Edmen Shahbazyan vs Brunno Ferreira Betting Prediction: Can Shahbazyan Get Back to Winning?
Edmen Shahbazyan vs Brunno Ferreira Betting Prediction: Can Shahbazyan Get Back to Winning?
Edmen Shahbazyan vs Brunno Ferreira Betting Prediction: Get the latest odds, matchup analysis, best bet, props, and projected UFC 331 result.
Edmen Shahbazyan vs Brunno Ferreira Betting Prediction
The Edmen Shahbazyan vs Brunno Ferreira Betting Prediction favors Edmen Shahbazyan in a dangerous middleweight matchup at UFC 331. Shahbazyan enters the fight at 16-6 after seeing his three-fight winning streak snapped by Brendan Allen in June. Ferreira is 15-4 and is also coming off a loss, dropping a unanimous decision to Ikram Aliskerov in June.
Shahbazyan is the current betting favorite, with the market sitting around -160 to -175 in recent snapshots. Ferreira has been available around +135 to +145.
The matchup is particularly interesting because both fighters have extensive finishing records. Shahbazyan has 13 career knockout victories and 13 first-round finishes, while Ferreira has nine knockout wins, five submissions and 11 first-round finishes.
The best bet is Shahbazyan on the moneyline. His size, striking fundamentals, reach advantage and wrestling edge give him several ways to control the matchup.
Quick Pick
- Best Bet: Edmen Shahbazyan moneyline
- Secondary Bet: Edmen Shahbazyan by KO/TKO
- Projected Result: Shahbazyan by TKO
- Projected Round: Round 2
- Fight: Edmen Shahbazyan vs. Brunno Ferreira
- Event: UFC 331
- Date: September 19, 2026
- Location: Crypto.com Arena, Los Angeles
This is a three-round middleweight fight.
Edmen Shahbazyan vs Brunno Ferreira Betting Prediction: Fight Overview
Edmen Shahbazyan and Brunno Ferreira meet in one of the more intriguing middleweight fights on the UFC 331 preliminaries.
Both fighters enter the matchup looking to rebound.
Shahbazyan had won three consecutive fights before facing Brendan Allen on June 6. Allen won that fight by unanimous decision, ending Shahbazyan’s streak. Before that setback, Shahbazyan had recorded victories over Andre Muniz and Dylan Budka.
Ferreira also lost his most recent fight. Ikram Aliskerov defeated him by unanimous decision on June 27. Before that, Ferreira stopped Gregory Rodrigues by first-round TKO in March.
That creates an unusual situation.
Neither fighter enters UFC 331 riding a winning streak.
However, both have demonstrated enough finishing power to make this a matchup where one mistake could end the fight.
Shahbazyan has the more favorable physical profile. He stands 6-foot-2 with a 75-inch reach, compared with Ferreira at 5-foot-10 with a 72-inch reach. MMA Index also identifies a wrestling advantage for Shahbazyan.
Ferreira’s biggest weapon is his ability to create chaos.
“The Hulk” has nine knockout victories and five submission wins. He also has 11 first-round finishes, meaning he is not an opponent Shahbazyan can afford to overlook during the opening minutes.
Edmen Shahbazyan vs Brunno Ferreira Betting Prediction: Key Fight Information
| Category | Edmen Shahbazyan | Brunno Ferreira |
|---|---|---|
| Professional Record | 16-6 | 15-4 |
| Division | Middleweight | Middleweight |
| Age | 28 | 33 |
| Height | 6’2″ | 5’10” |
| Reach | 75″ | 72″ |
| KO Wins | 13 | 9 |
| Submission Wins | 1 | 5 |
| First-Round Finishes | 13 | 11 |
| UFC Sig. Strikes/Min. | 4.06 | 3.27 |
| UFC Sig. Strikes Absorbed/Min. | 3.87 | 3.75 |
| Takedowns/15 Min. | 1.43 | 1.00 |
| Takedown Defense | 67% | 50% |
| Last Fight | L, Brendan Allen | L, Ikram Aliskerov |
The statistics show why this matchup is difficult to handicap. Both fighters possess serious finishing ability, while Shahbazyan has measurable advantages in size, reach and several defensive categories.
Shahbazyan’s Recent Form
Shahbazyan has experienced one of the more interesting trajectories among UFC middleweights.
