Broncos vs Texans Prediction and Pick, Week 9

The Week 9 matchup between the Denver Broncos and Houston Texans presents one of the most intriguing battles of the slate, pitting two teams with contrasting strengths against each other. Denver comes into this game as one of the most balanced squads in the AFC, leaning on a defense that ranks near the top in several key categories and an offense that’s quietly improving week by week. Houston, on the other hand, has been one of the league’s most unpredictable teams—explosive at times behind their young quarterback play, yet inconsistent when facing top-tier defenses. This game is more than just another midseason clash; it’s a test of discipline, execution, and coaching adjustments. Historically, Denver has dominated this series, winning five of their last seven meetings, including a 38-24 win in 2019. But with the Texans holding home-field advantage and sporting one of the stingiest scoring defenses in football, this could be a low-scoring grind. Expect both teams to rely heavily on their ground games early before testing each other’s secondaries with selective deep shots, making turnovers and field position crucial.

For the Broncos, the formula remains clear—lean on their defense and stay efficient on offense. Denver’s defense has been exceptional this season, ranking fourth in points allowed (18.1 per game) and sixth in passing defense (179.9 yards per game). They’ve also done a great job at limiting big plays, holding opponents to just 4.49 yards per snap, the second-best mark in the NFL. Offensively, while not flashy, Denver has found rhythm through balance. Averaging 131.9 rushing yards per game (6th in the league), their ground attack has provided stability and helped control the clock. Russell Wilson hasn’t been asked to carry the offense, but his efficiency—particularly in the red zone—has kept Denver competitive. One concerning trend, however, has been Denver’s tendency to start slow, ranking near the bottom in third-quarter scoring (2.86 points on average). Still, if they can protect Wilson and sustain drives, their physical style could wear down Houston’s defense. The Broncos’ discipline, time of possession advantage, and elite pass rush all point toward a game plan centered on suffocating the Texans into mistakes.

The Texans, meanwhile, will look to test that stout Denver defense with their balanced offensive approach. Houston’s young offense has shown flashes of explosiveness, but consistency remains an issue—they rank 21st in scoring (21.2 points per game) and 23rd in passing offense (198.2 yards per game). The Texans’ offensive line will face one of its toughest challenges yet, as Denver averages nearly five sacks per game, led by a deep rotation of edge rushers. Still, Houston has been resilient at home and remains one of the league’s most disciplined teams, committing just over seven penalties per contest. Defensively, the Texans have been outstanding, holding opponents to a league-low 14.7 points per game and ranking fifth against the pass. Their front seven has been disruptive against the run as well, limiting opponents to just 95.2 rushing yards per game. If Houston’s offense can stay patient, protect the football, and avoid third-and-long situations, they’ll have a chance to grind out a win in front of their home fans. This one feels like a defensive slugfest, but Houston’s ability to generate turnovers and capitalize late could be the difference.

Broncos vs Texans Prediction: Head to Head

Date	Opponent	Score	Spread	Total	Moneyline
12/03/23	@HOU	HOU 22-17	HOU+4.0	U43.5	HOU+155
9/18/22	@DEN	DEN 16-9	DEN-10.0	U43	DEN-590
12/08/19	@HOU	DEN 38-24	HOU-9.5	O42.5	HOU-350
11/04/18	@DEN	HOU 19-17	DEN-1.0	U46.5	DEN-120
10/24/16	@DEN	DEN 27-9	NL	NL	NL
8/22/15	@HOU	DEN 14-10	NL	NL	NL
12/22/13	@HOU	DEN 37-13	NL	NL	NL
9/23/12	@DEN	HOU 31-25	NL	NL	NL
12/26/10	@DEN	DEN 24-23	NL	NL	NL
12/13/07	@HOU	HOU 31-13	NL	NL	NL

Broncos vs Texans Prediction: Denver Offense

Broncos vs Texans Prediction: Houston Offense

Broncos vs Texans Prediction and Pick, Week 9, by YouWager.lv.