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Week 1 NFL Best Bets: 4 Wagers to Make

Now on this article on Week 1 NFL Best Bets, we have the four wagers to make:

Week 1 NFL Best Bets: Dolphins at Colts, UNDER

Water eventually finds its level, and not all betting markets go in just one direction. This total began at 45.5 in May and has since been pushed up to 47. There are two factors that can be associated with this movement:

Naming Daniel Jones as the starting quarterback for the Colts improves the team’s offensive floor and provides them a more competent attack early in the season.

Preseason betting trends that have frequently resulted in overs being victorious Before there was a substantial correction in the market, which raised the total number of games played, overs had cashed in at a rate of over 70 percent over the first two weeks of the preseason.

I believe that this number now creates an under spot and that it will eventually be bet back down a little bit. The Colts are going to continue to play a run-heavy game with short passes. The Dolphins, on the other hand, are starting to abandon their speed and timing approach in favor of a plan that places greater emphasis on height and strength. The initial over movement will be faded situationally, as it is a trend in the league, and this is probably one of those situations.

It is quite possible that defensive systems and preparation will be much more advanced in the regular season than they are in the preseason, thus betting on this under is probably a smart move. I anticipate that this line will close at 46.5, and obtaining half a point of movement on a rather significant figure results in a wager with a positive expected value.

Week 1 NFL Best Bets: Cardinals at Saints, OVER

Among the teams that participated in the preseason market, the Saints have been among the least successful. Their total number of wins has dropped by a whole win and an extra vig. From the initial opening win totals line to the current line, there has most likely been a move of approximately 75 cents towards the under for every dollar bet. This is most certainly the worst quarterback room in the National Football League, with Spencer Rattler as the starting quarterback and Tyler Shough as the backup. In addition, they have a great deal of money tied up in dead cap space, and they will be getting a new coaching staff.

The overs should be played early and frequently in games played by the Saints, regardless of whether or not we believe in them. Kellen Moore, the new head coach, has been serving as an offensive coordinator for the past few years, and his teams have maintained a top-two offense in terms of speed of play for each of the last three seasons. In an attempt to exhaust the defenses of their opponents, they want to execute a large number of moves. Alvin Kamara, Chris Olave, and Rashid Shaheed are all healthy skill players who will be entering the season with the Saints. All of these athletes have the ability to make explosive plays happen regardless of the down.

The Cardinals, on the other hand, have been the darlings of the futures market, and they are anticipated to make a significant offensive leap this season. Following his anterior cruciate ligament tear from a few seasons ago, Kyler Murray reports that his knee feels as close to normal as it ever has. After having a disappointing season, Marvin Harrison Jr. will be able to make much greater use of his skills with this scheme. The presence of a great deal of experienced talent on this team is demonstrated by Trey McBride and James Conner. Jonathan Gannon, the head coach, is also a playcaller who prefers to move quickly.

This total is much above the spot and may settle above 44. For National Football League totals, the numbers 43 and 44 are both important. If any of these numbers were to appear, it would be extremely useful. This should be a full unit play at 43, and under a full unit play if the line shifts to 43.5 by the time you read this.

Week 1 NFL Best Bets: Ravens at Bills, BALTIMORE SPREAD

In the inaugural Sunday Night Football game of the National Football League season, the Buffalo Bills will take on the Baltimore Ravens. These teams have consistently been among the best in recent years, and this season they are expected to reign supreme in the league once again. The Baltimore Ravens and the Buffalo Bills have the most offensive expected points added per play in the history of the National Football League, based on the teams that did not make it to a Super Bowl over the last five seasons. This clash also has the greatest total points of any Week 1 game, with 50.5 points being scored.

The Bills are favored by a margin of 1.5 points at some betting establishments, which is an indication that these teams are evenly matched in terms of power rankings, as 1.5 points is the new criterion for determining home field advantage. Nonetheless, if the new additions and subtractions made to the roster are taken into consideration, together with the market rankings from the previous season, they ought to be unequal.

The Bills’ advantage of playing on their home field increases as the season progresses since the weather in Buffalo becomes more severe. The Ravens have a somewhat elevated injury risk due to the fact that their defense, which was in excellent condition this season, is expected to have some degree of health regression, as is the case with a slightly smaller and more agile quarterback in Lamar Jackson and an older running back in Derrick Henry. On the other hand, Baltimore is in excellent health in every aspect for this contest. The Ravens should be ranked higher than the Bills based on these factors, and this game should be closer to a pick-’em.

Bet on the Ravens with any score of +1 or higher. There is a discrepancy of slightly under seven cents between the money line and +1. Take the points and pay the additional five cents for market valuable insurance if you observe +1 (-115) or an ML at -110 for the Baltimore side.

Week 1 NFL Best Bets: Bucs at Falcons, ATLANTA SPREAD

This line has failed to make the necessary adjustments to account for the injuries that the Buccaneers have already suffered this season. Tampa Bay’s offense is going to be missing WR Chris Godwin to start the season, but now the Buccaneers are also going to be without standout offensive lineman Tristan Wirfs, WR Jalen McMillan, and TE Cade Otton, who received awful news this week due to a leg injury that will keep him out for some time.

Despite the fact that wide receiver Emeka Egbuka has been the center of attention for the hoopla surrounding the preseason and fantasy football, this will be the first professional football game of his career, and he will need to step into a significant position. This line should drop another point as a result of the combination of these injuries. I anticipate that there will be some very intense activity in Atlanta this midweek, which will bump the score up to a Falcons +1.5. As a result, taking the +2.5 is a no-brainer.

I would also take into consideration the under, although I have not placed a wager on it yet. This is due to the fact that both teams are expected to use their great running backs, Robinson and Irving. It is my opinion that the Atlanta Falcons will prevail in their home season opener against their NFC South division rival, the Tampa Bay Buccaneers; nonetheless, the +2.5 point spread provides better value than the money line, which is about +120. Make a straight bet on the under as a separate wager and not as a same-game parlay. Take the points, take the Falcons.

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