New Mexico State Aggies vs Liberty Flames Betting Prediction Week 8

New Mexico State Aggies vs Liberty Flames Betting Prediction Week 8

New Mexico State Aggies vs Liberty Flames Prediction and Pick, Week 8. Place a bet on this CFB football game with the best odds.

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New Mexico State Aggies vs Liberty Flames Prediction: Trends

  • The over/under record for New Mexico State’s previous six games is 2-4.
  • Nine out of New Mexico State’s previous thirteen games have resulted in the total going over.
  • Overall, New Mexico State has a record of 5-11 in its last 16 games.
  • In its last six games versus Liberty, New Mexico State has a head-to-head record of 2-4.
  • In its last seven games versus Liberty, New Mexico State has a record of 1-6 on the road.
  • On the road, New Mexico State has a record of 1-8 all-time in its last nine games.
  • Over the past eight games, Liberty has a record of 2-6 against the spread.
  • There have been seven of Liberty’s previous eight games in which the total has been UNDER.
  • In its last five games, Liberty has a single-game record of 1-4.
  • When Liberty plays at home, they have a record of 14-2 for the season.
  • At home against New Mexico State, Liberty has a record of 4-1 in its last five games, with a perfect score of 4-1.
  • In its last 11 games against opponents from the Conference USA conference, Liberty has a win-loss record of 3-8 against the spread.

New Mexico State Aggies vs Liberty Flames Prediction

Now we have the New Mexico State Aggies vs Liberty Flames Prediction for both teams.

The New Mexico State Aggies enter Week 8 looking to reverse a tough stretch against the Liberty Flames, a program that has historically had their number. The Aggies have dropped four of the last six meetings versus Liberty, including a 30–24 loss earlier this season in a game where they were heavy underdogs. Their offensive inconsistency continues to be the story — ranked 109th nationally in scoring (22.2 points per game) and 136th in rushing yards (just 50.8 per game), New Mexico State leans heavily on its passing attack to move the chains. Quarterback play has been serviceable, with the Aggies averaging 260.8 passing yards per game, but their lack of balance on the ground allows defenses like Liberty’s to pin their ears back and attack through pressure and coverage. On the defensive side, New Mexico State’s struggles against the run (allowing 196.8 yards per game) could prove costly, especially against a Flames team looking to reestablish its offensive identity at home.

Liberty, despite a few recent stumbles, remains a formidable home team with a 14–2 record at Williams Stadium and a strong defensive backbone. The Flames have seen seven of their last eight games go under the total, largely due to their defense keeping opponents in check — allowing just 20.7 points per contest. However, the offense has sputtered lately, ranking 125th nationally in scoring and showing an alarming lack of efficiency both through the air and on the ground. The Flames’ passing attack has averaged only 186.8 yards per game and 13.8 completions, numbers that underscore their struggles to sustain drives. Yet, their rushing game has been more reliable, producing 163.7 yards per game and offering a path to control tempo and limit turnovers. If Liberty’s defense can continue to stuff the run and force the Aggies into a one-dimensional passing game, the Flames should be able to wear them down as the game progresses — especially given their superior track record at home and their edge in overall physicality.

Ultimately, this matchup pits Liberty’s defensive consistency and home dominance against New Mexico State’s passing-heavy offense and road woes. The Aggies have covered the spread in several tight games this year, but their inability to establish the run or protect their quarterback consistently leaves them vulnerable against quality defenses like Liberty’s. While the Flames haven’t been firing on all cylinders offensively, this could be the week they find a rhythm, particularly with New Mexico State’s defense allowing over 22 points per game and struggling to contain big plays. Expect a slow, grind-it-out battle early before Liberty’s ground game and defense tilt the balance late.

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New Mexico State Aggies vs Liberty Flames Prediction: Head to Head

Date Opponent Score Spread Total Moneyline
9/07/24
LIB 30-24
NMS+20.5
U55.5
NMS+810
12/01/23
LIB 49-35
LIB-14.0
O52.5
LIB-600
9/09/23
LIB 33-17
LIB-12.5
U54.5
LIB-530
11/26/22
NMS 49-14
LIB-24.5
O51.5
LIB-3000
11/30/19
LIB 49-28
LIB-14.5
O65.5
LIB-590
10/05/19
LIB 20-13
NMS+4.5
U62.5
NMS+165
11/24/18
LIB 28-21
NL
NL
NL
10/06/18
NMS 49-41
NL
NL
NL

New Mexico State Aggies vs Liberty Flames Prediction: Aggies Last 10 Games

Date Opponent Score Spread Total Moneyline
10/02/25
W 37-10
W+1.5
U51.5
WEVEN
9/27/25
L 38-20
L+10.0
O55
L+380
9/13/25
L 49-14
L+9.5
O42.5
L+280
9/06/25
W 21-14
W+1.5
U53.5
W+114
8/30/25
W 19-3
L-19.5
U52.5
W-1100
11/30/24
L 42-35
L-2.5
O51.5
L-126
11/23/24
W 36-21
W+3.5
O50.5
W+140
11/16/24
L 38-3
W+42.0
U54.5
L+3300
11/09/24
L 41-28
W+20.5
O54.5
L+800
10/29/24
L 34-13
L+10.5
U47.5
L+320

