Chiefs vs Eagles Betting Trends, Super Bowl 2025 Trends
Chiefs vs Eagles Betting Trends, Super Bowl 2025 Trends. The game is set for Saturday, February 9th, 2025. Place a bet on this NFL football game now.
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The total for this game is 49.5 over/under, and Kansas City is a small -1.5 favorite to defeat the Philadelphia Eagles in the Super Bowl.
Chiefs vs Eagles Betting Trends
These three of the most intriguing patterns from the previous 29 Super Bowls all suggest that the Eagles will upset the Chiefs or at the very least lose by one point, which would cover the 1.5-point spread.
- The 9-18-2 ATS is the favorite.
- 2-19-1 ATS is the side with the superior record.
- 13-1-1 ATS are the teams that made it to the SB through the wild card round.
The betting favorite is 9-18-2 against the spread in the game’s last 29 iterations. Given that the Chiefs are the 1.5-point favorites, the Eagles would cover the 1.5-point spread as an underdog, most likely leading to an outright victory.
The most startling trend is that the team with the better Super Bowl record has 2-19-1 ATS in the last 22 games where there has been a record disparity. Over a sample size of 22 games, the team with the higher record should be the better one, but this hasn’t been the case. Another tendency that works in the Eagles’ favor is that the Chiefs are 15-2 going into this game, while the Eagles are 14-3.
Last but not least, teams that have made it to the Super Bowl through the wild-card round have a 13-1-1 ATS record. That’s another pattern that could point to the Eagles. Since the No. 2 seed was no longer assured of a first-round BYE, the Eagles had to host the Packers in the wild-card round, and they handily trounced them. In contrast, Kansas City had a fantastic first-round BYE, but if this trend keeps up, it could be their undoing.
Even though professional bookies often believe that trends are basically meaningless, especially when you cherry-pick certain data to fit a story, the trends listed above are at least interesting and something to ponder about before Super Bowl 60.
Underdogs won the Divisional Round and Wild Card rounds, but the favorites won the Conference Championship.
The underdogs were 5-5 SU and 7-3 ATS heading into the Conference Championship, while the favorites went 2-0 SU/ATS with the Eagles and Chiefs. Favorites going 0–4 ATS on the final line in the Divisional Round was only the third occasion since the merger in 1970 and the first since 2007.
It was a remarkable regular season for favorites, and the best ATS season in terms of profit/ROI since 2017 just ended. By the end of 2024, the favorites had their third-best season since 1980 with a 195-77 SU record (71.7%). Postseason underdogs are now 59-39 ATS (60%) and have a 17% return on investment since 2017.
Since 2008, the eventual Super Bowl champion has always come out of the top 8 in Super Bowl odds entering the playoffs, including the top 6 in each of the preceding 11 seasons. The last club to finish outside of the top six in the preseason odds was the 2012 Ravens. The Vikings, Bills, Eagles, Ravens, Chiefs, and Lions were the six teams with the best odds this season.
Teams that are up at the half in this year’s NFL playoffs have a 4-7 record against the second-half spread and have gone at least.500 2H ATS for three straight playoffs. Additionally, teams that lead at the half in the Conference Championship or Super Bowl have a 21-32-3 record against the second-half spread during the last 20 years.
Chiefs vs Eagles Betting Trends: Kansas City
First, we have the Chiefs vs Eagles Betting Trends for Kansas City:
- In their last 13 games, Kansas City has a 4-9 ATS record.
- Six of Kansas City’s previous eight games have seen the total fall UNDER.
- In their previous 20 games, Kansas City is 18-2 SU.
- In their last five meetings with Philadelphia, Kansas City has a 4-1 ATS record.
- In their last five meetings with Philadelphia, Kansas City has a 4-1 SU record.
- In their previous 13 away games, Kansas City is 11-2 SU.
- In four of Kansas City’s previous five away games versus Philadelphia, the total has gone over.
- In their last six games against a National Football Conference opponent, Kansas City has a 6-0 record overall.
- Four of Kansas City’s previous five games against a National Football Conference East opponent have seen the total go UNDER.
- In their last eight Sunday games, Kansas City is 2-6 ATS.
Chiefs vs Eagles Betting Trends: Patrick Mahomes
Now in these Chiefs vs Eagles Betting Trends, we have the info you need on Patrick Mahomes.
- It is difficult to defeat Mahomes when he is not on the road. Mahomes has a 16-2 SU record in home or neutral-site games in January and February, losing only Tom Brady and Joe Burrow. In such position in November or later, he is 44-6 SU.
- When positioned as an underdog or a favorite of less than a field goal in the playoffs, Mahomes is 8-0 SU and ATS.
- Mahomes has been 30-4 SU since 2019 despite taking more than eight days off during the season. Tom Brady, Matt Ryan, Jalen Hurts, and Aidan O’Connell are the quarterbacks who will defeat him.
- In nine playoff games overall, Mahomes has fallen behind in the fourth quarter or overtime. He has forced overtime in two of those games and won six of them.
- Mahomes’ playoff record is 17-3 SU (85%). After Bart Starr at 9-1 SU, his 85% victory percentage is the second-best minimum 10 starts since 1950.
Chiefs vs Eagles Betting Trends: Philadelphia
Now, we have the Chiefs vs Eagles Betting Trends for Philadelphia:
- In their last five games, Philadelphia has a 4-1 ATS record.
- Four of Philadelphia’s previous six games have seen the total go OVER.
- In their last five games, Philadelphia has a 5-0 SU record.
- Five of Philadelphia’s previous seven games versus Kansas City have had the total go OVER.
- In their last ten home games, Philadelphia has a 10-0 SU record.
- Four of Philadelphia’s previous five home games against Kansas City have seen the total go OVER.
- In their last eight games versus an American Football Conference opponent, Philadelphia has an 8-0 SU record.
- Twelve of Philadelphia’s previous sixteen games against an opponent in the American Football Conference West division have seen the total go OVER.
- In their previous 11 Sunday games, Philadelphia is 8-3 ATS.
- In their previous six games as the underdog, Philadelphia is 4-2 ATS.
Chiefs vs Eagles Betting Trends: Saquon Barkley
Next in these Chiefs vs Eagles Betting Trends, we have the info you need on Saquon Barkley.
- At that point, Saquon Barkley’s initial rush total of 130.5 yards was the greatest we’ve ever seen in the Conference Championship. He finished with 118 yards going under after closing at about 125.
- His rushing line opened at roughly 110.5 in the Super Bowl and is currently trading at 115.5. In the Super Bowl, how difficult is it to reach, say, 120 rushing yards?
- No one has done it since Michael Pittman in 2003. The first time since the previous running back to earn Super Bowl MVP, Terrell Davis, in 1998.
Chiefs vs Eagles Betting Trends: Super Bowl Betting Insights
- In Super Bowl XLIX, Seattle’s -1 spread against the New England Patriots was the smallest spread in the previous 20 years.
- In Super Bowl XLII, New England defeated the New York Giants by a score of -12, the biggest Super Bowl margin in the previous 20 years.
- The last four Super Bowls have been closer games, with a field goal deciding three of them.
- In 12 of the last 20 Super Bowls, there has only been one score.
- Lately, the UNDER has dominated, winning five of the previous six games.
- In 37 of 58 Super Bowls, the team with the largest lead has prevailed.
- In 25 Super Bowls, wide receivers have scored the opening touchdown.
Chiefs vs Eagles Betting Trends: Super Bowl History
Now in these Chiefs vs Eagles Betting Trends, we have the info you need on Super Bowl history.
- In the Super Bowl, the favorites are 27-29-2 ATS and 36-22 SU. In the last 17 Super Bowls, underdogs have a 10-7 SU record, including a 12-5 ATS record.
- In the Super Bowl, the over is 28-28-1. Super Bowl 1 did not have a total. In the last 21 Super Bowls, the under is 11-10.
