South Alabama vs Georgia State Prediction and Pick, Week 9

South Alabama vs Georgia State Prediction and Pick, Week 9

South Alabama vs Georgia State Prediction and Pick, Week 9

South Alabama vs Georgia State Prediction and Pick, Week 9. Place a bet on this CFB football game with the best odds.

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South Alabama vs Georgia State Prediction

Now we have the South Alabama vs Georgia State Prediction for both teams.

South Alabama and Georgia State enter this Week 9 matchup both desperate to shake off recent struggles and find a spark as the season moves deeper into conference play. South Alabama’s recent history has been frustrating, to say the least. The Jaguars have dropped their last six games against Georgia State, and their betting trends paint an equally grim picture — going 1-4 against the spread (ATS) in their last five and just 0-6 straight up over their past six overall. The defense has been inconsistent, giving up 41.1 points per game, while the offense has sputtered at key moments, averaging only 23.4 points. While their ground game (ranked 30th nationally at 198.5 rushing yards per game) remains a bright spot, their inability to convert in the red zone and defend big plays has been a recurring issue. South Alabama will need to control time of possession and lean on their running attack to keep Georgia State’s offense off the field.

Georgia State, meanwhile, has been caught in a similar downward spiral, entering this contest at 1-7 in their last eight games and also 1-7 ATS during that stretch. Their once-explosive offense has been inconsistent, managing just 18.9 points per game this season while surrendering over 41 on defense. Despite their struggles, the Panthers have a passing game capable of attacking South Alabama’s secondary — averaging 250 yards through the air — and they might find opportunities to strike against a Jaguars defense ranked 125th in rushing yards allowed and 104th in points surrendered. However, Georgia State’s home woes are glaring: the Panthers are 2-10 in their last 12 home games and 1-14 against Sun Belt opponents overall. Those trends make it difficult to trust them, especially when their defense continues to allow over 6 yards per play and struggles to get off the field.

This matchup sets up as a battle of two teams searching for identity, and the numbers suggest it could be another grind-it-out affair. South Alabama’s ability to run the ball effectively and control possession could prove decisive against a Georgia State defense that has struggled all year to stop the run. While neither team inspires much confidence given their ATS and straight-up records, the Jaguars’ stronger rushing attack and slightly better time-of-possession numbers may give them the edge in what figures to be a low-scoring, mistake-prone contest. The trends also lean heavily toward the UNDER, given both teams’ inconsistent offenses and their recent head-to-head history.

South Alabama vs Georgia State Prediction: Jaguars Trends

  • Over the past five games, South Alabama has a record of 1-4 against the spread.
  • South Alabama has a state record of 0-6 in its past six games.
  • In its last six meetings versus Georgia State, South Alabama has a head-to-head record of 0-6.
  • The South Alabama Bulldogs have a record of 1-4 versus Georgia State in their previous five games.
  • South Alabama’s last nine away games have all resulted in the total going UNDER in eight of those games.
  • In its last five games against teams from the Sun Belt conference, South Alabama has a head-to-head record of 0-5 against the spread.
  • In the last sixteen games that South Alabama has played against teams from the East Division, the team has a winning percentage of 5-11.
  • South Alabama has a record of 2-4 against the spread in its previous six games played in the month of October.
  • Out of the six games that South Alabama has played in week 9, the total has been under in five of those games.

South Alabama vs Georgia State Prediction: Panthers Trends

  • Over the past eight games, Georgia State has a record of 1-7 against the spread.
  • Six out of Georgia State’s most recent nine games have resulted in the total going over.
  • In its last eight games, Georgia State has a record of 1-7.
  • There have been five of Georgia State’s most recent five games against South Alabama in which the total has been UNDER.
  • In its previous 12 games played at home, Georgia State has a record of 2-10.
  • In its last 15 games versus a team from the Sun Belt conference, Georgia State has a record of 1-14 in terms of its overall record.
  • There have been six of Georgia State’s last eight games versus opponents from the West Division division in which the total has been reported as UNDER.
  • At the end of the month of October, Georgia State has a record of 0-7 on the road.
  • During the last five games that Georgia State has played on Thursdays, the total has gone over in four of those games.
  • When playing as the underdog, Georgia State has a record of 1-5 against the spread in its last six games.

South Alabama vs Georgia State Prediction: Jaguars Last 10 Games

Date Opponent Score Spread Total Moneyline
10/14/25
L 15-14
L-5.5
U57.5
L-210
10/04/25
L 31-24
L+3.0
O47.5
L+126
9/27/25
L 36-22
L+12.5
U60.5
L+330
9/20/25
L 38-20
L-14.0
O51.5
L-630
9/13/25
L 31-15
W+24.5
U53.5
L+1400
9/06/25
L 33-31
W+7.5
O50.5
L+290
8/30/25
W 38-21
L-28.5
O51.5
W-8000
12/14/24
W 30-23
L-9.5
U60.5
W-320
11/29/24
L 45-38
L-1.0
O62.5
L-110
11/23/24
W 35-14
L-22.0
U55
W-2100

