Boise State vs Nevada Prediction and Pick, Week 9
Boise State vs Nevada Prediction and Pick, Week 9. Place a bet on this CFB football game with the best odds.
Boise State vs Nevada Prediction
Now we have the Boise State vs Nevada Prediction for both teams.
Boise State enters Week 9 riding high on momentum and confidence, as the Broncos have not only been dominant straight up, but they’ve also been money for bettors, covering in six straight games. This team has built a reputation for consistency on both sides of the ball, with an offense that’s firing on all cylinders and a defense that’s beginning to peak at the right time. Averaging nearly 37 points per game while allowing just over 26, Boise State is proving to be one of the most balanced teams in the Mountain West. The Broncos’ offensive efficiency is reflected in their 273 passing yards and 205 rushing yards per contest, ranking them inside the top 30 nationally in both categories. Quarterback play has been sharp, complemented by a strong ground attack that’s averaging over 5.2 yards per carry, keeping defenses guessing and the scoreboard moving. Boise State also thrives late in games — averaging 10 points in the fourth quarter, showing that this team knows how to finish strong, especially when games hang in the balance.
Nevada, on the other hand, continues to struggle through what has been another frustrating campaign. The Wolf Pack have lost five straight and are just 1-9 over their last ten, showing little progress offensively or defensively. The offense has been stagnant, managing only 15.5 points per game, one of the lowest averages in the FBS, while their defense allows nearly 28 points per outing. Despite a few close calls, like their narrow loss to New Mexico (24-22), Nevada’s inability to establish rhythm on offense has been costly. Their passing game is anemic at just 156 yards per game, and even their ground game, while slightly more productive, can’t make up for the lack of explosive plays. Historically, this matchup hasn’t gone Nevada’s way either — Boise State owns an 18-2 record in the last 20 meetings, including an 8-1 mark in Reno, which highlights the massive gap between these two programs in both talent and execution.
This game looks like another chance for Boise State to flex its muscle and solidify its position near the top of the Mountain West standings. The Broncos’ offense should have no trouble finding success against a Nevada defense that ranks 89th against the run and 64th against the pass, while the Wolf Pack offense faces an uphill battle against a Boise State defense that’s top-35 nationally against the pass. Expect Boise State to dominate the time of possession, control the tempo, and open things up with explosive plays on both the ground and through the air. With the way Boise State has been playing — especially covering spreads and consistently hitting the over — it’s hard to see Nevada keeping pace.
Boise State vs Nevada Prediction: Broncos Trends
- Over the past six games, Boise State has a perfect 6-0 record against the spread.
- Five of Boise State’s most recent six games have resulted in the total going over.
- In its last six games, Boise State has a winning record of 5-1 against the spread.
- After 11 games versus Nevada, Boise State has a record of 3-8 against the spread.
- In the last 20 games versus Nevada, Boise State has a winning series record of 18-2.
- On the road, Boise State has a record of 8-3 since the beginning of the season.
- When playing Nevada away from home, Boise State has a winning record of 8-1 straight up in its last nine games.
- During the last five games that Boise State has played against an opponent from the Mountain West conference, the total has gone over in four of those games.
- While playing against teams from the West Division, Boise State has a record of 4-1 against the spread in its last five games.
- In its previous seven games played in the month of October, Boise State has a record of 6-0-1 against the spread.
Boise State vs Nevada Prediction: Wolf Pack Trends
- The over/under record for Nevada’s last 12 games is 4-8.
- In the last six games that Nevada has played, the total has been UNDER in five of those games.
- In their last five games, Nevada has a losing record of 0-5 on the road.
- There have been eight of Nevada’s previous ten games against Boise State in which the total has been UNDER.
- In its last five games played at home, Nevada has a record of 0-5 against the spread.
- Over the course of its previous nine home games against Boise State, Nevada has a record of 1-8 against Boise State.
- Out of Nevada’s last ten games against teams from the Mountain West conference, the team has a losing record of 0-10 on the road.
- Within the month of October, Nevada has a record of 6-2-1 against the spread.
- Only four of Nevada’s most recent five games played in week 9 have resulted in the total going over.
- Within the past seven games that Nevada has played as the underdog, the total has gone UNDER in five of those contests.
