Michigan State vs Purdue Betting Prediction, Odds for 3/15/24
Michigan State vs Purdue Betting prediction and wagering odds for this game set for March 15, 2024. Place a bet on this college basketball game now.
Michigan State vs Purdue Betting Prediction
Here is our Michigan State vs Purdue Betting prediction.
At 12 p.m. ET on Friday, No. 8 Michigan State (19-13 SU, 11-10 B10) plays No. 1 Purdue (28-3 SU, 17-3 B10) at the Target Center in Minneapolis, MN. The winner of his game will play either No. 4 Northwestern or the winner of No. 12 Maryland vs. No. 5 Wisconsin in the playoffs on Saturday at 12 p.m. ET.
When they played on March 2, the Boilermakers beat the Hawkeyes 80–74, even though they were only a 10-point favorite.
Michigan State Spartans Betting Prediction
First, we have the Michigan State vs Purdue Betting prediction for the Spartans.
After beating Minnesota in the second round, Michigan State is in a pretty good spot right now. In his most recent Bracketology report, Joe Lunardi ranks them as the 10th seed. This means that a loss to Purdue, who could be the 1 seed, wouldn’t hurt them that much. Thursday afternoon, A.J. Hoggard led the Spartans to a win over Minnesota. He scored 17 points and had six assists, and Tyson Walker added 15 points and four assists. Because Sparty had lost four of their last five games going into this game, this win probably made their spot stronger. If they had lost, they might have been the dreaded 11th seed and had to play in the First Four.
Adjusted Offensive Efficiency ranks MSU 51st, and Adjusted Defensive Efficiency ranks them 11th. This makes them a very impressive 18th total according to KenPom. Walker scores 18.4 points a game on 44.8% shooting and 37.2% three-point shooting. He also has 3.0 assists and 1.9 steals. Malik Hall, a forward, scores 12.7 points and grabs 5.7 rebounds. He shoots 52.7% from the field and 36.4% from beyond the line. This season, Sparty’s defense has been strong. They let opponents score 65.9 points per game, with 41% shooting and 32.6% from long range. It takes them 46% from the field and 36% from long range to score 73.4 points per game. The boards could be a big problem in this game. Purdue has the second-best rebound rate in the country at 57.9%, while Michigan State is 158th with 50.5%.
Purdue Boilermakers Betting Prediction
Now we have the Michigan State vs Purdue Betting prediction for the Boilermakers.
To Purdue coach Matt Painter, getting his team to the NCAA Tournament Final Four is the most important thing in the world. Good news: Purdue is almost certain to be a top seed in the NCAA Tournament. They’ve won 15 games in a row and five in a row. In terms of total rank, KenPom says they are third. They are first in adjusted offensive efficiency and 21st in adjusted defensive efficiency. It’s a 12–3 record against Quad 1 teams and a 17–0 record against Quad 2-4 teams that puts Purdue in second place in the NCAA Net Rankings.
Purdue will be 7-4 if they win this event and the big one. Zach Edey was great in every game, on both ends. With 24.2 points, 11.7 rebounds, 2.2 blocks, and 2.0 assists per game, Edey won Big Ten Player of the Year for the second year in a row. Edey gets some help from Braden Smith, a guard who scores 13 points, grabs 5.9 boards, gives out 7.2 assists, and steals 17 balls per game. Even better, he can make shots from outside the paint, making 44.6% of his three-point tries.
The Purdue defense is good, but not great. It takes 41.9% of their shots to make them score, and 32% of those are long-range shots. They score 84.2 points per game, which is 11th best, and hit 49.1% from the field (16th best) and 41.1% from long range (2nd best).
Michigan State vs Purdue Betting Pick
The win over Minnesota yesterday was important for Michigan State because it gave them confidence and momentum. It wasn’t rough on the boards in that first game. That was at home, where Purdue made 51% of their shots from the field. Edey went to the line 20 times and made 14. Michigan State wants to beat Purdue so they can get a better spot, and Tom Izzo could use the bracket to push his team. There are a lot of things that could go wrong and put them outside the group if they don’t win.
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