UFC 333 betting predictions: Who Wins Every Fight on October 24?

Our UFC 333 betting predictions start with Movsar Evloev to win the featherweight main event and Petr Yan to win the bantamweight trilogy on October 24, 2026. This guide covers all fourteen scheduled fights at Etihad Arena in Abu Dhabi. Each selection names an outright winner. No pick requires a particular finish, round or winning method, and no odds or numerical probabilities are being attached to these editorial judgments.

These UFC 333 betting predictions combine the scheduled matchups, checked professional results and a practical tactical case for each selected fighter. The main counterargument stays beside the pick, because a useful preview should show how the opposing athlete can win. An unbeaten record, an experienced name or one spectacular finish is context. The actual question is whether the fighter can create the right exchanges against the opponent booked for this card.

When do the UFC 333 betting predictions fights start in Mountain Time?

The UFC 333 event is scheduled for Saturday, October 24, 2026 in Abu Dhabi. Early prelims begin at 8:00 a.m. Mountain Daylight Time, prelims at 10:00 a.m. MDT and the main card at noon MDT. MDT is UTC−6. These UFC 333 betting predictions use the start of each card segment rather than promising an exact individual walkout time. Earlier finishes, delays or card changes can affect when a particular fight begins.

All fourteen UFC 333 betting predictions: Winner selections

Card segment	Fight	Winner pick
Main card	Alexander Volkanovski vs Movsar Evloev	Movsar Evloev
Main card	Petr Yan vs Merab Dvalishvili	Petr Yan
Main card	Lone’er Kavanagh vs Ramazan Temirov	Ramazan Temirov
Main card	Alexander Volkov vs Rizvan Kuniev	Alexander Volkov
Main card	Aaron Pico vs Losene Keita	Aaron Pico
Prelims	Azamat Murzakanov vs Dominick Reyes	Azamat Murzakanov
Prelims	Nikita Krylov vs Abdul Rakhman Yakhyaev	Abdul Rakhman Yakhyaev
Prelims	Abus Magomedov vs Cam Rowston	Abus Magomedov
Prelims	Grant Dawson vs Nurullo Aliev	Grant Dawson
Early prelims	Colby Thicknesse vs Asaf Chopurov	Asaf Chopurov
Early prelims	Abubakar Vagaev vs Jacob Malkoun	Jacob Malkoun
Early prelims	Bolaji Oki vs Daniel Santos	Daniel Santos
Early prelims	Kody Steele vs Noah Gugnon	Kody Steele
Early prelims	Iasmin Lucindo vs Nicolle Caliari	Iasmin Lucindo

The table keeps the UFC 333 betting predictions easy to scan, but the reasons are different for every matchup. Some choices depend on distance control; others depend on pressure, transitions or the ability to stay organized when an early attack fails. The two title contests are scheduled for five rounds. The other twelve contests are scheduled for three. That changes the length of the assignment without creating an automatic advantage for either side.

Alexander Volkanovski vs Movsar Evloev: UFC 333 betting predictions

The selection is Movsar Evloev to win. The central case is that repeat wrestling entries and position changes can force the champion to spend too much of each round defending. Volkanovski wants an exchange he can start and end on his own terms. He can step into punching range, make Evloev react and leave before the next level change. Evloev needs to shorten that clean striking window. Moving forward is useful only when it changes the champion’s available exits rather than giving him another target to hit while moving away. The opposing route is that Volkanovski consistently separates after defending and lands the cleaner, more damaging work before Evloev can reconnect. The key checkpoint is whether Volkanovski’s first successful escape creates real separation or another immediate grappling exchange.

Petr Yan vs Merab Dvalishvili: UFC 333 betting predictions

The selection is Petr Yan to win. The central case is that Yan’s demonstrated defensive adjustments can preserve the striking exchanges where his boxing becomes most useful. Yan wants enough room to finish a combination without immediately being attached to another wrestling exchange. Dvalishvili wants to reduce that pause and make every striking decision carry a positional cost. The distance between them is therefore not just a question of reach. It determines whether Yan gets another attacking choice or has to return to defense. The opposing route is that Dvalishvili changes his entries and keeps Yan defending long enough to prevent sustained combinations. The key checkpoint is whether Yan can defend an entry without surrendering the next position along the fence.

