LSU vs Alabama Prediction and Pick, Week 11. Place a bet on this CFB football game with the best odds.

LSU vs Alabama Prediction: Trends

The over/under record for Ouisiana State’s last five games is 1-4.

In twelve of Louisiana State’s most recent eighteen games, the total has been underdetermined.

Louisiana State has a winning record of 8-3 in its previous 11 games.

In its last 14 games versus Alabama, Louisiana State has a record of 2-12 without a win.

Louisiana State has a record of 1-4 in its previous five games played away from home.

In the last five games that Louisiana State has played on the road against Alabama, the team has a losing record of 0-5SU.

In its last ten games against teams from the Southeastern conference, Louisiana State has a head-to-head record of 3-7 against the spread.

Nine out of the previous thirteen games that Louisiana State has played against an opponent from the West Division division have resulted in the total going over.

There have been four of Louisiana State’s last six games played in November that have resulted in the total going UNDER.

In its last seven games, Alabama has a record of 5-1-1 against the spread.

There have been four of Alabama’s most recent five games in which the total has been UNDER.

In its last seven games, Alabama has a perfect record against the spread.

There have been four out of Alabama’s last six games against Louisiana State in which the total has been above.

In its last seven games played at home, Alabama has a perfect record against the spread.

When Alabama has played Louisiana State at home, the Crimson Tide have a perfect 5-0 record in their last five games.

In its last six games against teams from the Southeastern Conference, Alabama has a perfect 6-0 record against the opponent.

Over the course of its last eight games versus opponents from the West Division, Alabama has a record of 6-2 against the spread.

During the month of November, the total has been above in six of Alabama’s most recent nine games played.

For the past ten of Alabama’s fifteen games that have been played in week 11, the total has been UNDER.

LSU vs Alabama Prediction

Now we have the LSU vs Alabama Prediction for both teams.

The LSU vs. Alabama rivalry has long been one of the most intense and tradition-rich matchups in college football, and Week 11 of the 2025 season brings yet another chapter to the story. This year’s meeting comes at a pivotal point in the SEC West race, with both teams fighting to stay relevant in the playoff conversation. Alabama has dominated the series in recent memory, winning 12 of the last 14 meetings, and they’ve been especially strong at home where they hold a perfect 5-0 record in their last five matchups against LSU. Statistically, this game presents a fascinating contrast in styles. LSU leans heavily on its passing attack, averaging 249 yards through the air per game, while Alabama boasts one of the nation’s best pass defenses, allowing just 163.6 yards per contest. The total has trended UNDER in four of LSU’s last six November games, and Alabama has also seen the UNDER hit in four of its last five overall. Both defenses are built to limit big plays, but Alabama’s ability to control the tempo, limit turnovers, and capitalize on home-field advantage makes this an uphill battle for LSU to pull off the upset.

For LSU, this is a defining test of its resilience. The Tigers have been inconsistent this season, alternating between impressive wins and frustrating losses. Their offense ranks just 84th nationally in scoring (25.5 points per game), and their rushing attack has been largely ineffective, managing only 106 yards per game—good for 124th in the country. Against Alabama’s stout front seven, which allows under 150 rushing yards per contest, LSU will need quarterback efficiency and explosive plays through the air to stay competitive. The Tigers’ passing game is respectable, ranking 50th nationally, but they face a Crimson Tide secondary that ranks 12th in pass defense. Discipline will also be key—LSU averages 6.5 penalties per game, which could be costly in a matchup where every possession counts. The Tigers’ defense, meanwhile, has been solid but not dominant. They’re giving up just under 19 points per game, but have struggled to force turnovers and generate consistent pressure against top-tier offensive lines. To have a chance, LSU must win the turnover battle, sustain long drives, and avoid early deficits, something they’ve struggled with in recent road games.

Alabama enters this matchup with momentum and balance on both sides of the ball. The Crimson Tide have won seven of their last eight and covered the spread in six straight SEC contests. Their offense has been quietly efficient, averaging 34.4 points per game, while their defense remains elite, allowing only 18.3 points per game. Alabama’s passing attack, led by a steady quarterback and an improving offensive line, is posting nearly 292 yards per game—enough to exploit any secondary that can’t generate pressure. Defensively, Alabama’s dominance at home continues to be their calling card; they’ve covered in each of their last seven home games and have consistently shut down visiting opponents. Their balanced defensive unit ranks top-20 nationally in points allowed, pass defense, and time of possession. If they can control the clock and keep LSU’s offense off balance, the Tide should dictate the game’s rhythm from start to finish. With the recent head-to-head history and statistical edge on both sides of the ball, Alabama appears primed to continue its dominance in this rivalry.

