SMU vs Wake Forest Prediction and Pick, Week 9

SMU vs Wake Forest Prediction and Pick, Week 9

SMU vs Wake Forest Prediction and Pick, Week 9

SMU vs Wake Forest Prediction and Pick, Week 9. Place a bet on this CFB football game with the best odds.

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SMU vs Wake Forest Prediction

Now we have the SMU vs Wake Forest Prediction for both teams.

The Week 9 matchup between SMU and Wake Forest has the potential to be one of the more intriguing non-conference showdowns of the weekend. SMU enters this game with a strong overall record and an even stronger track record against ACC opponents, boasting an impressive 11-1 mark in their last twelve meetings with teams from the conference. The Mustangs’ offense continues to be one of their strongest assets, averaging over 34 points per game and ranking inside the top 25 nationally in passing yards. Quarterback play and efficiency through the air have been key for SMU, as they are averaging nearly 280 passing yards per game while maintaining solid efficiency at 6.31 yards per play. Despite struggling to cover spreads this season, going 2-7 ATS in their last nine, this team has been consistently productive offensively and remains extremely tough to beat on the road with a 12-2 record in their last 14 away games.

Wake Forest, on the other hand, comes into this matchup trending in the right direction after finding success against the spread in four of their last five games. The Demon Deacons’ recent performances have shown a renewed spark offensively, putting up 29 points per game and demonstrating balance with both the pass and the run. Their home performance against Oregon State and Virginia Tech showcased how dangerous this team can be when they find rhythm early, especially with their defense forcing opponents into uncomfortable situations. That said, Wake Forest has had a tough time covering spreads at home, sitting at 2-8 ATS in their last ten home games, and they’ve struggled historically against ACC competition, posting just 1-6 in their last seven against those foes. The question will be whether Wake Forest’s improving offensive consistency can overcome SMU’s superior speed and road-tested confidence.

When comparing the two teams statistically, SMU’s defense stands out as a unit that excels at stopping the run, allowing under 100 yards per game and ranking among the nation’s top 20 in that category. However, their pass defense has been a glaring weakness, giving up 316 yards per game, which could open the door for Wake Forest’s aerial attack. Still, SMU’s ability to generate turnovers and pressure opposing quarterbacks (ranking top 10 nationally in sacks per game) gives them an edge in forcing mistakes. The Mustangs’ offense, while occasionally inconsistent on third downs, has shown the explosiveness necessary to take over games late — especially in the fourth quarter where they average over 10 points per game. Wake Forest’s defense will have to be near perfect to contain SMU’s tempo and passing efficiency, and their lack of depth could be exposed as the game progresses.

SMU vs Wake Forest Prediction: Mustangs Trends

  • Over the past nine games, Southern Methodist has a record of 2-7 against the spread.
  • Out of Southern Methodist’s most recent five games, the total has been under in four of them.
  • In the last five games, Southern Methodist has a state record of 4-1.
  • In its previous 14 games played away from home, Southern Methodist has a record of 12-2SU.
  • In its last twelve games against teams from the Atlantic Coast conference, Southern Methodist has a winning record of 11-1 against those teams.
  • There have been five out of the last six games that Southern Methodist has played against an opponent from the Atlantic Division division in which the total has gone over.
  • In its last 11 games played in the month of October, Southern Methodist has a 9-2 overall record.
  • During the ninth week of the season, the total has been over in five of Southern Methodist’s most recent five games.

SMU vs Wake Forest Prediction: Demon Deacons Trends

  • Over the past five games, Wake Forest has a record of 4-1 against the spread.
  • Four of Wake Forest’s most recent five games have resulted in the total going over.
  • In its last six games, Wake Forest has a winning record of 4-2 against the spread.
  • In its previous ten games played at home, Wake Forest has a record of 2-8 against the spread.
  • Over the course of its last seven games versus opponents from the Atlantic Coast conference, Wake Forest has a record of 1-6 all-time.
  • In its last 16 games played in the month of October, Wake Forest has a record of 11-4-1 against the spread.
  • 8 of Wake Forest’s previous 12 games played in week 9 have resulted in the total being lower than the expected value.
  • After seven games played on Saturdays, Wake Forest has a record of 5-2 against the spread.

SMU vs Wake Forest Prediction: Mustangs Last 10 Games

Date Opponent Score Spread Total Moneyline
10/18/25
W 35-24
W+11.5
O55.5
W+290
10/11/25
W 34-10
W-20.5
U55.5
W-1600
10/04/25
W 31-18
L-13.5
U57.5
W-520
9/20/25
L 35-24
L+4.0
U62.5
L+138
9/13/25
W 28-10
L-29.5
U62
W-4000
9/06/25
L 48-45
L-6.5
O60.5
L-230
8/30/25
W 42-13
L-46.5
U60.5
W-20000
12/21/24
L 38-10
L+8.0
U52.5
L+240
12/07/24
W 34-31
L+2.5
O54.5
L+114
11/30/24
W 38-6
W-9.0
U58.5
W-450