Lone’er Kavanagh vs Ramazan Temirov: UFC 333 betting predictions

The selection is Ramazan Temirov to win. The central case is that Temirov’s explosive entries can disrupt Kavanagh’s preferred countering rhythm before the cleaner outside game settles. Kavanagh’s countering is more useful when Temirov gives him a clear approach to read. Temirov should make the entry less obvious through feints and attacks that change the target. The difference between a setup and an exposed rush can decide who lands first. We favor Temirov’s danger while treating the accuracy of his approach as a requirement, not an assumption. The opposing route is that Kavanagh keeps the exchanges orderly, counters the first rush and makes Temirov reset without a useful follow-up. The key checkpoint is whether Temirov arrives behind a setup or gives Kavanagh the same entry to read repeatedly.

Alexander Volkov vs Rizvan Kuniev: UFC 333 betting predictions

The selection is Alexander Volkov to win. The central case is that Volkov can use distance and layered striking to make Kuniev pay before the clinch becomes established. Volkov’s advantage is most useful when he can make Kuniev cross space twice: once to enter and again after a clean separation. A long strike that does not move the feet can still leave him available for contact. Kuniev should try to make the first entry stick. Volkov needs the distance after the strike, not merely a photograph of his longer stance. The opposing route is that Kuniev repeatedly closes the distance and prevents Volkov from rebuilding his preferred striking range. The key checkpoint is how much room Volkov has after his first combination rather than merely whether the first jab lands.

Aaron Pico vs Losene Keita: UFC 333 betting predictions

The selection is Aaron Pico to win. The central case is that Pico can connect his striking to wrestling and force Keita to solve more than an open power exchange. Pico has a reason to stand close enough to threaten both punches and a level change, but that middle distance can also expose him to Keita’s power. His entry needs to create a second problem rather than leave him in front after one attack. Keita wants the opening to stay clear and readable, with enough room to punish an opponent who commits too far. The opposing route is that Keita maintains open space and catches Pico during an unprotected entry or an overextended combination. The key checkpoint is whether Pico links his first striking exchange to a positional advantage instead of immediately chasing another power shot.

Azamat Murzakanov vs Dominick Reyes: UFC 333 betting predictions

The selection is Azamat Murzakanov to win. The central case is that Murzakanov’s compact power attacks can interrupt Reyes before he strings together a comfortable outside rhythm. Reyes wants Murzakanov to travel through enough space that the entry becomes readable. Murzakanov wants to reduce that space without following a straight line. The selection is strongest when he can make Reyes defend a short, powerful exchange and then leave safely. It is weaker when the entire approach can be met by the same long counter. The opposing route is that Reyes controls the outside, lands while Murzakanov is crossing range and refuses prolonged pocket exchanges. The key checkpoint is whether Murzakanov cuts off Reyes’s exit or simply follows him around the perimeter.

Nikita Krylov vs Abdul Rakhman Yakhyaev: UFC 333 betting predictions

The selection is Abdul Rakhman Yakhyaev to win. The central case is that Yakhyaev’s early attacking variety gives him several ways to punish an exposed transition. Yakhyaev’s early threat becomes harder to manage when the opponent has to respect both a strike and a change into grappling. Krylov should try to make those first choices less comfortable before the prospect builds momentum. The selection depends on Yakhyaev creating genuine alternatives, not simply moving forward quickly and assuming that another fast finish will appear. The opposing route is that Krylov makes the first attacks fail and forces Yakhyaev into a longer, less comfortable contest. The key checkpoint is whether Yakhyaev stays positionally sound when an initial finish is not available.

Abus Magomedov vs Cam Rowston: UFC 333 betting predictions

The selection is Abus Magomedov to win. The central case is that Magomedov’s ability to move between striking, clinching and submissions can test Rowston beyond a single comfortable phase. Magomedov should try to make Rowston choose between defending a strike and preparing for contact. Rowston wants clearer exchanges in which he can establish rhythm without solving both problems at once. The veteran’s experience matters when it helps him connect those threats. It matters less if his first action is obvious and the opponent can prepare for it without changing position. The opposing route is that Rowston denies the clinch sequence and maintains a striking pace that Magomedov cannot turn into useful grappling exchanges. The key checkpoint is whether Magomedov’s first contact creates another attack or merely gives Rowston a clean opportunity to separate.

