Mets vs Orioles Betting Prediction | July 10 | MLB. Place an MLB baseball bet on this game at YouWager.lv.

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In the second game of a three-game series that will take place at Oriole Park at Camden Yards on Thursday at 12:05 p.m. Eastern Time, the New York Mets and Pete Alonso will face off against the Baltimore Orioles and Cedric Mullins. In this contest between the Mets and the Orioles, the Mets are rated as the moneyline favorites with a -138 point spread. In terms of the run line, New York is the favorite (-1.5). The number of runs represented by the over/under for the competition is nine.

Mets vs Orioles Betting Prediction

Now we have the Mets vs Orioles Betting Prediction for both teams, starting with the head to head:

Mets vs Orioles Betting Prediction: Head to Head

Mets vs Orioles Betting Prediction: New York

Here is the Mets vs Orioles Betting Prediction for New York:

There have been 710 times that New York has struck out, and there have been 311 times that they have drawn a walk. Their slugging percentage is.418. During the course of the season, they have collected 744 hits and 392 runs batted in, and their team batting average is.245; in addition, they have hit 392 innings. As a team, the Mets have played 142 doubles and have hit 118 balls out of the park. They have also knocked out 118 balls. As a team, they have scored 402 runs and have an on-base percentage of.324, which is the highest in the league. The New York Mets are currently ranked fourteenth in Major League Baseball due to the fact that they are scoring 4.4 runs per game as a club.

At this point in the season, the Mets have achieved a team earned run average of 3.54, which places them sixth in the league. Additionally, they have hit 786 batters. The pitchers for the Mets have allowed 79 home runs and a total of 358 runs, which places them ninth in the league. There have been 334 players from the opposing club that have been walked by their pitching staff, and their team’s batting average is 3.77 so far this season. In addition to 318 earned runs, New York has allowed 720 base knocks, which is equivalent to 8.0 per nine innings. Their WHIP is 1.30, and they have a K/BB ratio of 2.35. Additionally, the pitching staff has a WHIP of 1.30.

Over the course of the season, the Mets have made use of 291 relievers on the mound. This season, the relievers have been responsible for 148 base runners, and 34.5% of those individuals have contributed to their team’s success by scoring a run. In the course of the season, they have made 26 saves, while they have failed to make 16 of their 42 save opportunities. Over the course of their career, the relief pitchers for the Mets have accumulated a save percentage of 61.9% and have been called upon to complete 101 saves. As of right now, the bullpen has 59 holds for the year, which places them eighth in the league. There have been 97 instances in which Mets bullpen relievers have entered the game with runners on base, and they have also made 108 appearances in high leverage situations.

During their 7,272 innings on the field, the Mets have converted 69.7% of balls in play into outs, which places them in the seventeenth spot among the major league teams. As of this point in the season, the Minnesota Twins have recorded a total of 2,424 putouts, in addition to 820 assists and 43 mistakes. Due to the fact that they have turned 73 double plays, their fielding percentage has remained unchanged at.987, which places them in the 12th position in the big leagues.

In his professional baseball career, Hagenman has thrown the ball for a total of ten innings and has a total of ten strikeouts to his credit. The ERA he has is 4.46, and he has allowed five earned runs. His WHIP is 0.990. He has not issued any free passes and has allowed 10 base hits, which is equivalent to 8.9 hits per nine innings. In his career, Hagenman has a perfect score of 0-0, a 4.39 earned run average, and he has faced 41 hitters from opposing teams in the major leagues.

Mets vs Orioles Betting Prediction: NY Recent Wagering Performance

Now in this Mets vs Orioles Betting Prediction, we have the recent wagering performance for New York:

• As a result of the seven games in which they were moneyline favorites throughout the course of their most recent ten matches, the Mets had a record of 3-4.
• Nine times in their most recent ten games, the Mets and their opponents have gone over the run total.
• This is despite the fact that all ten of the games had predetermined totals from the beginning.
• Over the past ten games, the Mets have a record of 2-8-0 against the spread.

