Thunder vs Nuggets Betting Trends, Odds, Prediction | Game 4 | NBA

Thunder vs Nuggets Betting Trends, Odds, Prediction | Game 4 | NBA

Thunder vs Nuggets Betting Trends, Odds, Prediction | Game 4 | NBA. Place an NBA basketball bet on this game at YouWager.lv.

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Thunder vs Nuggets Betting Odds

Here are the Thunder vs Nuggets Betting Odds:

TEAM SPREAD MONEYLINE TOTAL
OKC -6.5 -260 227.5 O
Denver +6.5 +220 227.5 U

Thunder vs Nuggets Betting Trends

Here are the Thunder vs Nuggets Betting Trends for both teams, but first, the head-to-head stats:

Thunder vs Nuggets Betting Trends: Head-to-Head

Date Team Opp Close Result ATS/OU
May 9, 2025 Nuggets Thunder +6.5 / 232 Won 113-104 Won / Under
May 7, 2025 Nuggets @Thunder +10 / 230 Lost 106-149 Lost / Over
May 5, 2025 Nuggets @Thunder +10.5 / 229.5 Won 121-119 Won / Over
Mar 10, 2025 Nuggets @Thunder +9.5 / 240.5 Won 140-127 Won / Over
Mar 9, 2025 Nuggets @Thunder +7.5 / 242 Lost 103-127 Lost / Under
Nov 6, 2024 Nuggets Thunder +7 / 225 Won 124-122 Won / Over
Oct 24, 2024 Nuggets Thunder -2 / 228.5 Lost 87-102 Lost / Under
Oct 15, 2024 Nuggets Thunder +7.5 / 223.5 Lost 94-124 Lost / Under
Jan 31, 2024 Nuggets @Thunder +6 / 222.5 Lost 100-105 Won / Under
Dec 29, 2023 Nuggets Thunder -2 / 237 Lost 93-119 Lost / Under

Thunder vs Nuggets Betting Trends: OKC

Now, we have the Thunder vs Nuggets Betting Trends for the OKC:

  • The over/under record for Oklahoma City’s previous five games is 1-4.
  • In its last 11 games, Oklahoma City has a winning score of 9-2.
  • After six games versus Denver, Oklahoma City has a record of 2-4 against the spread.
  • In its last six games versus Denver, Oklahoma City has a record of 2-4 on the road.
  • Oklahoma City has a winning record of 16-2 on the road in its last 18 games.
  • When Oklahoma City has been playing away against Denver, the total has been UNDER in five of the last six games that they have played outside of Oklahoma City.
  • Over the course of its most recent ten games versus teams from the Western Conference, Oklahoma City has improved to a record of 8-2 on the road.
  • There have been four out of the previous five games that Oklahoma City has played against an opponent from the Northwest Division division in which the total has gone over.
  • In its last 15 games played in the month of May, Oklahoma City has a record of 5-10 against the spread.

Thunder vs Nuggets Betting Trends: Denver

Now, we have the Thunder vs Nuggets Betting Trends for the Denver:

  • Over the past seven games, Denver has a record of 5-1-1 against the spread.
  • In five of Denver’s last six games, the total has been higher than the odds.
  • In its last seven games, Denver has a winning percentage of 5-2.
  • There have been eight of Denver’s last twelve games against Oklahoma City in which the total has been UNDER.
  • In its previous six games played at home, Denver has a winning record of 5-1 against the spread.
  • Over the course of the last six games that Denver has played at home against Oklahoma City, the total has been UNDER in five of those games.
  • Four of Denver’s most recent five games against opponents from the Western Conference conference have resulted in the total going over the point spread.
  • In its last 18 games played in the month of May, Denver has a winning record of 12-6.
  • When playing as the underdog, Denver has a record of 4-1-1 against the spread in its last six games.
  • Over the past six Sunday games that Denver has played at home, the team has a record of 1-4-1 against the spread.

Thunder vs Nuggets Betting Trends: Against the Spread

Now, in these Thunder vs Nuggets Betting Trends, we have the against the spread info:

The Thunder have won seven of their previous nine games by a margin of more than six points. In their most recent 23 victories, they have a record of 21-2 against the spread.

Over the course of the season, the Nuggets only covered the spread once in a loss, and their overall record in losses was 1-35.