Grant Dawson vs Nurullo Aliev: UFC 333 betting predictions

The selection is Grant Dawson to win. The central case is that Dawson’s established transitions and submission threats can make a grappling-heavy matchup more than a contest of top position. Dawson and Aliev both have reasons to establish contact, making the entry itself part of a positional contest rather than a simple striker-versus-wrestler divide. The fighter who arrives with better balance can have a better second option. We favor Dawson’s transition threat, but that threat becomes less useful if Aliev controls the starting position of every exchange. The opposing route is that Aliev establishes the stronger positions first and prevents Dawson from connecting escapes to attacks of his own. The key checkpoint is who wins the second transition after the first takedown attempt rather than stopping the analysis at the initial entry.

Colby Thicknesse vs Asaf Chopurov: UFC 333 betting predictions

The selection is Asaf Chopurov to win. The central case is that Chopurov’s extensive competitive background supports the lean, while his first UFC appearance keeps the confidence bounded. Chopurov’s debut begins with a practical test: can he establish his preferred working distance against a fighter who already has useful UFC rounds? Thicknesse should vary the first picture and make the newcomer respond rather than begin on an agreed script. Our lean toward Chopurov does not require pretending that his regional success has already answered every promotional-level question. The opposing route is that Thicknesse turns the debut into a patient three-round test and punishes the newcomer for trying to force an early breakthrough. The key checkpoint is whether Chopurov stays organized when Thicknesse denies the first favorable exchange.

Abubakar Vagaev vs Jacob Malkoun: UFC 333 betting predictions

The selection is Jacob Malkoun to win. The central case is that Malkoun’s demonstrated middleweight wrestling can make the scheduled 185-pound matchup more demanding than Vagaev’s debut. Malkoun needs a distance from which he can connect strikes to wrestling without crossing open space unprotected. Vagaev can make that difficult by winning the first contact or forcing a reset before the next attack develops. The official middleweight booking gives Malkoun’s experience at the division practical relevance, but it does not establish a free positional advantage before the bout starts. The opposing route is that Vagaev wins the clinch positions and makes Malkoun restart every attack without enough effective follow-up. The key checkpoint is whether Malkoun can maintain useful pressure after Vagaev defends or stands from the first attempt.

Bolaji Oki vs Daniel Santos: UFC 333 betting predictions

The selection is Daniel Santos to win. The central case is that Santos can make Oki defend a sustained sequence of exchanges instead of giving him a single clean countering moment. Santos wants a distance from which he can start a combination and still have another attack ready. Oki wants to make that first approach readable and leave after a clean counter. The selection is stronger when Santos creates repeated decisions. It is weaker when the approach stays predictable and gives Oki the same opportunity to land before every exchange develops. The opposing route is that Oki repeatedly counters the entry and leaves before Santos can extend the exchange. The key checkpoint is whether Santos’s first combination produces a second useful attack or an exposed countering opportunity.

Kody Steele vs Noah Gugnon: UFC 333 betting predictions

The selection is Kody Steele to win. The central case is that Steele’s submission-oriented grappling gives him a clear alternative to a potentially dangerous open striking fight. Steele needs a distance from which he can enter safely and establish a real connection. Gugnon can make that more difficult by moving before the entry develops or by meeting it with a stronger position. The recent submission wins on both sides make this more than a simple specialist-versus-striker argument. Each man has a reason to respect the other’s next transition. The opposing route is that Gugnon wins the first important transition, reaches the back or lands clean offense while Steele is trying to establish contact. The key checkpoint is whether Steele reaches a stable attacking position or has to gamble on a submission before controlling the exchange.

Iasmin Lucindo vs Nicolle Caliari: UFC 333 betting predictions

The selection is Iasmin Lucindo to win. The central case is that Lucindo’s broader experience against established UFC opposition supports a more adaptable route across striking and grappling exchanges. Lucindo wants enough space to make Caliari react to more than one kind of attack. Caliari can narrow the contest by forcing a familiar exchange and denying a clean transition into the next phase. The selection favors Lucindo’s more broadly tested opposition history, but that context matters only if it appears in the positioning and choices made in this matchup. The opposing route is that Caliari creates the decisive submission exchange or Lucindo fails to establish her normal timing after the layoff. The key checkpoint is how Lucindo handles the first contested transition rather than assuming experience alone secures the position.

How were the UFC 333 betting predictions chosen?

The process behind the UFC 333 betting predictions starts with the assignment: opponent, division, scheduled rounds and recent professional results. It then asks which athlete has a repeatable route through the most important exchanges. The YouWager handicapping guide explains the broader comparison process. These choices do not come from simply ranking career win percentages or assuming that every wrestler controls every striker. The specific entry, defense, reset and next attack all matter.

