Texans vs Chiefs Betting Trends, Prediction, Odds, Divisional Round. The game is set for Saturday, January 18th, 2025. Place a bet on this NFL football game now.

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Texans vs Chiefs Betting Odds

Here are the Texans vs Chiefs Betting Odds:

TEAM	SPREAD	MONEYLINE	TOTAL
TEXANS	+9	+375	41.5 O
CHIEFS	-9	-475	41.5 U

Texans vs Chiefs Betting Odds to Win AFC Conference

Here are the Texans vs Chiefs Betting Odds to win Super Bowl LIX:

• Texans vs Chiefs Betting Odds to Win AFC Conference for Houston: +1800
• Texans vs Chiefs Betting Odds to Win AFC Conference for Kansas City: +135

Texans vs Chiefs Betting Odds to Win Super Bowl LIX

Here are the Texans vs Chiefs Betting Odds to win Super Bowl LIX:

• Texans vs Chiefs Betting Odds to Win Super Bowl LIX for Houston: +5000
• Texans vs Chiefs Betting Odds to Win Super Bowl LIX for Kansas City: +325

Texans vs Chiefs Betting Trends

Here are the Texans vs Chiefs Betting trends for both teams, but first, we have the head-to-head for both teams:

Texans vs Chiefs Betting Trends: Head-to-Head

Now in these Texans vs Chiefs Betting trends, we have the head-to-head stats:

Texans vs Chiefs Betting Trends: Houston

These are the Texans vs Chiefs Betting trends for Houston:

• Houston has enjoyed a 4-2 SU record in their most recent six contests.
• In their most recent nine games against Kansas City, Houston has a record of 3-6 against the spread.
• In their most recent six games against Kansas City, Houston has gone 1-5 SU.
• When Houston is playing on the road against Kansas City, the total has gone OVER in four of the last five games.
• In the past 17 games against an opponent in the American Football Conference, Houston has a winning record of 12-5 SU.
• In five of Houston’s most recent six contests against an opponent from the American Football Conference West division, the total has exceeded the set limit.
• Houston has won five of its last six games played in January against the spread.
• Houston has a 6-2 SU record in their last 8 Saturday contests.

Texans vs Chiefs Betting Trends: Houston Best Bets

Now on these Texans vs Chiefs Betting Trends, we have the best bets for Houston:

• The 1H Moneyline has been hit by the Houston Texans in 17 of their last 22 games, resulting in a 33% return on investment (+11.65 Units).
• In the past 22 games, the Houston Texans have successfully covered the 1H Spread in 17 of them, resulting in a 43% return on investment (+11.10 units).
• The 2Q Moneyline has been met by the Houston Texans in 12 of their last 19 games, resulting in a +5.90 Units / 22% ROI.
• The Houston Texans have successfully covered the 2Q Spread in 13 of their most recent 19 games, resulting in a 25% return on investment (+5.85 units).
• In seven of their most recent ten away games, the Houston Texans have exceeded the 4Q Game Total (+3.90 Units / 34% ROI).

Texans vs Chiefs Betting Trends: Houston Player Prop Bets

Next on these Texans vs Chiefs Betting Trends, we have the best player prop bets for Houston:

• In 13 of his last 18 games, C.J. Stroud has struck the Carries Over (+8.15 Units / 36% ROI).
• In 13 of his most recent 18 games, Ka’imi Fairbairn has made the field goal over (+6.20 units / 23% ROI).
• In six of his last seven away games, Joe Mixon has exceeded the Rushing Yards Over (+4.85 Units / 58% ROI).
• Joe Mixon has achieved a Carries Under in six of his most recent seven games, resulting in a 60% ROI and a profit of 4.75 units.
• In seven of his most recent nine away games, C.J. Stroud has achieved a Passing Yards Under (+4.70 Units / 45% ROI).

Texans vs Chiefs Betting Trends: Houston Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Now on these Texans vs Chiefs Betting Trends, we have the ATS record for Houston:

• The Texans have a record of 8-8 against the spread this NFL season (-0.65 units / -3.3% ROI).
• When wagering on the Moneyline for +1.4 units / 4.33% ROI, the Texans are 11-7.
• Texans are 7-10 when wagering on the over for a -4.1 unit/-20.6% ROI.
• When wagering the under for +2.3 units/ROI, the Texans are 10-7.

