SMU vs Wake Forest Prediction and Pick, Week 9
SMU vs Wake Forest Prediction and Pick, Week 9. Place a bet on this CFB football game with the best odds.
SMU vs Wake Forest Prediction
Now we have the SMU vs Wake Forest Prediction for both teams.
The Week 9 matchup between SMU and Wake Forest has the potential to be one of the more intriguing non-conference showdowns of the weekend. SMU enters this game with a strong overall record and an even stronger track record against ACC opponents, boasting an impressive 11-1 mark in their last twelve meetings with teams from the conference. The Mustangs’ offense continues to be one of their strongest assets, averaging over 34 points per game and ranking inside the top 25 nationally in passing yards. Quarterback play and efficiency through the air have been key for SMU, as they are averaging nearly 280 passing yards per game while maintaining solid efficiency at 6.31 yards per play. Despite struggling to cover spreads this season, going 2-7 ATS in their last nine, this team has been consistently productive offensively and remains extremely tough to beat on the road with a 12-2 record in their last 14 away games.
Wake Forest, on the other hand, comes into this matchup trending in the right direction after finding success against the spread in four of their last five games. The Demon Deacons’ recent performances have shown a renewed spark offensively, putting up 29 points per game and demonstrating balance with both the pass and the run. Their home performance against Oregon State and Virginia Tech showcased how dangerous this team can be when they find rhythm early, especially with their defense forcing opponents into uncomfortable situations. That said, Wake Forest has had a tough time covering spreads at home, sitting at 2-8 ATS in their last ten home games, and they’ve struggled historically against ACC competition, posting just 1-6 in their last seven against those foes. The question will be whether Wake Forest’s improving offensive consistency can overcome SMU’s superior speed and road-tested confidence.
When comparing the two teams statistically, SMU’s defense stands out as a unit that excels at stopping the run, allowing under 100 yards per game and ranking among the nation’s top 20 in that category. However, their pass defense has been a glaring weakness, giving up 316 yards per game, which could open the door for Wake Forest’s aerial attack. Still, SMU’s ability to generate turnovers and pressure opposing quarterbacks (ranking top 10 nationally in sacks per game) gives them an edge in forcing mistakes. The Mustangs’ offense, while occasionally inconsistent on third downs, has shown the explosiveness necessary to take over games late — especially in the fourth quarter where they average over 10 points per game. Wake Forest’s defense will have to be near perfect to contain SMU’s tempo and passing efficiency, and their lack of depth could be exposed as the game progresses.
SMU vs Wake Forest Prediction: Mustangs Trends
- Over the past nine games, Southern Methodist has a record of 2-7 against the spread.
- Out of Southern Methodist’s most recent five games, the total has been under in four of them.
- In the last five games, Southern Methodist has a state record of 4-1.
- In its previous 14 games played away from home, Southern Methodist has a record of 12-2SU.
- In its last twelve games against teams from the Atlantic Coast conference, Southern Methodist has a winning record of 11-1 against those teams.
- There have been five out of the last six games that Southern Methodist has played against an opponent from the Atlantic Division division in which the total has gone over.
- In its last 11 games played in the month of October, Southern Methodist has a 9-2 overall record.
- During the ninth week of the season, the total has been over in five of Southern Methodist’s most recent five games.
SMU vs Wake Forest Prediction: Demon Deacons Trends
- Over the past five games, Wake Forest has a record of 4-1 against the spread.
- Four of Wake Forest’s most recent five games have resulted in the total going over.
- In its last six games, Wake Forest has a winning record of 4-2 against the spread.
- In its previous ten games played at home, Wake Forest has a record of 2-8 against the spread.
- Over the course of its last seven games versus opponents from the Atlantic Coast conference, Wake Forest has a record of 1-6 all-time.
- In its last 16 games played in the month of October, Wake Forest has a record of 11-4-1 against the spread.
- 8 of Wake Forest’s previous 12 games played in week 9 have resulted in the total being lower than the expected value.
- After seven games played on Saturdays, Wake Forest has a record of 5-2 against the spread.
