Du Plessis vs Adesanya Betting: UFC 305 Odds, Prediction

This weekend, the UFC prepares to go to Australia for Dricus Du Plessis’ (C) maiden Middleweight championship defense. The main event on Saturday will take place from the RAC Arena in Perth, Australia, where he will face the always dangerous Israel Adesanya (#2). Let’s examine each fighter’s journey to this point, analyze their individual trends and statistics, and conclude with my pick for the title bout.

Du Plessis vs Adesanya Betting Odds

Here are the Du Plessis vs Adesanya Betting Odds:

TEAM	SPREAD	MONEYLINE	TOTAL
Israel Adesanya	N/A	-110	N/A
Dricus Du Plessis	N/A	-110	N/A

Du Plessis vs Adesanya Betting Guide for UFC 305

Here is our Du Plessis vs Adesanya Betting guide for UFC 305.

Betting Profile: Dricus Du Plessis (21-2-0)

Last Five Fights: W-W-W-W-W

Right now, Dricus Du Plessis is enjoying a winning streak of nine fights as a professional, including a perfect 7-0-0 record in the UFC. During his road to the title, the South African has defeated some of the best middleweights in the world, most recently Sean Strickland (S-DEC), Robert Whittaker (KO/TKO – Punches), Derek Brunson (KO/TKO – Punches), and Darren Till (SUB – Neck Crank). Despite outlasting Strickland 173–137 over the course of 25 minutes, Du Plessis prevailed on a split decision in January of this year. The winner displayed a takedown mastery, achieving six takedowns in a meager 2:08 of control time.

Du Plessis is statistically speaking not averse to going toe-to-toe with opponents. At a 51% pace, he is averaging 3.00 takedowns every 15 minutes. He is stopping 40% of the opponents’ efforts at takedowns. In terms of striking, the 30-year-old is taking 4.77 strikes and landing an impressive 6.49 major strikes per minute. It’s noteworthy from a stylistic standpoint that Du Plessis holds a second-degree black belt in kickboxing.

---

Betting Profile: Israel Adesanya (24-3-0)

Last Five Fights: L-W-L-W-W

After losing the Middleweight title to Sean Strickland (U-DEC) in September 2023, Israel Adesanya is aiming to reclaim it. This was Izzy’s final bout; he was knocked down once and outstruck by Strickland 137-94. Before losing the title match, Adesanya and Alex Pereira had split bouts. Adesanya lost by knockout in November 2022 (Punches), but he bounced back in April 2023 with his own knockout (Punches). The 35-year-old is fighting for a title for the 12th time in a row in this bout. He is 8-3 in those fights; his third loss occurred in March 2021 against Jan Blachowicz (U-DEC) in the Light Heavyweight class.

Given that he only scores 0.05 takedowns per 15 minutes (14% success rate), “The Last Stylebender” doesn’t have a strong ground game. But in Brazilian Jiu-Jitsu, a purple belt can stop 77% of takedown attempts from the opposition. Adesanya is a patient attacker who averages 3.93 important strikes against 3.11 absorbs per minute. With a strike defense percentage of 56%, the Nigerian only allows 44% of his opponent’s strikes to be completed.

---

Bottom Line

The oddsmakers at YouWager.lv Sportsbook believe the main event will be amazing and have priced the challenger as a slight -120 moneyline favorite. At +100, Dricus Du Plessis returns to defend his title and raise his hand for the tenth time in a row.

I always find it difficult to press the fade button on Israel Adesanya. In fact, I believe that this is the first time I have ever placed a wager against the previous winner. Still, it seems like a place to wager on an even-money winner who is currently winning. On Saturday night, I’m going to ride alongside Du Plessis to keep the Middleweight title.

The South African is rumored to have a heart condition, but I think he has dispelled those rumors. With his 25 minutes with Sean Strickland and his nose surgery to clean his airways, this man obviously possesses the skills necessary to fight in the championship rounds.

In addition, he has an incredible resume that includes victories over some of the best middleweights in the world. In the end, I just don’t think Du Plessis’ game currently has a lot of weaknesses. He is a powerful striker with a history in kickboxing who can also deliver kicks. The champion is a greater threat to Izzy because to his varied fighting style and excellent takedown skills. It’s important to note that he has won 10 of his 21 professional fights by submission (9 KO, 2 DEC).

Du Plessis ought to prevail in this fight if he can maintain composure and avoid being knocked out. The 30-year-old is clearly light years ahead of his talent level from six years ago, as he hasn’t been knocked out since 2018. Although I won’t be shocked if Adesanya prevails, I believe Du Plessis is in his prime and has a better overall chance. This should be an exciting main event. I’m riding as a little underdog alongside the winner.

Bet: Dricus Du Plessis Moneyline (+100)

At YouWager.lv you can place a bet on the NFL with the best odds and promotions. Wager on the moneyline, spread, and total; on your favorite team or an undervalued underdog. Sign up with YouWager.lv now and get in the game with the best welcome bonus, click below: