Commanders vs Saints Betting Trends, Prediction, NFL Week 15. The game is set for Sunday, December 15th, 2024. Place a bet on this NFL football game now.

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Commanders vs Saints Betting Odds

Here are the Commanders vs Saints Betting Odds:

TEAM	SPREAD	MONEYLINE	TOTAL
COMMANDERS	-7.5	-370	43.5 O
SAINTS	+7.5	+290	43.5 U

Commanders vs Saints Betting Trends: Head-to-Head

Now in these Commanders vs Saints Betting trends, we have the head-to-head stats:

Commanders vs Saints Betting Trends: Washington

These are the Commanders vs Saints Betting trends for Washington:

• Washington has a record of 8-3-1 against the spread in their most recent 12 contests.
• In four of Washington’s most recent five contests, the total has exceeded the set limit.
• In the previous 12 games, Washington has a winning record of 8-4 against the spread.
• Washington has a 6-2 ATS record in their last 8 games against New Orleans.
• Washington has a 2-4 SU record in their last six games against New Orleans.
• In six of Washington’s most recent seven road games, the total has exceeded the set limit.
• When Washington is playing on the road against New Orleans, the total has gone OVER in five of the last six games.
• Washington has a record of 5-2 against the spread in their most recent seven games against a team from the National Football Conference.
• Against an opponent in the National Football Conference South division, Washington has a 5-1 ATS record in their last 6 games.
• In the last seven games played in December, Washington has a 1-6 SU record.

Commanders vs Saints Betting Trends: Washington Best Bets

Now in these Commanders vs Saints Betting trends, we have the best bets for Washington:

• In seven of their last eight away games, the Washington Commanders have achieved a 4Q Game Total Over (+5.80 Units / 61% ROI).
• In six of their most recent seven away games, the Washington Commanders have achieved a 2H Game Total Over (+4.99 Units / 66% ROI).
• In six of their most recent eight away games, the Washington Commanders have covered the 3Q Spread (+3.80 Units / 37% ROI).
• In seven of their most recent ten away games, the Washington Commanders have achieved a Game Total Over (+3.70 Units / 34% ROI).
• The Washington Commanders have successfully covered the 2-hour spread in five of their most recent seven away games, resulting in a 39% return on investment of 2.90 units.

Commanders vs Saints Betting Trends: Best Washington Player Prop Bets

Next in these Commanders vs Saints Betting trends, we have the player prop bets for Washington:

• In the past seven games, Austin Seibert has made the field goal over (+7.15 units / 85% ROI).
• Brian Robinson has achieved a Receptions Under in 8 of his most recent 11 outings, resulting in a +5.15 Units / 34% ROI.
• In the five most recent away games, Jayden Daniels has achieved a Rushing Yards Under (+5.00 Units / 91% ROI).
• Zach Ertz has achieved a Receptions Over in 9 of his most recent 13 games, resulting in a +5.00 Units / 32% ROI.
• Jayden Daniels has achieved a Carries Under in six of his most recent seven games, resulting in a 62% ROI and a profit of $4.90 units.

Commanders vs Saints Betting Trends: Washington Against the Spread (ATS) Record

• The Commanders have a record of 8-4 against the spread this NFL season, which represents a 25.26% return on investment (+3.65 units).
• When wagering on the moneyline for +0.5 units / 1.95% ROI, commanders are 8-5.
• Commanders have a 9-4 record when wagering on the Over for +4.6 Units / 32.17% ROI.
• Commanders are 4-9 when wagering on the Under for -5.9 Units / ROI.

Commanders vs Saints Betting Trends: Washington Keys to the Game

• The Commanders have a 10th-worst record in the NFL when they throw at least one interception, with a record of 5-13 (.278) since the 2023 season. Since the 2023 season, the Saints have intercepted 31 passes, which is the third-most in the NFL.
• Last season, the Commanders were 3-11 (.214) when they failed to convert less than 50% of third down conversion opportunities, which is the third-worst performance in the NFL. The league average is.430.
• Last season, the Commanders were 1-8 (.111) when they permitted 120 or more rushing yards, which was the third-worst performance in the NFL; the league average was.324.
• Last season, the Commanders were 2-12 (.143) when they committed 1 or more turnovers, which is the second-worst record in the NFL. The league average is.406.

