Arkansas State Red Wolves vs South Alabama Jaguars Betting Prediction Week 8
Arkansas State Red Wolves vs South Alabama Jaguars Prediction and Pick, Week 8. Place a bet on this CFB football game with the best odds.
Arkansas State Red Wolves vs South Alabama Jaguars Prediction: Trends
- Four of Arkansas State’s most recent five games have resulted in the total going UNDER.
- In its previous five games, Arkansas State has a record of 1-4 against the spread.
- Across the board, Arkansas State has a record of 2-4 against South Alabama in its last six games.
- In its last six games versus South Alabama, Arkansas State has a record of 1-5 on the road.
- In its previous 11 games played away from home, Arkansas State has a record of 2-9 against the spread.
- Over the course of the last six games that Arkansas State has played away from home versus South Alabama, the total has been UNDER in four of those games.
- Four out of the previous six games that Arkansas State has played against an opponent from the Sun Belt league have resulted in the total going UNDER.
- Over the course of its last 14 games versus opponents from the West Division, Arkansas State has a record of 10-4 against the spread.
- In its previous six games played in the month of October, Arkansas State has a winning record of 5-1.
- Over the past nine games, South Alabama has a record of 3-6 against the spread.
- Since South Alabama’s last six games, the total has been over in four of those games.
- In its last five games, South Alabama has a losing record of 0-5 against the spread.
- At least four of South Alabama’s most recent five games versus Arkansas State have resulted with the total going UNDER.
- Six of South Alabama’s most recent six games played at home have resulted in the total going over.
- When playing at home versus Arkansas State, South Alabama has a winning record of 4-1 straight up in its last five games.
- Out of their last six games against opponents from the Sun Belt league, South Alabama has a record of 1-5 against the spread.
- When South Alabama has played an opponent from the West Division, the team has a record of 13-5 in its last 18 games versus that opponent.
- South Alabama’s last six games played in week 8 have all resulted in the total going UNDER in four of those games.
- When playing as the favorite, South Alabama has a record of 1-5 against the spread in its last six games.
Arkansas State Red Wolves vs South Alabama Jaguars Prediction
Now we have the Arkansas State Red Wolves vs South Alabama Jaguars Prediction for both teams.
The Arkansas State Red Wolves and South Alabama Jaguars meet in a Sun Belt clash that could be more evenly matched than the recent trends suggest. Arkansas State has shown signs of life, even if their record doesn’t fully reflect it. They’ve managed to cover in four of their last six October games and tend to find a rhythm late in the season. However, the road has not been kind to them — the Red Wolves are just 2-9 against the spread in their last 11 away games and 1-5 in their last six trips to South Alabama. Statistically, Arkansas State’s offense has been inconsistent but capable of keeping games close through the air, ranking 58th nationally in passing yards per game (243.5). Their issue remains balance — the run game has lagged behind with just 119.8 yards per contest, and that lack of versatility could haunt them against a South Alabama defense that has underperformed but remains opportunistic at home.
On the other side, South Alabama is desperate to stop the bleeding after a string of losses where they’ve struggled to cover the spread. The Jaguars are 0-5 ATS in their last five games and just 1-5 as a favorite in their last six, which doesn’t inspire much confidence for bettors. That said, they tend to perform better at home — going 4-1 straight up in their last five home games against Arkansas State — and their offense has enough firepower to test a porous Red Wolves defense that ranks 132nd in rushing yards allowed and 124th against the pass. South Alabama’s balanced offensive approach, averaging 202.5 rushing yards per game, should give them control of the tempo. If they can limit turnovers and sustain drives, they’ll have a chance to finally put together a complete performance.
Expect a game that’s more grind-it-out than high-scoring, given both teams’ tendencies toward the UNDER in recent matchups. Arkansas State’s defensive woes could open the door for South Alabama to lean heavily on its ground attack and chew the clock, especially at home where totals tend to go over. Meanwhile, Arkansas State’s ability to move the ball through the air could keep them within striking distance, but it’s hard to ignore their struggles on the road and against the run. The Jaguars’ physicality and home-field advantage should ultimately make the difference late.