Boise State vs Nevada Prediction: Broncos Last 10 Games
| Date | Opponent | Score | Spread | Total | Moneyline |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
10/18/25
|
UNLV
|
W 56-31
|
W-8.5
|
O68.5
|
W-520
|
|
10/11/25
|
NM
|
W 41-25
|
L-16.5
|
O59.5
|
W-710
|
|
10/04/25
|
@ND
|
L 28-7
|
L+16.5
|
U53.5
|
L+530
|
|
9/27/25
|
APP
|
W 47-14
|
W-17.5
|
O59.5
|
W-820
|
|
9/20/25
|
|
W 49-37
|
W-7.5
|
O51.5
|
W-300
|
|
9/05/25
|
EW
|
W 51-14
|
W-27.5
|
O54.5
|
W-3500
|
|
8/28/25
|
@USF
|
L 34-7
|
L+1.5
|
U63.5
|
L-350
|
|
12/31/24
|
PSU
|
L 31-14
|
L+10.0
|
U59.5
|
L+300
|
|
12/06/24
|
UNLV
|
W 21-7
|
W-4.0
|
U59.5
|
W-195
|
|
11/29/24
|
ORS
|
W 34-18
|
L-18.5
|
U55.5
|
W-1200
|
Boise State vs Nevada Prediction: Wolf Pack Last 10 Games
| Date | Opponent | Score | Spread | Total | Moneyline |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
10/18/25
|
@NM
|
L 24-22
|
W+10.5
|
U49.5
|
L+290
|
|
10/11/25
|
SDSU
|
L 44-10
|
L+5.5
|
O42.5
|
L+176
|
|
10/04/25
|
@FRE
|
L 20-17
|
W+15.5
|
U47.5
|
L+500
|
|
9/20/25
|
@WKY
|
L 31-16
|
L+12.5
|
U54.5
|
L+290
|
|
9/13/25
|
MTS
|
L 14-13
|
L-7.0
|
U49.5
|
L-285
|
|
9/06/25
|
CSUS
|
W 20-17
|
L-6.5
|
U54.5
|
W-230
|
|
8/30/25
|
@PSU
|
L 46-11
|
W+43.5
|
U59.5
|
L+8000
|
|
11/30/24
|
@UNLV
|
L 38-14
|
L+16.5
|
U56.5
|
L+540
|
|
11/23/24
|
|
L 22-19
|
L-3.5
|
U45.5
|
L-156
|
|
11/09/24
|
@BOISE
|
L 28-21
|
W+25.5
|
U60.5
|
L+1280
|
Boise State vs Nevada Prediction: Broncos Offense
Overall
| BOISE Offense | Off. Rank | Stat | Def. Rank | NEV Defense |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36.86 | 20 | Points Scored | 97 | 28.00 |
| 273.00 | 29 | Passing Yards | 64 | 217.71 |
| 205.57 | 25 | Rushing Yards | 89 | 157.00 |
| 32:58 | 11 | Time on Field | 72 | 30:01 |
| 72.57 | 21 | Number of Plays | 57 | 65.29 |
| 6.59 | 25 | Yards Per Play | 91 | 5.74 |
Scoring
| BOISE Offense | Off. Rank | Stat | Def. Rank | NEV Defense |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36.86 | 20 | Points Scored | 97 | 28.00 |
| 11.29 | 7 | First Quarter | 109 | 7.29 |
| 7.86 | 83 | Second Quarter | 105 | 9.29 |
| 7.71 | 40 | Third Quarter | 75 | 5.43 |
| 10.00 | 18 | Fourth Quarter | 59 | 6.00 |
Passing
| BOISE Offense | Off. Rank | Stat | Def. Rank | NEV Defense |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 273.00 | 29 | Passing Yards | 64 | 217.71 |
| 33.57 | 40 | Pass Attempts | 39 | 28.43 |
| 20.57 | 50 | Pass Completions | 84 | 19.71 |
| 1.71 | 61 | Sacks | 47 | 2.29 |
| 13.00 | 55 | Sack Yards | 90 | 15.43 |
| 13.27 | 19 | Yards Per Pass | 62 | 11.04 |
Rushing
| BOISE Offense | Off. Rank | Stat | Def. Rank | NEV Defense |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 205.57 | 25 | Rushing Yards | 89 | 157.00 |
| 39.00 | 36 | Rush Attempts | 85 | 36.86 |
| 5.27 | 24 | Yards Per Rush | 82 | 4.26 |
Turn Overs
| BOISE Offense | Off. Rank | Stat | Def. Rank | NEV Defense |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.86 | 92 | Interceptions | 91 | 0.57 |
| 1.57 | 123 | Fumbles | 105 | 0.71 |
| 0.57 | 76 | Fumbles Lost | 78 | 0.43 |