South Alabama vs Georgia State Prediction: Panthers Last 10 Games

Date Opponent Score Spread Total Moneyline
10/18/25
L 41-24
L+6.0
O58.5
L+185
10/11/25
L 41-20
L+4.5
O54.5
L+112
10/04/25
L 14-7
W+17.5
U52.5
L+590
9/20/25
L 70-21
L+25.5
O52.5
L+1400
9/13/25
W 37-21
L-28.5
U63.5
W-4500
9/06/25
L 38-16
L+13.5
O53.5
L+440
8/30/25
L 63-7
L+37.5
O61.5
L+2900
11/30/24
L 48-27
LEVEN
O55
LEVEN
11/23/24
W 52-44
W+20.0
O58
W+800
11/16/24
L 27-20
L-2.5
U57.5
L-114

South Alabama vs Georgia State Prediction: Jaguars Offense

Overall

SALA Offense Off. Rank Stat Def. Rank GAST Defense
23.43 96 Points Scored 136 41.14
169.43 118 Passing Yards 103 243.00
198.57 30 Rushing Yards 132 207.43
31:56 25 Time on Field 65 29:49
68.43 46 Number of Plays 108 70.29
5.38 95 Yards Per Play 125 6.41

Scoring

SALA Offense Off. Rank Stat Def. Rank GAST Defense
23.43 96 Points Scored 136 41.14
6.43 64 First Quarter 97 6.43
4.29 126 Second Quarter 122 10.86
5.71 74 Third Quarter 134 11.43
7.00 71 Fourth Quarter 134 12.43

Passing

SALA Offense Off. Rank Stat Def. Rank GAST Defense
169.43 118 Passing Yards 103 243.00
24.86 121 Pass Attempts 57 29.71
16.57 106 Pass Completions 71 19.14
2.00 86 Sacks 133 0.86
13.57 50 Sack Yards 2 4.00
10.22 116 Yards Per Pass 114 12.69

Rushing

SALA Offense Off. Rank Stat Def. Rank GAST Defense
198.57 30 Rushing Yards 132 207.43
43.57 13 Rush Attempts 124 40.57
4.56 52 Yards Per Rush 125 5.11

Turn Overs

SALA Offense Off. Rank Stat Def. Rank GAST Defense
0.57 47 Interceptions 125 0.29
1.71 129 Fumbles 128 0.43
0.71 110 Fumbles Lost 123 0.14
1.29 86 Total Turnovers 134 0.43
7.43 114 Penalties 54 6.57
60.00 88 Penalty Yards 41 59.71

Drives & Special Teams

SALA Offense Off. Rank Stat Def. Rank GAST Defense
31:56 25 Time on Field 65 29:49
68.43 46 Number of Plays 108 70.29
5.38 95 Yards Per Play 125 6.41
3.86 63 Punts 136 2.57
41.33 106 Punt Average 50 42.14
22.86 131 Return Yards 98 60.29

South Alabama vs Georgia State Prediction: Panthers Offense

Overall

SALA Defense Def. Rank Stat Off. Rank GAST Offense
29.29 104 Points Scored 123 18.86
174.86 24 Passing Yards 51 250.00
195.57 125 Rushing Yards 128 102.43
28:03 27 Time on Field 63 30:11
66.29 67 Number of Plays 64 66.86
5.59 78 Yards Per Play 102 5.27

Scoring

SALA Defense Def. Rank Stat Off. Rank GAST Offense
29.29 104 Points Scored 123 18.86
6.00 91 First Quarter 75 5.71
7.86 89 Second Quarter 114 5.57
6.86 102 Third Quarter 93 4.86
7.57 101 Fourth Quarter 131 2.71

Passing

SALA Defense Def. Rank Stat Off. Rank GAST Offense
174.86 24 Passing Yards 51 250.00
27.57 31 Pass Attempts 8 39.29
16.14 24 Pass Completions 11 25.14
1.00 129 Sacks 63 1.71
4.00 3 Sack Yards 52 13.43
10.83 50 Yards Per Pass 123 9.94

Rushing

SALA Defense Def. Rank Stat Off. Rank GAST Offense
195.57 125 Rushing Yards 128 102.43
38.71 110 Rush Attempts 133 27.57
5.05 122 Yards Per Rush 110 3.72

Turn Overs

SALA Defense Def. Rank Stat Off. Rank GAST Offense
0.43 120 Interceptions 64 0.71
1.00 75 Fumbles 126 1.57
0.86 14 Fumbles Lost 61 0.43
1.29 67 Total Turnovers 63 1.14
7.43 25 Penalties 136 11.00
56.14 59 Penalty Yards 136 87.86

Drives & Special Teams

SALA Defense Def. Rank Stat Off. Rank GAST Offense
28:03 27 Time on Field 63 30:11
66.29 67 Number of Plays 64 66.86
5.59 78 Yards Per Play 102 5.27
3.86 103 Punts 83 4.43
43.23 89 Punt Average 21 46.42
71.00 108 Return Yards 70 55.57

 

 

✅ Our CFB Week 9 Pick: South Alabama ML

 

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