Texans vs Colts Prediction and Pick, Week 13, NFL Betting Picks
Texans vs Colts Prediction and Pick, Week 13, NFL Betting Picks. Place a bet on this game with the best odds.
Texans vs Colts Prediction
Now we have the Texans vs Colts Pre
Taking into consideration Houston’s impressive defensive performance this season as well as the Colts’ growing defensive performance, my prediction for the Colts versus the Texans is that the total will be under 44.5 points (-110).
When I see a total that is higher than the key digits with DeMeco Ryans, I have a tendency to forecast that the bet will be under. Over the course of his coaching career, Ryans has a record of 24-4 to the under when the closing total is greater than 42 points.
During this season, he had a perfect record in instances like these.
When looking outside the trends, Houston ought to present Indianapolis with some challenges. Only twice this season have the Colts faced a defense that ranks among the top six in terms of defensive rating average.
The home game against Denver resulted in them scoring 29 points. The defense of Houston, on the other hand, is superior to that unit, particularly when extended rest is taken into consideration.
Additionally, Daniel Jones has never been confronted by a Ryans defense. The Colts offense was forced to take additional reps because of overtime, which might have an additional negative influence on the unit.
In the event that the Texans are able to gain an early advantage, I am enthusiastic about the defensive matchup. When it comes to pass-blocking, Indianapolis is ranked 24th, but they do a good job at blocking the run.
When going up against one of the top pass rushes in the league, that presents a concern.
Having said all of that, the defense of Indianapolis goes from playing a decent offense to playing a bad offensive. At the beginning of Week 12, the Chiefs were rated third in offensive DVOA, while Houston is currently ranked 23rd.
Also, Houston’s offensive success this season has been limited to situations in which the team is able to run the ball. What is the problem? The Indianapolis Colts have been successful in suppressing the running games of their opponents.
The moves that were completed before to the deadline for Indy’s defense are also something that I like. Taking all of these considerations into consideration, I believe that this divisional match will end with a score that is lower than the pregame total.
✅ Our Texans vs Colts Pick: COLTS
Texans vs Colts Prediction: Trends
- Over the past five games, the total has been under in four of Houston’s games.
- In its last five games, Houston has a winning record.
- After 14 games versus Indianapolis, Houston has a record of 4-10 against the spread.
- Houston is 4-1 SU in its previous 5 games versus Indianapolis.
- In its previous five games played away from home, Houston has a record of 1-4 against the spread.
- Within the past sixteen games that Houston has played away from home versus Indianapolis, the total has been UNDER in twelve of those games.
- In the last six games that Houston has played against an opponent from the American Football Conference, the team has a winning record of 5-1.
- Houston is 11-2 SU in its previous 13 games versus an opponent in the American Football Conference South division.
- The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Houston’s last 5 games played in week 13.
- Four of the last six games that Indianapolis has played have resulted in the total going over.
- Overall, Indianapolis has a record of 9-3 in its previous 12 games.
- The total has been under in eight of the eleven games that Indianapolis has played against Houston in the past.
- At home, Indianapolis has a perfect record of 8-0 in its last 8 games.
- During the last sixteen games that Indianapolis has played at home against Houston, the total has been UNDER in twelve of those games.
- In the last eight games that Indianapolis has played against teams from the American Football Conference, the team has a 7-1 overall record against the spread.
- Over the course of its last eight games versus teams from the American Football Conference South division, Indianapolis has a record of 7-1 against the spread.
- In its last seven games played in November, Indianapolis has a winning percentage of 2-5.
- The total has gone OVER in 10 of Indianapolis’ past 15 games played in week 13.
