Thunder vs Nuggets Betting Trends, Odds, Prediction | Game 3 | NBA
Thunder vs Nuggets Betting Trends, Odds, Prediction | Game 3 | NBA. Place an NBA basketball bet on this game at YouWager.lv.
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Thunder vs Nuggets Betting Odds
Here are the Thunder vs Nuggets Betting Odds:
TEAM | SPREAD | MONEYLINE | TOTAL |
---|---|---|---|
OKC | -5.5 | -230 | 232.5 O |
Denver | +5.5 | +190 | 232.5 U |
Thunder vs Nuggets Betting Trends
Here are the Thunder vs Nuggets Betting Trends for both teams, but first, the head-to-head stats:
Thunder vs Nuggets Betting Trends: Head-to-Head
Date | Team | Opp | Close | Result | ATS/OU |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
May 7, 2025 | Nuggets | @Thunder | +10 / 230 | Lost 106-149 | Lost / Over |
May 5, 2025 | Nuggets | @Thunder | +10.5 / 229.5 | Won 121-119 | Won / Over |
Mar 10, 2025 | Nuggets | @Thunder | +9.5 / 240.5 | Won 140-127 | Won / Over |
Mar 9, 2025 | Nuggets | @Thunder | +7.5 / 242 | Lost 103-127 | Lost / Under |
Nov 6, 2024 | Nuggets | Thunder | +7 / 225 | Won 124-122 | Won / Over |
Oct 24, 2024 | Nuggets | Thunder | -2 / 228.5 | Lost 87-102 | Lost / Under |
Oct 15, 2024 | Nuggets | Thunder | +7.5 / 223.5 | Lost 94-124 | Lost / Under |
Jan 31, 2024 | Nuggets | @Thunder | +6 / 222.5 | Lost 100-105 | Won / Under |
Dec 29, 2023 | Nuggets | Thunder | -2 / 237 | Lost 93-119 | Lost / Under |
Dec 16, 2023 | Nuggets | Thunder | -5.5 / 237.5 | Lost 117-118 | Lost / Under |
Thunder vs Nuggets Betting Trends: OKC
Now, we have the Thunder vs Nuggets Betting Trends for the OKC:
- The over/under record for Oklahoma City’s last 20 games is 15-5.
- Over the past ten games, Oklahoma City has a winning record of 9-1 against the spread.
- In its last nine games versus Denver, Oklahoma City has a winning percentage of 6-3.
- On the road, Oklahoma City has a perfect record of 5-0 in its last five games.
- When playing on the road versus Denver, Oklahoma City has a record of 8-1 against the spread in its last nine games.
- In its last 11 games versus teams from the Western Conference, Oklahoma City has a winning percentage of 9-2 from a statistical standpoint.
- There have been four out of the previous five games that Oklahoma City has played against an opponent from the Northwest Division division in which the total has gone over.
- In its last 20 games played in the month of May, Oklahoma City has a record of 7-13 against the spread.
Thunder vs Nuggets Betting Trends: Denver
Now, we have the Thunder vs Nuggets Betting Trends for the Denver:
- Over the past six games, Denver has a record of 4-1-1 against the spread.
- Five of Denver’s most recent five games have resulted in the total going over.
- In its last 12 games, Denver has a head-to-head record of 8-4.
- All four of Denver’s most recent five games against Oklahoma City have resulted in the total going over.
- In its previous five games played at home, Denver has a winning record of 4-1 against the spread.
- When playing at home versus Oklahoma City, Denver has a record of 1-8 against the spread in its last nine games.
- 5 of Denver’s last 6 games against opponents from the Western Conference conference have resulted in the total going over the point spread.
- Four of Denver’s most recent five games against opponents from the Northwest Division division have resulted in the total going over the point spread.
- In its past six games played in the month of May, Denver has a record of 2-4 on the road.
- Over the past six Friday games, Denver has a record of 2-4 against the spread.
Thunder vs Nuggets Betting Trends: Against the Spread
Now, in these Thunder vs Nuggets Betting Trends, we have the against the spread info:
LEAN NUGGETS +5.5 (-110).