A useful record review separates an early stoppage from a decision, checks the level and style of the opponent and notices when the relevant sample is small. Kody Steele has nine completed professional bouts in the checked record, so there is no invented tenth result in his individual preview. Debutants also bring less UFC-specific evidence. Those limits should affect confidence in a conclusion rather than being hidden behind a perfect-looking record.

What could change the UFC 333 betting predictions?

The UFC 333 betting predictions need a fresh assessment if a verified replacement, division change or altered assignment changes the fight itself. This guide was prepared on October 22, before final weigh-ins. It does not claim to know a future weigh-in result, a medical decision or an unreported camp problem. Card order can change, and the fighter named in a current booking still needs to be the fighter who actually reaches the scheduled contest.

The tactical reasons also deserve to be evaluated honestly. A favorite can have an impressive history and still lose the phase that matters in a particular fight. An underdog can be dangerous without having the more repeatable route across the scheduled rounds. These selections state a preference and the route that supports it; they do not convert uncertainty into a guarantee. Readers can use YouWager — Join Now for the official signup page.

Why do the UFC 333 betting predictions focus on winner picks?

The UFC 333 betting predictions concern the outright result. A fighter can win by a different method from the most obvious tactical route without invalidating a winner-only selection. YouWager’s moneyline explanation covers that format. There is no extra condition here requiring a knockout, submission or decision, and there are no quoted prices. Choosing the more likely winner is a separate exercise from deciding whether a specific available price offers enough value.

How should form guide the UFC 333 betting predictions?

For the UFC 333 betting predictions, recent form is a starting point rather than a complete answer. A run of wins can contain very different tactical assignments. The same applies to a loss: an opponent who punished one particular weakness may be very different from the next booking. Compare how each fighter created offense, how the opponent interrupted it and whether the chosen route stays available against the next set of reactions.

Carnegie Mellon student research on UFC outcomes offers historical background on studying fight data. These picks are editorial matchup judgments, not claimed outputs of that study or a tested probability model. The useful discipline is to keep evidence and interpretation distinct. The record says what happened in previous bouts. The tactical case explains why a particular route might work on October 24, while the counterargument identifies where that explanation could fail.

What are the biggest tactical checkpoints in the UFC 333 betting predictions?

The title fights give the UFC 333 betting predictions two different pressure tests. Evloev needs his wrestling attempts to connect into further work instead of allowing Volkanovski clean resets. Yan needs to defend without becoming trapped in an endless sequence of new entries. In both contests, the second action after the first defense may reveal more than the opening attempt. Across the remaining card, the same question takes different forms: who can convert initial contact into useful offense while limiting the counter?

The shorter UFC samples deserve particular care. Chopurov must show that his approach still works when Thicknesse makes the contest patient. Yakhyaev must remain organized if Krylov survives the first surge. Gugnon’s submission threat means Steele cannot assume that reaching grappling range automatically creates safety. These are matchup-specific questions, and the most useful answers will come from the exchanges rather than the size of a record alone. Account access is available through YouWager Join Now.

Final UFC 333 betting predictions: The complete winner list

The final UFC 333 betting predictions keep all fourteen selections aligned with the individual previews. None depends on the precise method of victory. The main-event preference is Evloev’s connected wrestling work; the co-main preference is Yan’s ability to build offense after defending. The rest of the card applies the same standard: a clear route, an honest opposing case and a named winner. Readers can use YouWager — Join Now to reach the official signup page.

Before using the UFC 333 betting predictions, check the confirmed card and remember that the listed Mountain times refer to segments. The early prelims start at 8:00 a.m. MDT, the prelims at 10:00 a.m. MDT and the main card at noon MDT on October 24. A changed opponent creates a new matchup, while a reordered bout does not automatically change the tactical case. Keep those two kinds of updates separate when revisiting a selection.

These UFC 333 betting predictions finish with winner-only selections: Movsar Evloev to win; Petr Yan to win; Ramazan Temirov to win; Alexander Volkov to win; Aaron Pico to win; Azamat Murzakanov to win; Abdul Rakhman Yakhyaev to win; Abus Magomedov to win; Grant Dawson to win; Asaf Chopurov to win; Jacob Malkoun to win; Daniel Santos to win; Kody Steele to win; Iasmin Lucindo to win.

UFC 333 Betting Predictions