New Mexico State Aggies vs Liberty Flames Prediction: Flames Last 10 Games

Date Opponent Score Spread Total Moneyline
10/08/25
W 19-8
W-1.5
U47.5
W-132
9/27/25
L 21-7
L+10.0
U50.5
L+395
9/20/25
L 31-13
L+10.5
U49.5
L+168
9/13/25
L 23-13
L-5.5
U51.5
L-194
9/06/25
L 34-24
L-7.5
O50.5
L-215
8/30/25
W 28-7
L-26.5
U52.5
W-4500
1/04/25
L 26-7
L-3.5
U51.5
L-166
11/29/24
L 20-18
L-1.0
U47.5
L-140
11/23/24
W 38-21
W+1.0
U59.5
W-104
11/16/24
W 35-34
L-14.5
O55.5
W-600

New Mexico State Aggies vs Liberty Flames Prediction: Aggies Offense

Overall

NMSU Offense Off. Rank Stat Def. Rank LIB Defense
22.20 109 Points Scored 45 20.67
260.80 43 Passing Yards 12 154.17
50.80 136 Rushing Yards 126 196.83
28:14 108 Time on Field 43 28:41
61.80 122 Number of Plays 46 63.83
5.04 114 Yards Per Play 72 5.50

Scoring

NMSU Offense Off. Rank Stat Def. Rank LIB Defense
22.20 109 Points Scored 45 20.67
3.20 125 First Quarter 15 2.17
7.40 91 Second Quarter 83 7.50
2.00 133 Third Quarter 23 2.83
9.60 26 Fourth Quarter 105 8.17

Passing

NMSU Offense Off. Rank Stat Def. Rank LIB Defense
260.80 43 Passing Yards 12 154.17
34.60 37 Pass Attempts 10 25.50
19.80 66 Pass Completions 4 13.83
3.00 122 Sacks 115 1.33
18.20 23 Sack Yards 24 8.17
13.17 22 Yards Per Pass 67 11.14

Rushing

NMSU Offense Off. Rank Stat Def. Rank LIB Defense
50.80 136 Rushing Yards 126 196.83
27.20 130 Rush Attempts 103 38.33
1.87 136 Yards Per Rush 126 5.13

Turn Overs

NMSU Offense Off. Rank Stat Def. Rank LIB Defense
0.80 75 Interceptions 53 0.83
1.20 93 Fumbles 109 0.67
0.60 88 Fumbles Lost 32 0.67
1.40 96 Total Turnovers 46 1.50
6.80 88 Penalties 108 5.00
65.80 110 Penalty Yards 98 45.33

Drives & Special Teams

NMSU Offense Off. Rank Stat Def. Rank LIB Defense
28:14 108 Time on Field 43 28:41
61.80 122 Number of Plays 46 63.83
5.04 114 Yards Per Play 72 5.50
5.20 117 Punts 62 4.50
43.20 68 Punt Average 66 42.52
42.60 102 Return Yards 27 29.50

New Mexico State Aggies vs Liberty Flames Prediction: Flames Offense

Overall

NMSU Defense Def. Rank Stat Off. Rank LIB Offense
22.80 60 Points Scored 125 17.33
245.00 104 Passing Yards 105 186.83
153.80 85 Rushing Yards 59 163.67
31:39 107 Time on Field 49 30:55
72.80 126 Number of Plays 58 67.33
5.48 68 Yards Per Play 104 5.21

Scoring

NMSU Defense Def. Rank Stat Off. Rank LIB Offense
22.80 60 Points Scored 125 17.33
4.00 51 First Quarter 128 2.83
5.40 36 Second Quarter 128 3.83
4.80 64 Third Quarter 113 3.83
8.60 118 Fourth Quarter 69 6.83

Passing

NMSU Defense Def. Rank Stat Off. Rank LIB Offense
245.00 104 Passing Yards 105 186.83
32.40 93 Pass Attempts 116 25.50
21.60 113 Pass Completions 124 13.83
1.40 111 Sacks 109 2.50
8.40 26 Sack Yards 36 15.33
11.34 77 Yards Per Pass 17 13.51

Rushing

NMSU Defense Def. Rank Stat Off. Rank LIB Offense
153.80 85 Rushing Yards 59 163.67
40.40 122 Rush Attempts 19 41.83
3.81 58 Yards Per Rush 93 3.91

Turn Overs

NMSU Defense Def. Rank Stat Off. Rank LIB Offense
1.00 37 Interceptions 60 0.67
1.20 52 Fumbles 56 1.00
0.80 25 Fumbles Lost 118 0.83
1.80 27 Total Turnovers 99 1.50
8.20 8 Penalties 64 6.00
69.00 18 Penalty Yards 46 48.17

Drives & Special Teams

NMSU Defense Def. Rank Stat Off. Rank LIB Offense
31:39 107 Time on Field 49 30:55
72.80 126 Number of Plays 58 67.33
5.48 68 Yards Per Play 104 5.21
4.40 68 Punts 73 4.17
42.53 67 Punt Average 98 41.38
26.60 16 Return Yards 72 53.17

Our CFB Week 8 Pick: Liberty Flames

 

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New Mexico State Aggies vs Liberty Flames Prediction and Pick, Week 8, by YouWager.lv.

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