Broncos vs Commanders Prediction and Pick, Week 13, NFL Betting Picks
Broncos vs Commanders Prediction and Pick, Week 13, NFL Betting Picks. Place a bet on this game with the best odds.
Broncos vs Commanders Prediction
Now we have the Broncos vs Commanders Prediction for both teams.
The Denver Broncos were given a vigorish of -6.5, which was just a hair away from the crucial amount of a touchdown when this spread was first established. As the oddsmakers wait for further information regarding the injuries sustained by the Washington Commanders, this spread will increase to a touchdown and beyond in the event that Daniels and/or McLaurin are ruled out of the game.
Should Washington risk further problems against one of the most aggressive pass rushes in the National Football League, even if Daniels is healthy enough to return from a nasty elbow injury? The Broncos are among the best defensive teams in the league and have the highest pressure rate in the league.
And if you are a fan of Denver, this might be the best that you can get. There has been a string of six consecutive defeats for Washington, and the return of Daniels is not enough to compensate for the deficiencies on this Washington defense. When it comes to all of the defensive stats, including explosive plays, the Commanders are toward the bottom of the hierarchy.
A backbreaker would be to allow those “home runs,” particularly if Washington’s offense is still using Marcus Mariota as the starting quarterback on Sunday Night Football.
When it comes to this total, bookmakers are taking a conservative approach by positioning it between the important Over/Under stops of 44 and 43 points. The outcome of this one will be determined, much like the spread, by the latest information regarding the skill players of the Commanders.
With quarterback Bo Nix averaging just 4.8 completed air yards per attempt, the Broncos offense is not blowing away opponents. This is the ninth lowest average among qualified quarterbacks who are currently in the league.
In the three games that have come before, Denver has scored 22, 10, and 18 points, despite the fact that two of those games were played against Kansas City and Houston (the third game consisted of a strange matchup with Las Vegas on the National Football League).
The pass pressure that the Broncos apply to their opponents compels them to get rid of the ball as quickly as possible. At this point in the season, Denver has allowed the fourth fewest completions of 20 yards or more, which means that downfield looks are restricted.
It is possible that starting cornerback Patrick Surtain and linebacker Alex Singleton will be back for Week 13 for this talented stop unit, which currently holds the top spot in terms of the EPA allowed per dropback.
✅ Our Broncos vs Commanders Pick: BRONCOS
Broncos vs Commanders Prediction: Trends
- In seven of Denver’s most recent nine games, the total has been underwritten.
- In its last eight games, Denver has a perfect record against the spread.
- The over/under record for Denver’s last seven games against Washington is 2-5.
- Five of Denver’s last six games played away from home have resulted in the total going UNDER.
- In its last six games versus Washington, Denver has a record of 2-4 on the road against the Washington Huskies.
- The Denver Broncos have a perfect record of seven wins and zero losses in their previous seven games versus teams from the National Football Conference.
- During the last nine games that Denver has played against teams that are in the National Football Conference East division, the total has been UNDER in six of those games.
- After six games played in November, Denver has a record of 5-1 against the spread.
- The point spread for Washington’s last six games is 0-6.
- Over the course of its last six games, Washington has a record of 0-6 against the spread.
- In six of Washington’s last nine games against Denver, the total has been higher than the point spread.
- Eight out of Washington’s previous ten games played at home have resulted in the total going over.
- When playing at home against Denver, Washington has a winning underdog record of 4-2 in its last six games.
- Within the past 11 games that Washington has played against an opponent from the American Football Conference, the total has gone over in eight of those games combined.
- Over the course of its last five games against teams from the American Football Conference West division, Washington has a record of 4-1 against the spread.
- After five games played in November, Washington has a record of 0-5 against the spread.
- In its last 19 games played in week 13, Washington has a winning percentage of 5-13-1.