  • With a scoring average of 120.5 points per game, the Thunder are only 3.6 points higher than the Nuggets, who allow 116.9 points per game.
  • In games when they scored more than 116.9 points, Oklahoma City had a record of 39-12 against the spread and 46-5 overall score.
  • For the season, Denver has a record of 38-30 against the spread and 49-19 overall when it scores more than 107.6 points.
  • When its opponents score fewer than 120.8 points, Oklahoma City has a record of 53-13-2 against the spread and a record of 63-5 overall when the scoring is lower.
  • With a scoring average of 120.5 points per game, the Thunder are now ranked fourth in the NBA’s scoring charts, while the Nuggets have the 24th-lowest scoring average in the league with 116.9 points per game.
    The third-ranked offense in the NBA is Denver’s (120.8 PPG), while Oklahoma City’s defense is the third-ranked defense (107.6) in the league.
  • This season, the Thunder have scored 1055 more points than their opponents, which is equivalent to an average of 12.9 points per game.
  • On the other hand, the Nuggets have scored 319 more points than their opponents, which is equivalent to 3.9 points per game.

Thunder vs Nuggets Betting Trends: Over/Under

Now, in these Thunder vs Nuggets Betting Trends, we have the over/ under info:

Out of the seven games that have taken place between the regular season and the playoffs, five of them have had totals that are greater than 227 points. This includes five consecutive games that took place before Game 3. Their seven games have resulted in an average total of 234.8 points for the team.

  • During the current season, Oklahoma City has accumulated an average of 118.5 points, which is 1.5 points greater than the implied total that it accumulated in the game that took place on Sunday (117).
  • Over the course of this season, Oklahoma City has scored more than 117 points on fifty different occasions.
  • In this encounter, Denver’s projected total for the season is 119.7 points, which is 8.7 points higher than the team’s implied total for this meeting, which is 111 points.

Thunder vs Nuggets Betting Trends: Moneyline

Now, in these Thunder vs Nuggets Betting Trends, we have the moneyline info:

During the regular season, the Thunder only lost two games in a row twice. The first time was in November, when they lost two games in a row, and when they lost two games in a row on April 4-6. Within the past 11 games, they have a record of 9-2. They defeated the Nuggets by a score of 149-106 after losing the first game.

In the four games that they played during the regular season, the teams won against one another in alternating fashion.

Although you should anticipate that the Thunder will make a comeback, the odds of -275 are not a good enough value for that pick.

  • Throughout the course of this season, the Thunder have been the moneyline favorite 79 times in total. These games have resulted in a 66-13 record for them.
  • Among the games that Oklahoma City has played as a moneyline favorite with odds of -260 or lower, the team has a winning percentage of 86%, resulting in a record of 49-8.
  • Taking into consideration the moneyline for this competition, the Thunder have an implied win probability of 72.2%.
  • This season, the Nuggets have entered the game as underdogs twenty times, and they have won ten of those games, which is fifty percent of the total.
  • Since the beginning of the season, Denver has a record of 4-2 when it is the underdog by a margin of +211 or more, according to sportsbooks.
  • According to the implied probability of the moneyline, the Nuggets have a 32.2% chance of winning this game by the time it is over.

Thunder vs Nuggets Betting Prediction

Now we have the Thunder vs Nuggets Betting Prediction for both teams.

With the Nuggets currently leading the NBA Playoffs series 2-1, the fourth game of the best-of-seven series between the Oklahoma City Thunder and the Denver Nuggets will take place on Sunday in Denver. The series covers the Western Conference semifinal. The game will begin at 3:30 p.m. Eastern Time (ABC) from Ball Arena. Let’s examine the NBA odds surrounding the Thunders at Nuggets and come up with our professional NBA choices and predictions for the odds that will yield the best results.

In the season series, the Nuggets have a 2-1 advantage, while the regular-season series is in a tie at 2-2.

In spite of the fact that they had tied the series 1-1 at home with a victory of 149-106 on Wednesday, the Thunder were unable to restore home-court advantage on Friday in Game 3 with a loss of 113-104 in overtime. They only shot 28% overall, and they only shot 26% from beyond the arc. A. With 32 points, Jalen Williams was the leading scorer for the Thunder.

In overtime, the Nuggets defeated the Thunder by a score of 11-2, so taking the lead in the series by Friday. C. Nikola Jokic recorded a total of 20 points and 16 rebounds, but he was unable to make any three-point shots. G. There were four players on the Nuggets that scored at least 20 points, with Jamal Murray leading the team with 27 points.

