Wisconsin vs Illinois Betting Prediction, Odds for 3/17/24
Wisconsin vs Illinois Betting pick and odds for this game set for March 17, 2024. Place a bet on this college basketball game now.
Wisconsin vs Illinois Betting Odds
Here are the Wisconsin vs Illinois Betting odds:
TEAM | SPREAD | MONEYLINE | TOTAL |
---|---|---|---|
WISCONSIN
|
+3.5 | +140 | Over 148 |
ILLINOIS | -3.5 | -160 | Under 148 |
Wisconsin vs Illinois Betting Prediction
Here is our Wisconsin vs Illinois Betting prediction.
No. 5 Wisconsin (21-12 SU, 15-17-2 ATS) faces No. 2 Illinois (25-8 SU, 18-13-2 ATS) in the Big 10 Championship game on Sunday at 3 p.m. ET at the Target Center in Minneapolis.
These teams have met once this season, with the Illini winning 91-83 on the road on March 2 as a 3-point underdog. Marcus Domask led the Illini with 31 points, and Tyler Wahl added 20 for Wisconsin, which has now lost seven straight games to Illinois.
Wisconsin Badgers Betting Prediction
First, we have the Wisconsin vs Illinois Betting prediction for the Badgers.
Wisconsin entered this tournament having won only once in their previous four games. Perhaps it was Thursday’s 31-point triumph over Maryland (87-56) or Friday’s 70-61 victory against Northwestern. That was a convincing victory, yet they were a 4.5-point favorite. They faced No. 1 seeded Purdue on Saturday, and they had a far steeper hill to climb, both physically and metaphorically. Max Klesmit hit a short jumper with five seconds left in overtime, giving Wisconsin a 76-75 victory over the Boilermakers despite being a 5.5-point underdog.
Chucky Hepburn led the Badgers with 22 points and three steals, while A.J. Storr contributed 20 points. Purdue’s 7-4 center recorded 28 points, 11 rebounds, and three blocks.
Storr has averaged 22 points on 48% shooting (42.1 percent from three). He’s only shooting 31.4% from three in the regular season, so big-time players step up, and the St. John’s transfer wing has had a significant impact for the Badgers. Tyler Wahl is averaging 11.7 points and 5.9 rebounds per game, but he is only averaging 2.7 points and 1.7 rebounds throughout the tournament. Seven-foot Steven Crowl has also played a significant role, averaging 15.7 points and 4.3 rebounds while shooting 74.1% from the field across three games.
According to Joe Lunardi’s most recent Bracketology, Wisconsin is a fifth seed, thus if they win the tournament, they might finish in the top four. Wisconsin is a fairly efficient offensive team, shooting 46.2% from the field and 33.3% from long distance. They have failed to defend the three-point shot this season (37.3%). That was not the case with Purdue (5-16, 31%), Northwestern (9-23, 35%), or Maryland (6-15, 40%). Even if Maryland shot well from three, it was in a 31-point blowout. It had no effect on that game.
Illinois Fighting Illini Betting Prediction
Now we have the Wisconsin vs Illinois Betting prediction for the Fighting Illini.
Storr is emerging as a star in Madison, and Terrence Shannon Jr. is already there. He solidified his status as the best player in the Big Ten who isn’t named Zach Edey by scoring 40 points in Saturday’s 98-87 victory over No. 4 Nebraska. The Fighting Illini, ranked 13th overall, trailed the Huskers by 11 at halftime before outscoring them 58-356 in the second half. Marcus Domask tallied 16 points, eight assists, and seven rebounds for the Illini. Shannon Jr. went 11 for 22 from the field, 5 for 9 from beyond the arc, and 13 for 16 from the line. Illinois shot 46% from the field and limited the Cornhuskers’ 3-point shooting to 8-of-27 (30%).
According to Lunardi, Illinois will receive the No. 3 seed as of Saturday.
If they win the Badgers, might they get a No. 2 seed and leapfrog Tennessee, which lost early in the SEC Tournament? It’s unlikely, given that they are 16th in the most recent NCAA Net Rankings. Shannon Jr. is averaging 21.6 points and 4.2 rebounds this season. He’s not particularly excellent at three-point shooting (34.9%), but he’s getting better. Domask is a 6-6 facilitator with 3.5 assists per game and the ability to score (16 points per game). Coleman Hawkins, the team’s star forward, averages 12.9 points per game and shoots 39.2% from long range.
They are 10th overall on KenPom, 4th in Adjusted Offensive Efficiency, and 81st in Adjusted Defensive Efficiency. That defense does not have to be great if the offense averages 83.9 points per game on 47.1% shooting (35% three-pointers). However, it will be intriguing to see how they react when Wisconsin slows the game down. They allow 42.9% shooting and 34.7% from outside the arc.
Wisconsin vs Illinois Betting Pick
If Wisconsin did not go OT yesterday and be physically battered by Edey, I might go toward the Badgers. However, this club has played three games, including a blowout, a good win, and an overtime victory over one of the greatest teams in the country. That takes a physical and emotional toll when you face an Illini team that has only played two games and features Shannon Jr., who will have a fun matchup against Storr. But the Illini also have Domask, Hawkins (6-10, 2250), and Quincy Guerrier, who scored 13 points on Saturday. Athletically, Storr can compete with some of those players, but the rest of the Badgers will struggle with the Illini’s quickness.
- Wisconsin vs Illinois Betting Pick: Take the Fighting Illini
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