Even if the Thunder have the advantage in terms of the overall game, the Nuggets, who are playing in front of their home fans, will need to make sure that the game does not get out of hand in order to keep any hope alive in the series. Over the course of the playoffs, they have won three straight games at Ball Arena, and they have covered in both of their home games.
The Thunder have been unsuccessful in covering the spread in three of their most recent four games, including two consecutive games played away from home.
- The Thunder score 120.5 points per game, which is only 3.6 more than the Nuggets, who allow 116.9 points total each game.
- When Oklahoma City scores more than 116.9 points, the team has a record of 39-12 against the spread and 46-5 overall performance.
- When Denver scores more than 107.6 points, the team has a record of 38-30 against the spread and 49-19 overall performance.
- When it concedes fewer than 120.8 points, Oklahoma City has a record of 53-13-2 against the spread along with a record of 63-5 overall
- With a scoring average of 120.5 points per game, the Thunder are now ranked fourth
- in the NBA’s scoring charts, while the Nuggets have the 24th-lowest scoring average in the league with 116.9 points per game.
- The third-ranked offense in the NBA is Denver’s (120.8 PPG), while Oklahoma City’s defense is the third-ranked defense (107.6) in the league.
- This season, the Thunder have scored 1055 more points than their opponents, which is equivalent to an average of 12.9 points per game.
- On the other hand, the Nuggets have scored 319 more points than their opponents, which is equivalent to 3.9 points per game.
Thunder vs Nuggets Betting Trends: Over/Under
Now, in these Thunder vs Nuggets Betting Trends, we have the over/ under info:
BET UNDER 232.5 (-110).
4 out of the previous 7 games that the Thunder have played have ended with the Under. Despite the fact that they have performed admirably on offense, they have been even more impressive on defense, as they have allowed 108 points or fewer in five of their most recent seven games.
Five of the Nuggets’ most recent eight games have resulted in the team scoring 106 points or fewer.
- During the current season, Oklahoma City has produced an average expected point total of 118.5, which is 0.5 points lower than the implied total that it produced in Friday’s game (119).
- Oklahoma City has played 46 games so far this season and has scored more than 119 points in one of those contests.
- There is a 5.7-point difference between Denver’s projected total for this meeting (114 points) and its average implied point total for the year (119.7 points).
Thunder vs Nuggets Betting Trends: Moneyline
Now, in these Thunder vs Nuggets Betting Trends, we have the moneyline info:
PASS.
The Thunder (-225) have full momentum and are 9-1 in their past 10 overall, including 5-0 on the road in that stretch. This is despite the fact that the series is making its way to Denver.
- Under the moneyline, the Thunder have a record of 66-13, which means they have won 83.5% of the games in which they were the favorite.
- With odds of -237 or lower, Oklahoma City has a winning record of 50-10 when it has played as a moneyline favorite. This represents an 83.3% winning percentage.
- Seventy-three percent is the implied win probability for the Thunder, according to the moneyline for this game.
- Out of the twenty games that the Nuggets have played this season as underdogs, they have won ten of them, which is fifty percent.
- Over the course of this season, Denver has a record of 5-2 when it is the underdog by a margin of +194 or more, according to oddsmakers.
- According to the moneyline, the Nuggets have a 34.0% chance of winning the game. This is the implied probability.
Thunder vs Nuggets Betting Prediction
Now we have the Thunder vs Nuggets Betting Prediction for both teams.
On Friday, the Denver Nuggets will play the Oklahoma City Thunder in Game 3 of their Western Conference semifinals series, which will be a best-of-seven series. There is a 1-1 tie in the series. According to ESPN, the game will begin at ten o’clock Eastern Time (ET) from Ball Arena. Let’s examine the odds surrounding the Thunder versus the Nuggets matchup in the NBA and come up with our expert choices and predictions for the best bets in the league.
Matches during the regular season: 2-2 split
On Wednesday, Oklahoma City defeated Denver by a score of 149-106, covering the spread as a home favorite by 10.5 points. This victory was a significant comeback for Oklahoma City, which had suffered a setback in Game 1. G. With a game-high 34 points and 11 of 13 field goal attempts, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander was the driving force behind the charge. In the victory, the Thunder set a new record for the first half of the NBA playoffs by scoring 87 points.