SMU vs Wake Forest Prediction: Mustangs Last 10 Games
| Date | Opponent | Score | Spread | Total | Moneyline |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
10/18/25
|
@CLE
|
W 35-24
|
W+11.5
|
O55.5
|
W+290
|
|
10/11/25
|
STA
|
W 34-10
|
W-20.5
|
U55.5
|
W-1600
|
|
10/04/25
|
SYR
|
W 31-18
|
L-13.5
|
U57.5
|
W-520
|
|
9/20/25
|
@TCU
|
L 35-24
|
L+4.0
|
U62.5
|
L+138
|
|
9/13/25
|
@MIZST
|
W 28-10
|
L-29.5
|
U62
|
W-4000
|
|
9/06/25
|
BAY
|
L 48-45
|
L-6.5
|
O60.5
|
L-230
|
|
8/30/25
|
TAMC
|
W 42-13
|
L-46.5
|
U60.5
|
W-20000
|
|
12/21/24
|
@PSU
|
L 38-10
|
L+8.0
|
U52.5
|
L+240
|
|
12/07/24
|
CLE
|
W 34-31
|
L+2.5
|
O54.5
|
L+114
|
|
11/30/24
|
CAL
|
W 38-6
|
W-9.0
|
U58.5
|
W-450
|
SMU vs Wake Forest Prediction: Demon Deacons Last 10 Games
| Date | Opponent | Score | Spread | Total | Moneyline |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
10/11/25
|
@ORS
|
W 39-14
|
W-6.5
|
O52.5
|
W-205
|
|
10/04/25
|
@VT
|
W 30-23
|
W+3.5
|
O50.5
|
W+130
|
|
9/27/25
|
GT
|
L 30-29
|
W+17.5
|
O53.5
|
L+580
|
|
9/11/25
|
NCST
|
L 34-24
|
L+6.5
|
O56.5
|
L+158
|
|
9/06/25
|
WC
|
W 42-10
|
W-21.5
|
U61.5
|
W-2100
|
|
8/29/25
|
KENN
|
W 10-9
|
L-18.5
|
U52.5
|
W-1200
|
|
11/30/24
|
DUK
|
W 23-17
|
L+2.5
|
U51.5
|
L+106
|
|
11/23/24
|
@MFL
|
W 42-14
|
L+24.0
|
U65.5
|
L+1160
|
|
11/16/24
|
@NC
|
W 31-24
|
W+9.5
|
U62.5
|
L+270
|
|
11/08/24
|
CAL
|
L 46-36
|
L+7.5
|
O55.5
|
L+230
|
SMU vs Wake Forest Prediction: Mustangs Offense
Overall
| SMU Offense | Off. Rank | Stat | Def. Rank | WAKE Defense |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 34.14 | 36 | Points Scored | 36 | 20.00 |
| 279.57 | 24 | Passing Yards | 27 | 181.33 |
| 128.71 | 100 | Rushing Yards | 63 | 141.00 |
| 26:39 | 130 | Time on Field | 117 | 32:23 |
| 64.71 | 96 | Number of Plays | 135 | 76.00 |
| 6.31 | 37 | Yards Per Play | 9 | 4.24 |
Scoring
| SMU Offense | Off. Rank | Stat | Def. Rank | WAKE Defense |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 34.14 | 36 | Points Scored | 36 | 20.00 |
| 6.29 | 71 | First Quarter | 67 | 5.00 |
| 11.71 | 25 | Second Quarter | 5 | 2.17 |
| 5.00 | 89 | Third Quarter | 79 | 5.50 |
| 10.14 | 17 | Fourth Quarter | 61 | 6.17 |
Passing
| SMU Offense | Off. Rank | Stat | Def. Rank | WAKE Defense |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 279.57 | 24 | Passing Yards | 27 | 181.33 |
| 33.57 | 41 | Pass Attempts | 128 | 36.83 |
| 23.00 | 29 | Pass Completions | 97 | 20.50 |
| 1.71 | 71 | Sacks | 57 | 2.17 |
| 18.43 | 23 | Sack Yards | 86 | 15.00 |
| 12.16 | 56 | Yards Per Pass | 5 | 8.85 |
Rushing
| SMU Offense | Off. Rank | Stat | Def. Rank | WAKE Defense |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 128.71 | 100 | Rushing Yards | 63 | 141.00 |
| 31.14 | 118 | Rush Attempts | 117 | 39.17 |
| 4.13 | 83 | Yards Per Rush | 42 | 3.60 |
Turn Overs
| SMU Offense | Off. Rank | Stat | Def. Rank | WAKE Defense |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.00 | 113 | Interceptions | 105 | 0.50 |