Our CFB Week 11 Pick: ALABAMA

LSU vs Alabama Prediction: Head to Head

Date | Opponent | Score | Spread | Total | Moneyline

11/09/24

@LSU

BAMA 42-13

LSU-2.5

U59.5

LSU-128

11/04/23

@BAMA

BAMA 42-28

BAMA-7.0

O58.5

BAMA-265

11/05/22

@LSU

LSU 32-31

LSU+16.0

O58

LSU+400

11/06/21

@BAMA

BAMA 20-14

BAMA-28.5

U64.5

BAMA-4500

12/05/20

@LSU

BAMA 55-17

LSU+29.0

O68.5

LSU+2800

11/09/19

@BAMA

LSU 46-41

BAMA-6.0

O63.5

BAMA-225

11/03/18

@LSU

BAMA 29-0

NL

NL

NL

11/04/17

@BAMA

BAMA 24-10

NL

NL

NL

11/05/16

@LSU

BAMA 10-0

NL

NL

NL

11/07/15

@BAMA

BAMA 30-16

NL

NL

NL

LSU vs Alabama Prediction: LSU Last 10 Games

Date | Opponent | Score | Spread | Total | Moneyline

10/25/25

TXAM

L 49-25

L-4.5

O52.5

L-192

10/18/25

@VAN

L 31-24

L+1.5

O47.5

L+104

10/11/25

SC

W 20-10

W-9.5

U41.5

W-335

9/27/25

@MIS

L 24-19

L+1.0

U56.5

L-102

9/20/25

SEL

W 56-10

W-39.5

O51.5

NL

9/13/25

FLA

W 20-10

W-7.5

U54.5

W-235

9/06/25

LT

W 23-7

L-36.5

U53.5

W-20000

8/30/25

@CLE

W 17-10

W+2.5

U56.5

W+116

12/31/24

BAY

W 44-31

W-3.0

O60.5

W-135

11/30/24

OKL

W 37-17

W-5.0

O49.5

W-192

LSU vs Alabama Prediction: Alabama Last 10 Games

Date | Opponent | Score | Spread | Total | Moneyline

10/25/25

@SC

W 29-22

L-7.5

O46.5

W-580

10/18/25

TEN

W 37-20

W-12.5

O52.5

W-410

10/11/25

@MIZ

W 27-24

L-6.5

U55.5

W-230

10/04/25

VAN

W 30-14

L-23.5

U51.5

W-2800

9/27/25

@UGA

W 24-21

W+4.5

U52.5

W+138

9/13/25

WIS

W 38-14

W-19.5

O47.5

W-1400

9/06/25

ULM

W 73-0

W-37.5

O51.5

W-20000

8/30/25

@FSU

L 31-17

L-12.5

U50.5

L-588

12/31/24

@MICH

L 19-13

L-11.5

U43.5

L-425

11/30/24

AUB

W 28-14

P-14.0

U51.5

W-490

LSU vs Alabama Prediction: LSU Offense

Overall

LSU Offense | Off. Rank | Stat | Def. Rank | BAMA Defense
25.50 | 84 | Points Scored | 20 | 18.25
249.00 | 50 | Passing Yards | 12 | 163.63
106.25 | 124 | Rushing Yards | 73 | 149.13
30:01 | 67 | Time on Field | 12 | 27:10
63.63 | 110 | Number of Plays | 12 | 59.38
5.58 | 77 | Yards Per Play | 50 | 5.27

Scoring

LSU Offense | Off. Rank | Stat | Def. Rank | BAMA Defense
25.50 | 84 | Points Scored | 20 | 18.25
4.25 | 108 | First Quarter | 21 | 3.00
9.38 | 57 | Second Quarter | 31 | 5.50
6.13 | 69 | Third Quarter | 66 | 5.38
5.75 | 90 | Fourth Quarter | 25 | 4.38