Texans vs Colts Prediction: Head to Head
| Date | Team | Opp | Close | Result | ATS/OU |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 27, 2024 | Colts | @Texans | +5 / 45 | Lost 20-23 | Won / Under |
| Sep 8, 2024 | Colts | Texans | +3 / 48 | Lost 27-29 | Won / Over |
| Jan 6, 2024 | Colts | Texans | +1.5 / 47.5 | Lost 19-23 | Lost / Under |
| Sep 17, 2023 | Colts | @Texans | +1 / 40 | Won 31-20 | Won / Over |
| Jan 8, 2023 | Colts | Texans | -3 / 37.5 | Lost 31-32 | Lost / Over |
| Sep 11, 2022 | Colts | @Texans | -7 / 46.5 | Lost 20-20 | Lost / Under |
| Dec 5, 2021 | Colts | @Texans | -10 / 45 | Won 31-0 | Won / Under |
| Oct 17, 2021 | Colts | Texans | -11.5 / 45 | Won 31-3 | Won / Under |
| Dec 20, 2020 | Colts | Texans | -7.5 / 52.5 | Won 27-20 | Lost / Under |
| Dec 6, 2020 | Colts | @Texans | -3.5 / 50 | Won 26-20 | Won / Under |
Texans vs Colts Prediction: Houston Injury List
| Pos | Player | Status |
|---|---|---|
| TE | Harrison Bryant (Neck) | Out |
| TE | Cade Stover (Foot) | Questionable |
| QB | C.J. Stroud (Concussion) | Out |
| QB | C.J. Stroud (Concussion) | Questionable |
| QB | C.J. Stroud (Concussion) | Out |
| TE | Dalton Schultz (Shoulder) | Questionable |
| WR | Christian Kirk (Hamstring) | Questionable |
| WR | Nico Collins (Concussion) | Questionable |
Texans vs Colts Prediction: Indianapolis Injury List
N/A
Texans vs Colts Prediction: Houston Last 10 Games
| Date | Opponent | Score | Spread | Total | Moneyline |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
11/20/25
|
BUF
|
W 23-19
|
W+3.5
|
U46.5
|
W+145
|
|
11/16/25
|
@TEN
|
W 16-13
|
P-3.0
|
U43.5
|
W-155
|
|
11/09/25
|
JAC
|
W 36-29
|
W-3.5
|
O45.5
|
W-175
|
|
11/02/25
|
DEN
|
L 18-15
|
L+1.5
|
U45.5
|
L-105
|
|
10/26/25
|
SF
|
W 26-15
|
W+1.5
|
U45.5
|
WEVEN
|
|
10/20/25
|
@SEA
|
L 27-19
|
L+1.5
|
O44.5
|
L+102
|
|
10/05/25
|
@BAL
|
W 44-10
|
W+7.5
|
O47.5
|
W+270
|
|
9/28/25
|
TEN
|
W 26-0
|
W-5.5
|
U44.5
|
W-218
|
|
9/21/25
|
@JAC
|
L 17-10
|
L-1.5
|
U46.5
|
L-120
|
|
9/15/25
|
TB
|
L 20-19
|
L-1.5
|
U46.5
|
L-122
|
Texans vs Colts Prediction: Indianapolis Last 10 Games
| Date | Opponent | Score | Spread | Total | Moneyline |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
11/23/25
|
@KC
|
L 23-20
|
W+9.5
|
U45.5
|
L+330
|
|
11/09/25
|
ATL
|
W 31-25
|
W+1.5
|
O44.5
|
WEVEN
|
|
11/02/25
|
@PIT
|
L 27-20
|
L+3.5
|
O44.5
|
L+145
|
|
10/26/25
|
TEN
|
W 38-14
|
W-3.5
|
O44.5
|
W-175
|
|
10/19/25
|
@LAC
|
W 38-24
|
W+6.0
|
O45.5
|
W+195
|
|
10/12/25
|
ARI
|
W 31-27
|
W+1.5
|
O47.5
|
W+102
|
|
10/05/25
|
LV
|
W 40-6
|
W-1.5
|
O44.5
|
W-122
|
|
9/28/25
|
@LAR
|
L 27-20
|
L+6.5
|
U48.5
|
L+230
|
|
9/21/25
|
@TEN
|
W 41-20
|
W+1.5
|
O45.5
|
W+102
|
|
9/14/25
|
DEN
|
W 29-28
|
W+3.5
|
O44.5
|
W+145
|
Texans vs Colts Prediction: Houston Offense
Overall
| HOU Offense | Off. Rank | Stat | Def. Rank | IND Defense |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22.09 | 21 | Points Scored | 9 | 20.82 |
| 215.73 | 16 | Passing Yards | 27 | 245.36 |
| 107.64 | 23 | Rushing Yards | 7 | 97.36 |
| 31:55 | 6 | Time on Field | 23 | 31:12 |
| 63.82 | 8 | Number of Plays | 30 | 65.73 |
| 5.07 | 23 | Yards Per Play | 14 | 5.21 |
Scoring
| HOU Offense | Off. Rank | Stat | Def. Rank | IND Defense |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22.09 | 21 | Points Scored | 9 | 20.82 |
| 2.91 | 29 | First Quarter | 3 | 3.00 |
| 7.64 | 10 | Second Quarter | 15 | 6.36 |
| 3.55 | 22 | Third Quarter | 13 | 4.09 |
| 8.00 | 8 | Fourth Quarter | 20 | 7.09 |
Passing