| 1.43 | 91 | Total Turnovers | 94 | 1.00 |
| 8.14 | 126 | Penalties | 48 | 6.71 |
| 67.57 | 117 | Penalty Yards | 47 | 59.00 |
Drives & Special Teams
| BOISE Offense | Off. Rank | Stat | Def. Rank | NEV Defense |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 32:58 | 11 | Time on Field | 72 | 30:01 |
| 72.57 | 21 | Number of Plays | 57 | 65.29 |
| 6.59 | 25 | Yards Per Play | 91 | 5.74 |
| 3.00 | 31 | Punts | 118 | 3.43 |
| 44.73 | 43 | Punt Average | 111 | 44.61 |
| 56.14 | 67 | Return Yards | 91 | 57.14 |
Boise State vs Nevada Prediction: Wolf Pack Offense
Overall
| BOISE Defense | Def. Rank | Stat | Off. Rank | NEV Offense |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26.14 | 83 | Points Scored | 133 | 15.57 |
| 189.71 | 33 | Passing Yards | 126 | 156.57 |
| 161.57 | 94 | Rushing Yards | 80 | 145.43 |
| 27:01 | 11 | Time on Field | 86 | 29:20 |
| 61.57 | 22 | Number of Plays | 128 | 61.14 |
| 5.71 | 88 | Yards Per Play | 119 | 4.94 |
Scoring
| BOISE Defense | Def. Rank | Stat | Off. Rank | NEV Offense |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26.14 | 83 | Points Scored | 133 | 15.57 |
| 2.29 | 16 | First Quarter | 125 | 3.14 |
| 10.57 | 118 | Second Quarter | 122 | 4.57 |
| 5.86 | 86 | Third Quarter | 133 | 2.43 |
| 7.43 | 91 | Fourth Quarter | 96 | 5.43 |
Passing
| BOISE Defense | Def. Rank | Stat | Off. Rank | NEV Offense |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 189.71 | 33 | Passing Yards | 126 | 156.57 |
| 27.57 | 29 | Pass Attempts | 113 | 26.00 |
| 15.57 | 19 | Pass Completions | 121 | 14.86 |
| 2.29 | 43 | Sacks | 39 | 1.29 |
| 13.71 | 66 | Sack Yards | 105 | 7.86 |
| 12.18 | 99 | Yards Per Pass | 108 | 10.54 |
Rushing
| BOISE Defense | Def. Rank | Stat | Off. Rank | NEV Offense |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 161.57 | 94 | Rushing Yards | 80 | 145.43 |
| 34.00 | 54 | Rush Attempts | 71 | 35.14 |
| 4.75 | 116 | Yards Per Rush | 79 | 4.14 |
Turn Overs
| BOISE Defense | Def. Rank | Stat | Off. Rank | NEV Offense |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.14 | 27 | Interceptions | 135 | 1.71 |
| 1.00 | 66 | Fumbles | 86 | 1.14 |
| 0.43 | 65 | Fumbles Lost | 87 | 0.57 |
| 1.57 | 29 | Total Turnovers | 134 | 2.29 |
| 7.86 | 9 | Penalties | 20 | 4.57 |
| 65.71 | 23 | Penalty Yards | 18 | 38.86 |
Drives & Special Teams
| BOISE Defense | Def. Rank | Stat | Off. Rank | NEV Offense |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27:01 | 11 | Time on Field | 86 | 29:20 |
| 61.57 | 22 | Number of Plays | 128 | 61.14 |
| 5.71 | 88 | Yards Per Play | 119 | 4.94 |
| 4.71 | 44 | Punts | 73 | 4.14 |
| 42.70 | 72 | Punt Average | 53 | 43.90 |
| 38.29 | 48 | Return Yards | 89 | 48.86 |
✅ Our CFB Week 9 Pick: Boise State ML
All CFB Week 9 Predictions
Visit the School and learn how to wager on the moneyline, spread, and total; on your favorite team or an undervalued underdog. Sign up with YouWager.lv now and get in the game with the best welcome bonus, click below:
Boise State vs Nevada Prediction and Pick, Week 8, by YouWager.lv.