| 0.71 | 32 | Fumbles | 47 | 1.17 |
| 0.43 | 70 | Fumbles Lost | 63 | 0.50 |
| 1.43 | 98 | Total Turnovers | 101 | 1.00 |
| 6.71 | 89 | Penalties | 34 | 7.17 |
| 66.71 | 114 | Penalty Yards | 30 | 62.83 |
Drives & Special Teams
| SMU Offense | Off. Rank | Stat | Def. Rank | WAKE Defense |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26:39 | 130 | Time on Field | 117 | 32:23 |
| 64.71 | 96 | Number of Plays | 135 | 76.00 |
| 6.31 | 37 | Yards Per Play | 9 | 4.24 |
| 3.86 | 65 | Punts | 13 | 5.83 |
| 43.28 | 68 | Punt Average | 91 | 43.39 |
| 68.43 | 44 | Return Yards | 56 | 40.33 |
SMU vs Wake Forest Prediction: Demon Deacons Offense
Overall
| SMU Defense | Def. Rank | Stat | Off. Rank | WAKE Offense |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22.57 | 54 | Points Scored | 68 | 29.00 |
| 316.00 | 136 | Passing Yards | 53 | 249.67 |
| 97.00 | 16 | Rushing Yards | 63 | 160.17 |
| 33:17 | 128 | Time on Field | 118 | 27:36 |
| 76.86 | 136 | Number of Plays | 99 | 64.33 |
| 5.37 | 60 | Yards Per Play | 32 | 6.37 |
Scoring
| SMU Defense | Def. Rank | Stat | Off. Rank | WAKE Offense |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22.57 | 54 | Points Scored | 68 | 29.00 |
| 2.43 | 19 | First Quarter | 14 | 10.00 |
| 6.86 | 66 | Second Quarter | 56 | 9.67 |
| 3.29 | 28 | Third Quarter | 66 | 6.17 |
| 8.57 | 116 | Fourth Quarter | 134 | 2.17 |
Passing
| SMU Defense | Def. Rank | Stat | Off. Rank | WAKE Offense |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 316.00 | 136 | Passing Yards | 53 | 249.67 |
| 42.71 | 136 | Pass Attempts | 63 | 31.33 |
| 24.57 | 132 | Pass Completions | 89 | 18.17 |
| 3.29 | 9 | Sacks | 23 | 1.00 |
| 22.86 | 130 | Sack Yards | 121 | 5.33 |
| 12.86 | 117 | Yards Per Pass | 14 | 13.74 |
Rushing
| SMU Defense | Def. Rank | Stat | Off. Rank | WAKE Offense |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 97.00 | 16 | Rushing Yards | 63 | 160.17 |
| 34.14 | 57 | Rush Attempts | 104 | 33.00 |
| 2.84 | 11 | Yards Per Rush | 39 | 4.85 |
Turn Overs
| SMU Defense | Def. Rank | Stat | Off. Rank | WAKE Offense |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.43 | 11 | Interceptions | 58 | 0.67 |
| 1.71 | 13 | Fumbles | 14 | 0.50 |
| 0.71 | 30 | Fumbles Lost | 54 | 0.33 |
| 2.14 | 9 | Total Turnovers | 53 | 1.00 |
| 7.29 | 31 | Penalties | 132 | 8.33 |
| 63.57 | 29 | Penalty Yards | 132 | 75.67 |
Drives & Special Teams
| SMU Defense | Def. Rank | Stat | Off. Rank | WAKE Offense |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 33:17 | 128 | Time on Field | 118 | 27:36 |
| 76.86 | 136 | Number of Plays | 99 | 64.33 |
| 5.37 | 60 | Yards Per Play | 32 | 6.37 |
| 4.57 | 61 | Punts | 124 | 5.33 |
| 43.20 | 87 | Punt Average | 134 | 37.37 |
| 72.57 | 110 | Return Yards | 60 | 59.50 |
✅ Our CFB Week 9 Pick: SMU Mustangs
All CFB Week 9 Predictions
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SMU vs Wake Forest Prediction and Pick, Week 8, by YouWager.lv.