San Diego State vs Hawaii Prediction and Pick, Week 11. Place a bet on this CFB football game with the best odds.

San Diego State vs Hawaii Prediction: Trends

Over the past six games, San Diego State has a perfect 6-0 record against the spread.

There have been four of San Diego State’s last six games in which the total has been UNDER.

In its last six games, San Diego State has a perfect 6-0 record against the spread.

In its last five games against Hawaii, San Diego State has a perfect 5-0 against Hawaii.

Six out of San Diego State’s previous eight games played away from home have resulted in the total going over.

During San Diego State’s last six games versus Hawaii, the total has been under in five of those games. Hawaii is San Diego State’s opponent.

Over the course of its most recent five matches versus teams from the Mountain West conference, San Diego State has a winning record of 4-1.

In the last five games that San Diego State has played against opponents from the West Division, the team has a perfect 5-0 overall record.

In its last six games played in November, San Diego State has a record of 1-5 on the road.

Over the past five games, Hawaii has a record of 4-1 against the spread.

In its last seven games, Hawaii has a winning percentage of 5-2.

There have been eight of Hawaii’s last twelve games against San Diego State in which the total has been UNDER.

7-1 against the spread in Hawaii’s last 8 games played at home.

Within the past six games that Hawaii has played at home against San Diego State, the total has been UNDER in five of those games so far.

In Hawaii’s last six games against teams from the Mountain West conference, the team has a record of 5-1 against the spread.

In its last 11 games versus teams from the West Division, Hawaii has a record of 3-8 in terms of its overall performance.

Out of the five games that Hawaii has played in November, the total has been over in four of those games.

After playing 13 games in week 11, Hawaii has a record of 2-11 on the season.

San Diego State vs Hawaii Prediction

Now we have the San Diego State vs Hawaii Prediction for both teams.

The Week 11 matchup between the San Diego State Aztecs and the Hawaii Rainbow Warriors offers an intriguing contrast in styles and trends, with both programs heading into this game playing strong football in recent weeks. San Diego State has been red-hot against the spread, covering in six straight contests while playing some of the best defense in the Mountain West. The Aztecs’ dominance in this head-to-head series is hard to ignore — they’ve beaten Hawaii in five consecutive meetings, often by controlling the pace and forcing the Rainbow Warriors into uncomfortable offensive situations. Historically, these games tend to stay low-scoring, with the total going UNDER in five of their last six meetings. However, Hawaii’s home field has been kind to bettors recently, as the Rainbow Warriors have covered in seven of their last eight games at home. That said, San Diego State’s recent surge — with shutouts against Fresno State and Wyoming — shows a team that’s peaking defensively and finding offensive balance behind a strong ground game. This one sets up as a battle between Hawaii’s explosive passing attack and the Aztecs’ grind-it-out style that has quietly turned them into one of the Mountain West’s most consistent teams.

For San Diego State, the key to this game will be maintaining control through the running game and suffocating defense that has carried them to a 6-0 ATS streak. The Aztecs are averaging nearly 185 rushing yards per contest, good for 39th nationally, while their defense ranks second in the nation in scoring, allowing just 10 points per game. That’s a championship-caliber defense, and it’s been on full display lately with back-to-back shutouts of Fresno State (23-0) and Wyoming (24-7). Offensively, they’ve improved in efficiency — posting at least 23 points in five straight games — while their time of possession average (over 30 minutes per game) keeps their defense fresh. They don’t throw the ball often, ranking 112th in passing yards, but their ability to limit turnovers and control tempo makes them dangerous in close games. The Aztecs’ special teams, particularly their elite punting and return units, often flip field position in their favor, which could be a major factor against a Hawaii team that thrives on rhythm and space. If San Diego State continues to dominate the trenches and force Hawaii into predictable passing downs, their defensive front — allowing just 2.84 yards per rush — could once again tilt the game their way.

Hawaii, on the other hand, brings one of the most explosive passing offenses in the Mountain West, averaging over 307 passing yards per game — sixth best in the nation. Their air-raid system, led by a quick-tempo offense that runs nearly 74 plays per game, will test San Diego State’s secondary and endurance. Hawaii’s offensive identity revolves around quarterback efficiency and spacing, using short throws to open deep shots later in drives. However, their defense remains a concern, particularly against the run, where they’re allowing over 132 yards per game. Despite that, Hawaii has been a solid bet lately, going 4-1 ATS in their last five and 5-1 ATS against Mountain West opponents. At home, they’re a dangerous opponent, with a 7-1 ATS mark in their last eight in Honolulu. The Rainbow Warriors will try to make this a track meet, forcing San Diego State to play faster and abandon their ground-heavy identity. The challenge will be sustaining drives against an Aztec defense that ranks top-10 nationally in both yards per play allowed (3.85) and total yards per game. If Hawaii can protect the quarterback and hit explosive plays early, they’ll have a shot to pull the upset, but consistency remains their biggest obstacle against a defense as disciplined as San Diego State’s.

