View our prediction for New Mexico State vs. Fresno State, week one, to learn our thoughts on the winner and the point spread in Albuquerque.

• The passing attempts made by New Mexico State’s offense rank 55th.
• The defense of Fresno State is giving up 12.8 yards per completion.

NEW MEXICO STATE VS FRESNO STATE PREDICTION

ESPN will air this week’s first CFB game between the Aggies and Bulldogs at 5:45 (12/16/23). University Stadium in Albuquerque (NM) will host the game.The Aggies are the 2.5-point favorites to win this non-conference matchup. Is it wiser to back them to cover the spread, or are the Bulldogs a better option? To find out, continue reading.

NEW MEXICO STATE VS. FRESNO STATE MATCHUP AT A GLANCE

• Sport: College Football
• Teams: Fresno State Bulldogs vs. New Mexico State Aggies
• Where: University Stadium, Albuquerque
• Date: December 16, Saturday

NEW MEXICO STATE PREVIEW: CAN NEW MEXICO STATE FOLLOW UP WITH ANOTHER WIN?

After losing to Liberty 49-35, New Mexico State is trying to get back on track this week. Nevertheless, after 14 games, they have a 10-4 record that is above.500. The Aggies have been the underdog in seven games going into this week’s game against Fresno State, and they have been favorites in four of them. They had an 8-3 ATS record going into the match. New Mexico State’s over/under record for this season is 4-7. The total number of points scored in their games has averaged 50.5, with 52 being the usual over/under line.

Against Liberty, the Aggies completed 35 pass attempts for 322 yards and four touchdowns. They scored one rushing touchdown and averaged 6.3 yards per carry in the running game. Diego Pavia, the team’s quarterback, scored one touchdown on the ground in addition to three touchdowns via the air in their most recent defeat. With regard to passing, he gained 188 yards and a 68.8% completion percentage.

On defense, Liberty was given 714 yards by New Mexico State. This entails surrendering 319 throwing yards and 395 permitted on-the-ground yards. The Aggies defense leads the league in quarterback hurries and has produced 31 sacks so far this season. They are conceding 21.8 points per game overall (94th). They rank 127th in the NCAA against the pass with 241.8 passing yards allowed per contest. Every game, New Mexico State allows 145.9 rushing yards.

FRESNO STATE PREVIEW: WILL FRESNO STATE ADD ANOTHER WIN?

After losing against San Diego State recently, Fresno State’s overall record dropped to 8-4. The game ended with a final score of 33-18 for the Bulldogs. The Bulldogs have been the favorite in nine games and the underdog in two going into this week’s game against New Mexico State. They have a 4–7 ATS record going into the match. The average over/under for Fresno State games after 12 games is 50.8 points. With an average score of 54.5 points over their games, OU has a 7-4 record.

After 19 attempts and two running scores, Fresno State’s offense ended the game against San Diego State with 151 yards gained. They completed their passing game with 36 passes for 190 yards, but they failed to score any touchdowns. Mikey Keene went 21 for 36 with a 58.3% completion rate versus San Diego State, finishing with 190 yards. There was not a single passing or rushing score by the end of the game.

Ultimately, the Bulldogs’ defense allowed San Diego State 417 total yards. Compared to 189 yards in the passing game, the team’s run defense gave up 228 yards of rush yardage. Ranking 130th in the nation in terms of passing yards allowed per game is the Fresno State defense. When facing the Bulldogs, opponents attempt 31.3 passes on average. They rank 91st in college football due to their 24.6 PPG defense. In the NCAA, their run defense is ranked 122nd.

NEW MEXICO STATE VS FRESNO STATE BETTING ODDS, TRENDS & ANALYSIS

Fresno State has won four of the last five meetings in head-to-head play.

In their last three games as the underdog versus New Mexico State, Fresno State has gone 2-1 against the spread.

Thus far, there have been few alterations to the point spreads. With a payout of -112 and a spread of 2.5 points, New Mexico State is now ahead of Fresno State, which is at +2.5 (-109). New Mexico State’s expected win percentage is 60% as they have moved from their opening moneyline of -138 to -147. With a moneyline of +119, Fresno State currently has implied odds of 46%. The opening moneyline for the Bulldogs was +115.

KEY BETTING TRENDS

• In their last five road games, New Mexico State has gone 4-1 against the spread.
• After their last three home games, Fresno State is 0-3 ATS.
• In their last ten games as the underdog, Fresno State has a 5-5 ATS record.
• In their previous five games as favorites, New Mexico State had a 5-0 record.

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