Pittsburgh Pirates vs Cleveland Guardians MLB Prediction and Pick, Today’s MLB Betting Picks, 7-18-2026
Pittsburgh Pirates vs Cleveland Guardians MLB Prediction and Pick, 7-18-2026. Today’s MLB Betting Picks – Best available odds at YouWager.lv. Claim your signup bonus.
Our Pittsburgh Pirates vs Cleveland Guardians Pick: GUARDIANS
Cleveland is the recommended pick because its pitching staff and elite bullpen provide the edge over Pittsburgh’s explosive offense. While the Pirates lead Major League Baseball by averaging 5.3 runs per game and own a .263 team batting average with a .342 on-base percentage, their pitching has been inconsistent, posting a 4.32 ERA and converting just 52.8% of save opportunities. The Guardians counter with a much stronger staff, carrying a 3.71 team ERA, a 1.26 WHIP, and one of the league’s best bullpens, converting 78.0% of their save chances while ranking near the top of MLB in holds. Although Cleveland’s offense has struggled throughout the season, its ability to prevent runs gives it a clear advantage. If the Guardians continue to receive quality pitching and timely offense, they have the edge to secure the victory.
| MATCHUP | Pirates | Guardians |
|---|---|---|
| Pittsburgh Pirates vs Cleveland Guardians Moneyline | -196 | +162 |
| Where | Progressive Field in Cleveland, OH | |
| When | Saturday, July 18, 2026 | |
Pittsburgh Pirates vs Cleveland Guardians MLB Prediction – 7-18-2026 – MLB Betting Picks
Here is our Pittsburgh Pirates vs Cleveland Guardians MLB Prediction for both teams:
Pittsburgh Pirates Preview
Together, the Pirates have hit 154 doubles and 125 home runs. Pittsburgh has a slugging percentage of.426, 907 strikeouts, and 363 walks. The Pittsburgh Pirates are leading the league in team scoring at 5.3 runs per game. They have amassed 886 hits and 495 runs batted in this season, with a team batting average of.263. Despite having a collective OBP of.342, they have scored 516 runs overall.
Their pitching staff has a combined WHIP of 1.32 and a K/BB ratio of 2.49. In addition to 472 total runs (23rd in MLB), Pirates pitchers have given up 103 home runs. Pittsburgh has given up 416 earned runs and 787 base hits (8.2 per nine innings). The Pirates have struck out 883 batters this season and have a team earned run average of 4.32 (20th in the league). Their team’s FIP is 4.03 thus far this season, and their pitching staff has walked 355 opponents.
In addition to having 89 appearances in high-leverage situations, Pirates pitchers have entered the game with runners on base 88 times. So far this season, the bullpen has earned 45 holds (22nd in MLB). The Pirates bullpen entered the game in 82 save opportunities and had a 52.8% save percentage. This season, they have made 19 saves, but 17 of their 36 save opportunities have been blown. 30.4% of the 125 base runners that the bullpen relievers have inherited this season have crossed the plate. Throughout the season, the Pirates have sent 310 relievers to the mound.
Out of 7,800 innings on the field, the Pirates have converted 69.2% of balls hit into play into outs, placing them 23rd in MLB. So far this season, the Pittsburgh Pirates have 2,600 putouts, 765 assists, and 57 errors. They have accumulated 74 double plays and are rated 21st in baseball with a fielding percentage of.983.
So far in his professional baseball career, Ashcraft has pitched 182 innings and struck out 199 batters. Ashcraft, who has a 13-7 career win-loss record, has faced 753 batters in the major leagues and has a FIP of 3.16. He has a WHIP of 1.168 and an earned run average of 3.21 (65 ERs permitted). He has allowed 51 walks and 162 hits (8.0 hits every nine innings).
Cleveland Guardians Preview
Cleveland has batted in 368 runs and hit 93 home homers so far this season. They have scored 385 runs, recorded 147 doubles, and received 353 free bases. In addition to their team batting average of.229 for the season, the Cleveland Guardians have a team OBP of.310. The Guardians rank 29th in MLB with an average of 3.97 runs per game and a slugging percentage of.369. They have earned a total of 732 base hits while striking out 810 times (12th in the league).
In addition to their season-long FIP of 3.97, the Guardians have a team WHIP of 1.262. With 870 strikeouts compared to 321 free passes, their K/BB ratio is 9.10. With 762 total hits allowed, their pitching staff is ranked 10th in the league. They give up 4.06 runs per nine innings (7th in MLB) and have given up 110 home homers. With a club ERA of 3.71 (354 earned runs yielded), the Cleveland pitching staff has given up 387 runs thus far this season.
The Guardians have earned 83 holds and nine blown saves out of 125 save situations. In 41 save opportunities, Cleveland has called on relievers, and they have made 32 saves. Out of 142 inherited runners, Cleveland relief pitchers have an inherited score rate of 23.9%. Their relief pitchers have entered the game 92 times with base runners and 123 times in high-leverage situations. They have put 326 relievers onto the diamond this season and are ranked second in baseball with a save percentage of 78.0%.
With a fielding percentage of.986 (14th in professional baseball), the Cleveland Guardians have made 66 double plays. For the season, the Guardians have recorded 2,576 putouts, 47 mistakes, and 776 assists. The Guardians have a defensive efficiency of 70.1% (15th in the majors) after 7,728 innings on the diamond.
Cantillo has recorded 257 punch outs in 235 innings while giving up 205 base knocks thus far in his MLB career. With a WHIP of 1.323 and a FIP of 3.6, he has given up 95 earned runs. Throughout his MLB career, he has faced 994 batters, and his K/BB ratio is 2.42. With a 15-11 career win-loss record, Cantillo has an earned run average of 3.64 while giving up 7.9 hits every nine innings.
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