Our CFB Week 11 Pick: SAN DIEGO STATE

San Diego State vs Hawaii Prediction: Head to Head

Date | Opponent | Score | Spread | Total | Moneyline

10/05/24

@SDSU

SDSU 27-24

SDSU-3.0

O47

SDSU-155

10/14/23

@HAW

SDSU 41-34

HAW+5.5

O51.5

HAW+172

10/08/22

@SDSU

SDSU 16-14

SDSU-16.5

U49.5

SDSU-1400

11/06/21

@HAW

SDSU 17-10

HAW+7.0

U45

HAW+270

11/14/20

@SDSU

SDSU 34-10

SDSU-9.5

U52.5

SDSU-357

11/23/19

@HAW

HAW 14-11

HAW-2.5

U47

HAW-139

11/24/18

@SDSU

HAW 31-30

NL

NL

NL

10/28/17

@HAW

SDSU 28-7

NL

NL

NL

11/05/16

@SDSU

SDSU 55-0

NL

NL

NL

10/10/15

@HAW

SDSU 28-14

NL

NL

NL

San Diego State vs Hawaii Prediction: San Diego State Last 10 Games

Date | Opponent | Score | Spread | Total | Moneyline

11/01/25

WYO

W 24-7

W-10.0

U49.5

W-265

10/25/25

@FRE

W 23-0

W-2.5

U47.5

W-126

10/11/25

@NEV

W 44-10

W-5.5

O42.5

W-215

10/03/25

CSU

W 45-24

W-5.5

O41.5

W-230

9/27/25

@NIL

W 6-3

W-2.5

U43.5

W-135

9/20/25

CAL

W 34-0

W+11.5

U49.5

W+390

9/06/25

@WST

L 36-13

L+5.5

O44.5

L+140

8/28/25

SBK

W 42-0

W-12.5

U53.5

W-450

11/30/24

AF

L 31-20

L+2.5

O43.5

L+116

11/23/24

@UTS

L 41-20

L+4.0

U62

L+160

San Diego State vs Hawaii Prediction: Hawaii Last 10 Games

Date | Opponent | Score | Spread | Total | Moneyline

11/01/25

@SJS

L 45-38

L+2.5

O54.5

L+110

10/18/25

@CSU

W 31-19

W-1.5

U54.5

W-110

10/11/25

UTS

W 44-26

W-2.5

O60.5

W-120

9/27/25

@AF

W 44-35

W+5.5

O53.5

W+145

9/20/25

FRE

L 23-21

W+4.5

U47.5

L+134

9/13/25

PRST

W 23-3

L-38.5

U52.5

WNL

9/06/25

SHS

W 37-20

W-9.5

O48.5

W-350

8/30/25

@ARI

L 40-6

L+13.5

U52.5

L+400

8/23/25

STA

W 23-20

W+2.5

U54.5

W+106

11/30/24

NM

W 38-30

W+3.5

O60.5

W+125

San Diego State vs Hawaii Prediction: San Diego State Offense

Overall

SDST Offense | Off. Rank | Stat | Def. Rank | HAW Defense
28.88 | 67 | Points Scored | 81 | 25.67
180.75 | 112 | Passing Yards | 74 | 225.44
185.25 | 39 | Rushing Yards | 48 | 132.56
30:58 | 42 | Time on Field | 10 | 27:06
63.75 | 108 | Number of Plays | 18 | 61.22
5.74 | 66 | Yards Per Play | 95 | 5.85

Scoring

SDST Offense | Off. Rank | Stat | Def. Rank | HAW Defense
28.88 | 67 | Points Scored | 81 | 25.67
7.00 | 52 | First Quarter | 58 | 4.89
10.00 | 41 | Second Quarter | 70 | 7.11
5.88 | 72 | Third Quarter | 70 | 5.56
6.00 | 88 | Fourth Quarter | 110 | 8.11