Arkansas State Red Wolves vs South Alabama Jaguars Prediction: Head to Head
| Date | Opponent | Score | Spread | Total | Moneyline |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
10/05/24
|
|
ARKS 18-16
|
ARKS+4.5
|
U62.5
|
ARKS+160
|
|
11/11/23
|
@SAB
|
SAB 21-14
|
SAB-12.0
|
U55
|
SAB-490
|
|
10/29/22
|
|
SAB 31-3
|
ARKS+10.0
|
U55.5
|
ARKS+340
|
|
10/30/21
|
@SAB
|
SAB 31-13
|
SAB-10.5
|
U67
|
SAB-400
|
|
11/28/20
|
|
SAB 38-31
|
ARKS-7.5
|
O63.5
|
ARKS-286
|
|
11/29/19
|
@SAB
|
SAB 34-30
|
SAB+11.0
|
O54
|
SAB+320
|
|
11/03/18
|
|
ARKS 38-14
|
NL
|
NL
|
NL
|
|
11/11/17
|
@SAB
|
SAB 24-19
|
NL
|
NL
|
NL
|
|
10/15/16
|
|
ARKS 17-7
|
NL
|
NL
|
NL
|
|
10/13/15
|
@SAB
|
ARKS 49-31
|
NL
|
NL
|
NL
|
Arkansas State Red Wolves vs South Alabama Jaguars Prediction: Red Wolves Last 10 Games
| Date | Opponent | Score | Spread | Total | Moneyline |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
10/04/25
|
TXST
|
W 31-30
|
W+8.5
|
U64.5
|
W+300
|
|
9/27/25
|
|
L 28-16
|
L+2.5
|
U56.5
|
L+118
|
|
9/20/25
|
@KENN
|
L 28-21
|
L-6.5
|
U54.5
|
L-240
|
|
9/13/25
|
ISU
|
L 24-16
|
W+20.5
|
U55.5
|
L+860
|
|
9/06/25
|
@ARK
|
L 56-14
|
L+22.5
|
O63.5
|
L+920
|
|
8/30/25
|
SEM
|
W 42-24
|
W-11.5
|
O59.5
|
W-430
|
|
12/26/24
|
@BGN
|
W 38-31
|
W+11.5
|
O46.5
|
W+360
|
|
11/30/24
|
ODU
|
L 40-32
|
L+2.0
|
O58.5
|
L+138
|
|
11/23/24
|
|
W 28-21
|
W-3.0
|
U52.5
|
W-155
|
|
11/16/24
|
@GST
|
W 27-20
|
W+2.5
|
U57.5
|
W-105
|
Arkansas State Red Wolves vs South Alabama Jaguars Prediction: Jaguars Last 10 Games
| Date | Opponent | Score | Spread | Total | Moneyline |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
10/04/25
|
@TRY
|
L 31-24
|
L+3.0
|
O47.5
|
L+126
|
|
9/27/25
|
@NTX
|
L 36-22
|
L+12.5
|
U60.5
|
L+330
|
|
9/20/25
|
CC
|
L 38-20
|
L-14.0
|
O51.5
|
L-630
|
|
9/13/25
|
@AUB
|
L 31-15
|
W+24.5
|
U53.5
|
L+1400
|
|
9/06/25
|
TUL
|
L 33-31
|
W+7.5
|
O50.5
|
L+290
|
|
8/30/25
|
MGN
|
W 38-21
|
L-28.5
|
O51.5
|
W-8000
|
|
12/14/24
|
@WMC
|
W 30-23
|
L-9.5
|
U60.5
|
W-320
|
|
11/29/24
|
TXST
|
L 45-38
|
L-1.0
|
O62.5
|
L-110
|
|
11/23/24
|
@USM
|
W 35-14
|
L-22.0
|
U55
|
W-2100
|
|
11/16/24
|
@ULL
|
W 24-22
|
W+7.0
|
U60.5
|
W+220
|
Arkansas State Red Wolves vs South Alabama Jaguars Prediction: Red Wolves Offense
Overall
| ARKST Offense | Off. Rank | Stat | Def. Rank | SALA Defense |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23.33 | 98 | Points Scored | 120 | 31.67 |
| 243.50 | 58 | Passing Yards | 23 | 169.17 |
| 119.83 | 109 | Rushing Yards | 128 | 201.83 |
| 31:37 | 35 | Time on Field | 23 | 27:44 |
| 71.67 | 23 | Number of Plays | 56 | 64.50 |
| 5.07 | 112 | Yards Per Play | 97 | 5.75 |
Scoring
| ARKST Offense | Off. Rank | Stat | Def. Rank | SALA Defense |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23.33 | 98 | Points Scored | 120 | 31.67 |
| 5.17 | 85 | First Quarter | 107 | 7.00 |
| 8.00 | 83 | Second Quarter | 97 | 8.67 |
| 3.33 | 121 | Third Quarter | 118 | 8.00 |
| 6.83 | 67 | Fourth Quarter | 84 | 6.83 |
Passing
| ARKST Offense | Off. Rank | Stat | Def. Rank | SALA Defense |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 243.50 | 58 | Passing Yards | 23 | 169.17 |
| 37.17 | 16 | Pass Attempts | 6 | 24.67 |
| 24.67 | 11 | Pass Completions | 8 | 14.00 |
| 3.17 | 123 | Sacks | 126 | 1.17 |
| 22.83 | 6 | Sack Yards | 4 | 4.67 |
| 9.87 | 124 | Yards Per Pass | 99 | 12.08 |