| HOU Offense | Off. Rank | Stat | Def. Rank | IND Defense |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 215.73 | 16 | Passing Yards | 27 | 245.36 |
| 35.64 | 5 | Pass Attempts | 31 | 38.36 |
| 22.64 | 8 | Pass Completions | 30 | 24.55 |
| 2.27 | 16 | Sacks | 7 | 3.00 |
| 18.91 | 9 | Sack Yards | 24 | 18.73 |
| 9.53 | 23 | Yards Per Pass | 13 | 10.00 |
Rushing
| HOU Offense | Off. Rank | Stat | Def. Rank | IND Defense |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 107.64 | 23 | Rushing Yards | 7 | 97.36 |
| 25.91 | 22 | Rush Attempts | 9 | 24.36 |
| 4.15 | 21 | Yards Per Rush | 10 | 4.00 |
Turn Overs
| HOU Offense | Off. Rank | Stat | Def. Rank | IND Defense |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.55 | 11 | Interceptions | 5 | 1.00 |
| 0.36 | 1 | Fumbles | 31 | 0.45 |
| 0.27 | 4 | Fumbles Lost | 18 | 0.45 |
| 0.82 | 7 | Total Turnovers | 7 | 1.45 |
| 7.00 | 20 | Penalties | 26 | 6.00 |
| 57.18 | 22 | Penalty Yards | 24 | 51.45 |
Drives & Special Teams
| HOU Offense | Off. Rank | Stat | Def. Rank | IND Defense |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31:55 | 6 | Time on Field | 23 | 31:12 |
| 63.82 | 8 | Number of Plays | 30 | 65.73 |
| 5.07 | 23 | Yards Per Play | 14 | 5.21 |
| 4.36 | 28 | Punts | 27 | 3.00 |
| 48.44 | 11 | Punt Average | 5 | 45.18 |
| 106.18 | 29 | Return Yards | 20 | 139.55 |
Texans vs Colts Prediction: Indianapolis Offense
Overall
| HOU Defense | Def. Rank | Stat | Off. Rank | IND Offense |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16.55 | 2 | Points Scored | 1 | 31.00 |
| 172.09 | 3 | Passing Yards | 7 | 245.18 |
| 92.18 | 5 | Rushing Yards | 4 | 138.82 |
| 28:04 | 3 | Time on Field | 17 | 30:06 |
| 57.36 | 4 | Number of Plays | 20 | 60.82 |
| 4.61 | 3 | Yards Per Play | 1 | 6.31 |
Scoring
| HOU Defense | Def. Rank | Stat | Off. Rank | IND Offense |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16.55 | 2 | Points Scored | 1 | 31.00 |
| 4.55 | 20 | First Quarter | 3 | 7.18 |
| 4.36 | 2 | Second Quarter | 5 | 9.00 |
| 4.55 | 18 | Third Quarter | 2 | 7.09 |
| 3.09 | 1 | Fourth Quarter | 13 | 7.18 |
Passing
| HOU Defense | Def. Rank | Stat | Off. Rank | IND Offense |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 172.09 | 3 | Passing Yards | 7 | 245.18 |
| 31.64 | 14 | Pass Attempts | 19 | 32.27 |
| 18.64 | 5 | Pass Completions | 11 | 22.09 |
| 3.00 | 6 | Sacks | 9 | 1.91 |
| 23.64 | 29 | Sack Yards | 19 | 13.82 |
| 9.23 | 4 | Yards Per Pass | 6 | 11.10 |
Rushing
| HOU Defense | Def. Rank | Stat | Off. Rank | IND Offense |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 92.18 | 5 | Rushing Yards | 4 | 138.82 |
| 22.73 | 3 | Rush Attempts | 17 | 26.64 |
| 4.06 | 13 | Yards Per Rush | 1 | 5.21 |
Turn Overs
| HOU Defense | Def. Rank | Stat | Off. Rank | IND Offense |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.09 | 3 | Interceptions | 14 | 0.64 |
| 1.09 | 14 | Fumbles | 21 | 1.09 |
| 0.64 | 6 | Fumbles Lost | 16 | 0.45 |
| 1.73 | 4 | Total Turnovers | 13 | 1.09 |
| 7.27 | 8 | Penalties | 14 | 6.64 |
| 57.18 | 13 | Penalty Yards | 17 | 55.18 |
Drives & Special Teams
| HOU Defense | Def. Rank | Stat | Off. Rank | IND Offense |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28:04 | 3 | Time on Field | 17 | 30:06 |
| 57.36 | 4 | Number of Plays | 20 | 60.82 |
| 4.61 | 3 | Yards Per Play | 1 | 6.31 |
| 5.00 | 2 | Punts | 1 | 2.27 |
| 47.45 | 16 | Punt Average | 5 | 49.82 |
| 140.00 | 22 | Return Yards | 11 | 134.91 |
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