Arkansas State Red Wolves vs South Alabama Jaguars Betting Prediction Week 8

Arkansas State Red Wolves vs South Alabama Jaguars Betting Prediction Week 8

Arkansas State Red Wolves vs South Alabama Jaguars Prediction and Pick, Week 8. Place a bet on this CFB football game with the best odds.

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Arkansas State Red Wolves vs South Alabama Jaguars Prediction: Trends

  • Four of Arkansas State’s most recent five games have resulted in the total going UNDER.
  • In its previous five games, Arkansas State has a record of 1-4 against the spread.
  • Across the board, Arkansas State has a record of 2-4 against South Alabama in its last six games.
  • In its last six games versus South Alabama, Arkansas State has a record of 1-5 on the road.
  • In its previous 11 games played away from home, Arkansas State has a record of 2-9 against the spread.
  • Over the course of the last six games that Arkansas State has played away from home versus South Alabama, the total has been UNDER in four of those games.
  • Four out of the previous six games that Arkansas State has played against an opponent from the Sun Belt league have resulted in the total going UNDER.
  • Over the course of its last 14 games versus opponents from the West Division, Arkansas State has a record of 10-4 against the spread.
  • In its previous six games played in the month of October, Arkansas State has a winning record of 5-1.
  • Over the past nine games, South Alabama has a record of 3-6 against the spread.
  • Since South Alabama’s last six games, the total has been over in four of those games.
  • In its last five games, South Alabama has a losing record of 0-5 against the spread.
  • At least four of South Alabama’s most recent five games versus Arkansas State have resulted with the total going UNDER.
  • Six of South Alabama’s most recent six games played at home have resulted in the total going over.
  • When playing at home versus Arkansas State, South Alabama has a winning record of 4-1 straight up in its last five games.
  • Out of their last six games against opponents from the Sun Belt league, South Alabama has a record of 1-5 against the spread.
  • When South Alabama has played an opponent from the West Division, the team has a record of 13-5 in its last 18 games versus that opponent.
  • South Alabama’s last six games played in week 8 have all resulted in the total going UNDER in four of those games.
  • When playing as the favorite, South Alabama has a record of 1-5 against the spread in its last six games.

Arkansas State Red Wolves vs South Alabama Jaguars Prediction

Now we have the Arkansas State Red Wolves vs South Alabama Jaguars Prediction for both teams.

The Arkansas State Red Wolves and South Alabama Jaguars meet in a Sun Belt clash that could be more evenly matched than the recent trends suggest. Arkansas State has shown signs of life, even if their record doesn’t fully reflect it. They’ve managed to cover in four of their last six October games and tend to find a rhythm late in the season. However, the road has not been kind to them — the Red Wolves are just 2-9 against the spread in their last 11 away games and 1-5 in their last six trips to South Alabama. Statistically, Arkansas State’s offense has been inconsistent but capable of keeping games close through the air, ranking 58th nationally in passing yards per game (243.5). Their issue remains balance — the run game has lagged behind with just 119.8 yards per contest, and that lack of versatility could haunt them against a South Alabama defense that has underperformed but remains opportunistic at home.

On the other side, South Alabama is desperate to stop the bleeding after a string of losses where they’ve struggled to cover the spread. The Jaguars are 0-5 ATS in their last five games and just 1-5 as a favorite in their last six, which doesn’t inspire much confidence for bettors. That said, they tend to perform better at home — going 4-1 straight up in their last five home games against Arkansas State — and their offense has enough firepower to test a porous Red Wolves defense that ranks 132nd in rushing yards allowed and 124th against the pass. South Alabama’s balanced offensive approach, averaging 202.5 rushing yards per game, should give them control of the tempo. If they can limit turnovers and sustain drives, they’ll have a chance to finally put together a complete performance.

Expect a game that’s more grind-it-out than high-scoring, given both teams’ tendencies toward the UNDER in recent matchups. Arkansas State’s defensive woes could open the door for South Alabama to lean heavily on its ground attack and chew the clock, especially at home where totals tend to go over. Meanwhile, Arkansas State’s ability to move the ball through the air could keep them within striking distance, but it’s hard to ignore their struggles on the road and against the run. The Jaguars’ physicality and home-field advantage should ultimately make the difference late.

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Arkansas State Red Wolves vs South Alabama Jaguars Prediction: Head to Head

Date Opponent Score Spread Total Moneyline
10/05/24
ARKS 18-16
ARKS+4.5
U62.5
ARKS+160
11/11/23
SAB 21-14
SAB-12.0
U55
SAB-490
10/29/22
SAB 31-3
ARKS+10.0
U55.5
ARKS+340
10/30/21
SAB 31-13
SAB-10.5
U67
SAB-400
11/28/20
SAB 38-31
ARKS-7.5
O63.5
ARKS-286
11/29/19
SAB 34-30
SAB+11.0
O54
SAB+320
11/03/18
ARKS 38-14
NL
NL
NL
11/11/17
SAB 24-19
NL
NL
NL
10/15/16
ARKS 17-7
NL
NL
NL
10/13/15
ARKS 49-31
NL
NL
NL

Arkansas State Red Wolves vs South Alabama Jaguars Prediction: Red Wolves Last 10 Games