Mets vs Orioles Betting Prediction: NY Player Insights

Next in this Mets vs Orioles Betting Prediction, we have the player insights for New York:

• For the squad, Juan Soto has hit a total of 21 home runs.
• When compared to all batters in baseball, Soto is ranked eleventh in home runs and thirty-sixth in RBI.
• Putting his power on display, Alonso is now leading his club in home runs with 21, RBI with 75, and has a team-leading total of runs batted in. Average of 290 at the plate.
• At the end of the season, Alonso is ranked eleventh in home runs and fourth in RBI.
• Batting at the moment is Francisco Lindor. Including 17 doubles, 18 home runs, and 31 walks, he finished with 260.
• For the past three games in a row, Lindor has recorded at least one base hit. Out of his most recent five appearances, he has been hitting. a total of 250 with two walks, a home run, a double, and five runs batted in.
• At the moment, Brandon Nimmo is batting. includes 17 doubles, 18 home runs, and 26 walks, the total is 258.

Mets vs Orioles Betting Prediction: Best NY Player Prop Bets Today

• In 21 of his last 25 away games, Brandon Nimmo has hit the Runs Under, which is a positive 17.85 units and a 50% return on investment.
• Over the course of his last five games, Brandon Nimmo has hit home runs in three of them, resulting in a return on investment of 282% and a total of 14.10 units.
• In 16 of his previous 20 games, Luis Torrens has hit the hits runs and RBIs under, which is a positive 11.10 units and a 39% return on investment.
• In 18 of his last 25 road games, Francisco Lindor has hit the Singles Under, which is a positive 10.85 units and a 39% return on investment.
• All seven of Tyrone Taylor’s most recent games have resulted in him hitting the Total Bases Under (+8.55 Units / 122% ROI).
• Additionally, the following are some of the most popular MLB player prop bets for Orioles players for Tuesday’s game, taking into consideration lucrative betting trends from the past:

Mets vs Orioles Betting Prediction: NY Against the Spread (ATS) Record

• During this season, the Mets had a record of 47-44 against the run line, which is a plus 2.09 units and a return on investment of 1.78%.
• 52-39 when wagering on the Moneyline for a return of 1.17 percent and 1.65 extra units
• When betting on the total number of runs over, the return on investment is -12.25 units or -12.16%.
• 48-41 when wagering on the total number of runs that are under for a return of 2.81% and +2.8 units

Mets vs Orioles Betting Prediction: NY Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

• The opponents of Clay Holmes are hitting just.111 (7-for-63) against him with runners in scoring position this season, which is the best among qualified starting pitchers in Major League Baseball; the league average is.239, which is the 100th percentile.
• Clay Holmes’ opponents had a groundball rate of 70% (54/77) against him in two-strike counts during the 2024 season. This was the second highest groundball rate among all of the American League relievers. The average groundball rate in the league was 45%, which was the 98th percentile.
• The groundball rate against Clay Holmes in two-strike counts during the 2024 season was 70% (54/77), which was the highest among qualified RPs in the Major League Baseball; the average groundball rate in the league was 45%, which was the 100th percentile.
• The 96th percentile of the league average is.309, and Clay Holmes has allowed an on-base percentage of just.213 (75 PAs) with runners in scoring position this season. This ranks him third among qualified starting pitchers in Major League Baseball.

Mets vs Orioles Betting Prediction: NY Keys to the Game vs Baltimore

• In the 2024 season, the Mets had the best record in Major League Baseball at 8-60 (.118) when trailed entering the ninth inning; the average for the league was.050.
• This season, the Mets have a record of 45-11 (.804) while allowing four runs or fewer, which is the fourth best in Major League Baseball; the league average is.704 in this category.
• This season, the Mets have a record of 0-34 (.000) while behind entering the ninth inning, which is tied for the lowest in Major League Baseball; the league average is.042.
• Since the beginning of the previous season, the Mets have a record of just 114-9 (.927) when they are leading entering the ninth inning, which is the fifth lowest in Major League Baseball; the league average is.952.