Thunder vs Nuggets Betting Prediction: OKC

Here is the Thunder vs Nuggets Betting Prediction for the OKC:

Upon the conclusion of game 3, the Oklahoma City Thunder was able to achieve a field goal percentage of 38.5% (40 out of 104) and make 9 of their 35 shots from a distance. The Thunder were successful in burying 15 of their 22 efforts at the charity stripe, resulting in a percentage gain of 68.2%. In terms of the number of boards they brought in, they achieved a total of 54, with 18 of those boards coming from the offensive end of the court. In addition, they managed to record 24 assists during this match, while also committing 16 turnovers and obtaining 7 steals. When it came to defense, Oklahoma City allowed 45.9% from the field, which was a shooting percentage of 39 out of 85.

During the game, Denver had a total of 25 assists. Additionally, they had 9 steals. As an additional point of interest, Denver was able to secure 49 rebounds (five offensive and 44 defensive) and six turnovers. During the final minutes of the game, Denver finished with a free throw shooting percentage of 79.2%, completing 19 of 24 attempts. Out of the forty efforts they made from beyond the arc, they ended up burying sixteen of them. The Thunder finished with 21 personal fouls, while the Nuggets finished with 21 personal fouls. Both teams had a total of 21 personal fouls.

Jalen Williams is an individual who played a role in the outcome of this competition. Williams had a 52.4% shooting percentage from the floor and also contributed five assists. He was on the court for forty-three minutes and grabbed three boards. His shooting percentage was 11 out of 21 and he scored 32 points.

The Oklahoma City Thunder have a record of 68-14 so far this season, which brings them into this matchup. In addition to shooting 48.2% from the field, they are now averaging 120.5 points per game, which places them fourth in the league. The Thunder have a three-point shooting percentage of 37.4% (1,192 of 3,184), and they have an 81.9% shooting percentage from the free throw line. During the current season, Oklahoma City has accumulated a total of 2,202 assists, which places them in the 12th position in the league in terms of passing the rock. Additionally, the team is averaging 44.8 boards per game. As a group, they commit 19.9 fouls per game, while they give up possession of the ball 11.7 times per game.

In terms of their defensive performance, the Thunder are able to cause 17.0 turnovers per game and draw 18.1 fouls throughout the course of the game. The percentage of shots from beyond the arc that they allow their opponents to make is 34.2%, yet they rank third in the league in points per game (107.6). When it comes to defense, the Thunder are allowing their opponents to shoot 43.6% from the field (3,109 of 7,130), and they are also allowing their opponents to grab 44.9 boards per game. During the course of the season, they have surrendered 2,018 assists, which places them in fourth place in the league.

Thunder vs Nuggets Betting Trends: OKC Last 10 Games

Date Opponent Score Spread Total Moneyline
5/09/25
@DEN
L 113-104
L-4.5
U234.5
L-190
5/07/25
DEN
W 149-106
W-9.0
O221.5
W-510
5/05/25
DEN
L 121-119
L-9.5
O226.5
L-405
4/26/25
@MEM
W 117-115
L-12.5
O224.5
W-700
4/24/25
@MEM
W 114-108
L-9.0
U226.5
W-380
4/22/25
MEM
W 118-99
W-13.5
U230
W-850
4/20/25
MEM
W 131-80
W-12.5
U226.5
W-750
4/13/25
@NOR
W 115-100
W-10.0
U231.5
W-450
4/11/25
@UTH
W 145-111
W-11.0
O232
W-600
4/09/25
@PHO
W 125-112
W-12.0
O231.5
W-675

Thunder vs Nuggets Betting Prediction: Denver

Here is the Thunder vs Nuggets Betting Prediction for the Denver:

In the third game, the Denver Nuggets enabled Oklahoma City to pick up 54 rebounds overall, 18 of which were offensive. This is a reference to clearing the glass. In the end, they finished with a 3-point shooting percentage of 25.7%, making 9 out of 35 shots, and they finished with a free throw shooting percentage of 68.2%, making 15 out of 22 shots from the free throw line. The Nuggets allowed the Thunder to make 40 of their 104 attempts from the field, which resulted in a rate of 38.5% for the Thunder during the encounter. The Nuggets finished the game with a percentage of 45.9% from the field, which included a shooting percentage of 39 for 85 from the field. When it came to shots from beyond the arc, Denver was successful 16 times out of 40 times, which is a percentage of 40 percent.

With a success rate of 79.2%, they were able to bury 19 of those individuals. During this encounter, the Thunder were called for a total of 21 personal fouls, which resulted in the Nuggets having a total of 24 more opportunities to attempt free throws. During the course of the game, they were responsible for 16 turnovers while also committing 9 thefts. Over the course of the game, the Nuggets collected a total of 49 rebounds, which included 44 defensive boards and 5 offensive rebounds.