Texans vs Chiefs Betting Trends: Houston Keys to the Game

Next on these Texans vs Chiefs Betting Trends, we continue with the keys to the game for Houston:

• This season, the Texans were undefeated (6-0) when the opposing team converted less than 55% of its red zone opportunities into touchdowns. This is the T-best record in the NFL; the league average is.599.
• This season, the Texans were winless (0-4) when trailing at the conclusion of the first half, which is the second-worst record in the NFL; the league average is.243.
• This season, the Texans were undefeated (6-0) when they converted 55% or more of their red zone opportunities into touchdowns—the second-best performance in the NFL; the league average is.611.
• The Texans were 6-3 (.667) this season when they were within 7 points at the two-minute warning, which is the sixth-best record in the NFL. The league average is.500..

Texans vs Chiefs Betting Trends: Houston Offense Important Stats

• This season, the Texans executed successful plays on only 34% of their rush attempts, which is the lowest rate in the NFL. The league average is 43%.
• Since the 2023 season, the Texans have executed successful plays on 31% of their rush attempts in the third quarter, which is the lowest rate in the NFL. The league average is 43%.
• This season, the Texans executed successful plays on 37% of their plays, which is the second-lowest percentage in the NFL. The league average is 43%.
• In the final four weeks of the regular season, the Texans failed to convert a first down on eight plays (0%) with 1-3 yards to go on second down, which is the lowest rate in the NFL (league average: 65%).

Texans vs Chiefs Betting Trends: Houston Defense Important Stats

• The Texans’ performance this season was the most impressive in the NFL, with only 39% of the plays being executed in their own territory. The league average is 47%.
• Last season, the Texans defense permitted a passer rating of only 64.7 in the red zone (63 pass attempts), which was the second-best in the NFL. The league average was 93.0.
• In the first half of this season, the Texans were only involved in 7% of the plays that were executed in the red zone, which is the highest percentage in the NFL. The league average is 14%.
• This season, the Texans were only targeted in the red zone on 10% of their plays, which is the lowest percentage in the NFL. The league average is 15%.

Texans vs Chiefs Betting Trends: Kansas City

These are the Texans vs Chiefs Betting trends for Kansas City:

• In their most recent 11 games, Kansas City has a record of 3-8 against the spread.
• In five of Kansas City’s most recent six games, the total has been lower than the posted value.
• The last 20 games of Kansas City have resulted in an 18-2 over/under record.
• The total has exceeded in six of Kansas City’s most recent six contests against Houston.
• In their most recent 11 home contests, Kansas City has maintained an undefeated record.
• When playing at home against Houston, the total has exceeded in four of Kansas City’s most recent five games.
• Kansas City has a 15-2 SU record in their last 17 games against an opponent in the American Football Conference.
• In six of Kansas City’s most recent eight contests against a team from the American Football Conference South division, the total has been less than the posted value.
• During the month of January, Kansas City has gone 5-1 against the spread in their last 6 games.
• Kansas City’s ATS record is 4-1 in their last 5 Saturday contests.

Texans vs Chiefs Betting Trends: Kansas City Best Bets

Now on these Texans vs Chiefs Betting Trends, we have the best bets for Kansas City:

• The 2Q Moneyline has been met by the Kansas City Chiefs in 13 of their last 19 games, resulting in a +6.05 Units / 18% ROI.
• In 14 of their most recent 22 games, the Kansas City Chiefs have surpassed the 1H Game Total (+6.00 Units / 23% ROI).
• The 2Q Spread has been covered by the Kansas City Chiefs in 13 of their last 19 games, resulting in a +5.85 Units / 26% ROI.
• The 1Q Moneyline has been hit by the Kansas City Chiefs in five of their last six home games, resulting in a +5.00 Units / 41% ROI.
• In nine of their last eleven home games, the Kansas City Chiefs have achieved a Moneyline win (+4.20 Units / 13% ROI).

Texans vs Chiefs Betting Trends: Kansas City Player Prop Best Bets

Next on these Texans vs Chiefs Betting Trends, we have the player prop bets for Kansas City:

• In his most recent seven games, Xavier Worthy has achieved a Receptions Over (+7.80 Units / 92% ROI).
• In the past seven games, Xavier Worthy has exceeded the Receiving Yards Over (+7.00 Units / 86% ROI).
• In the past seven games, Samaje Perine has exceeded the Receiving Yards Over by 7.00 units, resulting in an 85% return on investment.
• Patrick Mahomes has exceeded the Pass Attempts Over in his last six home games (+6.00 Units / 85% ROI).
• In his most recent six games, Carson Steele has achieved an 88% return on investment by hitting the Rushing Yards Under (+6.00 Units).

