fumble recoveries.

Creating turnovers could be the key to compensating for the yardage allowed.

Against a Memphis offense that gave the ball away 12 times last season, UNLV has an opportunity to generate extra possessions.

Memphis vs UNLV Key Matchups

Memphis Rushing Game vs UNLV Run Defense

This is arguably the most important matchup for Memphis.

The Tigers averaged 183.2 rushing yards per game, while UNLV allowed 177.4.

If Memphis can establish its running game, it can control the clock and prevent UNLV’s offense from receiving too many possessions.

UNLV Rushing Game vs Memphis Run Defense

UNLV averaged 195.5 rushing yards per game, while Memphis allowed only 131.0.

That creates a significant strength-versus-strength matchup.

If Memphis wins this battle, the Tigers could make UNLV one-dimensional.

If UNLV can break through despite Memphis’ strong run defense, the Rebels could dictate the game.

UNLV Passing Game vs Memphis Secondary

UNLV averaged 250.9 passing yards per game.

Memphis allowed 227.2 passing yards per contest and a 60.6% completion rate.

UNLV’s ability to generate explosive passing plays could determine whether the Rebels can separate from Memphis.

Memphis Passing Game vs UNLV Secondary

Memphis may need more production through the air if UNLV succeeds in limiting its rushing attack.

UNLV’s defense allowed 241.7 passing yards per game.

That creates a potential opening for the Tigers to attack vertically.

Why UNLV Can Cover -5.5

The Memphis vs UNLV Betting Prediction favors UNLV -5.5 for several reasons.

1. UNLV Had the Better Overall Record

UNLV finished 10-4, while Memphis went 8-5.

Both teams were successful, but the Rebels had the stronger overall season.

2. UNLV’s Offense Was Extremely Productive

UNLV averaged 34.1 points and 446.4 yards per game.

Those numbers ranked 17th and 20th nationally.

3. UNLV Has a Balanced Attack

The Rebels averaged 195.5 rushing yards and 250.9 passing yards per game.

That balance could create problems for Memphis.

4. UNLV Has Home-Field Advantage

The game is being played at Allegiant Stadium in Las Vegas.

That gives UNLV a meaningful environmental advantage in an opening-week matchup.

5. Turnovers Favor UNLV’s Profile

UNLV threw eight interceptions and lost eight fumbles last season.

The Rebels also recorded 14 interceptions defensively.

That ability to protect the football while creating takeaways could swing the game.

Why Memphis Can Cover +5.5

There is still a strong argument for the Tigers.

Memphis averaged 32.5 points per game and 183.2 rushing yards per contest.

More importantly, Memphis’ defense allowed only 23.2 points per game compared with 28.0 for UNLV.

The Tigers also allowed only 131.0 rushing yards per game.

If Memphis can contain UNLV’s running attack, the Rebels may have difficulty creating enough separation to win by six or more points.

Memphis also had only 12 turnovers last season.

That could help the Tigers stay within the number.

A Memphis +5.5 cover would be particularly plausible if the game remains close into the fourth quarter.

Memphis vs UNLV Prediction

The Memphis vs UNLV Betting Prediction features two teams capable of producing points.

Memphis averaged 32.5 points per game last season and finished 8-5. UNLV averaged 34.1 points and 446.4 yards per game while finishing 10-4.

The biggest statistical difference is offensive production.

UNLV ranked 20th nationally in total offense and 17th in scoring, while Memphis ranked 31st in rushing offense.

The defensive numbers actually favor Memphis, especially against the run. The Tigers allowed only 23.2 points and 131.0 rushing yards per game.

However, UNLV has the advantage of playing at home and possesses the more balanced offense.

The Rebels can attack with approximately 195.5 rushing yards and 250.9 passing yards per game based on last season’s production.

The 5.5-point number is not insignificant, but UNLV has enough offensive firepower to create separation.

Pick: Take UNLV -5.5

The recommended Memphis vs UNLV Betting Prediction is UNLV -5.5.

The Rebels’ combination of home-field advantage, offensive balance, 34.1 points per game and 446.4 yards per game gives them the edge. Memphis should be capable of scoring, but UNLV has the stronger overall profile to win by more than one possession.

Follow-Up Questions

Who is favored in Memphis vs UNLV?

UNLV is favored by 5.5 points over Memphis.

What is the Memphis vs UNLV spread?

The spread is UNLV -5.5, with Memphis listed at +5.5.

What is the Memphis vs UNLV over/under?

The total is 56.5 points.

Where is Memphis vs UNLV being played?

The game is scheduled for Allegiant Stadium in Las Vegas, Nevada.

When is Memphis vs UNLV?

The game is scheduled for Saturday, August 29, 2026.

What channel is Memphis vs UNLV on?

The supplied television listing has the game airing on FOX.

Can Memphis cover +5.5?

Yes. Memphis has a legitimate path to covering because the Tigers allowed only 23.2 points per game last season and averaged 183.2 rushing yards per game.

Can UNLV cover -5.5?

Yes. UNLV averaged 34.1 points and 446.4 yards per game last season and has home-field advantage.

Which team had the better offense?

UNLV had the better statistical offense. The Rebels averaged 446.4 yards and 34.1 points per game, compared with 5,351 total yards and 32.5 points per game for Memphis.

Which team had the better defense?

Memphis had the better scoring defense, allowing 23.2 points per game compared with 28.0 for UNLV.

What is the best bet in Memphis vs UNLV?

The recommended bet is UNLV -5.5.

Is Memphis vs UNLV expected to be high scoring?

The 56.5-point total indicates expectations for a relatively high-scoring game. Both teams averaged more than 32 points per game last season.

What is the biggest matchup in Memphis vs UNLV?

The battle between Memphis’ rushing offense and UNLV’s run defense is one of the most important matchups. Memphis averaged 183.2 rushing yards per game, while UNLV allowed 177.4.

FAQ

What is the best Memphis vs UNLV Betting Prediction?

The best Memphis vs UNLV Betting Prediction is UNLV -5.5. The Rebels have the stronger offensive profile and will play at home.

Who will win Memphis vs UNLV?

UNLV is the recommended winner. The Rebels finished 10-4 last season and averaged 34.1 points per game.

Who should I pick against the spread in Memphis vs UNLV?

The recommended spread pick is UNLV -5.5.

What does UNLV -5.5 mean?

UNLV -5.5 means the Rebels must win by at least six points for a standard spread bet on UNLV to cover.

What does Memphis +5.5 mean?

Memphis +5.5 means the Tigers can win outright or lose by five points or fewer and still cover the spread.

Is UNLV -5.5 a good bet?

Based on the supplied statistics, UNLV -5.5 is the recommended side. The Rebels have the better offensive numbers and home-field advantage.

How many points does UNLV average?

UNLV averaged 34.1 points per game last season.

How many points does Memphis average?

Memphis averaged 32.5 points per game last season.

Which team runs the ball better?

UNLV averaged 195.5 rushing yards per game, while Memphis averaged 183.2. Both teams were among the stronger rushing offenses in the supplied statistics.

What is the projected Memphis vs UNLV betting pick?

The projected betting pick is UNLV -5.5.