Passing

LSU Offense | Off. Rank | Stat | Def. Rank | BAMA Defense
249.00 | 50 | Passing Yards | 12 | 163.63
35.50 | 25 | Pass Attempts | 10 | 26.25
23.75 | 18 | Pass Completions | 15 | 15.75
2.00 | 82 | Sacks | 81 | 1.88
16.13 | 33 | Sack Yards | 73 | 13.50
10.48 | 111 | Yards Per Pass | 19 | 10.39

Rushing

LSU Offense | Off. Rank | Stat | Def. Rank | BAMA Defense
106.25 | 124 | Rushing Yards | 73 | 149.13
28.13 | 132 | Rush Attempts | 35 | 33.13
3.78 | 107 | Yards Per Rush | 95 | 4.50

Turn Overs

LSU Offense | Off. Rank | Stat | Def. Rank | BAMA Defense
0.63 | 47 | Interceptions | 22 | 1.13
0.88 | 35 | Fumbles | 40 | 1.25
0.38 | 38 | Fumbles Lost | 20 | 0.75
1.00 | 39 | Total Turnovers | 18 | 1.88
6.50 | 77 | Penalties | 89 | 5.50
56.38 | 75 | Penalty Yards | 69 | 52.13

Drives & Special Teams

LSU Offense | Off. Rank | Stat | Def. Rank | BAMA Defense
30:01 | 67 | Time on Field | 12 | 27:10
63.63 | 110 | Number of Plays | 12 | 59.38
5.58 | 77 | Yards Per Play | 50 | 5.27
4.25 | 76 | Punts | 98 | 3.88
47.45 | 7 | Punt Average | 63 | 42.40
74.13 | 25 | Return Yards | 27 | 36.50

LSU vs Alabama Prediction: Alabama Offense

Overall

LSU Defense | Def. Rank | Stat | Off. Rank | BAMA Offense
18.88 | 22 | Points Scored | 30 | 34.38
191.13 | 31 | Passing Yards | 15 | 291.63
134.75 | 51 | Rushing Yards | 114 | 118.88
29:58 | 68 | Time on Field | 12 | 32:49
64.75 | 44 | Number of Plays | 55 | 67.63
5.03 | 32 | Yards Per Play | 46 | 6.07

Scoring

LSU Defense | Def. Rank | Stat | Off. Rank | BAMA Offense
18.88 | 22 | Points Scored | 30 | 34.38
4.63 | 51 | First Quarter | 27 | 7.88
4.75 | 18 | Second Quarter | 10 | 12.38
5.63 | 72 | Third Quarter | 85 | 5.38
3.88 | 15 | Fourth Quarter | 31 | 8.75

Passing

LSU Defense | Def. Rank | Stat | Off. Rank | BAMA Offense
191.13 | 31 | Passing Yards | 15 | 291.63
30.38 | 66 | Pass Attempts | 31 | 34.88
17.75 | 47 | Pass Completions | 16 | 23.75
2.13 | 58 | Sacks | 72 | 1.88
16.00 | 96 | Sack Yards | 51 | 13.63
10.77 | 37 | Yards Per Pass | 50 | 12.28

Rushing

LSU Defense | Def. Rank | Stat | Off. Rank | BAMA Offense
134.75 | 51 | Rushing Yards | 114 | 118.88
34.38 | 61 | Rush Attempts | 103 | 32.75
3.92 | 55 | Yards Per Rush | 116 | 3.63

Turn Overs

LSU Defense | Def. Rank | Stat | Off. Rank | BAMA Offense
1.25 | 14 | Interceptions | 3 | 0.13
0.63 | 123 | Fumbles | 13 | 0.63
0.25 | 114 | Fumbles Lost | 60 | 0.50
1.50 | 39 | Total Turnovers | 3 | 0.63
8.38 | 5 | Penalties | 40 | 5.63
71.63 | 5 | Penalty Yards | 34 | 46.13

Drives & Special Teams

LSU Defense | Def. Rank | Stat | Off. Rank | BAMA Offense
29:58 | 68 | Time on Field | 12 | 32:49
64.75 | 44 | Number of Plays | 55 | 67.63
5.03 | 32 | Yards Per Play | 46 | 6.07
4.50 | 63 | Punts | 15 | 2.63
41.02 | 22 | Punt Average | 47 | 44.26
61.25 | 96 | Return Yards | 99 | 45.75

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LSU vs Alabama Prediction and Pick, Week 11, by YouWager.lv.