Baylor vs Iowa State Betting Prediction, Odds for 3/15/24
Baylor vs Iowa State Betting prediction and wagering odds for this game set for March 15, 2024. Place a bet on this college basketball game now.
Baylor vs Iowa State Betting Odds
Here are the Baylor vs Iowa State Betting odds:
TEAM | SPREAD | MONEYLINE | TOTAL |
---|---|---|---|
BAYLOR | +1.5 | +105 | Over 135 |
IOWA STATE | -1.5 | -125 | Under 135 |
Baylor vs Iowa State Betting Prediction
Here is our Baylor vs Iowa State Betting prediction.
In the semifinals of the Big 12 Tournament on Friday, the Baylor Bears will play the Iowa State Cyclones. The game starts at 8:30 p.m. CT from the T-Mobile Center.
They beat Cincinnati 68-56 on Thursday, making their record 23-9 SU, 18-10-3 ATS, and 16-15 O/U. This season, the Bears went 11–7 in Big 12 games.
Kansas State lost to Iowa State 76–57 on Thursday. Iowa State is now 25-7 SU, 20-10-2 ATS, and 15–17 O/U. This season, the Cyclones went 13-5 in Big 12 games.
They beat Iowa State 70–68 in Waco on February 3. With two seconds left, junior guard Jayden Nunn made a game-winning shot, which was enough to keep the win despite head coach Scott Drew’s first career ejection. At halftime, the Bears were ahead 40–28, but the Cyclones weren’t going to give up. BU made 12 of 23 shots from beyond the line (52.2%) and beat the other team 36–31 in rebounds, but they also turned the ball over 20 times. However, ISU only made 39.3 percent of their shots and missed 13 free throws (19 out of 33). This led to 26 points.
Baylor Bears Betting Prediction
First, we have the Baylor vs Iowa State Betting prediction for the Bears.
Thursday wasn’t Baylor’s best day, but they made plays when they needed to. The first half only had 24 points for BU, but after the break they got 44 points and were ahead. It only made 40% of its shots overall and missed five of nineteen three-point shots, but it made the most of its free throw chances (19 of 22). Also, the Bears had 14 offensive rebounds and beat the Bearcats 39–27 in boards.
Baylor averages 81.5 points per game, which ranks 26th. They shoot 48.9 percent of the time (20th), including 39.8 percent from beyond the arc (7th). BU makes 73.5 percent of its free throws, which ranks 109th, and has 31.7 boards, 14.8 assists, and 11.9 turnovers per game, ranking 203rd through 186th.
With 26.4 rebounds per game, the Bears allow 71.5 points per game, which ranks 165th. They also give up 45.6 percent shooting, which ranks 293rd, including 33.6 percent from three-point range, ranking 183rd. In a game, BU gets 3.1 blocks (206th), 6.4 steals (172nd), and 17.0 fouls (182nd).
The pollster KenPom puts Baylor 13th in the nation. These rankings show that the Bears are 5th in offensive efficiency, 58th in defensive efficiency, and 283rd in season-adjusted pace.
Iowa State Cyclones Betting Prediction
Now we have the Baylor vs Iowa State Betting prediction for the Cyclones.
In its playoff game, Iowa State beat Kansas State easily. It was ahead by as many as 21 points and under by no more than two points at any time. The Cyclones made most of their money at the free throw line (25 for 31) and in the paint (44 points). That’s not all—they scored 23 points off of 20 Wildcat mistakes. ISU only made 1 of 14 shots from beyond the arc, so those free throws and transition points were very significant.
With 46.3 percent shooting (85th), Iowa State gets 75.7 points per game, which ranks 118th. They make 34.8 percent of their shots from beyond the arc, which ranks 140th. ISU makes 69.0 percent of its free throws, which ranks 293rd, and has an average of 31.2 boards, 15.7 assists, and 10.9 turnovers.
They give up 62.1 points per game, which is fifth best in the country, on 40.5% shooting (24th), including 32.2% from three-point range (99th), and 29.5 boards per game, which is 61st best. ISU gets third-most blocks (3.1), second-most steals (10.1), and 145th-most fouls (16.5) per game.
KenPom says that Iowa State is the ninth best school in the country. According to the adjusted schedule, the Cyclones are 179th in tempo and 70th in offensive productivity.
Baylor vs Iowa State Betting Pick
Iowa State will try to make a name for itself on Friday in the paint, where it hits 67.9 percent of the time. Fourteen eighteen percent of the Cyclones’ points come from two-point shots, which is the 33rd most in the country. It’s almost impossible for Baylor to defend the rim, as opponents shoot 68.7 percent overall and 74.7 percent on rim FG tries that aren’t blocked. In the first game, ISU only got 20 points in the paint, but they tried 32 free throws. That’s not the best plan, since the Cyclones don’t make 70% of their free throws.
If ISU wants to win, it needs to score more than 30 points inside. The Baylor team hits almost 40% from three-point range, and they shot over 50% from that range in the first game. The Bears can also easily score from the three-point line (68.7 FG%). The Cyclones will get a lot of turnovers, but they won’t be able to keep up with the Bears if they can’t guard the three-point line.
BU’s offense wasn’t very good on Thursday; they only made five three-pointers against a strong Cincinnati defense. Next, it has to get out of its scoring slump against the college basketball team with the second-best defense. That’s not likely to happen. In the Big 12 quarterfinal on Friday, the Cyclones will cover because of their defense.
- Baylor vs Iowa State Betting Pick: Cyclones cover
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