Commanders vs Saints Betting Trends: Washington Offense Important Stats

• This season, the Commanders have executed 56% of their plays in the opponent’s territory, which is the highest percentage in the NFL. The league average is 47%.
• This season, the Commanders have executed 22% of their plays in the red zone during the first quarter, which is the highest percentage in the NFL. The league average is 13%.
• This season, the Commanders have scored on 52% of their drives, which is the highest percentage in the NFL. The league average is 38%.
• Last season, the Commanders executed effective plays on 36% of play action passes, which was the lowest percentage in the NFL. The league average was 48%.

Commanders vs Saints Betting Trends: Washington Defense Important Stats

• Since the 2023 season, the Commanders defense has permitted a passer rating of 105.3 with a base rush (857 Pass Attempts), which is the lowest in the NFL; the league average is 90.4.
• The Commanders’ defense permitted an average of 0.16 epa per play during the first half of the previous season, which was the lowest in the NFL. The league average was -0.00.
• Last season, the Commanders’ defense permitted an average of 0.09 epa per play, which was the lowest in the NFL. The league average was -0.03.
• Last season, the Commanders’ defense permitted scores on 51% of opponent drives in the first quarter, which was the lowest in the NFL; the league average was 29%.

Commanders vs Saints Betting Trends: New Orleans

These are the Commanders vs Saints Betting trends for New Orleans:

• In their most recent nine games, New Orleans has a record of 2-7 against the spread.
• In four of New Orleans’ most recent six contests, the total has come in under the predetermined amount.
• In their most recent 11 games, New Orleans has a losing record of 3-8 SU.
• The total has exceeded in seven of New Orleans’ most recent seven games against Washington.
• In their last six home games, New Orleans has a home record of 2-4 against the spread.
• When playing at home against Washington, the total has exceeded in five of New Orleans’ last six games.
• In their most recent five games against a National Football Conference opponent, New Orleans has a record of 1-4 against the spread.
• In five of the last six games that New Orleans has played against an opponent from the National Football Conference East division, the total has been lower than the posted value.
• In the last nine games played in December, New Orleans has a winning record of 6-3 SU.
• In the last eight contests of week 15, New Orleans has a 7-1 SU record.

Commanders vs Saints Betting Trends: New Orleans Best Bets

Now in these Commanders vs Saints Betting trends, we have the best bets for New Orleans:

• 12 of the last 20 games have resulted in the New Orleans Saints hitting the 1H Moneyline (+6.75 Units / 25% ROI).
• In the past 20 games, the New Orleans Saints have successfully covered the 1Q Moneyline in 10 of them, resulting in a 19% return on investment (+4.80 units).
• Over the past 20 games, the New Orleans Saints have successfully covered the 1Q Spread in 13 of them, resulting in a 16% return on investment (+4.05 units).
• The New Orleans Saints have achieved a 2H Game Total Over in six of their last eight home games, resulting in a +3.78 Units / 42% ROI.
• In 7 of their last 10 home games, the New Orleans Saints have covered the 1H Spread (+3.75 Units / 33% RO).

Commanders vs Saints Betting Trends: Best New Orleans Player Prop Bets

Next in these Commanders vs Saints Betting trends, we have the player prop bets for New Orleans:

• In nine of his last fourteen games, Derek Carr has completed TD passes (+7.75 units / 54% ROI).
• In 12 of his most recent 16 games, Juwan Johnson has exceeded the Receiving Yards Over (+7.40 Units / 40% ROI).
• 10 of Foster Moreau’s last 14 games have resulted in the Receiving Yards Over (+5.30 Units / 32% ROI).
• At home, Derek Carr has achieved a 61% return on investment (+5.10 units) by hitting the Interceptions Under in six of his last seven games.
• In six of his last seven home games, Derek Carr has exceeded the Rushing Yards Over (+4.90 Units / 61% ROI).