Broncos vs Commanders Prediction: Head to Head
| Date | Team | Opp | Close | Result | ATS/OU |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 17, 2023 | Broncos | Commanders | -4 / 38.5 | Lost 33-35 | Lost / Over |
| Oct 31, 2021 | Broncos | Commanders | -4 / 45 | Won 17-10 | Won / Under |
| Aug 24, 2018 | Broncos | @Commanders | +3 / 43 | Won 29-17 | Won / Over |
| Dec 24, 2017 | Broncos | @Commanders | +3 / 39.5 | Lost 11-27 | Lost / Under |
| Oct 27, 2013 | Broncos | @Commanders | +11 / 58 | Lost 0-0 | Won / Under |
| Nov 15, 2009 | Broncos | Commanders | +3.5 / 36 | Lost 0-0 | Won / Under |
| Oct 9, 2005 | Broncos | @Commanders | +7 / 34 | Lost 0-0 | Won / Under |
| Aug 9, 2004 | Broncos | @Commanders | -1 / 34 | Lost 0-0 | Lost / Under |
Broncos vs Commanders Prediction: Denver Injury List
| Pos | Player | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RB | J.K. Dobbins (Foot) | Out |
| WR | Marvin Mims (Concussion) | Questionable |
| RB | J.K. Dobbins (Ankle) | Questionable |
| WR | Marvin Mims (Concussion) | Out |
| TE | Nate Adkins (Ankle) | Out |
| WR | Marvin Mims (Concussion) | Questionable |
| WR | Marvin Mims (Concussion) | Out |
Broncos vs Commanders Prediction: Washington Injury List
| Pos | Player | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RB | Chris Rodriguez (Shoulder) | Questionable |
| WR | Luke McCaffrey (Collarbone) | Out |
| QB | Jayden Daniels (Elbow) | Out |
| QB | Jayden Daniels (Hamstring) | Questionable |
| WR | Terry McLaurin (Quad) | Out |
| QB | Jayden Daniels (Hamstring) | Doubtful |
| QB | Jayden Daniels (Hamstring) | Questionable |
| WR | Terry McLaurin (Quad) | Questionable |
Broncos vs Commanders Prediction: Denver Last 10 Games
| Date | Opponent | Score | Spread | Total | Moneyline |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
11/16/25
|
KC
|
W 22-19
|
W+1.5
|
U44.5
|
WEVEN
|
|
11/06/25
|
LV
|
W 10-7
|
L-9.5
|
U42.5
|
W-278
|
|
11/02/25
|
@HOU
|
W 18-15
|
W-1.5
|
U45.5
|
W-115
|
|
10/26/25
|
DAL
|
W 44-24
|
W-4.5
|
O45.5
|
W-198
|
|
10/19/25
|
NYG
|
W 33-32
|
L-7.5
|
O40.5
|
W-325
|
|
10/12/25
|
@NYJ
|
W 13-11
|
L-6.5
|
U41.5
|
W-320
|
|
10/05/25
|
@PHI
|
W 21-17
|
W+4.5
|
U45.5
|
W+164
|
|
9/29/25
|
CIN
|
W 28-3
|
W-1.5
|
U44.5
|
W-130
|
|
9/21/25
|
@LAC
|
L 23-20
|
L+1.5
|
U44.5
|
LEVEN
|
|
9/14/25
|
@IND
|
L 29-28
|
L-3.5
|
O44.5
|
L-175
|
Broncos vs Commanders Prediction: Washington Last 10 Games
| Date | Opponent | Score | Spread | Total | Moneyline |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
11/16/25
|
@MIA
|
L 16-13
|
L-2.5
|
U49.5
|
L-146
|
|
11/09/25
|
DET
|
L 44-22
|
L-1.5
|
O49.5
|
L-122
|
|
11/02/25
|
SEA
|
L 38-14
|
L-5.5
|
O47.5
|
L-225
|
|
10/27/25
|
@KC
|
L 28-7
|
L+3.5
|
U48.5
|
L+160
|
|
10/19/25
|
@DAL
|
L 44-22
|
L-2.5
|
O48.5
|
L-130
|
|
10/13/25
|
CHI
|
L 25-24
|
L-4.5
|
O48.5
|
L-205
|
|
10/05/25
|
@LAC
|
W 27-10
|
W+1.5
|
U47.5
|
W+102
|
|
9/28/25
|
@ATL
|
L 34-27
|
L-3.5
|
O48.5
|
L-175
|
|
9/21/25
|
LV
|
W 41-24
|
W-7.5
|
O47.5
|
W-340
|
|
9/11/25
|
@GB
|
L 27-18
|
L+1.5
|
U48.5
|
LEVEN
|
Broncos vs Commanders Prediction: Denver Offense
Overall
| DEN Offense | Off. Rank | Stat | Def. Rank | WAS Defense |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23.36 | 16 | Points Scored | 28 | 26.91 |
| 213.00 | 17 | Passing Yards | 29 | 249.45 |
| 122.27 | 11 | Rushing Yards | 27 | 137.55 |
| 29:53 | 18 | Time on Field | 26 | 31:32 |
| 62.91 | 12 | Number of Plays | 15 | 61.27 |
| 5.33 | 17 | Yards Per Play | 32 | 6.32 |
Scoring
| DEN Offense | Off. Rank | Stat | Def. Rank | WAS Defense |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23.36 | 16 | Points Scored | 28 | 26.91 |
| 4.55 | 15 | First Quarter | 30 | 7.00 |
