Colts vs Steelers Prediction and Pick, Week 9

The Week 9 showdown between the Indianapolis Colts and Pittsburgh Steelers brings together two teams with contrasting strengths and evolving storylines. Indianapolis enters this matchup with one of the most balanced and explosive offenses in the league, while Pittsburgh continues to grind out games behind a defense that has struggled to find consistency. Historically, this rivalry has delivered tightly contested battles — the Colts have taken the last two meetings (including a 30-13 win last December), but the Steelers have dominated the series over the past decade. This game not only serves as a litmus test for the Colts’ offensive firepower but also for the Steelers’ ability to slow down elite competition. With playoff implications beginning to take shape, both teams will treat this one as a statement opportunity — Indianapolis looking to solidify its position as a legitimate AFC contender, and Pittsburgh fighting to stay afloat in a brutal AFC North. Expect a hard-hitting, chess-match style of football, with each team trying to impose its identity early — the Colts through offensive rhythm and balance, and the Steelers through physicality and ball control.

For Indianapolis, the numbers speak volumes. They’re the No. 1 scoring offense in the NFL, averaging 32.3 points per game, and rank inside the top 10 in both passing and rushing efficiency. Quarterback play has been a stabilizing factor — the Colts average 245 passing yards per game while allowing fewer than one sack per outing, a testament to their protection schemes and quick decision-making. On the ground, their 131.8 rushing yards per game give them the flexibility to dictate tempo, keeping defenses guessing between explosive downfield throws and chunk runs. Their ability to score in every quarter — particularly dominant in the second (11.3 points) and third (7.1) — allows them to build and maintain leads efficiently. Moreover, Indianapolis ranks second in yards per play (6.26), showing how efficiently they move the ball with every snap. The Colts’ offensive versatility is matched by their discipline, ranking among the league’s best in limiting turnovers (just 0.67 per game). If they continue to execute at this level, it will take a near-perfect defensive effort to contain them.

The Steelers, meanwhile, continue to embody their gritty, old-school identity — though cracks in their armor have begun to show. Offensively, Pittsburgh averages a respectable 25 points per game but has struggled to maintain drives, running just 54.5 plays per game (30th in the league) and controlling possession for under 28 minutes on average. The run game has been underwhelming, producing only 94.5 yards per contest, and the offensive line has allowed too much backfield penetration, which disrupts timing and limits explosive plays. Their passing attack, while efficient at times, hasn’t found consistent rhythm against better secondaries. On the defensive side, the Steelers are giving up 258.8 passing yards per game — 31st in the NFL — a dangerous weakness when facing a quarterback like Indianapolis’s, who thrives in exploiting soft coverage. Pittsburgh will need its front seven to generate pressure and force mistakes to have a fighting chance, especially since the Colts rarely beat themselves. If the Steelers can create a few turnovers and keep the score in the low 20s, they could turn this into the kind of slugfest that suits their style. But if it becomes a shootout, the advantage clearly swings to Indianapolis.

Colts vs Steelers Prediction: Head to Head

Date	Opponent	Score	Spread	Total	Moneyline
9/29/24	@IND	IND 27-24	IND-0.5	O44.5	IND-110
12/16/23	@IND	IND 30-13	IND+2.5	O39.5	IND+110
11/28/22	@IND	PIT 24-17	IND-5.5	U44.5	IND-210
12/27/20	@PIT	PIT 28-24	PIT+1.0	O44	PIT-105
11/03/19	@PIT	PIT 26-24	PIT-1.0	O40	PIT-112
11/12/17	@IND	PIT 20-17	NL	NL	NL
8/26/17	@PIT	IND 19-15	NL	NL	NL
11/24/16	@IND	PIT 28-7	NL	NL	NL
12/06/15	@PIT	PIT 45-10	NL	NL	NL
10/26/14	@PIT	PIT 51-34	NL	NL	NL

Colts vs Steelers Prediction: Indianapolis Offense

Colts vs Steelers Prediction: Pittsburgh Offense

Colts vs Steelers Prediction and Pick, Week 9, by YouWager.lv.