New Mexico State Aggies vs Liberty Flames Betting Prediction Week 8
New Mexico State Aggies vs Liberty Flames Prediction and Pick, Week 8. Place a bet on this CFB football game with the best odds.
New Mexico State Aggies vs Liberty Flames Prediction: Trends
- The over/under record for New Mexico State’s previous six games is 2-4.
- Nine out of New Mexico State’s previous thirteen games have resulted in the total going over.
- Overall, New Mexico State has a record of 5-11 in its last 16 games.
- In its last six games versus Liberty, New Mexico State has a head-to-head record of 2-4.
- In its last seven games versus Liberty, New Mexico State has a record of 1-6 on the road.
- On the road, New Mexico State has a record of 1-8 all-time in its last nine games.
- Over the past eight games, Liberty has a record of 2-6 against the spread.
- There have been seven of Liberty’s previous eight games in which the total has been UNDER.
- In its last five games, Liberty has a single-game record of 1-4.
- When Liberty plays at home, they have a record of 14-2 for the season.
- At home against New Mexico State, Liberty has a record of 4-1 in its last five games, with a perfect score of 4-1.
- In its last 11 games against opponents from the Conference USA conference, Liberty has a win-loss record of 3-8 against the spread.
New Mexico State Aggies vs Liberty Flames Prediction
Now we have the New Mexico State Aggies vs Liberty Flames Prediction for both teams.
The New Mexico State Aggies enter Week 8 looking to reverse a tough stretch against the Liberty Flames, a program that has historically had their number. The Aggies have dropped four of the last six meetings versus Liberty, including a 30–24 loss earlier this season in a game where they were heavy underdogs. Their offensive inconsistency continues to be the story — ranked 109th nationally in scoring (22.2 points per game) and 136th in rushing yards (just 50.8 per game), New Mexico State leans heavily on its passing attack to move the chains. Quarterback play has been serviceable, with the Aggies averaging 260.8 passing yards per game, but their lack of balance on the ground allows defenses like Liberty’s to pin their ears back and attack through pressure and coverage. On the defensive side, New Mexico State’s struggles against the run (allowing 196.8 yards per game) could prove costly, especially against a Flames team looking to reestablish its offensive identity at home.
Liberty, despite a few recent stumbles, remains a formidable home team with a 14–2 record at Williams Stadium and a strong defensive backbone. The Flames have seen seven of their last eight games go under the total, largely due to their defense keeping opponents in check — allowing just 20.7 points per contest. However, the offense has sputtered lately, ranking 125th nationally in scoring and showing an alarming lack of efficiency both through the air and on the ground. The Flames’ passing attack has averaged only 186.8 yards per game and 13.8 completions, numbers that underscore their struggles to sustain drives. Yet, their rushing game has been more reliable, producing 163.7 yards per game and offering a path to control tempo and limit turnovers. If Liberty’s defense can continue to stuff the run and force the Aggies into a one-dimensional passing game, the Flames should be able to wear them down as the game progresses — especially given their superior track record at home and their edge in overall physicality.
Ultimately, this matchup pits Liberty’s defensive consistency and home dominance against New Mexico State’s passing-heavy offense and road woes. The Aggies have covered the spread in several tight games this year, but their inability to establish the run or protect their quarterback consistently leaves them vulnerable against quality defenses like Liberty’s. While the Flames haven’t been firing on all cylinders offensively, this could be the week they find a rhythm, particularly with New Mexico State’s defense allowing over 22 points per game and struggling to contain big plays. Expect a slow, grind-it-out battle early before Liberty’s ground game and defense tilt the balance late.
