Here is our Mississippi State vs Michigan State Betting March Madness 2024 prediction. Place a bet on this college basketball game now.

This is the first round of the NCAA March Madness Tournament in the West region. The No. 8 seed Mississippi State Bulldogs are playing the No. 9 seed Michigan State Spartans. Both teams have had good seasons. In the regular season, they beat the best teams in their conferences, and in the playoffs, they made it to at least the quarterfinal round.

The two seem to be a good match on paper, which makes for a tough fight. What that means is that the spread only gives the Spartans -1.5 points as a favorite. For those who want to bet on the event, this is one of the best games in the first round. Get more information about how to bet on the game below before it starts on CBS at 12:15 p.m. ET on Thursday, March 21.

Mississippi State vs Michigan State Betting Odds

Here are the Mississippi State vs Michigan State Betting odds:

TEAM	SPREAD	MONEYLINE	TOTAL
MICHIGAN STATE	-1	-120	Over –
MISSISSIPPI STATE	+1	+100	Under –

These are the most up-to-date college basketball odds from the best casinos on the market.

There is a good chance that Michigan State has the small edge in this game because they allow four fewer points per game and their offense scores more evenly. The Spartans didn’t let any of their opponents score more than 70 points in either of their two Big Ten Tournament games. That included a game against Purdue, which finished the regular season ranked 10th in the country in scoring (83.4).

Three Betting Trends to Watch

• As a team, the Bulldogs went 3-0-0 ATS in the SEC playoffs. In all of their games, they also went OVER.
• In their last 10 games, the Spartans have lost three as favorites, and all of those games ended WITHOUT the needed number of points.
• The Spartans and Bulldogs have both gone 4–6 on OVERs in their last 10 games.

Michigan State Spartans Stats & Insights

• Michigan State scores 73.1 points per game, which is 190th in college basketball, and lets up 65.9 points per game, which is 24th in college basketball. Overall, it gets 237 more points than its opponents, beating them by 7.2 points per game.
• 34.6 points per game is the 219th most in the country for Michigan State. That’s about the same as the average of 33.8 for its opponents.
• The Spartans made 6.4 three-pointers per game, which is 279th in college basketball, while their opponents made 7.5 per game.
• Michigan State scores 97.8 points per 100 possessions, which is 115th in college basketball. They give up 88.2 points per 100 possessions, which is 53rd in college basketball.
• This season, the Spartans have done better offensively when they play at home (75.9 points per game) than when they play away (68.6 points per game).

Mississippi State Bulldogs Stats & Insights

• Mississippi State beats its opponents by 5.7 points per game, scoring 74.8 points per game (141st in college basketball) and allowing 69.1 points per game (91st in college basketball). This gives them a +194 scoring difference.
• Mississippi State usually gets 5.8 more boards than the other team. It gets 38.3 boards per game, which is 49th in college basketball, while its opponents only get 32.5.
• Mississippi State makes 7.2 three-pointers per game, which is 209th in college basketball and 32.5% of the time, which is 265th in college basketball. Its opponents make 7 three-pointers per game, which is 29.4% of the time.
• The offense for Mississippi State scores 95.8 points per 100 possessions, which is 160th in college basketball. The defense lets up 88.5 points per 100 possessions, which is 56th in college basketball.
• At home, the Bulldogs score 77.4 points per game, but when they’re away, they only score 71.1.

Key Players for Michigan State

There are four Spartans who score 10 points or more per game on average.

• Tyson Walker averages 18.2 points per game and makes 44.2% of his field goals, 37.3% of his three-point shots, and 74.5% of his free throws. FT
• Malik Hall scores 12.6 points per game on 52.3%, 35.1%, and 71.8% of his shots.
• There were 11 points per game for A.J. Hoggard on 41.6%, 33.8%, and 79.2%.
• Jaden Akins: 10.2 points per game on 41.2%, 36%, and 72.7% of shots.

That means Michigan State has two more players with 10 or more points than Georgia Tech. However, neither of their top scorers shoots 80% or better from the free throw line, which is a big problem if the game really is close.

Key Players for Mississippi State

The Bulldogs depend on two shooters to do most of the work, but neither has been playing well lately.

• Josh Hubbard scores 17 points a game on 38.7%, 35.8%, and 85.3% of shots.
• Tolu Smith: 15.2 points per game on 56.4% of shots.

The Bulldogs don’t have any other players on the team who score 10 or more points after those two. Worst of all for them is that Hubbard hasn’t made at least 40% of his shots from the field in five straight games. With the Spartans’ defense being so strong, his carelessness could kill them. Smith has also scored less than 10 points in three of his last five games.

Hubbard vs. Walker: Best Individual Matchup

The starting point guards are the ones who score most for their teams. Both of them are smaller guards who take a lot of shots to get points, which makes their match very interesting. Most likely, the winner of this battle will have the most important effect on who wins the game.

This one is all about the 3-point line. Both guards make at least 35% of their three-point shots, and both teams keep their opponents to 32% or less from beyond the line. This means that both teams could have a rough night.

Do you know this Mississippi State vs Michigan State Betting Fact?

When the game is close, making free throws is very important. In this area, both teams are terrible. Michigan State as a whole shoots 70.6% from the line, and Mississippi State is even worse, hitting 67.2%. They made 17 of 27 free throws in their 73-66 loss to Auburn in the semifinals of the SEC Tournament. That’s 10 missed free throws that cost them seven points. Putting on that kind of show could come back to bite them.

Mississippi State vs Michigan State Betting Prediction

We think it’s too risky to bet against the Spartans because the Bulldogs have a hard time from the free throw line. In a game like this, where it’s hard to see an edge between the two, it’s very important.

• Pick ATS: Michigan State (-1.5)
• Pick OU: Over (130)

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