Texans vs Chiefs Betting Trends: Kansas City Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Now on these Texans vs Chiefs Betting Trends, we continue with the ATS record for Kansas City:

• In the current NFL season, the Chiefs are 7-9 against the spread (-2.75 units / -14.91% ROI).
• The Chiefs have a 15-2 record when wagering on the Moneyline for +13.2 Units / 27.85% ROI.
• When wagering on the over for a total of four units, the Chiefs have a return on investment (ROI) of 22.39 percent.
• When wagering the under for +2.3 units/12.3% ROI, the Chiefs are 10-7.

Texans vs Chiefs Betting Trends: Kansas City Keys to the Game

Next on these Texans vs Chiefs Betting Trends, we have the keyes to the game for Kansas City:

• Since the 2023 season, the Chiefs have a 14-6 record (.700) when rushing less than 25 times, which is the highest in the NFL; the league average is.277.
• This season, the Chiefs were unblemished (10-0) when they allowed fewer than five explosive passes, which is the second-best record in the NFL; the league average is.566.
• This season, the Chiefs were 2-1 (.667) when the opposing team rushed more than 30 times, which is the second-best record in the NFL. The league average is.249.
• This season, the Chiefs were undefeated (11-0) when the opposing team converted less than 55% of its red zone opportunities into touchdowns. This is the T-best record in the NFL; the league average is.599.

Texans vs Chiefs Betting Trends: Kansas City Offense Important Stats

• This season, the Chiefs executed successful plays on 57% of their rush attempts in the third quarter, which is the highest rate in the NFL. The league average is 44%.
• Last season, the Chiefs had an average of -0.75 epa per play against tight coverage, which was the second-worst in the NFL. The league average was -0.52.
• Last season, the Chiefs experienced a three-and-out on 14% of their drives, which was the second-highest percentile in the NFL. The league average was 22%.
• Since the 2023 season, the Chiefs have averaged -0.69 epa per play against tight coverage, which is the lowest in the NFL. The league average is -0.47.

Texans vs Chiefs Betting Trends: Kansas City Defense Important Stats

• Last season, the Chiefs defense permitted a third-down conversion rate of 3% on third-and-10+ yards to go, which was the highest in the NFL; the league average was 17%.
• This season, the Chiefs defense has permitted an average of 93.7 yards from scrimmage per game to running backs, which is the highest in the NFL; the league average is 126.8.
• Since the 2023 season, the Chiefs defense has permitted passes of 20+ yards on only 6 of 155 attempts (4%) on third-and-long, which is the highest in the NFL; the league average is 10%.
• Last season, the Chiefs defense had the second-best dropback average in the NFL, allowing only 4.5 yards per dropback (675 yards/150 attempts) when targeted at a depth of 1-5 yards. The league average was 5.5.

Texans vs Chiefs Betting Prediction

Now, we have the Texans vs Chiefs Betting prediction for both teams.

Texans vs Chiefs Betting Prediction: Houston

This is the Texans vs Chiefs Betting prediction for Houston.

The Houston Texans  secured the AFC South title by finishing the regular season with a record of 10-7. They finished fourth in the AFC standings, having gone 5-1 in the division and 9-4 in conference play. Prior to the postseason, the Texans were ranked 16th in our power rankings.

Houston defeated the Chargers 32-12 despite being a 2.5-point underdog in the Wild Card round. The over/under was set at 41.5, and the teams collectively scored 44 points. This season, the Texans have a +1.1 scoring margin and are 8-9-1 against the spread.

The Texans are ranked 20th in our offensive power rankings as they enter the divisional round. They are currently ranked 15th in the NFL in terms of points per game, averaging 22.4, and 18th in terms of yards per game, with an average of 325.8. Houston’s passing attempts per game are 9th, but their passing yards per game are 20th, with an average of 210.4. They rank 21st in rushing attempts and 14th in rushing yards per game on the ground, with 115.4. The Texans are currently ranked 15th in red zone conversion percentage and 17th in the league in 3rd-down conversions, converting 37.7% of their attempts.

C.J. Stroud completed 22 of 33 passes in the wild card round, including one touchdown and one interception, and threw for 282 yards. He was terminated on three separate occasions. Nico Collins had 7 receptions for 122 yards and a touchdown, while Joe Mixon led the rushing attack with 106 yards and a touchdown on 25 carries. After being shut out in the third quarter, the Texans tallied 12 points against the Chargers in the fourth quarter.

In their 32-12 victory over the Chargers, the Texans’ defense was exceptional, recording four interceptions and allowing only 211 passing yards. They restricted the Chargers to 12 points and maintained a 43.8% completion rate. Houston’s run defense was also formidable, permitting only 50 yards on 18 attempts.

