Ole Miss vs Penn State Peach Bowl Preview
Check out our preview and prediction for this college football week one matchup for Ole Miss vs Penn State in Atlanta. Check out our picks for this NCAA showdown to win and cover the spread.
- The passing attempts made by Ole Miss’ offense rank 62nd.
- The defense of Penn State is giving up 10.4 yards per completion.
OLE MISS VS PENN STATE PREDICTION
The Rebels and Nittany Lions play their first NCAAF game of the season at Mercedes-Benz Stadium at 12:00 ET. ESPN will have television coverage of the game, which takes place on Saturday, December 30.In this non-conference contest, the Nittany Lions are the 4th favorite to win. Do they represent the best spread play? See how I anticipate this one unfolding in Atlanta by reading on.
OLE MISS VS. PENN STATE MATCHUP AT A GLANCE
- Sport: College Football
- Teams: Penn State Nittany Lions vs. Ole Miss Rebels
- Where: Mercedes-Benz Stadium in Atlanta
- Date: December 30, Saturday
OLE MISS PREVIEW: WILL OLE MISS REBOUND AFTER A LOSS?
Ole Miss’s record is now 10-2 going into this week’s game against Penn State after their 17-7 victory over Mississippi State. The Rebels have been the underdog in three games and the favorite in eight going into this week’s game against Penn State. They have a 5-4-2 ATS record going into the match. The over/under record for Ole Miss going into this week’s match is 4-7. With an average of 57.2 points per game, their margin against their over/under lines is at -4.3.
Against Mississippi State, the Rebels completed 26 pass attempts, gaining 96 yards and one touchdown. They gained one rushing score and averaged 4.6 yards per carry in the rushing game. Ole Miss defeated Mississippi State thanks to a touchdown pass from quarterback Jaxson Dart. 53.8% of his passes for 96 yards were completed, and he finished with a passer rating of 75.16 overall.
The Rebels’ defense played a great game against Mississippi State, allowing just 7 points on 303 yards allowed. With 207 yards, Mississippi State’s passing game came to an end. Ole Miss surrendered 3.4 yards per attempt up front. The Rebels defense leads the league in quarterback rushes and has 34 sacks going into the contest. They are 81st in terms of points allowed, conceding 22.3 points per game. They are ranked 86th in the NCAA in pass defense, giving up an average of 220 passing yards per game. Furthermore, Ole Miss’s run defense surrenders 151.9 rushing yards per game.
PENN STATE PREVIEW: HOW WILL PENN STATE RESPOND FROM A LOSS?
The Penn State Nittany Lions enter their game against Ole Miss having defeated the Michigan State Spartans 42-0 and sporting a 10-2 record that is above.500. The Nittany Lions have been the underdog in two games and the favorite in nine going into this week’s game against Ole Miss. They had an 8-3 ATS record going into the match. The average over/under for Penn State’s games through 12 games is 46 points. Their combined game average of 48.6 points has resulted in an OU record of 5-6.
In the end, the Nittany Lions completed 28 pass attempts for 303 yards and three touchdowns against Michigan State. They scored two rushing touchdowns and averaged 7.3 yards per carry in the rushing game. Drew Allar, the quarterback, completed 17 of 26 passes for 292 yards and a QB rating of 129.01 in the victory over Michigan State. He also brought two scores into the contest.
The defense of the Nittany Lions just finished a game in which they shut out the Spartans while surrendering 74 yards in total. Against Penn State, Michigan State ran the ball 26 times for -14 yards. The secondary of the Nittany Lions surrendered 88 passing yards in all. The Penn State defense is ranked 50th in terms of points allowed, giving up 11.4 points per game, going into their game against Ole Miss. They rank 15th in the nation in passing yards per game allowed by opponents as of now, with an average of 153.6. They are sixth in NCAA football for running yardage allowed (71.9) against the run.
OLE MISS VS PENN STATE BETTING ODDS, TRENDS & ANALYSIS
Ole Miss has a winning record against Penn State when playing on the road, going 4-1 in their previous five road games against the Spartans.
With an ATS record of 7-3, Ole Miss has the advantage in their previous ten encounters head-to-head against Penn State.
Penn State was originally placed as -2.5 point favorites, but since then, their line has changed to -4 (-109). On the other side, Ole Miss is currently a +4 (-112) point underdog traveling. Penn State is now assigned a 64% chance of winning and a moneyline payout of -178 based on the current moneyline odds. On the other hand, with a moneyline of +144, the Rebels’ implied win percentage is 41%.
KEY BETTING TRENDS
- Ole Miss has an ATS record of 2-2-1 against the spread when playing on the road.
- ATS in the last three home games for Penn State is 2-1.
- In their last 10 games as the underdog, Penn State has a 4-6 ATS record.
- Ole Miss is 0-1-2 against the spread in their last three games as the favorite.
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