Through the course of the game, Jamal Murray ended up being a significant contributor for the Nuggets. Murray contributed to this game by scoring 27 points and dishing out 8 assists in the 48 minutes that he was on the court. During the game, he had a field goal percentage of 47.4%, making 9 out of 19 shots, and he also grabbed 4 rebounds.

This season, Denver has a record of 50-32 in terms of wins and losses. Every game, the Nuggets have committed 17.6 personal fouls, and they have successfully made 77.0% of their free throws from the line. They have the highest rate of aiding teammates in the league, which is 31.0 times per game, and they have the most turnover rate in the league, which is 14.3 times per game. Over the course of the season, Denver has amassed 9,902 points, which is equivalent to 120.8 points per game, and they have 45.7 rebounds per game. The Nuggets are now number one in the NBA in terms of offensive execution, as they have a 50.6% shooting percentage from the floor.

There are 116.9 points per game that the Nuggets allow their opponents to score, which places them 25th in the NBA in terms of defensive performance. They have allowed teams to shoot 46.6% from the field, which is the thirteenth best percentage in basketball, and they are forcing their opponents to commit 13.0 turnovers per game. The defense of Denver allows 36.5% of shots from beyond the three-point line (1,156 of 3,170), yet their opponents are successful in completing 77.7% of their free throw tries. Each night, they allow 29.0 assists and 42.5 rebounds, which places them in the 29th and seventh positions in the league, respectively.

Thunder vs Nuggets Betting Trends: Denver Last 10 Games

Date Opponent Score Spread Total Moneyline
5/09/25
OKC
W 113-104
W+4.5
U234.5
W+160
5/07/25
@OKC
L 149-106
L+9.0
O221.5
L+390
5/05/25
@OKC
W 121-119
W+9.5
O226.5
W+320
5/03/25
LAC
W 120-101
W+1.0
O204.5
W-102
5/01/25
@LAC
L 111-105
W+7.0
O214.5
L+220
4/29/25
LAC
W 131-115
W-1.0
O208.5
W-106
4/26/25
@LAC
W 101-99
W+5.5
U214.5
W+195
4/24/25
@LAC
L 117-83
L+5.0
U215.5
L+176
4/21/25
LAC
L 105-102
L-2.0
U218.5
L-136
4/19/25
LAC
W 112-110
L-3.0
U225
W-15

Thunder vs Nuggets Betting Trends: Pick the Thunder (-6) to Cover

  • These 82 games that the Thunder have played this year have resulted in 53 victories against the spread.
  • In 82 games played so far this season, the Nuggets have a record of 38 wins against the spread.
  • When the Thunder are a favorite of six points or more, they have a record of 35-21-3 against the spread in the 59 games they have played this season.
  • At this point in the season, the Nuggets have been positioned as underdogs by a margin of six points or more eight times, and they have a record of 5-3 against the spread in those games.

Thunder vs Nuggets Betting Trends: Take the Points Over (227)

  • This season, the Thunder and their opponent have played 45 out of 82 games, and in 45 of those games, they have scored more than 227 points, which is the over/under for the current clash.
  • This season, the Nuggets have won 58 of their 82 total matches, which means that they have scored more than 227 points in total.
  • Compared to the over/under of 227 points for this game, the Thunder and Nuggets have a combined average of 14.3 more points than the spread.
  • When compared to the over/under of 227 points for this encounter, the opponents of the two clubs have a combined average of 2.5 fewer points per game (224.5) than the over/under.
  • In this particular game, the over/under of 227 points is 0.5 points more than the average total in Thunder games this season, which is 227 points.
  • There is a 5.5-point difference between the over/under for this game and the average point total that the Nuggets have scored this season.

Thunder vs Nuggets Betting Trends: Back the Thunder on the Moneyline (-245)

  • During this season, the Thunder have been selected as favorites in 77 different matchups, and they have won 64 of those contests, which is an 83.1% success rate.
  • During the current season, the Nuggets have won 45 percent of the games in which they were the moneyline underdog (9-11 results).
  • For the current season, the Thunder have a win-loss record of 49-10 when they are favored by a margin of -245 or higher by bookmakers.
  • When they have played as a moneyline underdog of +200 or longer, the Nuggets have obtained a record of 4-2, which indicates that they have won 66.7% of their games.
  • According to the moneyline that has been established for this encounter, the Thunder have an expected victory probability of 71% against the other team.
  • The Nuggets have a 33.3% chance of winning this contest, according to the implied moneyline probability from the betting odds.

 

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