At 28 years old, he already has 22 professional fights and 16 victories. Thirteen of those wins have come by knockout or TKO. The UFC also lists 13 first-round finishes.
His recent run had been particularly encouraging.
Shahbazyan defeated Andre Muniz in October 2025 and followed that performance with another victory over Dylan Budka. Those wins extended his winning streak to three before Allen stopped the run with a unanimous decision in June 2026.
The Allen fight also provided useful information.
Shahbazyan was able to compete through three rounds against a difficult opponent rather than relying on an early finish. Although he lost the decision, that experience could be valuable heading into another fight against a dangerous middleweight.
His biggest question has historically involved consistency over longer fights.
When Shahbazyan can dictate the pace early, his athleticism and striking can make him extremely difficult to deal with.
When opponents survive the early offense and force him to fight at a slower pace, the advantages become less pronounced.
That dynamic will be important against Ferreira.
Ferreira’s Recent Form
Ferreira enters UFC 331 with a 15-4 professional record.
He has built his reputation on finishing fights.
The UFC lists nine knockout victories, five submission wins and 11 first-round finishes. Only one of his professional victories has come by decision.
That tells bettors exactly what type of fighter Ferreira is.
He is not interested in slowly accumulating points if he can create a finishing opportunity.
His March 2026 victory over Gregory Rodrigues is a perfect example. Ferreira stopped Rodrigues by TKO at 1:47 of Round 1.
However, Ferreira’s June fight against Aliskerov showed the other side of his game.
Aliskerov was able to take the fight to the judges and secure a unanimous decision.
That result matters because Shahbazyan has the physical tools to make Ferreira work at range.
Ferreira will likely want to prevent Shahbazyan from comfortably establishing his preferred striking distance.
Edmen Shahbazyan vs Brunno Ferreira Betting Prediction: Size Advantage
The physical difference is one of the most important factors in this matchup.
Shahbazyan is listed at 6-foot-2 with a 75-inch reach.
Ferreira is listed at 5-foot-10 with a 72-inch reach.
That creates a four-inch height difference and three-inch reach advantage for Shahbazyan.
At middleweight, those differences can matter significantly.
Shahbazyan should have an easier time establishing the jab and controlling the distance.
Ferreira will likely have to close the gap to land his best combinations.
That creates a tactical problem.
Every time Ferreira moves forward, he potentially gives Shahbazyan an opportunity to intercept him.
If Shahbazyan keeps his feet underneath him and avoids unnecessary exchanges, his physical advantages should become increasingly important.
Ferreira can still close distance successfully, but he will need to make Shahbazyan uncomfortable.
Shahbazyan’s Striking Advantage
The UFC statistics show Shahbazyan landing 4.06 significant strikes per minute compared with 3.27 for Ferreira. Shahbazyan also absorbs 3.87 significant strikes per minute, while Ferreira absorbs 3.75.
The difference in offensive volume is important.
Shahbazyan does not need to turn the fight into a wild brawl.
He can instead use his reach to touch Ferreira from the outside before moving away from the return fire.
MMA Index rates the overall striking matchup as essentially even, which highlights the danger of assuming that Shahbazyan’s size automatically translates into a striking domination.
However, Shahbazyan’s physical dimensions still give him a useful tactical advantage.
The ideal scenario is for Shahbazyan to maintain range, force Ferreira to enter from farther away and punish his entries with straight punches.
If that happens consistently, Ferreira will have difficulty generating the exchanges he needs.
Ferreira’s Knockout Threat
The biggest reason not to overlook Ferreira in this Edmen Shahbazyan vs Brunno Ferreira Betting Prediction is his finishing record.
Ferreira has nine knockout victories and 11 first-round finishes.
He does not need a long combination to hurt an opponent.
That makes Shahbazyan’s defensive discipline critical.
If Shahbazyan becomes too comfortable because of his reach advantage, Ferreira can close the distance and turn the fight into a power-striking contest.
That is where Ferreira wants to be.
A pocket exchange favors the fighter who can generate sudden power without needing a long setup.
Shahbazyan should therefore avoid giving Ferreira extended opportunities to exchange at close range.
The best approach is controlled aggression.
Use the jab.
Maintain distance.
Mix in kicks.
Change levels when appropriate.
Then reset.
That strategy forces Ferreira to repeatedly restart his offense.