Commanders vs Saints Betting Trends: New Orleans Against the Spread (ATS) Record

• The Saints have a record of 5-8 this NFL season against the spread (-3.8 Units / -26.76% ROI).
• When wagering on the moneyline for -3.75 units / -20.72% ROI, the Saints are 5-8.
• When wagering on the Over for +0.4 Units / 2.8% ROI, the Saints are 7-6.
• When wagering on the Under for -1.7 Units / -11.89% ROI, the Saints are 6-7.

Commanders vs Saints Betting Trends: New Orleans Keys to the Game

• The Saints have a winless record (0-5) this season when the opposing team converts 55% or more of its red zone opportunities into touchdowns. This is the T-worst performance in the NFL; the league average is.401.
• Since the 2023 season, the Saints have a 1-8 record (.111) when rushing less than 25 times, which is the third-worst in the NFL; the league average is.276.
• This season, the Saints have a 2-5 record (.286) when they are within 7 points entering the fourth quarter, which is the seventh-worst in the NFL. The league average is.500.
• Currently, the Saints are 2-6 (.250) when allowing 100 or more rushing yards this season, which is the ninth-worst record in the NFL. The league average is.378.

Commanders vs Saints Betting Trends: New Orleans Offense Important Stats

• In Week 14, the Saints conducted 23% of their plays in the opponent’s territory, which is the lowest percentage in the NFL. The league average is 48%.
• Since the 2023 season, the Saints have maintained the highest average epa per play on contested attempts in the NFL, with a league average of -0.10.
• In the second half of Week 14, the Saints conducted 14% of their plays in the opponent’s territory, which is the lowest percentage in the NFL. The league average is 51%.
• This season, the Saints have targeted running backs 25% of the time (104 pass attempts/411 plays), which is the highest percentage in the NFL. The league average is 16%..

Commanders vs Saints Betting Trends: New Orleans Defense Important Stats

• Since the 2023 season, the Saints defense has permitted a passer rating of only 67.9 with a light front (345 Pass Attempts), which is the highest in the NFL; the league average is 84.8.
• This season, the Saints defense has permitted a passer rating of only 32.6 on contested attempts (54 Pass Attempts), which is the highest in the NFL; the league average is 71.8.
• This season, the Saints defense has permitted a passer rating of only 58.2 with a thin front (133 Pass Attempts), which is the highest in the NFL; the league average is 87.2.
• Since Week 11, the Saints defense has not permitted a successful play on any contested throw (league average: 33%), which is the finest record in the NFL.

Commanders vs Saints Betting Prediction

Now, we have the Commanders vs Saints Betting prediction for both teams.

Commanders vs Saints Betting Prediction: Washington

This is the Commanders vs Saints Betting prediction for Washington.

The Washington Commanders have recently returned from a much-needed bye week. Before their bye, they were able to dominate the Tennessee Titans; however, this victory terminated a three-game losing streak. Nevertheless, they are continuing to perform well throughout the season.Jayden Daniels has been at the vanguard of this. Daniels has thrown for 2,819 yards and 15 touchdowns, while also committing only six interceptions. Additionally, Daniels has scored six touchdowns on the ground. He is an effective offensive leader, and the Commanders require this quality to persist in this game.

Daniels is in a favorable position to accumulate yards, as the Saints have permitted the fifth-most passing yards per game this season. Additionally, the Saints have a low number of penalties this season. Similarly, Jayden Daniels is not a quarterback who is known for taking numerous pressures. Daniels will inflict significant damage with his legs and arm if the Saints are unable to reach him in the pocket. Daniels’ performance will provide the Commanders with a significant victory as the NFL season approaches the postseason.

The Commanders execute an exceptional job of converting on third and fourth downs. Washington converts 44.1 percent of third downs, which is the sixth-best rate in the NFL. Additionally, they are the most successful in the NFL in converting 86.7 percent of their fourth downs. Washington is one of the best at defending in those situations, while New Orleans does a fairly good job. The Commanders will be able to overcome this spread if they are able to convert their third downs.