SMU vs Wake Forest Prediction: Demon Deacons Last 10 Games

Date Opponent Score Spread Total Moneyline
10/11/25
W 39-14
W-6.5
O52.5
W-205
10/04/25
W 30-23
W+3.5
O50.5
W+130
9/27/25
L 30-29
W+17.5
O53.5
L+580
9/11/25
L 34-24
L+6.5
O56.5
L+158
9/06/25
W 42-10
W-21.5
U61.5
W-2100
8/29/25
W 10-9
L-18.5
U52.5
W-1200
11/30/24
W 23-17
L+2.5
U51.5
L+106
11/23/24
W 42-14
L+24.0
U65.5
L+1160
11/16/24
W 31-24
W+9.5
U62.5
L+270
11/08/24
L 46-36
L+7.5
O55.5
L+230

SMU vs Wake Forest Prediction: Mustangs Offense

Overall

SMU Offense Off. Rank Stat Def. Rank WAKE Defense
34.14 36 Points Scored 36 20.00
279.57 24 Passing Yards 27 181.33
128.71 100 Rushing Yards 63 141.00
26:39 130 Time on Field 117 32:23
64.71 96 Number of Plays 135 76.00
6.31 37 Yards Per Play 9 4.24

Scoring

SMU Offense Off. Rank Stat Def. Rank WAKE Defense
34.14 36 Points Scored 36 20.00
6.29 71 First Quarter 67 5.00
11.71 25 Second Quarter 5 2.17
5.00 89 Third Quarter 79 5.50
10.14 17 Fourth Quarter 61 6.17

Passing

SMU Offense Off. Rank Stat Def. Rank WAKE Defense
279.57 24 Passing Yards 27 181.33
33.57 41 Pass Attempts 128 36.83
23.00 29 Pass Completions 97 20.50
1.71 71 Sacks 57 2.17
18.43 23 Sack Yards 86 15.00
12.16 56 Yards Per Pass 5 8.85

Rushing

SMU Offense Off. Rank Stat Def. Rank WAKE Defense
128.71 100 Rushing Yards 63 141.00
31.14 118 Rush Attempts 117 39.17
4.13 83 Yards Per Rush 42 3.60

Turn Overs

SMU Offense Off. Rank Stat Def. Rank WAKE Defense
1.00 113 Interceptions 105 0.50
0.71 32 Fumbles 47 1.17
0.43 70 Fumbles Lost 63 0.50
1.43 98 Total Turnovers 101 1.00
6.71 89 Penalties 34 7.17
66.71 114 Penalty Yards 30 62.83

Drives & Special Teams

SMU Offense Off. Rank Stat Def. Rank WAKE Defense
26:39 130 Time on Field 117 32:23
64.71 96 Number of Plays 135 76.00
6.31 37 Yards Per Play 9 4.24
3.86 65 Punts 13 5.83
43.28 68 Punt Average 91 43.39
68.43 44 Return Yards 56 40.33

SMU vs Wake Forest Prediction: Demon Deacons Offense

Overall

SMU Defense Def. Rank Stat Off. Rank WAKE Offense
22.57 54 Points Scored 68 29.00
316.00 136 Passing Yards 53 249.67
97.00 16 Rushing Yards 63 160.17
33:17 128 Time on Field 118 27:36
76.86 136 Number of Plays 99 64.33
5.37 60 Yards Per Play 32 6.37

Scoring

SMU Defense Def. Rank Stat Off. Rank WAKE Offense
22.57 54 Points Scored 68 29.00
2.43 19 First Quarter 14 10.00
6.86 66 Second Quarter 56 9.67
3.29 28 Third Quarter 66 6.17
8.57 116 Fourth Quarter 134 2.17

Passing

SMU Defense Def. Rank Stat Off. Rank WAKE Offense
316.00 136 Passing Yards 53 249.67
42.71 136 Pass Attempts 63 31.33
24.57 132 Pass Completions 89 18.17
3.29 9 Sacks 23 1.00
22.86 130 Sack Yards 121 5.33
12.86 117 Yards Per Pass 14 13.74

Rushing

SMU Defense Def. Rank Stat Off. Rank WAKE Offense
97.00 16 Rushing Yards 63 160.17
34.14 57 Rush Attempts 104 33.00
2.84 11 Yards Per Rush 39 4.85

Turn Overs

SMU Defense Def. Rank Stat Off. Rank WAKE Offense
1.43 11 Interceptions 58 0.67
1.71 13 Fumbles 14 0.50
0.71 30 Fumbles Lost 54 0.33
2.14 9 Total Turnovers 53 1.00
7.29 31 Penalties 132 8.33
63.57 29 Penalty Yards 132 75.67

Drives & Special Teams

SMU Defense Def. Rank Stat Off. Rank WAKE Offense
33:17 128 Time on Field 118 27:36
76.86 136 Number of Plays 99 64.33
5.37 60 Yards Per Play 32 6.37
4.57 61 Punts 124 5.33
43.20 87 Punt Average 134 37.37
72.57 110 Return Yards 60 59.50

 

 

✅ Our CFB Week 9 Pick: SMU Mustangs

 

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SMU vs Wake Forest Prediction and Pick, Week 8, by YouWager.lv.

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