Wrestling Could Be the Difference
The physical matchup is not the only reason to favor Shahbazyan.
MMA Index identifies a wrestling edge for Shahbazyan. His UFC statistics show 1.43 takedowns per 15 minutes compared with 1.00 for Ferreira, while Shahbazyan owns a 67% takedown-defense rate compared with 50% for Ferreira.
That provides Shahbazyan with another route to victory.
If Ferreira begins finding success with his striking, Shahbazyan can potentially change the rhythm by wrestling.
Even if he does not spend significant portions of the fight on the ground, successful takedown attempts can force Ferreira to hesitate.
That hesitation can help Shahbazyan regain control of the striking distance.
Ferreira has five submission victories, however, so Shahbazyan should not approach grappling exchanges recklessly.
The goal should be positional control rather than unnecessary submission hunting.
Edmen Shahbazyan vs Brunno Ferreira Betting Prediction: Moneyline Analysis
The current market has Shahbazyan priced as the favorite.
Recent market data has shown Shahbazyan around -159 to -175, while Ferreira has been available between approximately +128 and +145.
A recent matchup preview also listed Shahbazyan at approximately -162 and Ferreira at +136.
That is a meaningful favorite price without being an extreme number.
At around -160, Shahbazyan’s implied break-even probability is approximately 61.5%.
The question is whether his combination of size, striking, wrestling and recent form justifies that price.
There are legitimate arguments in his favor.
He is four inches taller.
He has a three-inch reach advantage.
He lands more significant strikes per minute.
He owns the better takedown-defense percentage.
He has 13 knockout victories.
And he has recently demonstrated that he can fight three full rounds against a difficult opponent.
The major concern is Ferreira’s finishing ability.
A fighter with nine knockout wins and 11 first-round finishes can dramatically change the fight with one clean connection.
Still, the moneyline provides the clearest betting route because Shahbazyan can win through multiple methods.
Shahbazyan by KO/TKO Betting Analysis
The more aggressive selection is Shahbazyan by KO/TKO.
That pick is supported by his career finishing record.
Thirteen of Shahbazyan’s 16 wins have come by knockout or TKO, accounting for 81% of his victories. The UFC lists 13 first-round finishes as well.
Ferreira has also been stopped twice by knockout or TKO during his professional career, according to MMA Index’s career breakdown.
That does not guarantee another stoppage.
However, it creates a plausible route for Shahbazyan.
The biggest opportunity could come when Ferreira enters aggressively.
Shahbazyan can use his longer reach to intercept those entries and follow up with combinations.
If Ferreira begins slowing down after absorbing clean shots, Shahbazyan’s finishing instincts become increasingly dangerous.
The problem with the KO/TKO prop is that Shahbazyan does not necessarily need to finish to win.
A decision victory would cash the moneyline but not the knockout prop.
That makes the moneyline the more conservative selection.
Could Brunno Ferreira Win by Knockout?
Absolutely.
Ferreira’s record makes that possibility impossible to ignore.
Nine of his 15 victories have come by knockout or TKO. He also has an impressive 11 first-round finishes.
His best path is to eliminate the range advantage.
If Ferreira can force Shahbazyan into pocket exchanges, the height and reach differences become less meaningful.
Ferreira also has enough grappling ability to prevent Shahbazyan from becoming completely one-dimensional.
Five submission victories demonstrate that he can finish opponents on the ground as well.
The underdog therefore has a realistic upset route.
He needs to pressure intelligently rather than simply rushing forward.
If he can get Shahbazyan moving backward, cut off the cage and force close-range exchanges, his power becomes much more relevant.
Can This Fight Go the Distance?
A decision is possible, but the career records of both fighters suggest a strong finishing environment.
Shahbazyan has 13 first-round finishes and 13 knockout victories.
Ferreira has 11 first-round finishes, nine knockout wins and five submission victories.
MMA Index’s style analysis also identifies both fighters as finish-oriented, with only 18% of Shahbazyan’s resolved career bouts and 11% of Ferreira’s going to a decision.
That does not mean the fight cannot reach the final bell.
Both fighters have shown that they can fight through three rounds.
Shahbazyan’s recent decision loss to Allen is proof that he can go the distance, while Ferreira’s most recent fight against Aliskerov also went to the judges.
Still, the matchup contains too much finishing power to treat a decision as the most obvious outcome.