New Mexico State Aggies vs Liberty Flames Prediction: Head to Head
| Date | Opponent | Score | Spread | Total | Moneyline |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
9/07/24
|
@NMS
|
LIB 30-24
|
NMS+20.5
|
U55.5
|
NMS+810
|
|
12/01/23
|
@LIB
|
LIB 49-35
|
LIB-14.0
|
O52.5
|
LIB-600
|
|
9/09/23
|
@LIB
|
LIB 33-17
|
LIB-12.5
|
U54.5
|
LIB-530
|
|
11/26/22
|
@LIB
|
NMS 49-14
|
LIB-24.5
|
O51.5
|
LIB-3000
|
|
11/30/19
|
@LIB
|
LIB 49-28
|
LIB-14.5
|
O65.5
|
LIB-590
|
|
10/05/19
|
@NMS
|
LIB 20-13
|
NMS+4.5
|
U62.5
|
NMS+165
|
|
11/24/18
|
@LIB
|
LIB 28-21
|
NL
|
NL
|
NL
|
|
10/06/18
|
@NMS
|
NMS 49-41
|
NL
|
NL
|
NL
|
New Mexico State Aggies vs Liberty Flames Prediction: Aggies Last 10 Games
| Date | Opponent | Score | Spread | Total | Moneyline |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
10/02/25
|
|
W 37-10
|
W+1.5
|
U51.5
|
WEVEN
|
|
9/27/25
|
@NM
|
L 38-20
|
L+10.0
|
O55
|
L+380
|
|
9/13/25
|
@LT
|
L 49-14
|
L+9.5
|
O42.5
|
L+280
|
|
9/06/25
|
TSA
|
W 21-14
|
W+1.5
|
U53.5
|
W+114
|
|
8/30/25
|
BRY
|
W 19-3
|
L-19.5
|
U52.5
|
W-1100
|
|
11/30/24
|
TEP
|
L 42-35
|
L-2.5
|
O51.5
|
L-126
|
|
11/23/24
|
@MTS
|
W 36-21
|
W+3.5
|
O50.5
|
W+140
|
|
11/16/24
|
@TXAM
|
L 38-3
|
W+42.0
|
U54.5
|
L+3300
|
|
11/09/24
|
WKY
|
L 41-28
|
W+20.5
|
O54.5
|
L+800
|
|
10/29/24
|
@FIU
|
L 34-13
|
L+10.5
|
U47.5
|
L+320
|
New Mexico State Aggies vs Liberty Flames Prediction: Flames Last 10 Games
| Date | Opponent | Score | Spread | Total | Moneyline |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
10/08/25
|
@TEP
|
W 19-8
|
W-1.5
|
U47.5
|
W-132
|
|
9/27/25
|
@ODU
|
L 21-7
|
L+10.0
|
U50.5
|
L+395
|
|
9/20/25
|
JM
|
L 31-13
|
L+10.5
|
U49.5
|
L+168
|
|
9/13/25
|
@BGN
|
L 23-13
|
L-5.5
|
U51.5
|
L-194
|
|
9/06/25
|
@JVS
|
L 34-24
|
L-7.5
|
O50.5
|
L-215
|
|
8/30/25
|
UMAINE
|
W 28-7
|
L-26.5
|
U52.5
|
W-4500
|
|
1/04/25
|
BUF
|
L 26-7
|
L-3.5
|
U51.5
|
L-166
|
|
11/29/24
|
|
L 20-18
|
L-1.0
|
U47.5
|
L-140
|
|
11/23/24
|
WKY
|
W 38-21
|
W+1.0
|
U59.5
|
W-104
|
|
11/16/24
|
@UMASS
|
W 35-34
|
L-14.5
|
O55.5
|
W-600
|
New Mexico State Aggies vs Liberty Flames Prediction: Aggies Offense
Overall
| NMSU Offense | Off. Rank | Stat | Def. Rank | LIB Defense |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22.20 | 109 | Points Scored | 45 | 20.67 |
| 260.80 | 43 | Passing Yards | 12 | 154.17 |
| 50.80 | 136 | Rushing Yards | 126 | 196.83 |
| 28:14 | 108 | Time on Field | 43 | 28:41 |
| 61.80 | 122 | Number of Plays | 46 | 63.83 |
| 5.04 | 114 | Yards Per Play | 72 | 5.50 |
Scoring
| NMSU Offense | Off. Rank | Stat | Def. Rank | LIB Defense |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22.20 | 109 | Points Scored | 45 | 20.67 |
| 3.20 | 125 | First Quarter | 15 | 2.17 |
| 7.40 | 91 | Second Quarter | 83 | 7.50 |
| 2.00 | 133 | Third Quarter | 23 | 2.83 |
| 9.60 | 26 | Fourth Quarter | 105 | 8.17 |
Passing
| NMSU Offense | Off. Rank | Stat | Def. Rank | LIB Defense |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 260.80 | 43 | Passing Yards | 12 | 154.17 |
| 34.60 | 37 | Pass Attempts | 10 | 25.50 |
| 19.80 | 66 | Pass Completions | 4 | 13.83 |
| 3.00 | 122 | Sacks | 115 | 1.33 |
| 18.20 | 23 | Sack Yards | 24 | 8.17 |
| 13.17 | 22 | Yards Per Pass | 67 | 11.14 |
Rushing
| NMSU Offense | Off. Rank | Stat | Def. Rank | LIB Defense |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 50.80 | 136 | Rushing Yards | 126 | 196.83 |