- The ATS for the Super Bowl champions is 49-7-2 (88%). For the first time since the 2009 Super Bowl, the Rams won the 2022 Super Bowl but were unable to cover the spread. Super Bowl champions are 30-1 ATS when the spread is six points or less. 12 underdogs and 11 favorites won straight up, and Super Bowl victors with a spread of four or less are 23-0 ATS.
- Since 2004, public teams have an 11-10 SU and ATS record in the Super Bowl. In Super Bowl 57 against the Eagles, Mahomes played without the public’s support on the spread.
- This may be the 17th consecutive Super Bowl in which the favorite has scored fewer than seven points, making it the longest run in Super Bowl history.
- There hasn’t been a safety in ten consecutive Super Bowls, although there was one in three prior to that.
- Three points is the most frequent final margin in Super Bowl history, having occurred nine times. Six times, or four points, is the next closest.
Ron Torbert Will be the Super Bowl Referee This Year
- Torbert, who served as the primary official for the Rams-Bengals game in 2021–2022, will be attending his second Super Bowl. The two teams combined for just six penalties in the game, which is the fewest in a Super Bowl since 1999.
- However, Torbert has recently been one of the highest officials in terms of overall punishments. Torbert has the third-highest number of penalties called this year and last year out of 17 head officials. Torbert has called 94 offensive holding penalties over the past two seasons and finished fourth in both seasons’ total offensive holds.
- Torbert usually ends up winning his games. In the past ten years, his games were 76.1% SU to the favorite, and the biggest profit total for any referee during that time was $1,772 for a $100 wager who won each game. In the past ten years, Torbert’s favorites against the spread are 90-71-2 ATS (56%)—the best of any official.
- Favorites in games overseen by Torbert went 13-4 SU and ATS this season. Since Torbert began officiating, the favorites have won 11 or more games SU in each of his 11 seasons, going 38-12 SU in the previous three.
- Patrick Mahomes is 3-1 SU and ATS in games overseen by Torbert, including the 2022–2023 playoff game against the Bengals, in which they won 23–20 despite closing -2.
Chiefs vs Eagles Betting Trends: Super Bowl Odds History
Now in these Chiefs vs Eagles Betting Trends, we have the history of Super Bowl odds.
| SB | Final Score | Spread (Total) | Spread/Total | AFC/NFC SU/ATS |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| LVIII (Feb 11, 2024) | 49ers 22, Chiefs 25 | 49ers -2 (47.5) | Underdog (UNDER) | AFC SU & ATS |
| LVII (Feb 12, 2023) | Chiefs 38, Eagles 35 | Eagles -2 (50) | Underdog (OVER) | AFC SU & ATS |