Edmen Shahbazyan vs Brunno Ferreira Betting Prediction: Fight Script
The opening minutes should be critical.
Round 1
Shahbazyan should establish the range immediately.
The jab becomes an important weapon because Ferreira has to cross the distance before he can unleash his power.
Ferreira will likely look for opportunities to close that space and force Shahbazyan backward.
The first major exchanges could determine which fighter controls the fight.
If Shahbazyan keeps the fight at long range, he should be able to land cleaner combinations.
If Ferreira gets inside, the fight becomes much more dangerous for the favorite.
Round 2
The projection is for Shahbazyan to begin mixing his striking with wrestling.
By this point, Ferreira should have a better understanding of Shahbazyan’s timing.
That creates an opportunity for Shahbazyan to change levels and prevent Ferreira from simply waiting for the next striking exchange.
Repeated defensive reactions can eventually create openings.
The projection is that Shahbazyan finds one.
Projected Finish
Shahbazyan lands a clean combination after forcing Ferreira toward the fence.
Ferreira attempts to exchange but absorbs several unanswered strikes.
The referee steps in.
Projected Result: Edmen Shahbazyan by TKO in Round 2.
Edmen Shahbazyan vs Brunno Ferreira Betting Prediction: Key Factors
1. Size
Shahbazyan is four inches taller and owns a three-inch reach advantage.
That should help him establish range.
2. Finishing Ability
Both fighters have elite finishing profiles.
Shahbazyan has 13 KO/TKO wins, while Ferreira has nine KO victories and five submissions.
3. Wrestling
MMA Index identifies a wrestling edge for Shahbazyan, giving him another method of disrupting Ferreira’s striking rhythm.
4. Recent Losses
Both fighters are coming off losses.
Shahbazyan lost a decision to Brendan Allen, while Ferreira lost a decision to Ikram Aliskerov.
5. Early-Round Danger
Both fighters have more than 10 first-round finishes.
That makes the opening five minutes especially important.
6. Defensive Discipline
Shahbazyan’s biggest objective should be avoiding unnecessary exchanges.
Ferreira’s power makes reckless pressure dangerous.
What Shahbazyan Needs to Do to Win
Shahbazyan should make the fight boring before making it dangerous.
That means controlling the range.
His four-inch height advantage and three-inch reach advantage should allow him to establish the jab and force Ferreira to enter from distance.
He should also mix in low kicks and level changes.
The purpose is not necessarily to dominate Ferreira on the ground.
Instead, the wrestling threat can prevent Ferreira from becoming comfortable.
Once Ferreira has to account for multiple attacks, Shahbazyan’s striking becomes more effective.
The key is patience.
Shahbazyan has enough finishing power to capitalize once the opening appears.
He does not need to manufacture it.
What Ferreira Needs to Do to Win
Ferreira needs to close the distance.
That is the simplest part of his game plan.
The challenge is doing it without walking directly into Shahbazyan’s straight punches.
Ferreira should use feints to force Shahbazyan to react.
He can then use those reactions to enter the pocket.
The ideal scenario is a fight where Ferreira keeps Shahbazyan moving backward.
If Shahbazyan is forced to fight off his back foot, his reach advantage becomes less useful.
Ferreira can then attack with combinations and potentially bring his submission game into play if the fight hits the mat.
His biggest mistake would be allowing Shahbazyan to dictate every exchange from the outside.
Edmen Shahbazyan vs Brunno Ferreira Betting Prediction: Best Bet
The best bet is Edmen Shahbazyan moneyline.
The current price around the -160 range gives the favorite a reasonable path without requiring a specific finishing method.
Shahbazyan has the physical advantages, a strong finishing record and an identifiable wrestling edge.
Ferreira is dangerous, but the matchup gives Shahbazyan several ways to win.
He can outstrike Ferreira at range.
He can mix in takedowns.
He can use his size to control the distance.
And he can potentially find a knockout if Ferreira becomes too aggressive.
Best Bet
Edmen Shahbazyan moneyline
Secondary Bet
Edmen Shahbazyan by KO/TKO
Projected Result
Edmen Shahbazyan def. Brunno Ferreira by TKO, Round 2
Edmen Shahbazyan vs Brunno Ferreira Betting Prediction: What Could Go Wrong?