The loss that Denver suffered on Wednesday brought an end to a two-game winning streak. C. Before fouling out toward the conclusion of the third quarter, Nikola Jokic led the Nuggets in scoring with 17 points, 8 rebounds, and 6 assists. He also led the team in assists with 6. Although they were successful in shooting 40.5% from three-point range, Denver only shot 37.9% from the field as a whole.
Thunder vs Nuggets Betting Prediction: OKC
Here is the Thunder vs Nuggets Betting Prediction for the OKC:
In Game 2, the Thunder defeated the Nuggets by a score of 149-106. This victory meant that the Thunder were victorious in the series. With regard to the number of fouls committed, the Thunder finished with 24 while the Nuggets were responsible for 29 as a whole. Out of the 37 shots they took from beyond the arc, they were successful 15 times. Denver ended up making 25 of 32 shots from the charity stripe, which resulted in a shooting percentage of 78.1%. In addition, Denver had a total of 38 boards, 13 of which were offensive and 25 of which were defensive, and they also blocked 8 shots. Through the course of this game, Denver racked up 18 assists and four steals.
When it came to defense, Oklahoma City allowed their opponent to shoot 37.9% from the field, which was a total of 33 of 87 shots. Additionally, they forced 21 turnovers and earned 12 steals during the game, in addition to dishing out 31 assists while they were playing. When it came to grabbing rebounds, they secured a total of 44, with eight of those rebounds coming from the offensive end of the court. When the Thunder attempted to shoot from the charity stripe, they were successful 33 times out of 36 times, which works out to a percentage of 91.7%. Once the game was over, Oklahoma City had finished with a field goal percentage of 56.2% (50 of 89) and had made 16 of their 36 3-point shots.
A person named Shai Gilgeous-Alexander was able to perform exceptionally well in this game. During the game, Gilgeous-Alexander finished with an 84.6% field goal shooting percentage and eight assists. In the thirty minutes that he was on the court, he was able to get four rebounds. He shot 11 of 13 from the field and finished with 34 points.
With a record of 68-14 so far this season, Oklahoma City comes into this matchup with a strong showing. They now have a shooting percentage of 48.2% from the field and an average of 120.5 points per game at the moment, which places them fourth in the NBA. The Thunder have a three-point shooting percentage of 37.4% (1,192 of 3,184), and they have an 81.9% shooting percentage from the free throw line. This season, Oklahoma City has accounted for 2,202 assists and 44.8 rebounds per game, which places them 12th in the league in terms of passing the ball. Additionally, during the season, they have accounted for 44.8 rebounds per game. Every game, they are committing 19.9 fouls as a team, and they are turning the ball over 11.7 times. Additionally, they are turning it over 11.7 times a game.
The Thunder are able to force 17.0 turnovers per game and draw 18.1 personal fouls. This is a testament to their stellar defensive performance. During the course of the season, they have surrendered 2,018 assists to the opponent, which places them in fourth place in the basketball league. The Thunder defense is allowing a field goal percentage of 43.6% (3,109 and 7,130 respectively), and they are giving up 44.9 rebounds per game as a team. The percentage of shots from outside the arc that they allow is 34.2%, and they rank third in the league in terms of points per game that they allow (107.6).