Passing

SDST Offense | Off. Rank | Stat | Def. Rank | HAW Defense
180.75 | 112 | Passing Yards | 74 | 225.44
22.00 | 130 | Pass Attempts | 47 | 29.33
13.75 | 126 | Pass Completions | 36 | 17.22
1.13 | 23 | Sacks | 38 | 2.33
9.50 | 96 | Sack Yards | 79 | 14.00
13.15 | 20 | Yards Per Pass | 120 | 13.09

Rushing

SDST Offense | Off. Rank | Stat | Def. Rank | HAW Defense
185.25 | 39 | Rushing Yards | 48 | 132.56
41.75 | 19 | Rush Attempts | 19 | 31.89
4.44 | 59 | Yards Per Rush | 74 | 4.16

Turn Overs

SDST Offense | Off. Rank | Stat | Def. Rank | HAW Defense
0.63 | 50 | Interceptions | 94 | 0.56
0.50 | 7 | Fumbles | 47 | 1.22
0.13 | 12 | Fumbles Lost | 97 | 0.33
0.75 | 12 | Total Turnovers | 110 | 0.89
6.63 | 86 | Penalties | 23 | 7.33
60.88 | 98 | Penalty Yards | 23 | 65.00

Drives & Special Teams

SDST Offense | Off. Rank | Stat | Def. Rank | HAW Defense
30:58 | 42 | Time on Field | 10 | 27:06
63.75 | 108 | Number of Plays | 18 | 61.22
5.74 | 66 | Yards Per Play | 95 | 5.85
4.75 | 98 | Punts | 93 | 4.00
47.49 | 6 | Punt Average | 39 | 41.71
75.00 | 20 | Return Yards | 129 | 92.00

San Diego State vs Hawaii Prediction: Hawaii Offense

Overall

SDST Defense | Def. Rank | Stat | Off. Rank | HAW Offense
10.00 | 2 | Points Scored | 60 | 29.67
155.63 | 8 | Passing Yards | 6 | 307.56
91.88 | 13 | Rushing Yards | 127 | 102.44
28:42 | 35 | Time on Field | 10 | 32:53
64.25 | 38 | Number of Plays | 8 | 73.78
3.85 | 2 | Yards Per Play | 78 | 5.56

Scoring

SDST Defense | Def. Rank | Stat | Off. Rank | HAW Offense
10.00 | 2 | Points Scored | 60 | 29.67
2.13 | 7 | First Quarter | 71 | 6.11
2.75 | 4 | Second Quarter | 75 | 8.22
1.25 | 3 | Third Quarter | 84 | 5.44
3.88 | 16 | Fourth Quarter | 15 | 9.89

Passing

SDST Defense | Def. Rank | Stat | Off. Rank | HAW Offense
155.63 | 8 | Passing Yards | 6 | 307.56
31.88 | 91 | Pass Attempts | 2 | 45.33
16.13 | 19 | Pass Completions | 2 | 29.11
2.38 | 35 | Sacks | 116 | 2.67
18.75 | 114 | Sack Yards | 39 | 15.33
9.65 | 5 | Yards Per Pass | 108 | 10.56

Rushing

SDST Defense | Def. Rank | Stat | Off. Rank | HAW Offense
91.88 | 13 | Rushing Yards | 127 | 102.44
32.38 | 29 | Rush Attempts | 131 | 28.44
2.84 | 12 | Yards Per Rush | 119 | 3.60

Turn Overs

SDST Defense | Def. Rank | Stat | Off. Rank | HAW Offense
1.25 | 17 | Interceptions | 108 | 1.00
1.13 | 59 | Fumbles | 26 | 0.78
0.25 | 122 | Fumbles Lost | 102 | 0.67
1.50 | 40 | Total Turnovers | 118 | 1.67
5.00 | 110 | Penalties | 102 | 7.11
36.13 | 124 | Penalty Yards | 100 | 61.22

Drives & Special Teams

SDST Defense | Def. Rank | Stat | Off. Rank | HAW Offense
28:42 | 35 | Time on Field | 10 | 32:53
64.25 | 38 | Number of Plays | 8 | 73.78
3.85 | 2 | Yards Per Play | 78 | 5.56
6.50 | 4 | Punts | 59 | 3.78
42.81 | 80 | Punt Average | 22 | 46.17
39.00 | 40 | Return Yards | 125 | 31.44

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San Diego State vs Hawaii Prediction and Pick, Week 11, by YouWager.lv.