Date Opponent Score Spread Total Moneyline
10/04/25
W 31-30
W+8.5
U64.5
W+300
9/27/25
L 28-16
L+2.5
U56.5
L+118
9/20/25
L 28-21
L-6.5
U54.5
L-240
9/13/25
L 24-16
W+20.5
U55.5
L+860
9/06/25
L 56-14
L+22.5
O63.5
L+920
8/30/25
W 42-24
W-11.5
O59.5
W-430
12/26/24
W 38-31
W+11.5
O46.5
W+360
11/30/24
L 40-32
L+2.0
O58.5
L+138
11/23/24
W 28-21
W-3.0
U52.5
W-155
11/16/24
W 27-20
W+2.5
U57.5
W-105

Arkansas State Red Wolves vs South Alabama Jaguars Prediction: Jaguars Last 10 Games

Date Opponent Score Spread Total Moneyline
10/04/25
L 31-24
L+3.0
O47.5
L+126
9/27/25
L 36-22
L+12.5
U60.5
L+330
9/20/25
L 38-20
L-14.0
O51.5
L-630
9/13/25
L 31-15
W+24.5
U53.5
L+1400
9/06/25
L 33-31
W+7.5
O50.5
L+290
8/30/25
W 38-21
L-28.5
O51.5
W-8000
12/14/24
W 30-23
L-9.5
U60.5
W-320
11/29/24
L 45-38
L-1.0
O62.5
L-110
11/23/24
W 35-14
L-22.0
U55
W-2100
11/16/24
W 24-22
W+7.0
U60.5
W+220

Arkansas State Red Wolves vs South Alabama Jaguars Prediction: Red Wolves Offense

Overall

ARKST Offense Off. Rank Stat Def. Rank SALA Defense
23.33 98 Points Scored 120 31.67
243.50 58 Passing Yards 23 169.17
119.83 109 Rushing Yards 128 201.83
31:37 35 Time on Field 23 27:44
71.67 23 Number of Plays 56 64.50
5.07 112 Yards Per Play 97 5.75

Scoring

ARKST Offense Off. Rank Stat Def. Rank SALA Defense
23.33 98 Points Scored 120 31.67
5.17 85 First Quarter 107 7.00
8.00 83 Second Quarter 97 8.67
3.33 121 Third Quarter 118 8.00
6.83 67 Fourth Quarter 84 6.83

Passing

ARKST Offense Off. Rank Stat Def. Rank SALA Defense
243.50 58 Passing Yards 23 169.17
37.17 16 Pass Attempts 6 24.67
24.67 11 Pass Completions 8 14.00
3.17 123 Sacks 126 1.17
22.83 6 Sack Yards 4 4.67
9.87 124 Yards Per Pass 99 12.08

Rushing

ARKST Offense Off. Rank Stat Def. Rank SALA Defense
119.83 109 Rushing Yards 128 201.83
34.50 80 Rush Attempts 116 39.83
3.47 119 Yards Per Rush 124 5.07

Turn Overs

ARKST Offense Off. Rank Stat Def. Rank SALA Defense
0.67 54 Interceptions 123 0.33
1.67 123 Fumbles 61 1.17
0.50 66 Fumbles Lost 10 1.00
1.17 58 Total Turnovers 63 1.33
6.33 70 Penalties 44 6.83
57.33 81 Penalty Yards 72 50.33

Drives & Special Teams

ARKST Offense Off. Rank Stat Def. Rank SALA Defense
31:37 35 Time on Field 23 27:44
71.67 23 Number of Plays 56 64.50
5.07 112 Yards Per Play 97 5.75
4.50 82 Punts 111 3.67
42.31 88 Punt Average 75 42.83
80.67 22 Return Yards 109 71.50

Arkansas State Red Wolves vs South Alabama Jaguars Prediction: Jaguars Offense

Overall

ARKST Defense Def. Rank Stat Off. Rank SALA Offense
31.67 119 Points Scored 90 25.00
259.83 124 Passing Yards 113 178.00
215.83 132 Rushing Yards 29 202.50
28:48 47 Time on Field 22 32:15
66.50 72 Number of Plays 36 70.00
7.15 135 Yards Per Play 88 5.44

Scoring

ARKST Defense Def. Rank Stat Off. Rank SALA Offense
31.67 119 Points Scored 90 25.00
12.00 135 First Quarter 67 6.33
5.83 45 Second Quarter 114 5.00
4.67 59 Third Quarter 82 5.50
9.17 127 Fourth Quarter 48 8.17

Passing

ARKST Defense Def. Rank Stat Off. Rank SALA Offense
259.83 124 Passing Yards 113 178.00
29.17 51 Pass Attempts 120 25.17
19.83 84 Pass Completions 110 16.33
1.17 120 Sacks 91 2.00
5.67 6 Sack Yards 76 11.17
13.10 121 Yards Per Pass 99 10.90

Rushing

ARKST Defense Def. Rank Stat Off. Rank SALA Offense
215.83 132 Rushing Yards 29 202.50
37.33 92 Rush Attempts 11 44.83
5.78 134 Yards Per Rush 52 4.52

Turn Overs

ARKST Defense Def. Rank Stat Off. Rank SALA Offense
0.67 67 Interceptions 69 0.67
1.67 15 Fumbles 131 1.83
0.83 16 Fumbles Lost 120 0.83
1.50 43 Total Turnovers 102 1.50
7.33 30 Penalties 76 6.33
64.33 29 Penalty Yards 48 48.33

Drives & Special Teams

ARKST Defense Def. Rank Stat Off. Rank SALA Offense
28:48 47 Time on Field 22 32:15
66.50 72 Number of Plays 36 70.00
7.15 135 Yards Per Play 88 5.44
3.83 98 Punts 44 3.17
40.87 28 Punt Average 115 40.37
28.83 25 Return Yards 128 27.67

Our CFB Week 8 Pick: South Alabama Jaguars

 

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