Mets vs Orioles Betting Prediction: NY Hitting Stats & Trends

• With runners on base, the Mets’ batters have a groundball batting average of just.183, which is the lowest in the Major League Baseball (MLB); the average for the league is.260.
• This season, the Mets have a batting average of.128, which is tied for the second lowest in Major League Baseball (MLB); the average for the league is.148.
• Since the beginning of the previous season, the hitters for the Mets have a groundball batting average of just.222 with runners on base, which is the lowest in the Major League Baseball; the average for the league is.262.
• This season, the batters for the Mets have a groundball batting average of just.216, which is the lowest in the Major League Baseball (MLB); the average for the league is.250.

Mets vs Orioles Betting Prediction: NY Pitching Stats & Trends

• Since the beginning of the previous season, the Mets pitchers have walked 10% of batters, which is the third highest percentage in Major League Baseball (MLB); the average for the league is 8%.
• This season, opponents have a miss percentage of 26% against Mets pitchers, which ranks fifth best in Major League Baseball (MLB); the average miss rate in the league is 25%.
• Since the beginning of the previous season, opponents have a groundball rate of 45% against Mets pitchers, which is the fifth highest in Major League Baseball (MLB); the average groundball rate in the league is 43%.
• This season, Mets pitchers have walked 10% of batters, which is tied for the second highest percentage in Major League Baseball (MLB); the average for the league is 8%.

Mets vs Orioles Betting Prediction: NY Last 10 Games

Date	Opponent	Score	Spread	Total	Moneyline
7/08/25	@BAL	W 7-6	L-1.5	O9.5	W-138
7/06/25	NYY	L 6-4	L+1.5	O9	L+185
7/05/25	NYY	W 12-6	W+1.5	O9	W+126
7/04/25	NYY	W 6-5	W+1.5	O9	W-108
7/03/25	MIL	W 3-2	L-1.5	U8.5	W-164
7/02/25	MIL	W 7-3	W+1.5	O8.5	W-106
7/02/25	MIL	L 7-2	L-1.5	O8	L-130
6/29/25	@PIT	L 12-1	L-1.5	O9.5	L-142
6/28/25	@PIT	L 9-2	L-1.5	O9	L-155
6/27/25	@PIT	L 9-1	L-1.5	O8.5	L-164

Mets vs Orioles Betting Prediction: Baltimore

Here is the Mets vs Orioles Betting Prediction for Baltimore:

A total of 107 home runs have been hit by Baltimore this season, and the team has also contributed 350 runs batted in. They have walked 252 times and scored 371 runs, contributing to a total of 139 doubles and 371 runs scored. As of this point in the season, the Baltimore Orioles have a club batting average of.239 and an on-base percentage of.305. Both of these numbers are statistically significant. The Orioles have a team slugging percentage of.400, and they score 4.17 runs per game, which places them nineteenth in the league. The number of times they have struck out is 788, which places them ninth in the league. Additionally, they have collected 713 hits.

As of this point in the season, the Orioles have a team WHIP of 1.421 and a FIP of 4.47. This suggests that they are performing well as a unit. As a pitching staff, they have 824 hits allowed, which places them in the 28th spot in baseball. Since the beginning of the season, the pitching staff in Baltimore has allowed 453 runs while maintaining an earned run average of 4.94 (429 earned runs surrendered). The ratio of their strikeouts to walks is 8.40, with 734 strikeouts and 287 walks respectively. They are 27th in the league in terms of the number of home runs they allow per nine innings, and they have allowed 123 home runs.