Commanders vs Saints Betting: Washington Injury Report

Pos	Player	Status
TE	Zach Ertz (Hamstring)	Probable
WR	Jamison Crowder (Calf)	Questionable
DT	Jonathan Allen (Pectoral)	Out
K	Zane Gonzalez (Left Foot)	Probable
WR	Noah Brown (Kidney)	Out
RB	Austin Ekeler (Concussion)	Out
DE	Clelin Ferrell (Knee)	Questionable
K	Austin Seibert (Hip)	Out
DB	Quan Martin (Shoulder)	Questionable
DT	Norell Pollard (Undisclosed)	Out
TE	Colson Yankoff (Hamstring)	Out

Commanders vs Saints Betting Prediction: New Orleans

This is the Commanders vs Saints Betting prediction for New Orleans.

The New Orleans Saints will likely be without their veteran quarterback for the remainder of the season as a result of Derek Carr’s hand fracture on Sunday. The Saints will opt for either Spencer Rattler or Jake Haener in his absence. However, they have not yet determined who will receive the start. Rattler has made three starts, while Haener has been second on the depth chart. Additionally, the Saints are without several crucial players due to the absence of Chris Olave and Taysom Hill for the season. The Saints require the individual who serves as the starter to perform at his highest level.

The Commanders are proficient in third and fourth down, as previously mentioned. This season, they have achieved significant success due to the high percentage of those that they convert. Nevertheless, the Saints are among the most effective teams in terms of preventing their opponents from converting. Against the Saints, teams convert only 35.6 percent of their third downs and 40.9 percent of their fourth downs. In the league, both of those figures are in the upper echelon.

Commanders vs Saints Betting: New Orleans Injury Report

Pos	Player	Status
QB	Derek Carr (Left Hand/Concussion)	Doubtful
RB	Alvin Kamara (Illness)	Questionable
OT	Ryan Ramczyk (Knee)	Out
DE	Tanoh Kpassagnon (Achilles)	Questionable
QB	Taysom Hill (Knee)	Out
S	Roderic Teamer (Suspended)	Out
TE	Juwan Johnson (Foot)	Questionable
OT	Justin Herron (Knee)	Out
WR	Chris Olave (Concussion)	Out
CB	Paulson Adebo (Femur)	Out
LB	D’Marco Jackson (Ankle)	Questionable
WR	Rashid Shaheed (Knee)	Out
OL	Nick Saldiveri (Knee)	Out
CB	Rejzohn Wright (Undisclosed)	Out
DT	Camron Peterson (Undisclosed)	Out
WR	Bub Means (Ankle)	Questionable
DE	Trajan Jeffcoat (Undisclosed)	Out

Commanders vs Saints Betting Picks

Next, we have the Commanders vs Saints Betting picks for this game.

Commanders vs Saints Betting Prediction: MoneyLine

First, we have the Commanders vs Saints Betting prediction for the moneyline.

Our offensive power rankings place the Commanders at fourth place as we enter week 15. They hold the fourth and fifth positions in the NFL, respectively, in terms of goals per game (28.1) and yards per game (377.6). Jayden Daniels threw for 206 yards (25/30) and three touchdowns in week 13, despite the fact that they are 24th in passing attempts and 18th in passing yards. Washington is the third-ranked team in terms of carrying yards per game (156.9), with 31.8 attempts per game. The team relies heavily on the run game.

Washington’s red zone attempts are the highest in the NFL, but its conversion percentage is the 26th highest. In the thirteenth week, they converted 64.3% of their third-down opportunities, placing them sixth in the league. Brian Robinson Jr. rushed for 103 yards on 16 carries and Terry McLaurin caught 8 passes for 73 yards and 2 touchdowns in the first quarter of the Commanders’ game against the Titans, where they scored 21 points.