| 27.20 | 130 | Rush Attempts | 103 | 38.33 |
| 1.87 | 136 | Yards Per Rush | 126 | 5.13 |
Turn Overs
| NMSU Offense | Off. Rank | Stat | Def. Rank | LIB Defense |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.80 | 75 | Interceptions | 53 | 0.83 |
| 1.20 | 93 | Fumbles | 109 | 0.67 |
| 0.60 | 88 | Fumbles Lost | 32 | 0.67 |
| 1.40 | 96 | Total Turnovers | 46 | 1.50 |
| 6.80 | 88 | Penalties | 108 | 5.00 |
| 65.80 | 110 | Penalty Yards | 98 | 45.33 |
Drives & Special Teams
| NMSU Offense | Off. Rank | Stat | Def. Rank | LIB Defense |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28:14 | 108 | Time on Field | 43 | 28:41 |
| 61.80 | 122 | Number of Plays | 46 | 63.83 |
| 5.04 | 114 | Yards Per Play | 72 | 5.50 |
| 5.20 | 117 | Punts | 62 | 4.50 |
| 43.20 | 68 | Punt Average | 66 | 42.52 |
| 42.60 | 102 | Return Yards | 27 | 29.50 |
New Mexico State Aggies vs Liberty Flames Prediction: Flames Offense
Overall
| NMSU Defense | Def. Rank | Stat | Off. Rank | LIB Offense |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22.80 | 60 | Points Scored | 125 | 17.33 |
| 245.00 | 104 | Passing Yards | 105 | 186.83 |
| 153.80 | 85 | Rushing Yards | 59 | 163.67 |
| 31:39 | 107 | Time on Field | 49 | 30:55 |
| 72.80 | 126 | Number of Plays | 58 | 67.33 |
| 5.48 | 68 | Yards Per Play | 104 | 5.21 |
Scoring
| NMSU Defense | Def. Rank | Stat | Off. Rank | LIB Offense |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22.80 | 60 | Points Scored | 125 | 17.33 |
| 4.00 | 51 | First Quarter | 128 | 2.83 |
| 5.40 | 36 | Second Quarter | 128 | 3.83 |
| 4.80 | 64 | Third Quarter | 113 | 3.83 |
| 8.60 | 118 | Fourth Quarter | 69 | 6.83 |
Passing
| NMSU Defense | Def. Rank | Stat | Off. Rank | LIB Offense |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 245.00 | 104 | Passing Yards | 105 | 186.83 |
| 32.40 | 93 | Pass Attempts | 116 | 25.50 |
| 21.60 | 113 | Pass Completions | 124 | 13.83 |
| 1.40 | 111 | Sacks | 109 | 2.50 |
| 8.40 | 26 | Sack Yards | 36 | 15.33 |
| 11.34 | 77 | Yards Per Pass | 17 | 13.51 |
Rushing
| NMSU Defense | Def. Rank | Stat | Off. Rank | LIB Offense |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 153.80 | 85 | Rushing Yards | 59 | 163.67 |
| 40.40 | 122 | Rush Attempts | 19 | 41.83 |
| 3.81 | 58 | Yards Per Rush | 93 | 3.91 |
Turn Overs
| NMSU Defense | Def. Rank | Stat | Off. Rank | LIB Offense |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.00 | 37 | Interceptions | 60 | 0.67 |
| 1.20 | 52 | Fumbles | 56 | 1.00 |
| 0.80 | 25 | Fumbles Lost | 118 | 0.83 |
| 1.80 | 27 | Total Turnovers | 99 | 1.50 |
| 8.20 | 8 | Penalties | 64 | 6.00 |
| 69.00 | 18 | Penalty Yards | 46 | 48.17 |
Drives & Special Teams
| NMSU Defense | Def. Rank | Stat | Off. Rank | LIB Offense |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31:39 | 107 | Time on Field | 49 | 30:55 |
| 72.80 | 126 | Number of Plays | 58 | 67.33 |
| 5.48 | 68 | Yards Per Play | 104 | 5.21 |
| 4.40 | 68 | Punts | 73 | 4.17 |
| 42.53 | 67 | Punt Average | 98 | 41.38 |
| 26.60 | 16 | Return Yards | 72 | 53.17 |
✅ Our CFB Week 8 Pick: Liberty Flames
All NFL Week 8 Predictions
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New Mexico State Aggies vs Liberty Flames Prediction and Pick, Week 8, by YouWager.lv.