| LVI (Feb 13, 2022) | LA Rams 23, Cincinnati 20 | LA -4 (49.5) | Favorite (UNDER) | NFC SU ONLY |
| LV (Feb 7, 2021) | Tampa Bay 31, Kansas City 9 | KC -3 (56) | Underdog (UNDER) | NFC SU & ATS |
| LIV (Feb 2, 2020) | Kansas City 31, 49ers 20 | KC -1.5 (53) | Favorite (UNDER) | AFC SU & ATS |
| LIII (Feb 3, 2019) | NE 13, LA Rams 3 | NE -2.5 (55.5) | Favorite (UNDER) | AFC SU & ATS |
| LII (Feb 4, 2018) | Philadelphia 41, NE 33 | NE -4.5 (49) | Underdog (OVER) | NFC SU & ATS |
| LI (Feb 5, 2017) | NE 34, Atlanta 28 | NE -3 (57.5) | Favorite (OVER) | AFC SU & ATS |
| L (Feb 7, 2016) | Denver 24, Carolina 10 | CAR -4.5 (43) | Underdog (UNDER) | AFC SU & ATS |
| XLIX (Feb 1, 2015) | NE 28, Seattle 24 | SEA -1 (47.5) | Underdog (OVER) | AFC SU & ATS |
| XLVIII (Feb 2, 2014) | Seattle 43, Denver 8 | DEN -2 (47.5) | Underdog (OVER) | NFC SU & ATS |
| XLVII (Feb 3, 2013) | Baltimore 34, 49ers 31 | SF -4.5 (48) | Underdog (OVER) | AFC SU & ATS |
| XLVI (Feb 5, 2012) | N.Y. Giants 21, NE 17 | NE -2.5 (53) | Underdog (UNDER) | NFC SU & ATS |
| XLV (Feb 6, 2011) | Green Bay 31, Pittsburgh 25 | GB -3 (45) | Favorite (OVER) | NFC SU & ATS |
| XLIV (Feb 7, 2010) | New Orleans 31, Colts 17 | IND -5 (57) | Underdog (UNDER) | NFC SU & ATS |
| XLIII (Feb 1, 2009) | Pittsburgh 27, Arizona 23 | PIT -7 (46) | Underdog (OVER) | AFC SU ONLY |
| XLII (Feb 3, 2008) | N.Y. Giants 17, NE 14 | NE -12 (55) | Underdog (UNDER) | NFC SU & ATS |
| XLI (Feb 4, 2007) | Indianapolis 29, Chicago 17 | IND -7 (47) | Favorite (UNDER) | AFC SU & ATS |
| XL (Feb 5, 2006) | Pittsburgh 21, Seattle 10 | PIT -4 (47) | Favorite (UNDER) | AFC SU & ATS |
| XXIX (Feb 6, 2005) | NE 24, Eagles 21 | NE -7 (46.5) | Underdog (UNDER) | AFC SU ONLY |
| XXXVIII (Feb 1, 2004) | NE 32, Carolina 29 | NE -7 (37.5) | Underdog (OVER) | AFC SU ONLY |
| XXXVII (Jan 26, 2003) | Tampa Bay 48, Oakland 21 | OAK -4 (44) | Underdog (OVER) | NFC SU & ATS |
| XXXVI (Feb 3, 2002) | NE 20, St. Louis 17 | STL -14 (53) | Underdog (UNDER) | AFC SU & ATS |
| XXXV (Jan 28, 2001) | Baltimore 34, N.Y. Giants 7 | BAL -3 (33) | Favorite (OVER) | AFC SU & ATS |
| XXXIV (Jan 30, 2000) | St. Louis 23, Tennessee 16 | STL -7 (45) | Push (UNDER) | NFC SU ONLY (P) |
| XXXIII (Jan 31, 1999) | Denver 34, Atlanta 19 | DEN -7.5 (52.5) | Favorite (OVER) | AFC SU & ATS |
| XXXII (Jan 25, 1998) | Denver 31, Green Bay 24 | GB -11 (49) | Underdog (OVER) | AFC SU & ATS |
| XXXI (Jan 26, 1997) | Green Bay 35, NE 21 | GB -14 (49) | Push (OVER) | NFC SU ONLY (P) |
| XXX (Jan 28, 1996) | Dallas 27, Pittsburgh 17 | DAL -13.5 (51) | Underdog (UNDER) | NFC SU ONLY |
| XXIX (Jan 29, 1995) | 49ers 49, San Diego 26 | SF -18.5 (53.5) | Favorite (OVER) | NFC SU & ATS |
| XXVIII (Jan 30, 1994) | Dallas 30, Buffalo 13 | DAL -10.5 (50.5) | Favorite (UNDER) | NFC SU & ATS |