Our offensive power rankings place the Saints at 18th place as they enter week 15. They rank 15th in the NFL in terms of points per game (22.3) and 14th in terms of yards per game (341.5). New Orleans is 19th in the nation for passing yards per game, with 212.8 yards per game and 31.6 attempts per game. They rank 10th in rushing yards per game (128.7) and 7th in rushing attempts on the ground.

Derek Carr threw for 219 yards (20/31), one touchdown, and one interception in week 14. Marquez Valdes-Scantling recorded the most receiving yards on the team, with 51 yards on four receptions, while Alvin Kamara accumulated 44 rushing yards on 17 carries. The Saints scored on both of their red zone visits and converted 5 of 15 third-down attempts.

• Free MoneyLine Commanders vs Saints Betting Pick: WASHINGTON.

Commanders vs Saints Betting Prediction: Total

Now, we have the Commanders vs Saints Betting prediction for the total.

The Washington Commanders’ defense conceded only 35 rushing yards on 11 attempts and 210 passing yards on 18 completions in their most recent encounter against the Titans. They secured a 42-19 victory and restricted Tennessee to a mere 19% of third-down conversions. Washington restricted the Titans to a 48.6% completion percentage, despite allowing two passing touchdowns.

Washington’s defense also achieved two sacks and outperformed the Titans in the quarterback hit differential, resulting in a +7 advantage. The Commanders’ offense amassed 245 yards during the contest.

In the Saints’ 14-11 victory over the Giants, the defense performed admirably on third downs, allowing a mere 26.3% conversion rate. Additionally, they restricted the Giants to a 42.9% completion rate and a mere 213 passing yards. The New Orleans defense secured a critical interception and allowed the Giants to score only 11 points.

The Saints restricted the Giants to 4.9 yards per attempt rushing, despite allowing 112 yards on the ground. Additionally, New Orleans secured two sacks and exerted pressure on the quarterback, resulting in a +9 advantage in the QB hit differential.

• Free Total Commanders vs Saints Betting Pick: OVER.

Commanders vs Saints Betting Prediction: Spread

Next, we have the Commanders vs Saints Betting prediction for the spread.

The Commanders improved their record to 8-5 with a 42-19 victory over the Titans in week 13, following three consecutive losses. Washington was a 6-point favorite and easily covered the spread. The Commanders scored 61 combined points in the contest, surpassing the 45.5-point line for the second time in a row.

As we enter week 15, Washington occupies the eleventh position in our power rankings and has an 84.8% likelihood of qualifying for the postseason. They have a +6.2 scoring margin and are 8-4-1 against the spread. Their average score per game is 51.7 points, and their over/under record is 9-4.

Washington has accumulated a 1-2 record in their most recent three regular season games. Their over-under record was 2-1, while their ATS record was only 1-2 in these contests. Washington has maintained a 3-2 record in their most recent five road contests. During this period, they conceded an average of 25 points per game and scored an average of 29. The team also outperformed the spread at 3-1-1.

The Saints are currently 5-8 after ending a two-game losing streak with a victory over the Giants in week 14. This results in a 2-3 division record, placing them in third place in the NFC South. Our power rankings place New Orleans at the 29th position, and its probability of qualifying for the postseason is a mere 0.2%.

The Saints have an average scoring margin of -0.2 points per game and are 5-8 against the spread. In their most recent two games, they have failed to cover the spread, including their victory over the Giants, in which they were 5.5-point favorites. Their over/under record is 7-6, with two consecutive games of under-hitting.

The Saints have secured a 2-1 victory in their most recent three encounters. The team achieved a 2-1 over/under record in these matchups. Their record in these matchups is 1-2 in terms of the over/under. New Orleans has a 1-4 ATS record in their last five home games. Nevertheless, they maintained an average of 16 points per game and accumulated an overall record of 1-4.

• Free Spread Commanders vs Saints Betting Pick: WASHINGTON.

FREE Commanders vs Saints Betting Picks

• Free MoneyLine Commanders vs Saints Betting Pick: WASHINGTON.
• Free Total Commanders vs Saints Betting Pick: OVER.
• Free Spread Commanders vs Saints Betting Pick: WASHINGTON.

 

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