| 6.27 | 21 | Second Quarter | 23 | 7.82 |
| 3.00 | 26 | Third Quarter | 28 | 6.18 |
| 9.55 | 2 | Fourth Quarter | 10 | 5.64 |
Passing
| DEN Offense | Off. Rank | Stat | Def. Rank | WAS Defense |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 213.00 | 17 | Passing Yards | 29 | 249.45 |
| 35.27 | 6 | Pass Attempts | 10 | 29.82 |
| 21.55 | 12 | Pass Completions | 14 | 20.27 |
| 1.18 | 2 | Sacks | 17 | 2.27 |
| 7.09 | 31 | Sack Yards | 17 | 14.91 |
| 9.89 | 19 | Yards Per Pass | 32 | 12.30 |
Rushing
| DEN Offense | Off. Rank | Stat | Def. Rank | WAS Defense |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 122.27 | 11 | Rushing Yards | 27 | 137.55 |
| 26.45 | 19 | Rush Attempts | 28 | 29.18 |
| 4.62 | 10 | Yards Per Rush | 25 | 4.71 |
Turn Overs
| DEN Offense | Off. Rank | Stat | Def. Rank | WAS Defense |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.73 | 20 | Interceptions | 27 | 0.45 |
| 0.64 | 4 | Fumbles | 25 | 0.73 |
| 0.36 | 8 | Fumbles Lost | 32 | 0.09 |
| 1.09 | 12 | Total Turnovers | 31 | 0.55 |
| 8.45 | 32 | Penalties | 12 | 7.00 |
| 80.27 | 32 | Penalty Yards | 9 | 58.00 |
Drives & Special Teams
| DEN Offense | Off. Rank | Stat | Def. Rank | WAS Defense |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29:53 | 18 | Time on Field | 26 | 31:32 |
| 62.91 | 12 | Number of Plays | 15 | 61.27 |
| 5.33 | 17 | Yards Per Play | 32 | 6.32 |
| 5.18 | 31 | Punts | 31 | 2.82 |
| 48.10 | 13 | Punt Average | 30 | 49.46 |
| 132.36 | 14 | Return Yards | 2 | 89.45 |
Broncos vs Commanders Prediction: Washington Offense
Overall
| DEN Defense | Def. Rank | Stat | Off. Rank | WAS Offense |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17.45 | 3 | Points Scored | 23 | 21.45 |
| 185.82 | 6 | Passing Yards | 24 | 191.64 |
| 88.55 | 3 | Rushing Yards | 5 | 138.55 |
| 30:06 | 14 | Time on Field | 26 | 28:40 |
| 62.36 | 21 | Number of Plays | 26 | 58.45 |
| 4.40 | 1 | Yards Per Play | 10 | 5.65 |
Scoring
| DEN Defense | Def. Rank | Stat | Off. Rank | WAS Offense |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17.45 | 3 | Points Scored | 23 | 21.45 |
| 4.27 | 16 | First Quarter | 31 | 2.55 |
| 5.36 | 4 | Second Quarter | 13 | 7.36 |
| 4.00 | 12 | Third Quarter | 9 | 5.45 |
| 3.82 | 3 | Fourth Quarter | 21 | 6.09 |
Passing
| DEN Defense | Def. Rank | Stat | Off. Rank | WAS Offense |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 185.82 | 6 | Passing Yards | 24 | 191.64 |
| 33.55 | 19 | Pass Attempts | 29 | 28.00 |
| 19.45 | 10 | Pass Completions | 30 | 17.91 |
| 4.45 | 1 | Sacks | 19 | 2.45 |
| 27.09 | 32 | Sack Yards | 23 | 12.82 |
| 9.55 | 6 | Yards Per Pass | 12 | 10.70 |
Rushing
| DEN Defense | Def. Rank | Stat | Off. Rank | WAS Offense |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 88.55 | 3 | Rushing Yards | 5 | 138.55 |
| 24.36 | 8 | Rush Attempts | 12 | 28.00 |
| 3.63 | 1 | Yards Per Rush | 4 | 4.95 |
Turn Overs
| DEN Defense | Def. Rank | Stat | Off. Rank | WAS Offense |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.55 | 21 | Interceptions | 16 | 0.64 |
| 0.73 | 23 | Fumbles | 27 | 1.18 |
| 0.27 | 26 | Fumbles Lost | 28 | 0.64 |
| 0.82 | 27 | Total Turnovers | 23 | 1.27 |
| 8.27 | 3 | Penalties | 22 | 7.09 |
| 59.64 | 5 | Penalty Yards | 25 | 58.45 |
Drives & Special Teams
| DEN Defense | Def. Rank | Stat | Off. Rank | WAS Offense |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30:06 | 14 | Time on Field | 26 | 28:40 |
| 62.36 | 21 | Number of Plays | 26 | 58.45 |
| 4.40 | 1 | Yards Per Play | 10 | 5.65 |
| 6.00 | 1 | Punts | 9 | 3.09 |
| 48.99 | 29 | Punt Average | 10 | 48.54 |
| 135.55 | 18 | Return Yards | 7 | 146.09 |
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