The Orioles have a total of 105 save situations, although they have only managed to hold 68 of them and blow 12 of them. There have been 34 opportunities for Baltimore’s bullpen pitchers to enter the game, and through those opportunities, they have earned a total of 22 saves. Over the course of their career, their relievers have taken the mound 95 times in high leverage situations, in addition to 103 times when there were runners on base. Out of the 136 runners that they have inherited, relief pitchers in Baltimore have an inherited score percentage of 18.4%. With a save percentage of 64.7%, they are now ranked eleventh in baseball, and they have utilized 316 relievers out on the field throughout the course of the season.

Over the course of 7,041 innings played on the diamond, the Orioles have a defensive efficiency of 67.3%, which places them 29th in all of professional baseball. The Baltimore Orioles have a fielding percentage of.985 and have turned 64 double plays, which places them 24th in Major League Baseball. During the course of this season, the Orioles have completed a total of 2,347 putouts, registered 779 assists, and committed 49 errors.

Morton has a career record of 5-8 and has a 4.94 earned run average. He also has a number of hits allowed per nine innings, which is 9.3. Over the course of his career in professional baseball, he has faced 447 batters from opposing teams, and he has a strikeout to walk ratio of 2.28. A WHIP of 1.427 and a FIP of 4.9 have been earned by him, and he has allowed 55 earned runs to be scored against him. Over the course of his career, Morton has allowed 103 hits while recording 91 strikeouts in 100 innings thrown. Both of these statistics are significant.

Mets vs Orioles Betting Prediction: Baltimore Recent Wagering Performance

Now in this Mets vs Orioles Betting Prediction, we have the recent wagering performance for New York:

• The Orioles have a record of 4-3 in seven games that they have played as underdogs during the course of the last ten matches.
• It has been four times that the Orioles and their opponents have failed to hit the over in their most recent ten games that have had a total.
• Over the past ten games, the Orioles have a record of 7-3-0 against the spread.

Mets vs Orioles Betting Prediction: Baltimore Player Insights

Next in this Mets vs Orioles Betting Prediction, we have the player insights for New York:

• Ryan O’Hearn has a batting average of.286 and is the team leader for the Orioles.
• Among all batters in the major leagues, O’Hearn ranks 91st in home runs and 140th in average runs batted in.
• A total of 17 doubles, three triples, 10 home runs, and 31 walks have contributed to Gunnar Henderson’s batting average of.270.
• When compared to all other batters in the major leagues, Henderson ranks 110th in home runs and 173rd in walks.
• With a total of 13 long balls and 41 runs batted in, Mullins has shown to be a reliable source of run production for the Orioles recently.
• With 19 walks and 13 doubles, two triples, 12 home runs, and a batting average of.263, Jackson Holliday is having a great season.

Mets vs Orioles Betting Prediction: Best Baltimore Player Prop Best Bets Today

Over the course of his last four games, Jordan Westburg has hit home runs in two of them, resulting in a return on investment of 267% and a total of 10.70 units.
In 11 of his previous 15 games played at home, Ramon Laureano has hit the Runs Over, which has resulted in a return on investment of 63% and 9.60 units.
In thirteen of his previous fifteen games played at home, Ramon Laureano has hit the Hits Over, resulting in a return on investment of thirty-three percent and nine and a half units.
In 13 of his previous 15 games, Gunnar Henderson has hit the RBIs Under, which is a plus 8.90 units and a return on investment of 30%.
At home, Ramon Laureano has hit the Total Bases Over in 11 of his past 15 games, which is a return on investment of 36% and a total of 7.65 units.