Thunder vs Nuggets Betting Trends: OKC Last 10 Games
Date | Opponent | Score | Spread | Total | Moneyline |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
5/07/25
|
DEN
|
W 149-106
|
W-9.0
|
O221.5
|
W-510
|
5/05/25
|
DEN
|
L 121-119
|
L-9.5
|
O226.5
|
L-405
|
4/26/25
|
@MEM
|
W 117-115
|
L-12.5
|
O224.5
|
W-700
|
4/24/25
|
@MEM
|
W 114-108
|
L-9.0
|
U226.5
|
W-380
|
4/22/25
|
MEM
|
W 118-99
|
W-13.5
|
U230
|
W-850
|
4/20/25
|
MEM
|
W 131-80
|
W-12.5
|
U226.5
|
W-750
|
4/13/25
|
@NOR
|
W 115-100
|
W-10.0
|
U231.5
|
W-450
|
4/11/25
|
@UTH
|
W 145-111
|
W-11.0
|
O232
|
W-600
|
4/09/25
|
@PHO
|
W 125-112
|
W-12.0
|
O231.5
|
W-675
|
4/08/25
|
LAL
|
W 136-120
|
W-8.5
|
O229.5
|
W-340
|
Thunder vs Nuggets Betting Prediction: Denver
Here is the Thunder vs Nuggets Betting Prediction for the Denver:
In the second game, Denver failed to clear up the glass sufficiently, allowing Oklahoma City to accumulate a total of 44 points, eight of which were on the offensive glass. By the end of the game, they had a three-point shooting percentage of 44.4%, hitting 16 out of 36 shots. Additionally, they had a free throw shooting percentage of 91.7 percent, nailing 33 out of 36 shots from the free throw line. During the game, the Nuggets allowed the Thunder to make 50 of their 89 shots from the field, which resulted in a percentage of 56.2% for the Thunder. At the conclusion of the game, the Nuggets had a shooting percentage of 37.9%, which was based on their 33 out of 87 attempts from the field.
The Denver Broncos were successful in 15 out of 37 attempts (40.5%) when it came to shots from a distance. In total, they were successful in converting 25 of the free throws, which resulted in a percentage of 78.1%. During this game, the Thunder committed 24 fouls, which resulted in the Nuggets having to go to the free throw line for a total of 32 attempts. They were able to steal four balls throughout the game, but they were unable to keep possession of the ball 21 times. In this particular game, the Nuggets were able to collect a total of 38 rebounds, which included 25 defensive rebounds and 13 offensive defensive rebounds.
During the game, Russell Westbrook was the one who brought the Nuggets to victory. In the game, he made 5 of 11 field goals, which gave him a field goal percentage of 45.5%. Additionally, he came away with 1 rebound. During the game, Westbrook played 22 minutes on the court and contributed to the team’s success by scoring 19 points and dishing out 5 assists.
So far in this season, Denver has a record of 50-32 in terms of wins and losses. Every game, the Nuggets have committed 17.6 personal fouls, and they have a 77.0% success rate from the free throw line. They have the most assist rate in the league, with 31.0 times per game, and they have the highest turnover rate, with 14.3 times per game spent in the offensive end. Throughout the course of the season, Denver has scored 9,902 points, which is equivalent to 120.8 points per game, and they have averaged 45.7 boards per game. To put it another way, the Nuggets are now shooting 50.6% from the field, which places them in first place in the league for offensive execution.
In addition, opponents are converting 77.7% of their shots from the free throw line, while the Denver defense is allowing 36.5% of shots from beyond the arc (1,156 of 3,170). For each game, they have surrendered 29.0 assists and 42.5 rebounds, which places them in the 29th and seventh positions, respectively, in the league. 116.9 points per game is the average that the Nuggets’ defense allows, which places them 25th in the league. In addition to allowing teams to shoot 46.6% from the floor, which is the thirteenth best percentage in the NBA, they force their opponents to commit 13.0 turnovers a game.
Thunder vs Nuggets Betting Trends: Denver Last 10 Games
Date | Opponent | Score | Spread | Total | Moneyline |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
5/07/25
|
@OKC
|
L 149-106
|
L+9.0
|
O221.5
|
L+390
|
5/05/25
|
@OKC
|
W 121-119
|
W+9.5
|
O226.5
|
W+320
|
5/03/25
|
LAC
|
W 120-101
|
W+1.0
|
O204.5
|
W-102
|
5/01/25
|
@LAC
|
L 111-105
|
W+7.0
|
O214.5
|
L+220
|
4/29/25
|
LAC
|
W 131-115
|
W-1.0
|
O208.5
|
W-106
|
4/26/25
|
@LAC
|
W 101-99
|
W+5.5
|
U214.5
|
W+195
|
4/24/25
|
@LAC
|
L 117-83
|
L+5.0
|
U215.5
|
L+176
|
4/21/25
|
LAC
|
L 105-102
|
L-2.0
|
U218.5
|
L-136
|
4/19/25
|
LAC
|
W 112-110
|
L-3.0
|
U225
|
W-156
|
4/13/25
|
@HOU
|
W 126-111
|
W-6.5
|
O232.5
|
W-260
|
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