Iowa vs Tennessee Citrus Bowl Preview
See who we anticipate to win and cover in Orlando by reading on for betting odds and analysis in our college football prediction for Iowa vs. Tennessee opening game.
- In passing attempts, Iowa’s offense is ranked 81st.
- Each game, the Tennessee defense allows 22 points to be scored.
IOWA VS TENNESSEE PREDICTION
On Monday, January 1st at 1:00 ET, the Tennessee Volunteers and Iowa Hawkeyes will play a game. This Hawkeyes vs. Volunteers NCAAF first-round match is kind of on ABC.The Volunteers are 7.5-point favorites to win this non-conference matchup. Is it wiser to back them to cover the spread, or are the Hawkeyes a better deal? To find out, continue reading.
IOWA VS. TENNESSEE MATCHUP AT A GLANCE
- Sport: College Football
- Teams: Tennessee Volunteers versus Iowa Hawkeyes
- Where: Camping World Stadium in Orlando
- Date: January 1st, Monday
IOWA PREVIEW: IS IOWA ON TRACK FOR ANOTHER WIN?
Iowa hopes to correct its recent 26-0 loss to Michigan and get back on track this week. Despite this, they have a 10-3 record through 13 games, which is above.500. This season, Iowa has started nine games as the favorite and four as the underdog. Right now, their ATS record stands at 6-6-1. Iowa’s games have an average over/under line of 34.7 points through 13 games. With a cumulative scoring average of 29.8 points across their games, OU has a 2-11 record.
The Hawkeyes’ offense managed 155 yards of total offense in their most recent game despite being held scoreless. Iowa gained 35 running yards and 120 passing yards on 32 attempts, averaging 1.5 yards per carry on the ground. Deacon Hill completed 18 of 32 passes for 120 yards in the defeat against Michigan. He did neither rush or throw for a touchdown, and his overall passer rating was 64.58.
Ultimately, the Hawkeyes’ defense allowed Michigan a total of 216 yards. 69 yards were gained through the run defense, compared to 147 in the passing game. Coming into this matchup, Iowa’s defense ranks 184th in terms of passing yards allowed per game. Against the Hawkeyes, opponents have attempted 34.7 passes on average. They rank 51st in college football due to their 13.2 points per game against the opposition. They are ranked 25th in the NCAA for rush defense.
TENNESSEE PREVIEW: WILL TENNESSEE BOUNCE BACK FROM A LOSS?
With an 8-4 record going into this week’s game against Iowa, the Tennessee Volunteers are above.500. This follows their 48-24 victory over Vanderbilt in their most recent game. This season, Tennessee has started nine games as the favorite and two as the underdog. As of right now, their ATS record is 6-5. Tennessee has a 6-5 over/under record thus far this season. Their meetings have produced a cumulative average score of 53.5 points, with a 55.7 point average for the over/under.
Against Vanderbilt, the Volunteers’ passing game had 47 completion attempts for 449 yards and four touchdowns. They scored two rushing touchdowns and averaged 5.2 yards per carry in the running game. Quarterback Joe Milton III amassed 11 rushing yards and two rushing touchdowns in the victory over Vanderbilt. He completed 66.7% of his throws for 383 yards in the passing game, good for a passer rating of 145.58.
Tennessee’s defense gave up 308 yards to Vanderbilt in all. This entails surrendering 228 passing yards and the allotted 80 yards on the ground. As they get ready for this game, Tennessee’s defense is rated 100th in terms of passing yards allowed per game. Against the Volunteers, opponents have attempted 32.4 passing attempts on average. They are 78th in college football after giving up 22 points per game thus far. They rank 35th in the NCAA in the rush defense category.
IOWA VS TENNESSEE BETTING ODDS, TRENDS & ANALYSIS
Based on their recent meetings, Tennessee has had the advantage (4–1).
Tennessee is 1-2 as the underdog against Iowa in their last three meetings.
Since the current lines are still quite close to the opening numbers, the point spread hasn’t changed all that much. Right now, Tennessee is favored by 7.5 (-112) while Iowa is at +7.5 (-110). Tennessee’s indicated win probability has dropped to 77% on the moneyline after they moved from their opening line of -332 to -330. Iowa is presently priced at +248 by the oddsmakers, with an implied win probability of 29. On the moneyline, Iowa opened at +247.
KEY BETTING TRENDS
- Iowa is 2-1 away from home against the spread.
- Over the past ten games, Tennessee’s home ATS record is 5-5.
- In their last ten games as underdogs, Tennessee is 3-7.
- Iowa has been favored five times in the last ten games, going five-four-1 against the spread.
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