The Texans permitted the Chargers to convert only 27.3% of their third-down opportunities. Houston’s defense achieved significant victories throughout the game, including four sacks and a four-point lead in the quarterback hit duel, despite the Chargers’ 261 total yards.

Texans vs Chiefs Betting: Houston Injury Report

Pos	Player	Status
TE	Teagan Quitoriano (Calf)	Out
TE	Teagan Quitoriano (Calf)	Questionable
LB	Christian Harris (Ankle)	Questionable
G	Shaq Mason (Knee)	Out
DE	Denico Autry (Knee)	Questionable
WR	John Metchie (Shoulder)	Questionable
LB	Christian Harris (Ankle)	Questionable
CB	Jeff Okudah (Concussion)	Out
DE	Denico Autry (Knee)	Out
G	Shaq Mason (Knee)	Out
DE	Denico Autry (Knee)	Questionable
WR	Tank Dell (Knee)	Out
DT	Folorunso Fatukasi (Ankle)	Out
WR	John Metchie (Shoulder)	Out

Texans vs Chiefs Betting Prediction: Kansas City

This is the Texans vs Chiefs Betting prediction for Kansas City.

The Kansas City Chiefs secured the top spot in the AFC with a 15-2 record at the conclusion of the regular season. They achieved a 5-1 record in division play and a 10-2 record against the conference. Kansas City’s home record was 8-0, while their travel record was 7-2. They are ranked sixth in our power rankings as they enter the postseason.

The Chiefs had an average scoring margin of +3.5 points and a record of 7-9-1 against the spread. Their over/under record was 7-10, with their most recent two games being underhit. Their contests had an average of 41.8 points, which was lower than the average line of 44.

The Chiefs are currently ranked 14th in the NFL in terms of points per game, averaging 22.6, and 16th in terms of yards per game, with an average of 327.6 leading into the divisional round. They rely significantly on the passing game, ranking 6th in passing attempts and 13th in passing yards per game. They are 22nd in terms of rushing yards per game on the ground. One area in which they have demonstrated exceptional performance is on third down, where they currently hold the second-best conversion rate in the league at 48.5%.

During the 18th week, the Chiefs were unable to score, as they only managed 98 passing yards and 27 rushing yards. Carson Wentz was sacked four times and had a passer rating of 75 during his 10-day stretch. Carson Steele accumulated 25 rushing yards on eight carries, while Nikko Remigio paced the team with 48 receiving yards on two receptions.

The Chiefs’ defense labored to exit the field and allowed 479 yards in their 38-0 loss to the Broncos. The Broncos converted on 71.4% of their third down attempts. Denver completed 89.7% of its passes, resulting in four touchdowns, while the Chiefs conceded 321 yards through the air. Furthermore, the Chiefs were unable to accumulate a sack and conceded 158 rushing yards on 43 attempts.

Texans vs Chiefs Betting: Kansas City Injury Report

Texans vs Chiefs Betting Prediction: Our Picks

Next in this Texans vs Chiefs Betting prediction, we have the picks for this game.

Texans vs Chiefs Betting Prediction: MoneyLine

First, we have the Texans vs Chiefs Betting prediction on the moneyline.

The Texans are ranked 20th in our offensive power rankings and 15th in scoring, with an average of 22.4 points per game. Despite rating 9th in passing attempts, Houston is 18th in total yards per game (325.8) and 20th in passing yards per game (210.4). They are ranked 21st in rushing attempts and 14th in rushing yards per game on the ground, with an average of 115.4. The Texans are 17th in 3rd-down conversion rate, 15th in red zone efficiency, and 10th in red zone attempts in the NFL.

In the Wild Card round, the Texans scored 32 points against the Chargers. C.J. Stroud completed 22 of 33 passes for 282 yards, one touchdown, and one interception. Nico Collins gained 122 yards on 7 receptions, while Joe Mixon gained 106 yards on 25 carries. In the fourth quarter, Houston tallied 12 points and converted 2 of 4 red zone opportunities.

As they prepare to enter the divisional round, the Chiefs are presently ranked eighth in our offensive power rankings. They are 16th in the NFL in terms of yards per game, with an average of 327.6, and they are 14th in the NFL in terms of points per game, with an average of 22.6. Kansas City is ranked sixth in passing attempts with 35.3 per game and 13th in passing yards per game with 222.4. They are ranked 16th in ground attempts and 22nd in rushing yards per game. Nevertheless, they are ranked 23rd in red zone conversion percentage at 13.8%, despite being 7th in red zone attempts. However, they have demonstrated exceptional performance on third down, achieving a 48.5% conversion rate and securing a second-place finish.