Rushing
| ARKST Offense | Off. Rank | Stat | Def. Rank | SALA Defense |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 119.83 | 109 | Rushing Yards | 128 | 201.83 |
| 34.50 | 80 | Rush Attempts | 116 | 39.83 |
| 3.47 | 119 | Yards Per Rush | 124 | 5.07 |
Turn Overs
| ARKST Offense | Off. Rank | Stat | Def. Rank | SALA Defense |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.67 | 54 | Interceptions | 123 | 0.33 |
| 1.67 | 123 | Fumbles | 61 | 1.17 |
| 0.50 | 66 | Fumbles Lost | 10 | 1.00 |
| 1.17 | 58 | Total Turnovers | 63 | 1.33 |
| 6.33 | 70 | Penalties | 44 | 6.83 |
| 57.33 | 81 | Penalty Yards | 72 | 50.33 |
Drives & Special Teams
| ARKST Offense | Off. Rank | Stat | Def. Rank | SALA Defense |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31:37 | 35 | Time on Field | 23 | 27:44 |
| 71.67 | 23 | Number of Plays | 56 | 64.50 |
| 5.07 | 112 | Yards Per Play | 97 | 5.75 |
| 4.50 | 82 | Punts | 111 | 3.67 |
| 42.31 | 88 | Punt Average | 75 | 42.83 |
| 80.67 | 22 | Return Yards | 109 | 71.50 |
Arkansas State Red Wolves vs South Alabama Jaguars Prediction: Jaguars Offense
Overall
| ARKST Defense | Def. Rank | Stat | Off. Rank | SALA Offense |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31.67 | 119 | Points Scored | 90 | 25.00 |
| 259.83 | 124 | Passing Yards | 113 | 178.00 |
| 215.83 | 132 | Rushing Yards | 29 | 202.50 |
| 28:48 | 47 | Time on Field | 22 | 32:15 |
| 66.50 | 72 | Number of Plays | 36 | 70.00 |
| 7.15 | 135 | Yards Per Play | 88 | 5.44 |
Scoring
| ARKST Defense | Def. Rank | Stat | Off. Rank | SALA Offense |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31.67 | 119 | Points Scored | 90 | 25.00 |
| 12.00 | 135 | First Quarter | 67 | 6.33 |
| 5.83 | 45 | Second Quarter | 114 | 5.00 |
| 4.67 | 59 | Third Quarter | 82 | 5.50 |
| 9.17 | 127 | Fourth Quarter | 48 | 8.17 |
Passing
| ARKST Defense | Def. Rank | Stat | Off. Rank | SALA Offense |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 259.83 | 124 | Passing Yards | 113 | 178.00 |
| 29.17 | 51 | Pass Attempts | 120 | 25.17 |
| 19.83 | 84 | Pass Completions | 110 | 16.33 |
| 1.17 | 120 | Sacks | 91 | 2.00 |
| 5.67 | 6 | Sack Yards | 76 | 11.17 |
| 13.10 | 121 | Yards Per Pass | 99 | 10.90 |
Rushing
| ARKST Defense | Def. Rank | Stat | Off. Rank | SALA Offense |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 215.83 | 132 | Rushing Yards | 29 | 202.50 |
| 37.33 | 92 | Rush Attempts | 11 | 44.83 |
| 5.78 | 134 | Yards Per Rush | 52 | 4.52 |
Turn Overs
| ARKST Defense | Def. Rank | Stat | Off. Rank | SALA Offense |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.67 | 67 | Interceptions | 69 | 0.67 |
| 1.67 | 15 | Fumbles | 131 | 1.83 |
| 0.83 | 16 | Fumbles Lost | 120 | 0.83 |
| 1.50 | 43 | Total Turnovers | 102 | 1.50 |
| 7.33 | 30 | Penalties | 76 | 6.33 |
| 64.33 | 29 | Penalty Yards | 48 | 48.33 |
Drives & Special Teams
| ARKST Defense | Def. Rank | Stat | Off. Rank | SALA Offense |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28:48 | 47 | Time on Field | 22 | 32:15 |
| 66.50 | 72 | Number of Plays | 36 | 70.00 |
| 7.15 | 135 | Yards Per Play | 88 | 5.44 |
| 3.83 | 98 | Punts | 44 | 3.17 |
| 40.87 | 28 | Punt Average | 115 | 40.37 |
| 28.83 | 25 | Return Yards | 128 | 27.67 |
✅ Our CFB Week 8 Pick: South Alabama Jaguars
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