Mets vs Orioles Betting Prediction: Against the Spread (ATS) Record for Baltimore

• Over the course of this season, the Orioles have a record of 35-53 against the run line, which translates to a return on investment of -19.29%.
• Between 40 and 49 when wagering on the Moneyline for a return of -13.2% and -14.05 units
• When wagering on the total number of runs over, the return on investment is -14.54% for -14.18 units.
• 48-38 when wagering on the total number of runs under for a net return of 6.33 units and 6.43 percent

Mets vs Orioles Betting Prediction: Baltimore Against the Spread (ATS) Record

• Since the beginning of the previous season, the Orioles have a record of just 2-106 (.019) while behind entering the ninth inning. This is the third lowest record in Major League Baseball, with the average for the league being.047.
• With a league average of.042, the Orioles have a record of 0-45 (.000) when trailing entering the ninth inning of this season, which is tied for the lowest in Major League Baseball.
• With a win, the Orioles have a record of merely 15-24 (.385), which is tied for fourth place in the Major League Baseball; their league average is.505.
• Since the beginning of the previous season, the Orioles have a record of only 7-12 (.368) when they are tied entering the seventh inning, which is the third lowest in Major League Baseball (MLB); the average for the league is.499.

Mets vs Orioles Betting Prediction: Baltimore Hitting Stats & Trends

• This season, Orioles hitters have a slugging percentage of.323 against left-handed pitchers, which is the lowest in the Major League Baseball (MLB); the league average is.385.
• This season, Orioles batters have a batting average against left-handed pitchers of just.617 (917 PAs), which is the fourth lowest in the Major League Baseball; the league average is.694.
• This season, Orioles batters are facing left-handed pitchers at a rate of 4.02 pitches per plate appearance, which is the second most in Major League Baseball (MLB); the league average is 3.87.
• This season, the Orioles had a batting average of only.153 with two strikeouts, which is the fifth lowest in Major League Baseball (MLB); the average for the league is.170.

Mets vs Orioles Betting Prediction: Orioles Pitching Stats & Trends

• When facing the leadoff batter in an inning, Orioles pitchers have walked 11% of batters, which is the highest percentage in Major League Baseball (MLB); the average for the league is 8%.
• This season, pitchers for the Orioles have a strikeout percentage of 24% with runners in scoring position, which is tied for fifth best in Major League Baseball (MLB); the average strikeout rate for pitchers in the league is 21%.
• Over the past 14 days, batters who have been facing Orioles pitchers have struck out on pitches that have been in the zone 46% of the time, which is the fourth lowest percentage in Major League Baseball (MLB) and the average for the league is 51%.
• This season, Orioles pitchers have a 4.95 earned run average (ERA) (782.1 innings pitched), which is the fourth highest in Major League Baseball (MLB); the average for the league is 4.07.

Mets vs Orioles Betting Prediction: Baltimore Last 10 Games

Date	Opponent	Score	Spread	Total	Moneyline
7/08/25	NYM	L 7-6	W+1.5	O9.5	L+118
7/06/25	@ATL	W 2-1	W+1.5	U9.5	W+120
7/05/25	@ATL	W 9-6	W+1.5	O8.5	W+108
7/04/25	@ATL	W 3-2	W+1.5	U9	W+142
7/02/25	@TEX	L 6-0	L+1.5	U8	L+122
7/01/25	@TEX	L 10-2	L+1.5	O7.5	L+150
6/30/25	@TEX	W 10-6	W-1.5	O8.5	W-116
6/29/25	TB	W 5-1	W+1.5	U10	W-106
6/28/25	TB	L 11-3	L+1.5	O10	L-102
6/27/25	TB	W 22-8	W+1.5	O9	W-102

Mets vs Orioles Betting Prediction: Best MLB Prop Bet

• Juan Soto Over 1.5 Total Bases

Given that Soto is now hitting a robust.269/.399/.509 with 21 home runs and 52 RBI in 91 games this season, we are comfortable with a -130 wager. During the month of June alone, he racked up 10 home runs, 20 RBI, and 20 walks, earning him the title of National League Player of the Month. He is the key person responsible for the recent wake-up call that the Mets received. During the first few days of the month of July, Soto has been hitting an astounding.385 average, which is a significant increase from the previous month. Sugano has also been severely impacted by left-handed batters; in just 17 games, he has allowed 19 home runs, with 12 of those home runs coming from left-handed batters.

Mets vs Orioles Betting Prediction: Updated Stat Projections

 

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