The biggest danger to the Shahbazyan pick is Ferreira’s power.
Nine knockout wins are enough to make any middleweight a serious threat.
Ferreira also has 11 first-round finishes.
If Shahbazyan makes an early defensive mistake, the fight could end before his size advantage becomes meaningful.
Another concern is Shahbazyan’s tendency to become less effective when opponents survive his early offense.
Ferreira has enough toughness and experience to potentially push the fight beyond the opening minutes.
If that happens, Shahbazyan will have to demonstrate that he can maintain his technical approach over three rounds.
The Allen fight showed that Shahbazyan can go the distance, but it also demonstrated that a competitive opponent can disrupt his offensive rhythm.
Edmen Shahbazyan vs Brunno Ferreira Betting Prediction: Final Analysis
The Edmen Shahbazyan vs Brunno Ferreira Betting Prediction comes down to a battle between Shahbazyan’s size, range and technical versatility and Ferreira’s explosive finishing ability.
Shahbazyan enters UFC 331 with a 16-6 record, 13 knockout victories and 13 first-round finishes. Ferreira is 15-4 with nine knockout wins, five submissions and 11 first-round finishes.
Both men are coming off decision losses, making this an important rebound opportunity.
The physical advantages belong to Shahbazyan.
He is four inches taller and has a three-inch reach advantage. MMA Index also identifies a wrestling advantage for Shahbazyan.
The betting market reflects that matchup profile.
Shahbazyan has recently been priced around -160 to -175, while Ferreira has been available around +135 to +145.
The favorite should be able to control enough of the fight at range to prevent Ferreira from consistently establishing his power game.
The biggest opportunity for Shahbazyan should come when Ferreira tries to close the distance.
That is where the taller fighter can use straight punches, movement and level changes to create openings.
The projected result is a Shahbazyan stoppage in the second round.
Final Picks
Best Bet: Edmen Shahbazyan moneyline
Secondary Bet: Edmen Shahbazyan by KO/TKO
Projected Result: Edmen Shahbazyan by TKO, Round 2
Edmen Shahbazyan vs Brunno Ferreira Betting Prediction: Follow-Up Questions
Who is favored in Edmen Shahbazyan vs Brunno Ferreira?
Edmen Shahbazyan is the current betting favorite. Recent market snapshots have placed him around -160 to -175, with Ferreira around +135 to +145.
What is Edmen Shahbazyan’s record?
Shahbazyan enters UFC 331 with a 16-6 professional record.
What is Brunno Ferreira’s record?
Ferreira enters the matchup with a 15-4 professional record.
How many knockout wins does Edmen Shahbazyan have?
Shahbazyan has 13 career knockout or TKO victories.
How many knockout wins does Brunno Ferreira have?
Ferreira has nine career knockout victories.
Who did Shahbazyan fight last?
Shahbazyan’s most recent fight was against Brendan Allen on June 6, 2026. Allen won by unanimous decision.
Who did Ferreira fight last?
Ferreira’s most recent fight was against Ikram Aliskerov on June 27, 2026. Aliskerov won by unanimous decision.
Does Shahbazyan have a size advantage?
Yes. Shahbazyan is listed at 6-foot-2 with a 75-inch reach, while Ferreira is 5-foot-10 with a 72-inch reach.
Can Brunno Ferreira win by knockout?
Yes. Ferreira has nine career knockout victories and 11 first-round finishes, making his power one of the primary threats to Shahbazyan.
What is the Edmen Shahbazyan vs Brunno Ferreira Betting Prediction?
The pick is Edmen Shahbazyan on the moneyline, with Shahbazyan by KO/TKO as the secondary selection. The projected result is Shahbazyan by second-round TKO.
Edmen Shahbazyan vs Brunno Ferreira Betting Prediction: Final Pick
Shahbazyan has the physical advantages, greater reach, strong striking numbers and a wrestling edge that should give him multiple paths to victory.
Ferreira remains dangerous because of his knockout power and ability to finish fights early.
However, Shahbazyan should be able to control the distance and force Ferreira to take risks to enter the pocket.
That creates the opening the favorite needs.
Pick: Edmen Shahbazyan
Best Bet: Shahbazyan moneyline
Secondary Bet: Shahbazyan by KO/TKO
Projected Round: 2
Projected Result: Edmen Shahbazyan def. Brunno Ferreira by TKO
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