Denver’s shutout of the Chiefs resulted in a 38-0 victory in week 18. Carson Wentz was the starting quarterback, and he completed 10 of 17 passes for 98 yards. He was terminated on four distinct occasions. Carson Steele was the team’s top performer, accumulating 25 yards on eight carries, while Kansas City only managed 27 rushing yards on 11 attempts. Nikko Remigio amassed 48 yards from two receptions. The Chiefs encountered difficulty on third down, as they were only able to convert one out of nine attempts.

• Free MoneyLine Texans vs Chiefs Betting Prediction: KANSAS CITY.

Texans vs Chiefs Betting Prediction: Total

Next, we have the Texans vs Chiefs Betting prediction on the total.

The Texans’ defense was exceptional in their 32-12 victory over the Chargers, as they recorded four interceptions and allowed only 211 passing yards. Houston restricted the Chargers to a 43.8% completion percentage and 12 points. They effectively defended the run, allowing only 50 rushing yards on 18 attempts.

The Texans permitted the Chargers to convert only 27.3% of their third-down opportunities. Houston’s defense maintained its composure against the Chargers, despite conceding four sacks.

The Chiefs’ defense encountered difficulty in clearing the field during a 38-0 loss to the Broncos, as Denver successfully converted 71.4% of their third-down attempts. Denver completed 89.7% of their passes, while the Chiefs allowed 479 yards and 321 yards through the air. However, the Chiefs were unable to accumulate any clearances and conceded four passing touchdowns.

The Chiefs’ opponents averaged 3.7 yards per attempt, while they conceded 158 yards on 43 ground attempts. Furthermore, Kansas City suffered a -3 differential as a consequence of losing the tackles for loss battle.

• Free Total Texans vs Chiefs Betting Prediction: OVER.

Texans vs Chiefs Betting Prediction: Spread

And now, we have the Texans vs Chiefs Betting prediction on the spread.

The Texans secured the top position in the AFC South by achieving a 10-7 record during the regular season. They achieved the fourth position in the AFC by compiling a 9-4 record against conference opponents and a 5-1 record in division play. Houston is rated 16th in our power rankings before the postseason.

The Texans had a +1.1 scoring margin and were 8-9-1 against the spread. They achieved a record of 4-6-1 as favorites and 4-3 as underdogs. Their over/under record was 7-10-1, with an average score of 43.8 points per game (over/under line: 44.3).

The Texans have achieved a 2-1 record in their most recent three contests. This also encompasses a 2-1 opposition mark and a 2-1 over/under.
Houston has a 2-2-1 ATS record in their last five road matchups and an average of 22 points per game. The team’s aggregate record was 3-2 as a result of these contests.

The Chiefs secured the top position in the AFC by achieving a 15-2 record at the conclusion of the regular season. They obtained a 10-2 record in the conference and a 5-1 record in divisional contests, in addition to securing a perfect 8-0 record at home. Before week 18, Kansas City was ranked sixth in our power rankings; however, their position may be impacted by a 38-0 loss to the Broncos. The Chiefs were unable to cover the spread in that match, as they were 11-point underdogs. The over/under was established at 40.5 points, and the teams collectively scored 38 points.

The Chiefs had scored three consecutive victories before that, including a 29-10 victory over the Steelers in week 17. In that contest, they successfully covered the 1.5-point spread. In week 16, they defeated the Texans with a score of 27-19, and in week 15, they narrowly defeated the Chargers with a score of 21-17. This season, Kansas City has an average scoring margin of +3.5 points per game and is 7-9-1 against the spread.

Kansas City has maintained an undefeated record in their most recent three meetings. Their record against the spread in these matchups is less impressive at 1-2, and their over-under record is also 1-2.
Kansas City’s most recent five home games have resulted in an ATS record of only 2-3. Nevertheless, they were able to maintain an average of 20 points per game and ultimately attain a 3-2 aggregate game record.

• Free Spread Texans vs Chiefs Betting Prediction: HOUSTON.

FREE Texans vs Chiefs Betting Prediction: Our Picks

• Free MoneyLine Texans vs Chiefs Betting Prediction: KANSAS CITY.
• Free Total Texans vs Chiefs Betting Prediction: OVER.
• Free Spread Texans vs Chiefs Betting Prediction: HOUSTON.

 

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