| XXVII (Jan 31, 1993) | Dallas 52, Buffalo 17 | DAL -6.5 (44.5) | Favorite (OVER) | NFC SU & ATS |
| XXVI (Jan 26, 1992) | Washington 37, Buffalo 24 | WAS -7 (49) | Favorite (OVER) | NFC SU & ATS |
| XXV (Jan 27, 1991) | N.Y. Giants 20, Buffalo 19 | BUF -7 (40.5) | Underdog (UNDER) | NFC SU & ATS |
| XXIV (Jan 28, 1990) | 49ers 55, Denver 10 | SF -12 (48) | Favorite (OVER) | NFC SU & ATS |
| XXIII (Jan 22, 1989) | 49ers 20, Cincy 16 | SF -7 (48) | Underdog (UNDER) | NFC SU ONLY |
| XXII (Jan 31, 1988) | Washington 42, Denver 10 | DEN -3 (47) | Underdog (OVER) | NFC SU & ATS |
| XXI (Jan 25, 1987) | N.Y. Giants 39, Denver 20 | NYG -9.5 (40) | Favorite (OVER) | NFC SU & ATS |
| XX (Jan 26, 1986) | Chicago 46, NE 10 | CHI -10 (37.5) | Favorite (OVER) | NFC SU & ATS |
| XIX (Jan 20, 1985) | 49ers 38, Miami 16 | SF -3.5 (53.5) | Favorite (OVER) | NFC SU & ATS |
| XVIII (Jan 22, 1984) | L.A. Raiders 38, Washington 9 | WAS -3 (48) | Favorite (UNDER) | AFC SU & ATS |
| XVII (Jan 30, 1983) | Washington 27, Miami 17 | MIA -3 (36.5) | Underdog (OVER) | NFC SU & ATS |
| XVI (Jan 24, 1982) | 49ers 26, Cincinnati 21 | SF -1 (48) | Favorite (UNDER) | NFC SU & ATS |
| XV (Jan 25, 1981) | Oakland 27, Philadelphia 10 | PHI -3 (37.5) | Underdog (UNDER) | AFC SU & ATS |
| XIV (Jan 20, 1980) | Pittsburgh 31, L.A. Rams 19 | PIT -10.5 (36) | Favorite (OVER) | AFC SU & ATS |
| XIII (Jan 21, 1979) | Pittsburgh 35, Dallas 31 | PIT -3.5 (37) | Favorite (OVER) | AFC SU & ATS |
| XII (Jan 15, 1978) | Dallas 27, Denver 10 | DAL -6 (39) | Favorite (UNDER) | NFC SU & ATS |
| XI (Jan 9, 1977) | Oakland 34, Minnesota 14 | OAK -4 (38) | Favorite (OVER) | AFC SU & ATS |
| X (Jan 18, 1976) | Pittsburgh 21, Dallas 17 | PIT -7 (36) | Underdog (OVER) | AFC SU ONLY |
| IX (Jan 12, 1975) | Pittsburgh 16, Minnesota 6 | PIT -3 (33) | Favorite (UNDER) | AFC SU & ATS |
| VIII (Jan 13, 1974) | Miami 24, Minnesota 7 | MIA -6.5 (33) | Favorite (UNDER) | AFC SU & ATS |
| VII (Jan 14, 1973) | Miami 14, Washington 7 | MIA -1 (33) | Favorite (UNDER) | AFC SU & ATS |
| VI (Jan 16, 1972) | Dallas 24, Miami 3 | DAL -6 (34) | Favorite (UNDER) | NFC SU & ATS |
| V (Jan 17, 1971) | Baltimore 16, Dallas 13 | BAL -2.5 (36) | Favorite (UNDER) | AFC SU & ATS |
| IV (Jan 11, 1970) | Kansas City 23, Minnesota 7 | MIN -12 (39) | Underdog (UNDER) | AFC SU & ATS |
| III (Jan 12, 1969) | N.Y. Jets 16, Baltimore 7 | BAL-18 (40) | Underdog (UNDER) | AFC SU & ATS |
| II (Jan 14, 1968) | Green Bay 33, Oakland 14 | GB -13.5 (43) | Favorite (OVER) | NFC SU & ATS |
| I (Jan 15, 1967) | Green Bay 35, Kansas City 10 | GB -14 (N/A) | Favorite | NFC SU & ATS |
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Chiefs vs Eagles Betting Trends, Super Bowl 2025 Trends, by YouWager.lv.